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Jackpot Estimation for Dec. 20th, and 24th

Topic closed. 6 replies. Last post 3 years ago by Jon D.

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United States
Member #149917
December 12, 2013
10 Posts
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Posted: December 16, 2013, 5:37 am - IP Logged

I'm thinking in range of:

Dec. 20th - 680m to 740m

Dec. 24th - 824m to 915

1.24 BILLION after New Years

       

 

                                                 any thoughts???

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    United States
    Member #149820
    December 9, 2013
    644 Posts
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    Posted: December 16, 2013, 8:04 am - IP Logged

    I'm thinking in range of:

    Dec. 20th - 680m to 740m

    Dec. 24th - 824m to 915

    1.24 BILLION after New Years

           

     

                                                     any thoughts???

    Im scared for it to get that high. I'd like it to be won on 17 Dec. 13, by me...and maybe two other winners across the country LOL

      Jon D's avatar - calotterylogo
      Los Angeles, California
      United States
      Member #103813
      January 5, 2011
      1530 Posts
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      Posted: December 16, 2013, 8:10 am - IP Logged

      I'm thinking in range of:

      Dec. 20th - 680m to 740m

      Dec. 24th - 824m to 915

      1.24 BILLION after New Years

             

       

                                                       any thoughts???

      Way too low.

      Tomorrow's 12/17 draw already should get bumped up to at least $650M by draw time and would likely be won.

      If there is a 12/20 draw it would be projected over $1 Billion and very likely to be won.

      As for a 12/24 draw, who knows what would happen. Sales cannot keep increasing exponentially forever, at some point it has to taper off. What will people do when a $1 Billion JP rolls? There is no precedent for this. Also people will be busy with other things besides Mega Millions on Christmas Eve...like Christmas!

        RedStang's avatar - tallman zps6gf4inoc.jpg
        NY
        United States
        Member #121961
        January 21, 2012
        3159 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: December 16, 2013, 8:45 am - IP Logged

        B4 taxes-999 mill.   After taxes- 1.50

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          Portland, OR
          United States
          Member #145973
          August 20, 2013
          226 Posts
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          Posted: December 16, 2013, 10:58 am - IP Logged

          $800 million before Tuesday drawing.  Friday a billion.  Don't kid yourselves.  Even the "I have a happy life. I don't need the lottery"s are going "Screw this, I'm in!" and getting in the action.

          "Understand... people are more complicated than the masks they wear in society... everyone is playing to win, and some people will use moral justifications to advance their side"

                                                                                                                                                                    Robert Greene

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            NY
            United States
            Member #23835
            October 16, 2005
            3501 Posts
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            Posted: December 16, 2013, 3:18 pm - IP Logged

            It's just past 3PM on Monday and the estimate was bumped up to $586 million. It could still increase substantially, and I'm sure they're being conservative because sales are so much lower than past sales for jackpots in this range,  but I'm not expecting anything over 650 by Tuesday night.

            If it does roll, maybe sales will finally  be as big as in the past, and it could reach 900 or more for Friday night. If sales remain more modest we could see 600 maximum tomorrow and only 800 or so for Friday. Figuring 800 should be enough to finally make people  irrational, I'd think next Tuesday would have to be  well over a billion, but the chances of rolling until then are slim.

            Of course I'd be happy for people to spend big over the next 30 hours and prove me wrong. If we were seeing sales like we did in the past I'd be figuring at least 700 tomorrow, 1 billion + by Friday, and 1.5 billion or more next Tuesday. Of course sales like that would make the chances of rolling until Tuesday very very small.

              Jon D's avatar - calotterylogo
              Los Angeles, California
              United States
              Member #103813
              January 5, 2011
              1530 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: December 17, 2013, 12:04 pm - IP Logged

              Way too low.

              Tomorrow's 12/17 draw already should get bumped up to at least $650M by draw time and would likely be won.

              If there is a 12/20 draw it would be projected over $1 Billion and very likely to be won.

              As for a 12/24 draw, who knows what would happen. Sales cannot keep increasing exponentially forever, at some point it has to taper off. What will people do when a $1 Billion JP rolls? There is no precedent for this. Also people will be busy with other things besides Mega Millions on Christmas Eve...like Christmas!

              It's pretty close to what I thought, just a little more and it'll be there.

              If today's draw isn't won, you can definitely expect $1 Billion on 12/20 draw!