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mashumk

United States
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October 10, 2007
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Dec 13, 2013, 3:30 pm

Looked at my quickpick and saw large numbers and thought their was a computer error. I haven't bought MM in a while so I didn't know the numbers changed. What are they thinking? The odds were already absurd - 1 in 175 million. Impossible but within the realm of enjoying a brief dream for fun once in a while. But now the odds are an amazing 1 in 256,000,000. Wow that's not even worth dreaming about.

Even the 2nd prize odds have worsened to 1 in 25,000,000.

My Texas state lotto has a game that frequently crosses the $1 million mark with jackpot odds of 1 in 1,800,000. That is 7% of MM's odds. Substantially better than trying for 2nd prize in MM.

I don't see how this will benefit MM long term as more people learn the news via quickpicks for this current jackpot. Long term, I see less people buying MM.

And has the cash option percentage gotten smaller in MM? It is just about 55% of the jackpot right now. A $billion jackpot might have a relatively small cash option.

In the meantime, I've got my loser ticket for now but it will be the last.
haymaker

Egg Harbor twp.south Jersey shore
United States
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June 29, 2011
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Dec 13, 2013, 3:35 pm

You're not the only one that did'nt know it,

I was watching the news out of Philly and the 11.00 am anchor said the odds of winning were 1 in 175 MILS.

I guess he doesn't play or doesn't care.

Extraordinary Popular Delusions & the Madness of Crowds -- Charles Mackay LL.D.
Coin Toss

Zeta Reticuli Star System
United States
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January 17, 2006
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Dec 13, 2013, 5:14 pm

The 2nd prize odds are 5 White No Mega 1 in 18,492,203.57

Those who run the lotteries love it when players look for consistency in something that's designed not to have any. So many systems, so many theories, so few jackpot winners.

There is one and only one 'proven' system, and that is to book the action. No matter the game, let the players pick their own losers.
gnozahs

United States
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November 17, 2013
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Dec 13, 2013, 5:29 pm

Which is why I am not dumping my money into the MM even though it's at $425 mill.
Coin Toss

Zeta Reticuli Star System
United States
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January 17, 2006
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Dec 13, 2013, 5:40 pm

haymaker,

The Dec 12 Detroit News on the internet says Lower odds lead to bigger jackpot.

I think it's a typo as the LA Times says longer odds.

Those who run the lotteries love it when players look for consistency in something that's designed not to have any. So many systems, so many theories, so few jackpot winners.

There is one and only one 'proven' system, and that is to book the action. No matter the game, let the players pick their own losers.
SaintAndiesPl

Yonkers, NY
United States
Member #127,824
May 10, 2012
129 Posts
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Dec 13, 2013, 6:32 pm

The odds were insane before... yes it's more insane now but all in all.. it's no more different than before... I just played 2 tickets... I might play 10 bucks worth if no one wins this time...

It Takes More Than a Dollar and a Dream :)
rdgrnr

100

The Hall Of The Mountain Kings Tennessee
United States
Member #73,902
April 28, 2009
15,378 Posts
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Dec 13, 2013, 6:44 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Coin Toss on Dec 13, 2013
haymaker,

The Dec 12 Detroit News on the internet says Lower odds lead to bigger jackpot.

I think it's a typo as the LA Times says longer odds.

They should call them further odds and closer odds so we know what they're talking about.

Thicker and thinner odds would be ok too.

And maybe faster and slower odds.

Even hotter odds and colder odds might be ok.

But hemorr odds would be ridiculous.

So let's not even go there.
psykomo

United States
Member #4,877
May 30, 2004
5,289 Posts
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Dec 13, 2013, 8:26 pm

mask:

Don't worry "YOU" got 2 read the rules to find out what's in "IT"

Don't worry<When the jackpot gits over $400 million> "YOU" gotta go with D big "SUCK"

Just sum fine quotes from UR speaker of D LP house from the honorable PSYKO
ohiopick3

Ohio
United States
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December 14, 2003
4,252 Posts
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Dec 13, 2013, 8:42 pm

Remember, this is a "Jackpot" game. It's all "Luck" when it comes down to it.

The odds, yes, extreme. "It can roll to our Earth blows up."But, It's a Jackpot game and luck is all it is to win.

So play it or do not, because it has the "You never know factor" and that factor happens to some people some times?

Lot more 5 of 5's without the MB than I expected so far. Makes you wonder just a little bit on how to play the M-ball? Can't play'em all with your set. But, I'm sure some people do that, just in case now or always were doing that?
tomlarson2009

Addison, IL
United States
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March 28, 2012
28 Posts
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Dec 13, 2013, 8:45 pm

Bad or good odds there will be a winner, the only question is how big the jackpot will get before it's all over.
CowboysFan

Sunny California
United States
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August 8, 2008
220 Posts
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Dec 14, 2013, 12:25 am

I bought my first Mega Million ticket tonight since the change and the first number was 47. That will be my last mega million ticket for a while.
Saylorgirl

Indiana
United States
Member #129,219
June 13, 2012
595 Posts
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Dec 14, 2013, 7:29 pm

Quote: Originally posted by CowboysFan on Dec 14, 2013
I bought my first Mega Million ticket tonight since the change and the first number was 47. That will be my last mega million ticket for a while.

The numbers from the November 8th draw were 41 - 42 - 51 - 57 - 65 + 7
rcbbuckeye

100

Texas
United States
Member #55,887
October 23, 2007
17,730 Posts
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Dec 15, 2013, 9:23 am

Quote: Originally posted by mashumk on Dec 13, 2013
Looked at my quickpick and saw large numbers and thought their was a computer error. I haven't bought MM in a while so I didn't know the numbers changed. What are they thinking? The odds were already absurd - 1 in 175 million. Impossible but within the realm of enjoying a brief dream for fun once in a while. But now the odds are an amazing 1 in 256,000,000. Wow that's not even worth dreaming about.

Even the 2nd prize odds have worsened to 1 in 25,000,000.

My Texas state lotto has a game that frequently crosses the $1 million mark with jackpot odds of 1 in 1,800,000. That is 7% of MM's odds. Substantially better than trying for 2nd prize in MM.

I don't see how this will benefit MM long term as more people learn the news via quickpicks for this current jackpot. Long term, I see less people buying MM.

And has the cash option percentage gotten smaller in MM? It is just about 55% of the jackpot right now. A $billion jackpot might have a relatively small cash option.

In the meantime, I've got my loser ticket for now but it will be the last.

Yes the odds are high. Buy ONE ticket. You are in the game. Risk is $1. You spend more than that on cigs, booze, pot, dope, whatever else.

BTW, the odds on Texas Lotto are 1 in 25,827,165. It's just as hard to hit that baby as the other games. Even the Cash 5 game is hard to hit. So, don't get so uptight about the odds. ALL the games are hard to hit, and you very most likely are going to spend more than you win. Just have fun with it.

CAN'T WIN IF YOU'RE NOT IN

A DOLLAR AND A DREAM (OR $2)
JoshUK

London
United Kingdom
Member #140,678
March 24, 2013
589 Posts
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Dec 15, 2013, 9:34 am

Crazy odds eh? I would still buy a ticket or two tho, I guess I am a sucker for huge JP's.

£2.50 and a dream!