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Just how good are LP predictors?

Topic closed. 16 replies. Last post 3 years ago by str8ca$hhomie.

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RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
mid-Ohio
United States
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March 24, 2001
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Posted: September 24, 2013, 2:36 pm - IP Logged

With MegaMillions at $160M and the matrix changing in a few weeks, I was thinking about going all out to try and win it before that happens. 

I was thinking about playing more than my usually well thought out combinations that usually win nothing but where could I get more combinations that someone had taken the time to think about as much as I had was the problem.  Maybe I should try the LP prediction board but on closer review I found that all those predictions hadn't done much better either so it's back to the drawing board for a better plan.

 * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
   
             Evil Looking       

    helpmewin's avatar - dandy
    u$a
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    February 22, 2011
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    Posted: September 24, 2013, 2:42 pm - IP Logged

    Sounds like you have it all figured out, Good Luck Lep

    Let it Snow Snowman

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      Posted: September 24, 2013, 3:06 pm - IP Logged

      Just put some numbers together and check to see if your set of numbers have come out yet.

        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
        mid-Ohio
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        Posted: September 24, 2013, 4:16 pm - IP Logged

        Just put some numbers together and check to see if your set of numbers have come out yet.

        I usually do that with the 10 or so lines I play along with keeping the sums of the five numbers bewteen 96 and 184 and making sure there are no gaps between the numbers or the sorted combinations larger than 25.

         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
           
                     Evil Looking       


          United States
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          Posted: September 24, 2013, 4:39 pm - IP Logged

          As good as a steve player rbert walsh system.

            maringoman's avatar - images q=tbn:ANd9GcTbRxpKQmOfcCoUqF2FyqIOAwDo7rg9G-lfJLAALPGWJWwiz19eRw
            Massachusetts
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            April 14, 2006
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            Posted: September 24, 2013, 4:49 pm - IP Logged

            With MegaMillions at $160M and the matrix changing in a few weeks, I was thinking about going all out to try and win it before that happens. 

            I was thinking about playing more than my usually well thought out combinations that usually win nothing but where could I get more combinations that someone had taken the time to think about as much as I had was the problem.  Maybe I should try the LP prediction board but on closer review I found that all those predictions hadn't done much better either so it's back to the drawing board for a better plan.

            I have always wanted to throw in $100 all at once for 100 MM tickets and see what would happen. Chances are I would lose most of it but still I wonder what if - the question that has carried man from stone age to space age.

            On the predictions board, most people average about 50% success rate on their predictions. Its worse in real life.

            That money's gone fo ever

              helpmewin's avatar - dandy
              u$a
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              Posted: September 24, 2013, 4:56 pm - IP Logged

              I have always wanted to throw in $100 all at once for 100 MM tickets and see what would happen. Chances are I would lose most of it but still I wonder what if - the question that has carried man from stone age to space age.

              On the predictions board, most people average about 50% success rate on their predictions. Its worse in real life.

              I Agree! I have also wanted to try that i have some pretty good wheels it would cost $372.00 to play them all everytime, but i been to chicken to let go that kinda money on a IF but then again what IF they WINBanana

              Let it Snow Snowman

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                Kentucky
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                February 14, 2006
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                Posted: September 24, 2013, 4:58 pm - IP Logged

                With MegaMillions at $160M and the matrix changing in a few weeks, I was thinking about going all out to try and win it before that happens. 

                I was thinking about playing more than my usually well thought out combinations that usually win nothing but where could I get more combinations that someone had taken the time to think about as much as I had was the problem.  Maybe I should try the LP prediction board but on closer review I found that all those predictions hadn't done much better either so it's back to the drawing board for a better plan.

                The LP prediction statistics should be about the same as probability; one 3 + 1 match for every 13,781 predictions. I'll be looking at Maddog's MM Challenge statistics and find out which predictors are consistently matching the bonus number and which predictors are matching some of the other numbers. If anyone can pick one number and the correct bonus number, the odds of winning the jackpot are 341,055 to 1.

                I'm not suggesting playing all those combinations or saying it's easy to do, but for $100 you're guaranteed matching 3 + 1 and winning something on every ticket by matching your key number and the bonus number you pick.

                  LottoMetro's avatar - Lottery-024.jpg
                  Happyland
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                  September 1, 2013
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                  Posted: September 24, 2013, 5:02 pm - IP Logged

                  I have always wanted to throw in $100 all at once for 100 MM tickets and see what would happen. Chances are I would lose most of it but still I wonder what if - the question that has carried man from stone age to space age.

                  On the predictions board, most people average about 50% success rate on their predictions. Its worse in real life.

                  Playing $100 in 1 drawing would give you a 0.0000569114597006312% chance of winning.

                  Playing $1 in 100 drawings would give you a 0.0000569114440907015% chance of winning.

                  So going all in with a single drawing would improve your chances by a whopping 0.0000000000156099296755988%!!!

                  Jester

                  One time I dropped $150 on a state game and didn't win zip. Other times I have dropped $70 and doubled my money.

                  If the chances of winning the jackpot are so slim, why play when the jackpot is so small? Your chances never change, but the potential payoff does.
                  If a crystal ball showed you the future of the rest of your life, and in that future you will never win a jackpot, would you still play?

                  2017: 0% (0 tickets)
                  P&L % = Total Win($)/Total Wager($) - 1


                    United States
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                    April 9, 2013
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                    Posted: September 24, 2013, 5:05 pm - IP Logged

                    Playing $100 in 1 drawing would give you a 0.0000569114597006312% chance of winning.

                    Playing $1 in 100 drawings would give you a 0.0000569114440907015% chance of winning.

                    So going all in with a single drawing would improve your chances by a whopping 0.0000000000156099296755988%!!!

                    Jester

                    One time I dropped $150 on a state game and didn't win zip. Other times I have dropped $70 and doubled my money.

                    Hey mathmatician. What if I play 72 $ on pick 3.  Whats my odds?

                      SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
                      Economy class
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                      Posted: September 24, 2013, 6:24 pm - IP Logged

                      With MegaMillions at $160M and the matrix changing in a few weeks, I was thinking about going all out to try and win it before that happens. 

                      I was thinking about playing more than my usually well thought out combinations that usually win nothing but where could I get more combinations that someone had taken the time to think about as much as I had was the problem.  Maybe I should try the LP prediction board but on closer review I found that all those predictions hadn't done much better either so it's back to the drawing board for a better plan.

                      If you want to have a go at it, then create a huge pool!
                      I once gathered around 350 euros for a x-mas lotto,
                      the payout was around 33%. You don't loose your pants with it.

                        LottoMetro's avatar - Lottery-024.jpg
                        Happyland
                        United States
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                        September 1, 2013
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                        Posted: September 24, 2013, 6:30 pm - IP Logged

                        Hey mathmatician. What if I play 72 $ on pick 3.  Whats my odds?

                        Assuming $1 bets your odds are 72 to 1000, or about 1 in 13.89

                        The probability of winning would be 7.2% versus about 6.95% playing 72 draws of $1 each.

                        If the chances of winning the jackpot are so slim, why play when the jackpot is so small? Your chances never change, but the potential payoff does.
                        If a crystal ball showed you the future of the rest of your life, and in that future you will never win a jackpot, would you still play?

                        2017: 0% (0 tickets)
                        P&L % = Total Win($)/Total Wager($) - 1

                          Coin Toss's avatar - shape barbed.jpg
                          Zeta Reticuli Star System
                          United States
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                          January 17, 2006
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                          Posted: September 24, 2013, 7:42 pm - IP Logged

                          Psyche out the lottery terminal.

                          Play a set of numbers in one game, mark too many numbers in the next game box on the playslip and void that one, play a quick pick in the next one.

                          Those who run the lotteries love it when players look for consistency in something that's designed not to have any.

                          Lep

                          There is one and only one 'proven' system, and that is to book the action. No matter the game, let the players pick their own losers.


                            United States
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                            Posted: September 24, 2013, 8:41 pm - IP Logged

                            Assuming $1 bets your odds are 72 to 1000, or about 1 in 13.89

                            The probability of winning would be 7.2% versus about 6.95% playing 72 draws of $1 each.

                            Thanks

                              RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                              mid-Ohio
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                              March 24, 2001
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                              Posted: September 25, 2013, 12:35 pm - IP Logged

                              All those LP predictions for last night's MM drawing and the best win was a 1+1 for $3.  I guess the answer to winning MM isn't playing all the LP predictions.

                               * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                                 
                                           Evil Looking