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Phitality 101

Topic closed. 93 replies. Last post 4 years ago by LottoBoner.

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United States
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March 14, 2012
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Posted: March 15, 2013, 11:51 pm - IP Logged

3/15

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    United States
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    Posted: March 16, 2013, 6:23 pm - IP Logged

    3/16

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      United States
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      Posted: March 16, 2013, 9:10 pm - IP Logged

      And what are the odds (chances) for that?

      I dont know.  I dont know how to calculate odds.  I only know how to pick the three correct numbers maybe 4 times per month if i dont overthink and tweak myself to death.

      According to your favorite book, the Lottery Master Guide, Wink in a pick 5 game matrix of 39, 13% are repeat hits.

      For simplicity sake, assuming then that also 13% of the hits are also 1 day skip, then

      A 0/1 skip mix would have a 13% plus 13% chance, or a 26% chance.  But I might be doing the calculation incorrectly.

      Or is it 13% + 13% divided by 2?

      Or is it (.13 + .13) / 2

      I dunno.  Inquiring minds want to know.

      However in a 6/40 matrix, the percentage of repeats are 16%

      So again assuming for skip 1,

       then a 0/1 skip mix would have a chance of 0.16 + 0.16  divided by some other number (maybe 2 again).  I dunno.

      ShiftyTwitchThud


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        Posted: March 17, 2013, 4:19 pm - IP Logged

        Not worrying too much about stupid odds and stupid questions about stupid odds, we have to go back to basics.

        If at first you dont succeed,

        3/17/11 T5 PWR #s

        1  11  17  18  >>>  0 1 1 1

         1       1         1          0

        Lep


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          Posted: March 17, 2013, 6:50 pm - IP Logged

          Not worrying too much about stupid odds and stupid questions about stupid odds, we have to go back to basics.

          If at first you dont succeed,

          3/17/11 T5 PWR #s

          1  11  17  18  >>>  0 1 1 1

           1       1         1          0

          Lep

          3/17

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            SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
            Economy class
            Belgium
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            February 27, 2012
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            Posted: March 18, 2013, 8:21 am - IP Logged

            Not worrying too much about stupid odds and stupid questions about stupid odds, we have to go back to basics.

            If at first you dont succeed,

            3/17/11 T5 PWR #s

            1  11  17  18  >>>  0 1 1 1

             1       1         1          0

            Lep

            Okay, what are you basic odds then?

              SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
              Economy class
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              February 27, 2012
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              Posted: March 18, 2013, 8:27 am - IP Logged

              I dont know.  I dont know how to calculate odds.  I only know how to pick the three correct numbers maybe 4 times per month if i dont overthink and tweak myself to death.

              According to your favorite book, the Lottery Master Guide, Wink in a pick 5 game matrix of 39, 13% are repeat hits.

              For simplicity sake, assuming then that also 13% of the hits are also 1 day skip, then

              A 0/1 skip mix would have a 13% plus 13% chance, or a 26% chance.  But I might be doing the calculation incorrectly.

              Or is it 13% + 13% divided by 2?

              Or is it (.13 + .13) / 2

              I dunno.  Inquiring minds want to know.

              However in a 6/40 matrix, the percentage of repeats are 16%

              So again assuming for skip 1,

               then a 0/1 skip mix would have a chance of 0.16 + 0.16  divided by some other number (maybe 2 again).  I dunno.

              ShiftyTwitchThud

              There is no inbetween, it is that or it is not that.

              Excel is a better book. It is a workbook.


                United States
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                Posted: March 18, 2013, 8:33 am - IP Logged

                Okay, what are you basic odds then?

                Hey You Never Know ®

                If your five numbers match the winning Take 5 numbers drawn, then you win or share the First Prize Jackpot. Match four winning numbers for Second Prize, match three winning numbers for Third Prize, and match just two winning numbers for a Quick Pick Free Play, which is automatically generated by the retailer's terminal upon validation of ticket.

                 

                     
                 

                PRIZE    LEVEL

                 
                 

                WINNING    NUMBERS MATCHED PER GAME

                 
                 

                CHANCES     OF WINNING PER GAME

                 
                 

                EXPECTED    PRIZE AMOUNT

                 

                First

                5 of 5

                1:575,757

                $57,575.70

                Second

                4 of 5

                1:3,386.81

                $508.02

                Third

                3 of 5

                1:102.63

                $25.66

                Fourth

                2 of 5

                1:9.62

                Quick Pick Free Play


                  United States
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                  Posted: March 18, 2013, 8:44 am - IP Logged

                  There is no inbetween, it is that or it is not that.

                  Excel is a better book. It is a workbook.

                  I determine chance using logic, visualization and the latest Ingo Swannish remote viewing technology.Razz  (ie. my brain)

                  I have told you before how I determine chance, and you never have been satisfied with the answer because it is not all geeky, mathematical and formulaic.

                  It is a modified skip chart.

                  So using the following skip chart for two repeating numbers, ie.  >>   0  0 

                  I determine chance.  Current skip is 11 games, so I know the chance "currently" is slightly above average because we are within a "golden skip" window of opportunity.

                  The chance is slightly shifting from two 1 day skips, ie >> 1 1  to  >> 0 0  based on my experiences tracking the skips.

                  This is read from top to bottom, (i am sure you know how), copied from one of my many EXCEL Workbooks.Roll Eyes

                   

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                    United States
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                    Posted: March 18, 2013, 8:03 pm - IP Logged

                                                                                         


                           
                       

                    3/18/13     MON attempt

                       

                    skips

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                      United States
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                      Posted: March 20, 2013, 12:09 pm - IP Logged

                                                                                           


                             
                         

                      3/18/13     MON attempt

                         

                      skips

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                      In case anybody was wondering the above game was sweet millions.  Only got the 10 15 correct in this line. 

                      But back to Take Five for the time being.

                      There has not been a zero skip in five games.

                      There has not been a one skip in two games.

                      There has not been a combination of 0/1 skip in twelve games.

                      So staying the course, all or most combinations played should have a 0/1 skip in every line.

                      Repeat candidates are

                      5 8 12 14 16

                      One day skip candidates are

                      9 25 28 34 36

                      I am only one hour into my workout, so I am not sure what skips to mix with the 0/1 yet, but generally two longs do well.

                      So skip format would or should be >> 0 1 L L L  (L for long) anything over 9 games.


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                        Posted: March 20, 2013, 3:10 pm - IP Logged

                        I have a slight challenge in front of me.

                        My wheel from yesterday, after updating the skips has many 0/1 skip combinations.

                        However during the haste of doing my workout and "seeing new things", I have created six new combinations.

                        Most notably in the new combinations I have "thrown out" the six, which was a major player from yesterday.

                        So far this month I have "thrown out" sets from "yesterday" Throwing out at least 4 3/5 matches and 1 4/5 match.

                        Now I have a budget of six dollars per draw and I am reluctant to go over budget again,

                        If I play both sets its only 14 dollars. But if I continue this trend over and over, I will begin to spend my money like a horny bunny.

                        What should I do?

                        Thinking of...


                          United States
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                          Posted: March 20, 2013, 6:16 pm - IP Logged

                          Date

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                            United States
                            Member #124493
                            March 14, 2012
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                            Posted: March 20, 2013, 11:59 pm - IP Logged

                            Date

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                            Well had the right idea with the 0/1 skip mix, but only one long played. The 33.  I been playing it heavy at skip 23, but I weaseled out on it at skip 27.

                            The old set had all the free plays, good thing I ran it, otherwise I would have had zilch!  I did get zilch in a way because the chance the 4 free plays will win anything is very slim.  Slim to nil.

                            I should have followed my gut warning when I noticed I had thrown out all the 6 in the new "tweaked" set.  I am still trying to determine proper "SOP's" when  creating my wheel while I do my workout.

                            I had 4 free plays when a wheel would have scored since I had 4 numbers correct in my self wheeled set.  But you have to take the good with the bad.  I also went over budget with 14 bucks, when my set without 6, really shouldn't have been played.  I have to be more careful with my tweaked sets.  I am down to about 2 hours with my workout.  I am not really trying to save time, but I am trying to prevent myself from going into manic obsession lotto frenzy.  There is a point where you cant crunch anymore.  You just have to roll the dice.  I am stil trying to find that point.  Its somewhere between 2 and 4 hours per drawing.

                            Anyway its crunch time once again.Thud

                            3/20

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                            @Fox, getting free plays is like seeing a fat juicy meatball coming right down the middle of the plate, and you still just manage to pop it up!!

                            est modus in rebus --- Catch the Lightning! 


                              United States
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                              Posted: March 21, 2013, 12:30 am - IP Logged

                              I meant @ GreenFox.