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Deviation Analysis

Topic closed. 11 replies. Last post 3 years ago by lottologix.

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CajunWin4's avatar - Lottery-031.jpg
Whiskey Island
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Posted: April 14, 2014, 2:44 pm - IP Logged

A measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the data, the higher the deviation. Standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance. Anyone else using this tool for games ? I've been doing some research into Deviation Analysis is looks very promising for another tool in Lotto games.

    SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
    Economy class
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    Posted: April 14, 2014, 5:11 pm - IP Logged

    I use it sometimes. It doesn't promise, it is a measure.

      CajunWin4's avatar - Lottery-031.jpg
      Whiskey Island
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      Posted: April 14, 2014, 5:34 pm - IP Logged

      I use it sometimes. It doesn't promise, it is a measure.

      Serge ,

            What range of game history your using ? I'm using the last 20 draws for all games .

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        Posted: April 14, 2014, 5:44 pm - IP Logged

        I don't always use the same amount of drawings. Following to the size of the game you will have different results. A few numbers won't show in 20 games. For a regular lotto I might use at least 30 to 40 games. That way each number will have shown at least once.

          SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
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          Posted: April 14, 2014, 5:46 pm - IP Logged

          Local lotto 30 games 6+R/45

          17
          26
          34
          44
          55
          63
          76
          86
          98
          103
          116
          126
          134
          145
          153
          165
          176
          183
          196
          205
          219
          221
          235
          241
          257
          268
          275
          285
          294
          303
          314
          322
          337
          346
          352
          365
          374
          384
          395
          403
          417
          424
          432
          442
          454
          stdev1,9
            CajunWin4's avatar - Lottery-031.jpg
            Whiskey Island
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            Posted: April 14, 2014, 6:15 pm - IP Logged

            Ok , I will try last 30 , 40 and 50 draws .


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              Posted: April 14, 2014, 6:15 pm - IP Logged

              A measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the data, the higher the deviation. Standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance. Anyone else using this tool for games ? I've been doing some research into Deviation Analysis is looks very promising for another tool in Lotto games.

              all

              365

              200

              L100

              L50

              L30

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                Florida
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                Posted: April 15, 2014, 7:41 am - IP Logged

                I had more luck the more I went out. If you keep going out, you can usually see a pattern that will get you closer to the winning set. However, I never had it working well enough to get me a handful of numbers to play. At best, I could only get it to where it reduced the number of playable sets as my starting point.

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                  Posted: April 15, 2014, 1:50 pm - IP Logged

                  Serge ,

                        What range of game history your using ? I'm using the last 20 draws for all games .

                  stdev popavdev popdrawings
                  0,36243350,262721
                  0,58962220,470122
                  0,7180220,601483
                  0,79690760,691364
                  0,91624570,760495
                  0,97524930,788156
                  1,11199960,910627
                  1,11864120,938278
                  1,08320510,897789
                  1,14611530,9382710
                  1,02463480,7911111
                  1,10754980,8711112
                  1,10531820,7871613
                  1,08092320,8148114
                  1,13529240,8740715
                  1,14740720,9224716
                  1,19546470,9728417
                  1,22202020,9618
                  1,264130,9501219
                  1,3859971,0765420
                  1,37275071,1407421
                  1,49798221,2503722
                  1,51274421,231623
                  1,58324561,3066724
                  1,67626861,328425
                  1,67272971,2997526
                  1,74610681,4488927
                  1,79078571,4587728
                  1,80889431,5219829
                  1,80123411,4666730
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                    Somerset
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                    Posted: April 20, 2014, 6:59 pm - IP Logged

                    If you study the lowest drawn and the highest drawn numbers for each draw ignoring the rest then the deviation becomes more useful and can produce good results but only for the two outer numbers, the reason for this is due to the limits of the initial pool, if you split the draw result  into numerical order then plot each set to a graph you will see the outer numbers are limited to around half the possibilities of the middle set of numbers , this then reflects in the overall possibility of choosing a correct number, because you effectively have a smaller set to choose from.


                    Serge is correct, the number of draws used changes the deviation result, the problem is in reality it cannot help you choose a winning number , because the next draw will always remain a random event and until it happens then the deviation will not reflect the event.

                    It has been said every software has a bug in it, it has also been said that every program can be reduced by one line of code.

                    There for any program can be reduced to 1 line that dont work.

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                      Posted: April 20, 2014, 8:20 pm - IP Logged

                      A measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the data, the higher the deviation. Standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance. Anyone else using this tool for games ? I've been doing some research into Deviation Analysis is looks very promising for another tool in Lotto games.

                      Just curious, with regard to central tendency of any data, why the preference or choice of the parameter MEAN? why not frequent variable(digit) of said data (MODE).  A measure of dispersion depends much on standard dev, range (mostly subsets of data ), etc.

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                        Posted: April 24, 2014, 12:27 am - IP Logged

                        I sort of do the same thing except I use skip and hits to figure out the percentage of deviation from the current norm. I use atleast a 1 year of history so I can see how patterns change over time.