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Florida Scratch Offs - Post Pictures if posiblePrev TopicNext Topic
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Quote: Originally posted by PendingSector on Dec 27, 2019
Haven't been keeping up with this thread lately, so maybe it's been discussed, but it would seem the $20 Monopoly Jackpot TP, at 4/6 claimed, is quite under-claimed given how long it's been out?
Hi PendingSector, yes that aspect of the $20 Mop'Poly has been mentioned here recently and is indeed a valid observation.
Now that the Fl Lotto posts remaining prizes at all $ levels I took several minutes today to calculate them for active $20 and $30 games and as you can see the 4/6 remaining $5M TP on that game is higher %-wise (67% remaining) than expected when compared against other prize levels (all in the 40s %-wise). Data below taken from info on FL Lotto site as of today:
$20 Mop'Poly Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $5,000,000.00 1-in-4,560,000 6 4 67% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,368,000 20 8 40% $100,000.00 1-in-1,140,000 24 11 46% $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 454 201 44% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 453 200 44% $5,000.00 1-in-40,000 695 302 43% $1,000.00 1-in-2,222 12312 5318 43% $500.00 1-in-1,224 22403 9345 42% $200.00 1-in-171 160229 66679 42% $100.00 1-in-33 823598 346321 42% $50.00 1-in-30 915061 384796 42% $40.00 1-in-30 915061 384094 42% $30.00 1-in-30 915061 384593 42% $25.00 1-in-30 915061 384691 42% $20.00 1-in-6 4575305 1942497 42% On the other hand, the $20 GRC is not looking comparatively favorable:
$20 GRC Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $5,000,000 1-in-10,080,000 6 2 33% $1,000,000 1-in-2,016,000 30 12 40% $100,000.00 1-in-3,024,000 20 8 40% $10,000.00 1-in-120,000 507 220 43% $1,000.00 1-in-5,000 12188 5301 43% $500.00 1-in-153 398327 167047 42% $100.00 1-in-37 1664372 703183 42% $50.00 1-in-30 2029900 859770 42% $40.00 1-in-30 2029900 859237 42% $30.00 1-in-30 2029900 860201 42% $25.00 1-in-30 2029900 861343 42% $20.00 1-in-6 10149482 4307366 42% Also, I've been playing the $30 GRC some since all top three prize levels are looking to be under-claimed compared to other prizes (though I know all in all that game can be a real headache)
$30 GRC Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $15,000,000.00 1-in-6,480,000 6 4 67% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,620,000 24 12 50% $100,000.00 1-in-6,480,000 6 4 67% $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 641 325 51% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 642 326 51% $5,000.00 1-in-20,000 1942 959 49% $1,000.00 1-in-889 43583 22273 51% $500.00 1-in-400 97118 47284 49% $200.00 1-in-120 323724 157664 49% $100.00 1-in-26 1520804 742223 49% $50.00 1-in-15 2589411 1267022 49% $40.00 1-in-10 3884166 1904503 49% $30.00 1-in-6 6473640 3181001 49% Here's the remaining $20 and $30 games (and my comments for each):
100X: 98% or so sold and 2 $1M prizes remaining (maybe a case of discarded/missed winners??)
$30 100X Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $15,000,000.00 1-in-4,050,000 8 0 0% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,620,000 20 2 10% $100,000.00 1-in-3,240,000 10 0 0% $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 540 10 2% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 538 11 2% $5,000.00 1-in-24,000 1358 43 3% $1,000.00 1-in-889 36612 746 2% $500.00 1-in-1,304 24838 274 1% $200.00 1-in-120 270534 3705 1% $100.00 1-in-24 1378264 21808 2% $50.00 1-in-30 1080953 20949 2% $40.00 1-in-8 4323812 84175 2% $30.00 1-in-6 5404765 100416 2% $20 LFL: $50K/Yr looks good
$20 LFL Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $200,000.00/Year* 1-in-3,000,000 10 1 10% $50,000.00/Year* 1-in-3,000,000 10 4 40% $20,000.00 1-in-200,000 150 20 13% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 507 62 12% $5,000.00 1-in-60,000 511 55 11% $1,000.00 1-in-3,000 10103 1077 11% $500.00 1-in-529 57401 5682 10% $200.00 1-in-198 153017 15171 10% $100.00 1-in-30 1011101 100913 10% $50.00 1-in-50 606827 61717 10% $40.00 1-in-50 606827 61912 10% $30.00 1-in-25 1213654 133119 11% $25.00 1-in-12 2427308 295800 12% $20.00 1-in-7 4247789 476149 11% $20 Luck: Remaining $1M prizes look favorable
$20 Luck Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $5,000,000.00 1-in-3,680,000 6 3 50% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,104,000 20 14 70% $100,000.00 1-in-649,412 34 19 56% $10,000.00 1-in-40,000 557 316 57% $5,000.00 1-in-40,000 556 328 59% $1,000.00 1-in-3,000 7421 4327 58% $500.00 1-in-750 29774 16218 54% $200.00 1-in-300 74410 40485 54% $100.00 1-in-32 693809 377765 54% $50.00 1-in-30 743780 405790 55% $40.00 1-in-30 743780 405867 55% $30.00 1-in-30 743780 406569 55% $25.00 1-in-30 743780 406768 55% $20.00 1-in-6 3719378 2038068 55% $20 WFL: Nothing too remarkable, $1M prize or two probably due though
$20 WFL Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $10,000 Wk/Life 1-in-5,040,000 6 1 17% $100,000.00 1-in-1,260,000 24 5 21% $20,000.00 1-in-252,000 125 19 15% $10,000.00 1-in-100,800 301 35 12% $5,000.00 1-in-40,000 757 103 14% $1,000.00 1-in-2,500 12138 1647 14% $500.00 1-in-667 45414 5612 12% $200.00 1-in-300 100875 12531 12% $100.00 1-in-32 958704 119554 12% $50.00 1-in-30 1009344 128794 13% $40.00 1-in-30 1009344 127940 13% $30.00 1-in-30 1009344 128972 13% $25.00 1-in-30 1009344 129109 13% $20.00 1-in-6 5046720 656580 13% -
Just bought a 100x ticket book # 925213 which seems really old, so maybe 1mil ticket not discarded.
Can the Florida lottery reps pick up opened books after a certain time sitting on shelf?
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Quote: Originally posted by uwnups on Dec 28, 2019
Just bought a 100x ticket book # 925213 which seems really old, so maybe 1mil ticket not discarded.
Can the Florida lottery reps pick up opened books after a certain time sitting on shelf?
Yes they can and does pick up alot of open books. They have done that with the old yellow lucky tickets.
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Thanks
Local 7 eleven just got new book of yellows # 618449 getting pretty high up there with no 1million popping in 5+ years?
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$100
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@UWNUPS - so you found a 100X ticket - I scouted my area and none found. I would have bought all they had - playing a hunch. With almost 100% sold out I wonder what prizes are really left ....
@ CAPE SCRATCHER - good job posting all that info ! Thanks ...... wonder how many books with top or huge prizes were picked up by the lottery people ...... as in 100X and $20Yellow LFL ...... the reports from lottery show what BIG prizes are suppose to be left ... too many games in the past had huge winners remaining when the game was terminated and no new orders could be placed ..... makes ya wonder ....
@BROCK - nice $100 on the LUCK ticket - I played a bunch when they first came out - nothing over $100 -
I haven't bought anything since my good luck with LFL ....... a clerk at one of the stores I buy told me he heard a $50 scratcher will be coming out - asked where he got that info - said "thought I heard the lottery rep tell me ...."
Happy New Year to everyone ...... !!
$20K WCC - $10K Jubilee - $5K 200MS 431 $500's 52 $1k's 9 $400's
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Quote: Originally posted by uwnups on Dec 28, 2019
Just bought a 100x ticket book # 925213 which seems really old, so maybe 1mil ticket not discarded.
Can the Florida lottery reps pick up opened books after a certain time sitting on shelf?
Hey uwnups, that for sure is a lower book # than what I've seen lately. so with potential book spreads like that out there I'd think for sure there could still be one or both $1M prizes avail. Dracos had also pondered the remaining $1M prize question on this thread during the middle of last month. I will say that the folks at the places I usually go to say they have not been able to order the 100X for several weeks.
I did grab the last three tickets of the final 100X book at one of my usual places, and nabbed this winner (book # is 1,123,483)
...is the 1st 50X spot I've ever had on this game, but according to the rule it's paired with a $2 (in fact I believe this 50X and 2X combo is the only one in this whole game where the meager $2 shows up...but heck I'm not complaining since I got my $90 back for the last three tickets and +$110!)
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Got the same 50x / 2x combo when game first came out. 50x was in top left spot first thing i scratched thought it was a big winner then ended up seeing the 2x. Store owner who had the 100x ticket said he had more of the books also so who knows.
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Cape $cratcher, thanks for all that great info! (didn't mean for anyone to do all that work, but I'm sure everyone appreciates it)...
Good luck everyone and hopefully someone will pop a big one!
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Quote: Originally posted by Cape $cratcher on Dec 27, 2019
Hi PendingSector, yes that aspect of the $20 Mop'Poly has been mentioned here recently and is indeed a valid observation.
Now that the Fl Lotto posts remaining prizes at all $ levels I took several minutes today to calculate them for active $20 and $30 games and as you can see the 4/6 remaining $5M TP on that game is higher %-wise (67% remaining) than expected when compared against other prize levels (all in the 40s %-wise). Data below taken from info on FL Lotto site as of today:
$20 Mop'Poly Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $5,000,000.00 1-in-4,560,000 6 4 67% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,368,000 20 8 40% $100,000.00 1-in-1,140,000 24 11 46% $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 454 201 44% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 453 200 44% $5,000.00 1-in-40,000 695 302 43% $1,000.00 1-in-2,222 12312 5318 43% $500.00 1-in-1,224 22403 9345 42% $200.00 1-in-171 160229 66679 42% $100.00 1-in-33 823598 346321 42% $50.00 1-in-30 915061 384796 42% $40.00 1-in-30 915061 384094 42% $30.00 1-in-30 915061 384593 42% $25.00 1-in-30 915061 384691 42% $20.00 1-in-6 4575305 1942497 42% On the other hand, the $20 GRC is not looking comparatively favorable:
$20 GRC Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $5,000,000 1-in-10,080,000 6 2 33% $1,000,000 1-in-2,016,000 30 12 40% $100,000.00 1-in-3,024,000 20 8 40% $10,000.00 1-in-120,000 507 220 43% $1,000.00 1-in-5,000 12188 5301 43% $500.00 1-in-153 398327 167047 42% $100.00 1-in-37 1664372 703183 42% $50.00 1-in-30 2029900 859770 42% $40.00 1-in-30 2029900 859237 42% $30.00 1-in-30 2029900 860201 42% $25.00 1-in-30 2029900 861343 42% $20.00 1-in-6 10149482 4307366 42% Also, I've been playing the $30 GRC some since all top three prize levels are looking to be under-claimed compared to other prizes (though I know all in all that game can be a real headache)
$30 GRC Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $15,000,000.00 1-in-6,480,000 6 4 67% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,620,000 24 12 50% $100,000.00 1-in-6,480,000 6 4 67% $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 641 325 51% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 642 326 51% $5,000.00 1-in-20,000 1942 959 49% $1,000.00 1-in-889 43583 22273 51% $500.00 1-in-400 97118 47284 49% $200.00 1-in-120 323724 157664 49% $100.00 1-in-26 1520804 742223 49% $50.00 1-in-15 2589411 1267022 49% $40.00 1-in-10 3884166 1904503 49% $30.00 1-in-6 6473640 3181001 49% Here's the remaining $20 and $30 games (and my comments for each):
100X: 98% or so sold and 2 $1M prizes remaining (maybe a case of discarded/missed winners??)
$30 100X Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $15,000,000.00 1-in-4,050,000 8 0 0% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,620,000 20 2 10% $100,000.00 1-in-3,240,000 10 0 0% $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 540 10 2% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 538 11 2% $5,000.00 1-in-24,000 1358 43 3% $1,000.00 1-in-889 36612 746 2% $500.00 1-in-1,304 24838 274 1% $200.00 1-in-120 270534 3705 1% $100.00 1-in-24 1378264 21808 2% $50.00 1-in-30 1080953 20949 2% $40.00 1-in-8 4323812 84175 2% $30.00 1-in-6 5404765 100416 2% $20 LFL: $50K/Yr looks good
$20 LFL Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $200,000.00/Year* 1-in-3,000,000 10 1 10% $50,000.00/Year* 1-in-3,000,000 10 4 40% $20,000.00 1-in-200,000 150 20 13% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 507 62 12% $5,000.00 1-in-60,000 511 55 11% $1,000.00 1-in-3,000 10103 1077 11% $500.00 1-in-529 57401 5682 10% $200.00 1-in-198 153017 15171 10% $100.00 1-in-30 1011101 100913 10% $50.00 1-in-50 606827 61717 10% $40.00 1-in-50 606827 61912 10% $30.00 1-in-25 1213654 133119 11% $25.00 1-in-12 2427308 295800 12% $20.00 1-in-7 4247789 476149 11% $20 Luck: Remaining $1M prizes look favorable
$20 Luck Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $5,000,000.00 1-in-3,680,000 6 3 50% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,104,000 20 14 70% $100,000.00 1-in-649,412 34 19 56% $10,000.00 1-in-40,000 557 316 57% $5,000.00 1-in-40,000 556 328 59% $1,000.00 1-in-3,000 7421 4327 58% $500.00 1-in-750 29774 16218 54% $200.00 1-in-300 74410 40485 54% $100.00 1-in-32 693809 377765 54% $50.00 1-in-30 743780 405790 55% $40.00 1-in-30 743780 405867 55% $30.00 1-in-30 743780 406569 55% $25.00 1-in-30 743780 406768 55% $20.00 1-in-6 3719378 2038068 55% $20 WFL: Nothing too remarkable, $1M prize or two probably due though
$20 WFL Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $10,000 Wk/Life 1-in-5,040,000 6 1 17% $100,000.00 1-in-1,260,000 24 5 21% $20,000.00 1-in-252,000 125 19 15% $10,000.00 1-in-100,800 301 35 12% $5,000.00 1-in-40,000 757 103 14% $1,000.00 1-in-2,500 12138 1647 14% $500.00 1-in-667 45414 5612 12% $200.00 1-in-300 100875 12531 12% $100.00 1-in-32 958704 119554 12% $50.00 1-in-30 1009344 128794 13% $40.00 1-in-30 1009344 127940 13% $30.00 1-in-30 1009344 128972 13% $25.00 1-in-30 1009344 129109 13% $20.00 1-in-6 5046720 656580 13% Yes....Thank you Cape Scratcher for taking the time to put out this info for everyone!! Thank you too for the congrats on my $5K hit!!
Good luck to all here!!
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Quote: Originally posted by Cape $cratcher on Dec 27, 2019
Hi PendingSector, yes that aspect of the $20 Mop'Poly has been mentioned here recently and is indeed a valid observation.
Now that the Fl Lotto posts remaining prizes at all $ levels I took several minutes today to calculate them for active $20 and $30 games and as you can see the 4/6 remaining $5M TP on that game is higher %-wise (67% remaining) than expected when compared against other prize levels (all in the 40s %-wise). Data below taken from info on FL Lotto site as of today:
$20 Mop'Poly Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $5,000,000.00 1-in-4,560,000 6 4 67% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,368,000 20 8 40% $100,000.00 1-in-1,140,000 24 11 46% $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 454 201 44% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 453 200 44% $5,000.00 1-in-40,000 695 302 43% $1,000.00 1-in-2,222 12312 5318 43% $500.00 1-in-1,224 22403 9345 42% $200.00 1-in-171 160229 66679 42% $100.00 1-in-33 823598 346321 42% $50.00 1-in-30 915061 384796 42% $40.00 1-in-30 915061 384094 42% $30.00 1-in-30 915061 384593 42% $25.00 1-in-30 915061 384691 42% $20.00 1-in-6 4575305 1942497 42% On the other hand, the $20 GRC is not looking comparatively favorable:
$20 GRC Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $5,000,000 1-in-10,080,000 6 2 33% $1,000,000 1-in-2,016,000 30 12 40% $100,000.00 1-in-3,024,000 20 8 40% $10,000.00 1-in-120,000 507 220 43% $1,000.00 1-in-5,000 12188 5301 43% $500.00 1-in-153 398327 167047 42% $100.00 1-in-37 1664372 703183 42% $50.00 1-in-30 2029900 859770 42% $40.00 1-in-30 2029900 859237 42% $30.00 1-in-30 2029900 860201 42% $25.00 1-in-30 2029900 861343 42% $20.00 1-in-6 10149482 4307366 42% Also, I've been playing the $30 GRC some since all top three prize levels are looking to be under-claimed compared to other prizes (though I know all in all that game can be a real headache)
$30 GRC Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $15,000,000.00 1-in-6,480,000 6 4 67% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,620,000 24 12 50% $100,000.00 1-in-6,480,000 6 4 67% $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 641 325 51% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 642 326 51% $5,000.00 1-in-20,000 1942 959 49% $1,000.00 1-in-889 43583 22273 51% $500.00 1-in-400 97118 47284 49% $200.00 1-in-120 323724 157664 49% $100.00 1-in-26 1520804 742223 49% $50.00 1-in-15 2589411 1267022 49% $40.00 1-in-10 3884166 1904503 49% $30.00 1-in-6 6473640 3181001 49% Here's the remaining $20 and $30 games (and my comments for each):
100X: 98% or so sold and 2 $1M prizes remaining (maybe a case of discarded/missed winners??)
$30 100X Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $15,000,000.00 1-in-4,050,000 8 0 0% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,620,000 20 2 10% $100,000.00 1-in-3,240,000 10 0 0% $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 540 10 2% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 538 11 2% $5,000.00 1-in-24,000 1358 43 3% $1,000.00 1-in-889 36612 746 2% $500.00 1-in-1,304 24838 274 1% $200.00 1-in-120 270534 3705 1% $100.00 1-in-24 1378264 21808 2% $50.00 1-in-30 1080953 20949 2% $40.00 1-in-8 4323812 84175 2% $30.00 1-in-6 5404765 100416 2% $20 LFL: $50K/Yr looks good
$20 LFL Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $200,000.00/Year* 1-in-3,000,000 10 1 10% $50,000.00/Year* 1-in-3,000,000 10 4 40% $20,000.00 1-in-200,000 150 20 13% $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 507 62 12% $5,000.00 1-in-60,000 511 55 11% $1,000.00 1-in-3,000 10103 1077 11% $500.00 1-in-529 57401 5682 10% $200.00 1-in-198 153017 15171 10% $100.00 1-in-30 1011101 100913 10% $50.00 1-in-50 606827 61717 10% $40.00 1-in-50 606827 61912 10% $30.00 1-in-25 1213654 133119 11% $25.00 1-in-12 2427308 295800 12% $20.00 1-in-7 4247789 476149 11% $20 Luck: Remaining $1M prizes look favorable
$20 Luck Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $5,000,000.00 1-in-3,680,000 6 3 50% $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,104,000 20 14 70% $100,000.00 1-in-649,412 34 19 56% $10,000.00 1-in-40,000 557 316 57% $5,000.00 1-in-40,000 556 328 59% $1,000.00 1-in-3,000 7421 4327 58% $500.00 1-in-750 29774 16218 54% $200.00 1-in-300 74410 40485 54% $100.00 1-in-32 693809 377765 54% $50.00 1-in-30 743780 405790 55% $40.00 1-in-30 743780 405867 55% $30.00 1-in-30 743780 406569 55% $25.00 1-in-30 743780 406768 55% $20.00 1-in-6 3719378 2038068 55% $20 WFL: Nothing too remarkable, $1M prize or two probably due though
$20 WFL Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining $10,000 Wk/Life 1-in-5,040,000 6 1 17% $100,000.00 1-in-1,260,000 24 5 21% $20,000.00 1-in-252,000 125 19 15% $10,000.00 1-in-100,800 301 35 12% $5,000.00 1-in-40,000 757 103 14% $1,000.00 1-in-2,500 12138 1647 14% $500.00 1-in-667 45414 5612 12% $200.00 1-in-300 100875 12531 12% $100.00 1-in-32 958704 119554 12% $50.00 1-in-30 1009344 128794 13% $40.00 1-in-30 1009344 127940 13% $30.00 1-in-30 1009344 128972 13% $25.00 1-in-30 1009344 129109 13% $20.00 1-in-6 5046720 656580 13% The only time I've been playing is when I fill up and grab a $20 Monopoly. A few months ago I seemed to be doing well on this game, but it's gone dead in the past month or so (I think I've lost on the last 9).
Has anybody seen a Roll Number on Monopoly higher than 600K? Most of the areas I've been too are in the Mid-500's although I did find a Citgo on SR 200 in Ocala that has a couple rolls in the 498K range.
Not sure what the greater probability is:
(1) 2 $5 Million tickets drop quickly based on their roll locations relative to the odds.
(2) The 3rd $5M is buried somewhere at a lower traffic site.
There are Lottery Kiosks on the Turnpike Service Plazas as well as kiosks and Open Rolls in the Airport malls behind the TSA checkpoints. Whenever big winners seems to go into the void, I picture them at a location like this: Much harder to get to and much easier for the lottery employees to pull back when the games are recalled.
Does anyone know what the roll numbers were of the first two winners? I'm guessing the 3rd ticket should fall somewhere b/w 456000 and 608000.
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Quote: Originally posted by brocksampson on Dec 28, 2019
$100
Hi, Brock, real nice job on the $100 win! I've noticed around here that the original red $20 Luck ticket is reappearing in new books as the holiday format sells off.
I've done alright on this game with smaller wins, and just this week finally nabbed $200 via a 10X spot.
In fact, not sure if anyone noticed yet, but with this game (unlike most others) the Win All symbol actually isn't the most favorable one to uncover - it's the 10X symbol!! Both the Win All "Luck" and "10X" symbols are the same odds, starting at $100 and then offering prizes at the $200, $500, and $1,000 levels, but oddly the Luck symbol tops out at $1,000 whereas the 10X offers $5,000 and $10,000 prize levels as well (and btw the "manual win all" also tops out at $1,000).
So if blessed with a symbol on this game hope above all for the 10X (and if you get one, no need to scratch any other number spots on the ticket - as another unusual aspect of this game is that when the 10X appears it will be the only winning spot on the ticket - they are never paired with any other symbols or winning spots).
Most of all good Luck and enjoy!!
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Quote: Originally posted by skeptic on Dec 28, 2019
@UWNUPS - so you found a 100X ticket - I scouted my area and none found. I would have bought all they had - playing a hunch. With almost 100% sold out I wonder what prizes are really left ....
@ CAPE SCRATCHER - good job posting all that info ! Thanks ...... wonder how many books with top or huge prizes were picked up by the lottery people ...... as in 100X and $20Yellow LFL ...... the reports from lottery show what BIG prizes are suppose to be left ... too many games in the past had huge winners remaining when the game was terminated and no new orders could be placed ..... makes ya wonder ....
@BROCK - nice $100 on the LUCK ticket - I played a bunch when they first came out - nothing over $100 -
I haven't bought anything since my good luck with LFL ....... a clerk at one of the stores I buy told me he heard a $50 scratcher will be coming out - asked where he got that info - said "thought I heard the lottery rep tell me ...."
Happy New Year to everyone ...... !!
For sure skeptic I agree on the question of prizes being picked up...it really presents a pitfall in terms of making calculated decisions on the best games to play. The lotto folks should reduce the "Remaining Prizes" count in accordance with the picked up/destroyed winners. I went ahead and took a shot at recalculating the prize odds on the 100X given the remaining prizes listed on the lotto site (will upload in a subsequent post) but it all has the be taken with a grain of salt, so to speak, due to the potential of destroyed tickets...ugh...
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Quote: Originally posted by zzplayfaster on Dec 29, 2019
The only time I've been playing is when I fill up and grab a $20 Monopoly. A few months ago I seemed to be doing well on this game, but it's gone dead in the past month or so (I think I've lost on the last 9).
Has anybody seen a Roll Number on Monopoly higher than 600K? Most of the areas I've been too are in the Mid-500's although I did find a Citgo on SR 200 in Ocala that has a couple rolls in the 498K range.
Not sure what the greater probability is:
(1) 2 $5 Million tickets drop quickly based on their roll locations relative to the odds.
(2) The 3rd $5M is buried somewhere at a lower traffic site.
There are Lottery Kiosks on the Turnpike Service Plazas as well as kiosks and Open Rolls in the Airport malls behind the TSA checkpoints. Whenever big winners seems to go into the void, I picture them at a location like this: Much harder to get to and much easier for the lottery employees to pull back when the games are recalled.
Does anyone know what the roll numbers were of the first two winners? I'm guessing the 3rd ticket should fall somewhere b/w 456000 and 608000.
Hey zzplayfaster, that's interesting since I recently got one in at 498K as well, but have seen them up to 560K too. I also wonder about low traffic areas and potential for sleeper top prizes to be nestled away somewhere. In fact there's a couple places in the port up the road that the lotto site lists as lotto vendors but I know the businesses cater mostly to cruise ship crews - just don't know if they have scratch offs (might only have terminals for instant/draw games)
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Thanks everyone for the appreciation expressed on my recent calculation of %-remaining of the $30 and $20 games...it was something I had planned to do while using up my use/lose leave over the holidays. In fact once I built a template for one game the rest were easy, and refreshing is just a matter of copying/pasting the latest info on the lotto site.
So, I tried going one step further and calculating current prize odds on the 100X given remaining prizes left, according to the Lotto site. Here's my methodology if there are any Math whizzes among us who can give my approach a sanity check...please do tell me what thoughts come to mind with this approach, be they good, bad, or otherwise, and if this looks good I can try applying the same approach to some other games:
- Sum the count of remaining prizes to determine total winning tickets remaining
- Multiply the sum by listed game odds (1 in 2.59 for the 100X) to get total remaining tickets
- Divide each prize level into total outstanding tickets to get current odds
I also was able to back into the total non-winners remaining by subtracting winning tickets remaining from total remaining tickets.
There are some data limitations here, mainly in assuming that the winning ticket odds (1 in 2.59 in the case of the 100X) is still the right odds (really have nothing else to go on though), and even more problematic, there's way to account for winning tickets that may have been picked up and destroyed by agents, or missed and discarded by the public.
Here's the data table with "current odds..." Note I used the most recent info on the lotto site (and noticed that a $20K was claimed since my earlier post...but the $5K odds look real nice, but $500 and $200 less so). If both $2M prizes are really still out there the odds are much more favorable than when the game was new (now around 1 in 300K...and heck if only 1 is left the odds are still about 1 in 600K).
$30 100X Prize Amount Odds of Winning Total Prizes Prizes Remaining % Remaining Current Odds, 1-in-… $15,000,000.00 1-in-4,050,000 8 - 0% - $1,000,000.00 1-in-1,620,000 20 2 10% 298,975 $100,000.00 1-in-3,240,000 10 - 0% - $20,000.00 1-in-60,000 540 9 2% 66,439 $10,000.00 1-in-60,000 538 11 2% 54,359 $5,000.00 1-in-24,000 1,358 43 3% 13,906 $1,000.00 1-in-889 36,612 735 2% 814 $500.00 1-in-1,304 24,838 272 1% 2,198 $200.00 1-in-120 270,534 3,680 1% 162 $100.00 1-in-24 1,378,264 21,670 2% 28 $50.00 1-in-30 1,080,953 20,840 2% 29 $40.00 1-in-8 4,323,812 83,743 2% 7 $30.00 1-in-6 5,404,765 99,864 2% 6 Total Winners
Remaining (Sum count of "Prizes Remaining")- - 230,869 - 2.59 Total Tickets Remaining ("Winners Remaining times 2.59) - - 597,951 - Dud $0 ("Total Tickets Remaining" minus "Total Winners Remaining") - - 367,082 - 1.63