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50% of the Time a Win

Topic closed. 21 replies. Last post 4 years ago by tntea.

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Cupcake10's avatar - Lottery-050.jpg

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Posted: June 28, 2012, 8:55 pm - IP Logged

If you could win P3 50% of time would it be worth your time? What's the lowest percentage for a win?

    jackpotismine's avatar - kanji for_peace.jpg
    Kunming
    China
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    Posted: June 28, 2012, 8:58 pm - IP Logged

    Absolutely! That's the best game in town.

    Play to win!

      Cupcake10's avatar - Lottery-050.jpg

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      Posted: June 28, 2012, 9:00 pm - IP Logged

      Absolutely! That's the best game in town.

      What????

        jackpotismine's avatar - kanji for_peace.jpg
        Kunming
        China
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        Posted: June 28, 2012, 9:01 pm - IP Logged

        I just answer the first part of your questions.

        Play to win!

          Cupcake10's avatar - Lottery-050.jpg

          United States
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          Posted: June 28, 2012, 9:03 pm - IP Logged

          I just answer the first part of your questions.

          Okay, that explains it.   What's the info you have below your post?

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            new york
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            Posted: June 28, 2012, 9:07 pm - IP Logged

            If you could win P3 50% of time would it be worth your time? What's the lowest percentage for a win?

            well if you played seven days a week and hit 50% of the time 1$ str8 1$ box mid and eve one number it would cost you 4$ a day of 28$ a week if you hit 50% of the time then you would hit at least 3.5 times if all hits were box then you would make 320 $ if you hit str8 then you would hit 1500$ so yes it would be worth it if you hit 50%

              Cupcake10's avatar - Lottery-050.jpg

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              Posted: June 29, 2012, 4:19 pm - IP Logged

              well if you played seven days a week and hit 50% of the time 1$ str8 1$ box mid and eve one number it would cost you 4$ a day of 28$ a week if you hit 50% of the time then you would hit at least 3.5 times if all hits were box then you would make 320 $ if you hit str8 then you would hit 1500$ so yes it would be worth it if you hit 50%

              Yes, it's worth it to win 50% of the time. The question is now, does anyone win 1/2 half of the time a week.  I think I can win 50% of the time.

                tntea's avatar - Lottery-059.jpg

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                Posted: June 29, 2012, 5:11 pm - IP Logged

                If you could win P3 50% of time would it be worth your time? What's the lowest percentage for a win?

                Yes it would be worth my time.

                I love the challenge of the game.

                     OLD/Vtrac   Lottery Bible         Double Warnings      Thumbs Up TN F34/F44

                  grwurston's avatar - Cute animals_Spider.jpg
                  Winning makes me smile.
                  bel air maryland
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                  April 24, 2010
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                  Posted: June 29, 2012, 6:25 pm - IP Logged

                  If you could win P3 50% of time would it be worth your time? What's the lowest percentage for a win?

                  If I could win 7 out of every 14 drawings I would say I cracked the Pick3. But I wouldn't be shouting it from the roof tops either.

                   And I would not be playing for just $1 straights.

                  "You can observe a lot just by watching." Yogi Berra, Hall of Fame baseball player.

                  The numbers will tell you what numbers to play. Pay attention to the numbers.

                  Don't just think outside the box, crush it.

                    aquariuslottery's avatar - AquariusLotteryLogo
                    Vancouver BC
                    Canada
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                    August 22, 2010
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                    Posted: July 1, 2012, 1:58 am - IP Logged

                    If you could win P3 50% of time would it be worth your time? What's the lowest percentage for a win?

                    You asked a good question.

                    My backtracks showed me that it's possible to win more than 50% of the time. But my backtracks are fully automated and lack human decision element. So I just started a simulation for my system to see what it can really do. I select numbers to play according to preset criteria which I follow strictly and match predictions with actual numbers. It's a time consuming process as a fair bit of analysis and decision-making is involved with every prediction. And my goal is not only winning but working out a technique that actually allows to make money on consistent (or at least frequent) basis.

                    So far 4 tries and 4 hits (all box singles). According to my backtracks such streaks are not unusual and probably I just hit one of those. But it's rather unlikely that such a ratio can be sustained. All streaks eventually end. The question is what after and I hope the simulation will help me to figure this out.

                    It's only a dry run so no actual money is involved. However I do keep stats for monetary computations (wins against cost) to see if the system can produce profits.

                    I apply strategies outlined in my "7 principles for being successful in Pick 3 lottery", posted on my LP blog. That's the first real trial for this system and I'm curious myself what are the final results going to be. Backtracks are good indicators but cannot substitute for the real thing.

                    I suggest that before one starts playing any system or method for real they do a dry run as well. Be strict and fair with your evaluation criteria, do not fool yourself by stretching the results to match the expectations. This may cost you dearly when you start playing for real. Rather, err on the strictness side.

                    Aquarius

                    ......

                      SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
                      Economy class
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                      Posted: July 1, 2012, 7:38 am - IP Logged

                      If you could win P3 50% of time would it be worth your time? What's the lowest percentage for a win?

                      THIS IS THE DUMBEST QUESTION EVER!

                      Make a balance sheet:

                      payouts - costs of tickets

                      Dupe Alert

                        tntea's avatar - Lottery-059.jpg

                        United States
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                        June 30, 2004
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                        Posted: July 1, 2012, 10:59 am - IP Logged

                        THIS IS THE DUMBEST QUESTION EVER!

                        Make a balance sheet:

                        payouts - costs of tickets

                        Dupe Alert

                        I Agree!

                             OLD/Vtrac   Lottery Bible         Double Warnings      Thumbs Up TN F34/F44

                          time*treat's avatar - radar

                          United States
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                          March 30, 2005
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                          Posted: July 1, 2012, 12:42 pm - IP Logged

                          If you could win P3 50% of time would it be worth your time? What's the lowest percentage for a win?

                          My operative questions would be how many tickets per try and are these straights or box hits? Skeptical

                          Playing 2 lines and winning half the time is very different (and more profitable) than playing 200 lines and winning half the time.

                          In neo-conned Amerika, bank robs you.
                          Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms should be the name of a convenience store, not a govnoment agency.

                            tntea's avatar - Lottery-059.jpg

                            United States
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                            June 30, 2004
                            23641 Posts
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                            Posted: July 1, 2012, 3:39 pm - IP Logged

                            You asked a good question.

                            My backtracks showed me that it's possible to win more than 50% of the time. But my backtracks are fully automated and lack human decision element. So I just started a simulation for my system to see what it can really do. I select numbers to play according to preset criteria which I follow strictly and match predictions with actual numbers. It's a time consuming process as a fair bit of analysis and decision-making is involved with every prediction. And my goal is not only winning but working out a technique that actually allows to make money on consistent (or at least frequent) basis.

                            So far 4 tries and 4 hits (all box singles). According to my backtracks such streaks are not unusual and probably I just hit one of those. But it's rather unlikely that such a ratio can be sustained. All streaks eventually end. The question is what after and I hope the simulation will help me to figure this out.

                            It's only a dry run so no actual money is involved. However I do keep stats for monetary computations (wins against cost) to see if the system can produce profits.

                            I apply strategies outlined in my "7 principles for being successful in Pick 3 lottery", posted on my LP blog. That's the first real trial for this system and I'm curious myself what are the final results going to be. Backtracks are good indicators but cannot substitute for the real thing.

                            I suggest that before one starts playing any system or method for real they do a dry run as well. Be strict and fair with your evaluation criteria, do not fool yourself by stretching the results to match the expectations. This may cost you dearly when you start playing for real. Rather, err on the strictness side.

                            Aquarius

                            great post..  good blog...

                                 OLD/Vtrac   Lottery Bible         Double Warnings      Thumbs Up TN F34/F44

                              Cupcake10's avatar - Lottery-050.jpg

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                              Posted: July 1, 2012, 3:59 pm - IP Logged

                              If you could win P3 50% of time would it be worth your time? What's the lowest percentage for a win?

                              To me, there is not a such of thang as a dumb post or question. If we start calling things dumb, it can get really ugly in here, so please do not try me because I have a really smart mouth.

                              If winning 50% of the time, it really depends on how much/how often you pay to play if it's worth it.  Even if you win consistently, you will still show a loss no matter what. 

                              If you are winning consistently, it will require you to have the discipline to stop when you are ahead or otherwise, your winning probabilities will always be less than 50%.