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pick one number lotto hotpicks

Topic closed. 6 replies. Last post 3 years ago by debron.

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New Member
england
United Kingdom
Member #153379
March 14, 2014
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Posted: March 14, 2014, 10:27 pm - IP Logged

back test this add all the draws from the lottery hot picks uk u can bet with £1 but this will get quite high so i found other ways to make it work with smaller bets u can bet 5p £0.05 instead of £1 per bet it could involve alot of doubling bets so i bet 0.05 on all 49 numbers and play every number until it comes out but doubling each bet per number every time

0.05

0.10

0.20

0.40

0.80

1.60

3.20

6.40

12.80

25.60

51.20

102.40

204.80

409.60

819.20 you see with only 10 double ups u are at £819.20 read below if u dont understand please just ask me

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    Posted: March 14, 2014, 10:34 pm - IP Logged

    oops i forgot to rewrite something i had wrote down to explain but i explaned it in less than half anyway so who cares lol

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      Posted: March 14, 2014, 10:36 pm - IP Logged

      we need a very large group to do this just imagine having to double a number 50 times until it is drawen and that is just one set of 49 numbers u can do as many sets as u like

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        Posted: March 16, 2014, 4:01 pm - IP Logged

        can someone tell me if this will work

          helpmewin's avatar - dandy
          u$a
          United States
          Member #106665
          February 22, 2011
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          Posted: March 19, 2014, 12:54 am - IP Logged

          back test this add all the draws from the lottery hot picks uk u can bet with £1 but this will get quite high so i found other ways to make it work with smaller bets u can bet 5p £0.05 instead of £1 per bet it could involve alot of doubling bets so i bet 0.05 on all 49 numbers and play every number until it comes out but doubling each bet per number every time

          0.05

          0.10

          0.20

          0.40

          0.80

          1.60

          3.20

          6.40

          12.80

          25.60

          51.20

          102.40

          204.80

          409.60

          819.20 you see with only 10 double ups u are at £819.20 read below if u dont understand please just ask me

          I Agree! i don't understand it

          Let it Snow Snowman

            Tialuvslotto's avatar - Jailin
            Texas
            United States
            Member #150797
            December 31, 2013
            815 Posts
            Online
            Posted: March 19, 2014, 1:23 pm - IP Logged

            In the UK they have a game based on the lottery called Lotto Hot Picks that allows you to pick between 1 and 5 numbers.  If your numbers are drawn in the 6 winning numbers you win.  For a 1 pound bet (anyone know how to make that symbol?) you can win 5 pounds.

            So the OP is proposing to double his bet until his one number shows up.

            50% of lotto numbers show up within 4 games of their previous hit, and 50% of numbers don't show again until more than 4 games have passed, so I would propose a limit of 4 plays per number.

            Not sure if the math would work or not, but the game is set up so that the house wins overall.

            Hope that helps.


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              Member #136148
              December 4, 2012
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              Posted: March 19, 2014, 4:36 pm - IP Logged

              It sounds similar to Keno or Hot Spots in the US. A quick rule of thumb is: If the winning multiplier is >2x then it has a chance of being profitable as long as you have deep pockets. If you drop out at 4 draws, you will probably lose continuously in the long run.

              For instance for CA Hot Spot here are two senarios:

              Play 1 number, double your bet until it hits. If it hits after one draw, you'll net $1 because it pays 2:1. If it hits after 10 draws you'll win $1024 but your cummulative spend to that point is $1023, so you'll net $1 after those 10 games. This is due to the x2 multiplier in the winnings. Bet $1, win $2 if it hits.

              Play 2 numbers, double your bet until it hits. If it hits after one draw, you'll net $7 because it pays 8:1. If it hits after 10 draws you'll win $4096 but your cummulative spend to that point is $1023, so you'll net $3073 after those 10 games (before taxes). This is due to the x8 multiplier in the winnings. Bet $1, win $8 if it hits.

              Higher multiplier games NET much more and you will win IF you can stay in the game, but they are harder to keep up with because your bets increase exponentially and the numbers hit less often.

               

              Let's say you are playing the two number game until it hits, doubling each bet.

              Game 1 you are betting $1 on those two numbers

              Game 5 you are betting $16 on those two numbers

              Game 10 you are betting $512 on those two numbers (and you've already lost $511 in the earlier 9 games). If you hit, you'll win 8 x $512 or $4096 so you'll make all your money back and then some. However, if you lose game 10, you'll have to bet $1024 to stay in the game.

              This is what I mean by deep pockets. By game 20, if you haven't won, you'll have to bet $524,288 on those two numbers to stay in the game.

              At some point, betting such a large amount per game becomes unpractical.

              I've found that slowing the exponential growth of bets is much more successful in 2 number games.