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Does picking the hottest number improve your odds?

Topic closed. 21 replies. Last post 4 years ago by SergeM.

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SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
Economy class
Belgium
Member #123700
February 27, 2012
4035 Posts
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Posted: June 2, 2012, 4:55 pm - IP Logged

Hi,

  I think you will find that in general this strategy will not work well for you.

  If you track the amount ocurrance that each number has over a paricular time frame, you will find that the hot numbers will probably only happen for only one, or maybe two, of the numbers picked in the next draw.

  Most draws are a mix of hot, medium, and cold numbers.

  Like coin flipping, at some point there will be an equal amount of heads and tails. Just because heads is hotter than tails at the moment, the higher ocurrances of heads won't hold true for an extended period of time. The only exception is if the coin itself is flawed by having one side heavier than the other.

Notice that you can have 1000 times tail in 1000 flips!


    United States
    Member #124493
    March 14, 2012
    7023 Posts
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    Posted: June 2, 2012, 5:45 pm - IP Logged

    Notice that you can have 1000 times tail in 1000 flips!

    Unlikely...boy you must have been a terrible croupier...Thud

      SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
      Economy class
      Belgium
      Member #123700
      February 27, 2012
      4035 Posts
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      Posted: June 2, 2012, 5:57 pm - IP Logged

      I have seen a roulette machine doing more than 40 black numbers in a row.
      Odds, if I am not mistaken: <0,000000000000304.
      Cool


        United States
        Member #124493
        March 14, 2012
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        Posted: June 3, 2012, 6:18 am - IP Logged

        Thats when the pit boss said..."go take a cigarette break sergio"LOL

          SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
          Economy class
          Belgium
          Member #123700
          February 27, 2012
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          Posted: June 3, 2012, 1:23 pm - IP Logged

          I don't smoke. Agree with stupid

            GM1258's avatar - Lottery-050.jpg
            Lake Winola, PA.
            United States
            Member #92374
            June 5, 2010
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            Posted: June 8, 2012, 3:52 pm - IP Logged

            I don't play the 'hottest' number(s).

            By the time they get that hot they're due to cool off.

            Using frequency analysis I will look for a very warm number.

            For example, if the hottest number has hit 10 times in a given

            period I will omit that number from my wheel.

            Rather, I will play a number that has hit 8 or 9 times within

            the same time frame and make that my constant in all pics.

            Those number(s) still have momentum and are still a good bet

            because they're between warm and hot (not yet due to cool off).

            No rocket science math involved here.

            Just standard freq. analysis.

              SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
              Economy class
              Belgium
              Member #123700
              February 27, 2012
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              Posted: June 10, 2012, 6:20 am - IP Logged
              12345678910
               1112 11  
              111121    
                1 1 32  
                23 2    
               111 22   
              1 221 1   
                 31111  
               122 2    
                   411  
              2111 11   
                 1213   
               1 1 221  
               1 12111  
               1 11211  
              111 12    
              1   221 1 
              1 12 1    
              1   13    
              111  11   
                 1 3 3  
                 2 131  
                1 24    
               1   231  
                 3 211  
              1  2  121 
               1  22 2  
               1 2211   
                2 221   
                1122 1  
                 3 31   
               1 3 21   
              113 2     
              1 1131    
               21  21   
                 122    
               21112    
                  421   
               1 1121   
              1  3 3    
              11  122   
                1212    
              1  2 21   
                 2221   
                1121    
                  5 2   
                213     
                  421   
                1222    
               11131    
               1 231    
              2121 1    
                23 11   
               31111    
               23 11    

              Table Header: Rank in frequency
              Table Data: Count of numbers that were drawn of that frequency rank

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Rank 1 = mode