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Unbiased testing

Topic closed. 5 replies. Last post 3 years ago by SergeM.

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Florida
United States
Member #135615
November 27, 2012
405 Posts
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Posted: March 27, 2014, 2:57 pm - IP Logged

So I took a bit of a break from lottery stuff. Didn't have the time. Of course, I love testing theories so it was only a matter of time. Since I've been "back", I've been testing patterns. They seems to treat me much better than trying to predict. From there, I've just spent time going through the Florida numbers, testing various patterns to see if it would be worth playing. Then it occurred to me that I could just code the testing itself for the patterns. It tooks some work but I finished it. Then I started testing a few patterns. Each pattern takes some time to code so this has taken a bit of work. I was rather dissappointed that over the course of a year, every pattern would have lost money in the end. Until now. I found a patter that would have actually turned a profit for 2013. So then I tested back to 2009, just to see it was a fluke for 2013. Here's my data:

Number of DoublesNumber of pattern hitsNumber of pattern hits with higer pointsAvg Number of sets to playCost to playWinningsNETYear
19321821823$88,780$109,000$20,2202013
23825225222$104,720$126,000$21,2802012
20921521523$96,140$107,500$11,3602011
22123923922$97,240$119,500$22,2602010
21223923922$93,280$119,500$26,2202009

Without going through what everything means, the column to look at is "NET". Year over year, it would have made money. I've taken human picking out of the equation since the code went through and tested it. So all I have to do is run this code and it'll tell me what to play. At the end of the year, I'll have more money than what I spent. But, before I run off and do this, I would like a sanity check. I need another SQL developer to check my work to make sure I didn't make a mistake. That's why I'm posting here. Are there any SQL developers here?

    helpmewin's avatar - dandy
    u$a
    United States
    Member #106665
    February 22, 2011
    19752 Posts
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    Posted: March 27, 2014, 3:01 pm - IP Logged

    Welcome Back Smiley

    Let it Snow Snowman

      Blackapple's avatar - nw rogue2.jpg
      Wyncote,Pa
      United States
      Member #3206
      January 3, 2004
      60714 Posts
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      Posted: March 27, 2014, 3:37 pm - IP Logged
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        Florida
        United States
        Member #135615
        November 27, 2012
        405 Posts
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        Posted: March 27, 2014, 9:01 pm - IP Logged

        I actually forgot about that... Carry overs was a good method but I've moved on. I should program that into this testing code. See how often it hits, how many days off, etc.

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          Florida
          United States
          Member #135615
          November 27, 2012
          405 Posts
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          Posted: March 31, 2014, 1:12 pm - IP Logged

          sigh, found a bug, hits went down when I re-tested. It would've still been slightly profitable (2k for the year) if played online but that's a lot of work for such a small amount. This is why it's good to have a sanity check. Ah well, I'll keep at it.

            SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
            Economy class
            Belgium
            Member #123700
            February 27, 2012
            4035 Posts
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            Posted: March 31, 2014, 7:03 pm - IP Logged

            I simulated bulk play and it won. It still is luck. When it goes wrong, it is costing a lot of money.