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Texas Alert: All Or Nothing Players...

Topic closed. 16 replies. Last post 3 years ago by Clipper.

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GALVESTON
United States
Member #137799
January 12, 2013
785 Posts
Offline
Posted: June 3, 2013, 6:43 pm - IP Logged

Game Alert!  ALL OR NOTHING GAME SALES ARE SUSPENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE WHILE A GAME DESIGN ISSUE IS ADDRESSED.

Wonder What That's All About...

    brittkimsdad's avatar - horseshoe

    United States
    Member #124831
    March 20, 2012
    89 Posts
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    Posted: June 3, 2013, 10:17 pm - IP Logged

    Well, I look at it this way ....  The Texas Two Step is 1:1,832,600 odds vs All or Nothing which is 1:2,704,156 to hit the jackpot....  The Two Step starts out at $200,000 and can get as high as $1,000,000 on the same odds for $1 play.   I stopped playing the All or Nothing game because of the $2 price point and the high odds that stays at $250,000 for the top prize. 

    Just to break even on a $2 bet, you have to battle 1:11 odds. 

    On the Cash 5 game, you bet a $1 and you have a 1:9 chance to win $2.

    The All or Nothing game prize tiers are not worth the effort. 

    Design flaw is an understatement ...  Any decent lottery player with common sense will see that the All or Nothing game is simply not worth the effort.

    I've been keeping stats and tracking the game since day 1 ... I'll wait until they figure out how to lure system players back by making it worth our while... in the mean time ... I'll play the other games

      garyo1954's avatar - garyo
      Dallas, Texas
      United States
      Member #4549
      May 2, 2004
      1659 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: June 3, 2013, 10:19 pm - IP Logged

      Game Alert!  ALL OR NOTHING GAME SALES ARE SUSPENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE WHILE A GAME DESIGN ISSUE IS ADDRESSED.

      Wonder What That's All About...

      It's all about hiding another bobblehead move by the TLC. Exceutive Director Gary Grief says they "will take any and all necessary steps to protect the financial interests of the State of Texas."

      What that means is: We're LOSING MONEY!!!!!!!!!!!!

      He goes on to say in the first 8 months this game has generated 62.5 million in sales with 36.7 million paid out to winners. (Since the players share is set at 50%, and TLC is paying out MORE THAN 50%, he means to say, "you guys are taking more than your fair share and we can't have that!")

      Texas expected to offer a game you couldn't win, but they have had (correct) 29 $250,000 winners along with the cost of lower tier prizes. The game is only selling about 35,000 tickets per draw.

      Bottom line: There is no profit in losing money.

      Although they won't sell tickets, they will conduct draws since they have sold multi-draw tickets. Hehehe.....imagine how bad it gets if they have a couple  more jackpots won!

      My greatest accomplishment is teaching cats about Vienna Sausage. When I need a friend, all I need do is walk outside, pop open a can, and every little critter in the neighborhood drops by to say "Hi!"

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        Kentucky
        United States
        Member #32652
        February 14, 2006
        7295 Posts
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        Posted: June 3, 2013, 11:22 pm - IP Logged

        It's all about hiding another bobblehead move by the TLC. Exceutive Director Gary Grief says they "will take any and all necessary steps to protect the financial interests of the State of Texas."

        What that means is: We're LOSING MONEY!!!!!!!!!!!!

        He goes on to say in the first 8 months this game has generated 62.5 million in sales with 36.7 million paid out to winners. (Since the players share is set at 50%, and TLC is paying out MORE THAN 50%, he means to say, "you guys are taking more than your fair share and we can't have that!")

        Texas expected to offer a game you couldn't win, but they have had (correct) 29 $250,000 winners along with the cost of lower tier prizes. The game is only selling about 35,000 tickets per draw.

        Bottom line: There is no profit in losing money.

        Although they won't sell tickets, they will conduct draws since they have sold multi-draw tickets. Hehehe.....imagine how bad it gets if they have a couple  more jackpots won!

        The game is paying out 58.72% of their sales, but only two of the LP lifetime predictors who can make daily imaginary $400 bets are averaging a higher percentage. Only two did better in the last 30 days and nobody in either showed a profit.

        Hot Predictors (Last 30 Days by Prize Ratio)

            Member  Prize Ratio  Wagers  Winnings 
        1.CajunWin463.70%$2,000$1,274
        2.AriesDaRam58.88%$450$265
        3.BigDMike52.51%$1,272$668
        4.PecosBill48.94%$1,896$928
        5.colatrips48.34%$1,148$555
        6.A12breal46.83%$506$237
        7.cbr$44.35%$9,264$4,109
        8.Lee43.25%$1,660$718
        9.BigTymer42.70%$1,096$468
        10.Stack4740.14%$3,776$1,516

        Highest Lifetime Prize Ratio

            Member  Prize Ratio  Wagers  Winnings 
        1.StormChaser66673.42%$1,400$1,028
        2.PecosBill65.73%$6,493$4,268
        3.BigDMike58.60%$1,638$960
        4.Litebets2757.87%$2,450$1,418
        5.JonnyBgood0751.58%$78,528$40,512
        6.SergeM49.96%$6,612$3,304
        7.MmeFlorida49.26%$11,100$5,468
        8.colatrips48.34%$1,148$555
        9.butch203047.07%$12,300$5,790
        10.MADDOG1047.06%$118,319$55,683

        The game is still keeping 41.28% of the sales and averaging $3.2 million per month in profits. Because the majority of wins are $2, it's likely if those wins aren't spent back into the game, they will spend it on other games.

        Basically the Texas Lottery Commission is saying "we're not making a large enough profit so we're changing the game".

          rcbbuckeye's avatar - Lottery-043.jpg
          Texas
          United States
          Member #55889
          October 23, 2007
          5588 Posts
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          Posted: June 3, 2013, 11:37 pm - IP Logged

          Game Alert!  ALL OR NOTHING GAME SALES ARE SUSPENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE WHILE A GAME DESIGN ISSUE IS ADDRESSED.

          Wonder What That's All About...

          It looks like they want to limit how much a player or players can wager on certain numbers. Just like certain numbers in P3 and P4 can be sold out and sales stopped for that particular number. Think 911 on September 11th. For example, I like to play all even when I played this game. Now there might be someone who plays 5 or more tickets that are all even for one draw. A win like that would put a major dent in the lottery commission's wallet.

          CAN'T WIN IF YOU'RE NOT IN

          A DOLLAR AND A DREAM (OR $2)

            garyo1954's avatar - garyo
            Dallas, Texas
            United States
            Member #4549
            May 2, 2004
            1659 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: June 4, 2013, 12:17 am - IP Logged

            The game is paying out 58.72% of their sales, but only two of the LP lifetime predictors who can make daily imaginary $400 bets are averaging a higher percentage. Only two did better in the last 30 days and nobody in either showed a profit.

            Hot Predictors (Last 30 Days by Prize Ratio)

                Member  Prize Ratio  Wagers  Winnings 
            1.CajunWin463.70%$2,000$1,274
            2.AriesDaRam58.88%$450$265
            3.BigDMike52.51%$1,272$668
            4.PecosBill48.94%$1,896$928
            5.colatrips48.34%$1,148$555
            6.A12breal46.83%$506$237
            7.cbr$44.35%$9,264$4,109
            8.Lee43.25%$1,660$718
            9.BigTymer42.70%$1,096$468
            10.Stack4740.14%$3,776$1,516

            Highest Lifetime Prize Ratio

                Member  Prize Ratio  Wagers  Winnings 
            1.StormChaser66673.42%$1,400$1,028
            2.PecosBill65.73%$6,493$4,268
            3.BigDMike58.60%$1,638$960
            4.Litebets2757.87%$2,450$1,418
            5.JonnyBgood0751.58%$78,528$40,512
            6.SergeM49.96%$6,612$3,304
            7.MmeFlorida49.26%$11,100$5,468
            8.colatrips48.34%$1,148$555
            9.butch203047.07%$12,300$5,790
            10.MADDOG1047.06%$118,319$55,683

            The game is still keeping 41.28% of the sales and averaging $3.2 million per month in profits. Because the majority of wins are $2, it's likely if those wins aren't spent back into the game, they will spend it on other games.

            Basically the Texas Lottery Commission is saying "we're not making a large enough profit so we're changing the game".

            Why didn't they run a Monte Carlo simulation?

            Better yet, they should have run a 30 year backtest using 5000 people with one QP each day.

            Oh wait! Maybe they DID!

            That would explain a lot.

            Clown

            My greatest accomplishment is teaching cats about Vienna Sausage. When I need a friend, all I need do is walk outside, pop open a can, and every little critter in the neighborhood drops by to say "Hi!"

              Avatar
              Kentucky
              United States
              Member #32652
              February 14, 2006
              7295 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: June 4, 2013, 12:25 am - IP Logged

              It looks like they want to limit how much a player or players can wager on certain numbers. Just like certain numbers in P3 and P4 can be sold out and sales stopped for that particular number. Think 911 on September 11th. For example, I like to play all even when I played this game. Now there might be someone who plays 5 or more tickets that are all even for one draw. A win like that would put a major dent in the lottery commission's wallet.

              They have boxes for all even/odd and high/low on their play slips so they created the possibility of several jackpot winners. And because of the game structure, some players will play the opposite numbers and could double a jackpot win.

              They advertise a $250,000 jackpot, the play slips suggests playing even/odd or high/low, but now they're saying they can't pay all the winners the advertised jackpot.

                Avatar
                Kentucky
                United States
                Member #32652
                February 14, 2006
                7295 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: June 4, 2013, 12:26 am - IP Logged

                Why didn't they run a Monte Carlo simulation?

                Better yet, they should have run a 30 year backtest using 5000 people with one QP each day.

                Oh wait! Maybe they DID!

                That would explain a lot.

                Clown

                LMAO!

                  escapades00's avatar - 8ball
                  New Member
                  Houston, Texas
                  United States
                  Member #77838
                  August 2, 2009
                  2 Posts
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                  Posted: June 4, 2013, 2:22 am - IP Logged

                  I think the All or Nothing drawing on 5/23/2013 raised quite a few eyebrows from the TLC. Somebody in Moulton, Texas hit it both ways without a Quick Pick. That person hit both 12 of 12 and 0 of 12 in the same drawing. Talk about hitting the TLC where it hurts ....ouch! After that drawing I knew something might happen very quickly to gut that game. Hiding Behind Computer

                    Avatar

                    United States
                    Member #9000
                    November 25, 2004
                    378 Posts
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                    Posted: June 4, 2013, 2:51 am - IP Logged

                    I think the All or Nothing drawing on 5/23/2013 raised quite a few eyebrows from the TLC. Somebody in Moulton, Texas hit it both ways without a Quick Pick. That person hit both 12 of 12 and 0 of 12 in the same drawing. Talk about hitting the TLC where it hurts ....ouch! After that drawing I knew something might happen very quickly to gut that game. Hiding Behind Computer

                    ROFL  Someone has a formula to beat it.  ROFL

                    We shall see! 

                      rcbbuckeye's avatar - Lottery-043.jpg
                      Texas
                      United States
                      Member #55889
                      October 23, 2007
                      5588 Posts
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                      Posted: June 4, 2013, 8:13 am - IP Logged

                      I think the All or Nothing drawing on 5/23/2013 raised quite a few eyebrows from the TLC. Somebody in Moulton, Texas hit it both ways without a Quick Pick. That person hit both 12 of 12 and 0 of 12 in the same drawing. Talk about hitting the TLC where it hurts ....ouch! After that drawing I knew something might happen very quickly to gut that game. Hiding Behind Computer

                      I had noticed that too. Intially, they had listed 3 winners for that draw, then changed it to 2 winners.

                      I had thought about doing the same thing. Play all even on one tic, and all odd on another.

                      I'm kinda getting fed up with Texas Lottery Commission. I can't believe how they are just ruining Lotto and Cash 5.

                      CAN'T WIN IF YOU'RE NOT IN

                      A DOLLAR AND A DREAM (OR $2)

                        garyo1954's avatar - garyo
                        Dallas, Texas
                        United States
                        Member #4549
                        May 2, 2004
                        1659 Posts
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                        Posted: June 4, 2013, 9:30 am - IP Logged

                        I had noticed that too. Intially, they had listed 3 winners for that draw, then changed it to 2 winners.

                        I had thought about doing the same thing. Play all even on one tic, and all odd on another.

                        I'm kinda getting fed up with Texas Lottery Commission. I can't believe how they are just ruining Lotto and Cash 5.

                        When/if they do resume selling tickets for this game, they have to make some major rule changes. Such a simple idea you would think TLC had already figured it out.

                        If I play all even and all odd, and all even wins 12 of 12, then all odd wins too (0 of 12). Any set I play, all I have to do is play the leftovers and if my set wins the leftover set wins as well.

                        NOBODY at lottery headquarters thought of this?

                        Guess that winner in Moultons taught them a thing or two about common sense.

                        Lucky they didn't discover this fatal flaw months ago.

                        My greatest accomplishment is teaching cats about Vienna Sausage. When I need a friend, all I need do is walk outside, pop open a can, and every little critter in the neighborhood drops by to say "Hi!"

                          Str8master's avatar - Lottery-039.jpg
                          Plano, TX
                          United States
                          Member #81086
                          October 11, 2009
                          92 Posts
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                          Posted: June 4, 2013, 9:33 am - IP Logged

                          I had noticed that too. Intially, they had listed 3 winners for that draw, then changed it to 2 winners.

                          I had thought about doing the same thing. Play all even on one tic, and all odd on another.

                          I'm kinda getting fed up with Texas Lottery Commission. I can't believe how they are just ruining Lotto and Cash 5.

                          TLC seems to be in a mood to shake things up - I read a report on another site that Texas Pick 3 and Daily 4 will be increased to FOUR draws a day later this year, similar to the All Or Nothing schedule. Wonder how that would go over with players' strategies and weekly budgets.

                          L I F E: discovering order in chaos ...

                            rcbbuckeye's avatar - Lottery-043.jpg
                            Texas
                            United States
                            Member #55889
                            October 23, 2007
                            5588 Posts
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                            Posted: June 4, 2013, 11:35 am - IP Logged

                            TLC seems to be in a mood to shake things up - I read a report on another site that Texas Pick 3 and Daily 4 will be increased to FOUR draws a day later this year, similar to the All Or Nothing schedule. Wonder how that would go over with players' strategies and weekly budgets.

                            I read about that in the commission's meeting minutes. The thing I would hate about it is that we won't be able to pick which draw to play. Now with P3 and P4 you can fill out your playslip to play day or night for multiple draws. When this change kicks in, you will lose this option. I believe the playslips will be set up like the All or Nothing playslips are now.

                            I hope I'm wrong on that. I hate having to run to the store every day if I just want to play one or two draws, or just day or night.

                            CAN'T WIN IF YOU'RE NOT IN

                            A DOLLAR AND A DREAM (OR $2)

                              Avatar
                              Kentucky
                              United States
                              Member #32652
                              February 14, 2006
                              7295 Posts
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                              Posted: June 4, 2013, 11:45 am - IP Logged

                              When/if they do resume selling tickets for this game, they have to make some major rule changes. Such a simple idea you would think TLC had already figured it out.

                              If I play all even and all odd, and all even wins 12 of 12, then all odd wins too (0 of 12). Any set I play, all I have to do is play the leftovers and if my set wins the leftover set wins as well.

                              NOBODY at lottery headquarters thought of this?

                              Guess that winner in Moultons taught them a thing or two about common sense.

                              Lucky they didn't discover this fatal flaw months ago.

                              "Any set I play, all I have to do is play the leftovers and if my set wins the leftover set wins as well. NOBODY at lottery headquarters thought of this?"

                              I'm guessing they noticed "all even and all odd" and "high/low" are getting lots of play and they're thinking about their image (and their bottom line) if those combinations are drawn. If a large number of players are playing the leftover set too it could effect their bottom line in the future.

                              "Lucky they didn't discover this fatal flaw months ago."

                              And they're very lucky even/odd or high/low wasn't drawn. I'll bet the director asked whose idea it was to put those options on the play slips.