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# Simple case of prediction interval in random setting

Topic closed. 27 replies. Last post 2 years ago by adobea78.

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September 8, 2011
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 Posted: March 27, 2015, 8:50 pm - IP Logged

If you're tired of tracking and endless statistics, then randomize just the pool and use each member as pivot for Prediction Interval. The premise of the game is randomness, you got to ride with random.

` Randomize Data    94540721959338378302(it could be the last 20 draws)  Interval path> 01234567890123456789(assumption)  TX `
Fri, Mar 27, 2015 Thu, Mar 26, 2015 Wed, Mar 25, 2015 Tue, Mar 24, 2015 awing Date Pick 3 Pick 4 Midday Evening Midday Evening 2-0-1 9-8-8 9-9-1 8-5-7-6 7-8-4-7 6-1-1-4 2-6-8 6-9-1 5-2-3 4-8-0 2-8-1-1 1-4-5-8 9-7-9-4 1-2-8-2 3-3-0 2-4-4 1-9-0 9-6-4 5-0-1-8 8-7-7-1 0-9-9-0 2-5-0-3 0-8-4 3-8-9 2-5-3 1-6-2 4-0-1-3 6-4-4-8 4-4-0-2 4-7-9-6 9-7-1 2-3-3 0-2-5 2-2-7 3-0-9-5 9-0-2-4 7-4-5-1 0-3-4-6 7-8-2 2-2-4 7-6-2 6-4-4 9-7-6-3 7-0-4-8 0-3-9-1 8-6-5-2 4-7-7 4-3-5 9-3-1 5-6-7 7-4-4-8 6-7-3-4 6-3-2-5 7-4-8-0 0-8-2 4-2-8 6-4-6 1-7-3 9-7-2-4 4-5-1-9 8-1-4-1 5-8-8-7 7-5-7 3-8-3 8-3-8 3-3-2 2-3-0-9 6-7-0-2 6-6-8-9 3-0-8-3 2-0-4 6-5-0 4-5-9 4-8-2 6-3-7-8 5-3-6-1 3-8-5-0 9-9-9-1

Steps> take a draw set, digits of set becomes your pivot, locate interval for each pivot

draw  650,  pivots 6,5,0,  interval 6>x( nothing from data), interval 5>4-4,9-9, interval 0>4-7, 3-2

Working on intervals

5> 4567890123, 90123456789

0>4567,3456789012

Next draws> 4567890123,90123456789,4567,3456789012> start deleting current draw 650 and subsequent draws till you hit a string size for your budget> 4789123-91234789-47-3478912>204,482>7913-91379-7> 459> 713-137-7 (base line 713-173 or 77-11-33)>hits 383,757,173

Infer> The workout is within random, you're just following the wave, you're in control when to wage (baseline), you do not have a favorite digits. The only thing that matters is your waging strategy at the baseline, str8 vs Box, forming front pairs for 10 picks or 20 picks (the elusive x is not your concern).

NB>Sampling is always a subset of a larger data, the larger the sample size the better.

P4>draw 5361> pivots 5,3,6,1>

Interval for 5>4567890123, 90123456789 (follow interval path data)

Interval 3>90123-345678,8901234567,890123

Interval 6>xxx

Interval 1>23456789,

Start deleting interval digits with current draw 5361 and subsequent draws till playable string

4789023-90234789-----9023-3478-8902347-89023----xxxx-234789>delete 6378> 4902-90249--902-4-9024-902( baseline 902-4902 or 4444-999999-00000-22222)> hits 9991,2309

NB> strategy to wage str8/Box, doubles is subjective and starts at the base line. The combo 999x may seem improbable with stats, random says otherwise, at base line do not try to rationalise much, there is nothing logical here, is about intuition at this point. You hit consistent and big with random.

Economy class
Belgium
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 Posted: March 28, 2015, 8:06 am - IP Logged

I used to go to solfège classes when I was young.

United States
Member #116344
September 8, 2011
3926 Posts
Offline
 Posted: March 28, 2015, 11:52 pm - IP Logged

If you're tired of tracking and endless statistics, then randomize just the pool and use each member as pivot for Prediction Interval. The premise of the game is randomness, you got to ride with random.

` Randomize Data    94540721959338378302(it could be the last 20 draws)  Interval path> 01234567890123456789(assumption)  TX `
Fri, Mar 27, 2015 Thu, Mar 26, 2015 Wed, Mar 25, 2015 Tue, Mar 24, 2015 awing Date Pick 3 Pick 4 Midday Evening Midday Evening 2-0-1 9-8-8 9-9-1 8-5-7-6 7-8-4-7 6-1-1-4 2-6-8 6-9-1 5-2-3 4-8-0 2-8-1-1 1-4-5-8 9-7-9-4 1-2-8-2 3-3-0 2-4-4 1-9-0 9-6-4 5-0-1-8 8-7-7-1 0-9-9-0 2-5-0-3 0-8-4 3-8-9 2-5-3 1-6-2 4-0-1-3 6-4-4-8 4-4-0-2 4-7-9-6 9-7-1 2-3-3 0-2-5 2-2-7 3-0-9-5 9-0-2-4 7-4-5-1 0-3-4-6 7-8-2 2-2-4 7-6-2 6-4-4 9-7-6-3 7-0-4-8 0-3-9-1 8-6-5-2 4-7-7 4-3-5 9-3-1 5-6-7 7-4-4-8 6-7-3-4 6-3-2-5 7-4-8-0 0-8-2 4-2-8 6-4-6 1-7-3 9-7-2-4 4-5-1-9 8-1-4-1 5-8-8-7 7-5-7 3-8-3 8-3-8 3-3-2 2-3-0-9 6-7-0-2 6-6-8-9 3-0-8-3 2-0-4 6-5-0 4-5-9 4-8-2 6-3-7-8 5-3-6-1 3-8-5-0 9-9-9-1

Steps> take a draw set, digits of set becomes your pivot, locate interval for each pivot

draw  650,  pivots 6,5,0,  interval 6>x( nothing from data), interval 5>4-4,9-9, interval 0>4-7, 3-2

Working on intervals

5> 4567890123, 90123456789

0>4567,3456789012

Next draws> 4567890123,90123456789,4567,3456789012> start deleting current draw 650 and subsequent draws till you hit a string size for your budget> 4789123-91234789-47-3478912>204,482>7913-91379-7> 459> 713-137-7 (base line 713-173 or 77-11-33)>hits 383,757,173

Infer> The workout is within random, you're just following the wave, you're in control when to wage (baseline), you do not have a favorite digits. The only thing that matters is your waging strategy at the baseline, str8 vs Box, forming front pairs for 10 picks or 20 picks (the elusive x is not your concern).

NB>Sampling is always a subset of a larger data, the larger the sample size the better.

P4>draw 5361> pivots 5,3,6,1>

Interval for 5>4567890123, 90123456789 (follow interval path data)

Interval 3>90123-345678,8901234567,890123

Interval 6>xxx

Interval 1>23456789,

Start deleting interval digits with current draw 5361 and subsequent draws till playable string

4789023-90234789-----9023-3478-8902347-89023----xxxx-234789>delete 6378> 4902-90249--902-4-9024-902( baseline 902-4902 or 4444-999999-00000-22222)> hits 9991,2309

NB> strategy to wage str8/Box, doubles is subjective and starts at the base line. The combo 999x may seem improbable with stats, random says otherwise, at base line do not try to rationalise much, there is nothing logical here, is about intuition at this point. You hit consistent and big with random.

Method>Prediction Interval, Pivots> digits

Ark>

335-333-355-555-350-351-352-353-354-356-357-358-359

CAL>-221-227-222-211-217-210-213-214-215-216-218-219

CT>777-776-770-771-773-774-775-778-779-670-671-672-673-677-679

United States
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September 8, 2011
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 Posted: March 29, 2015, 11:11 am - IP Logged

Method>Prediction Interval, Pivots> digits

Ark>

335-333-355-555-350-351-352-353-354-356-357-358-359

CAL>-221-227-222-211-217-210-213-214-215-216-218-219

CT>777-776-770-771-773-774-775-778-779-670-671-672-673-677-679

DC>805-800-885-880-505-500-801-802-803-804-806-807-809-886-889-881

TRI>484-480-084-080--481-482-483-485-486-487-489-081-082-083-085-086-087-088-089

OH>555-559-955-999-550-551-552-553-554-556-557-558-590-591-592-593-594-596-597-598

NY>111-151-150-152-153-154-155-156-157-158-159

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April 20, 2008
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 Posted: March 29, 2015, 5:03 pm - IP Logged

If you're tired of tracking and endless statistics, then randomize just the pool and use each member as pivot for Prediction Interval. The premise of the game is randomness, you got to ride with random.

` Randomize Data    94540721959338378302(it could be the last 20 draws)  Interval path> 01234567890123456789(assumption)  TX `
Fri, Mar 27, 2015 Thu, Mar 26, 2015 Wed, Mar 25, 2015 Tue, Mar 24, 2015 awing Date Pick 3 Pick 4 Midday Evening Midday Evening 2-0-1 9-8-8 9-9-1 8-5-7-6 7-8-4-7 6-1-1-4 2-6-8 6-9-1 5-2-3 4-8-0 2-8-1-1 1-4-5-8 9-7-9-4 1-2-8-2 3-3-0 2-4-4 1-9-0 9-6-4 5-0-1-8 8-7-7-1 0-9-9-0 2-5-0-3 0-8-4 3-8-9 2-5-3 1-6-2 4-0-1-3 6-4-4-8 4-4-0-2 4-7-9-6 9-7-1 2-3-3 0-2-5 2-2-7 3-0-9-5 9-0-2-4 7-4-5-1 0-3-4-6 7-8-2 2-2-4 7-6-2 6-4-4 9-7-6-3 7-0-4-8 0-3-9-1 8-6-5-2 4-7-7 4-3-5 9-3-1 5-6-7 7-4-4-8 6-7-3-4 6-3-2-5 7-4-8-0 0-8-2 4-2-8 6-4-6 1-7-3 9-7-2-4 4-5-1-9 8-1-4-1 5-8-8-7 7-5-7 3-8-3 8-3-8 3-3-2 2-3-0-9 6-7-0-2 6-6-8-9 3-0-8-3 2-0-4 6-5-0 4-5-9 4-8-2 6-3-7-8 5-3-6-1 3-8-5-0 9-9-9-1

Steps> take a draw set, digits of set becomes your pivot, locate interval for each pivot

draw  650,  pivots 6,5,0,  interval 6>x( nothing from data), interval 5>4-4,9-9, interval 0>4-7, 3-2

Working on intervals

5> 4567890123, 90123456789

0>4567,3456789012

Next draws> 4567890123,90123456789,4567,3456789012> start deleting current draw 650 and subsequent draws till you hit a string size for your budget> 4789123-91234789-47-3478912>204,482>7913-91379-7> 459> 713-137-7 (base line 713-173 or 77-11-33)>hits 383,757,173

Infer> The workout is within random, you're just following the wave, you're in control when to wage (baseline), you do not have a favorite digits. The only thing that matters is your waging strategy at the baseline, str8 vs Box, forming front pairs for 10 picks or 20 picks (the elusive x is not your concern).

NB>Sampling is always a subset of a larger data, the larger the sample size the better.

P4>draw 5361> pivots 5,3,6,1>

Interval for 5>4567890123, 90123456789 (follow interval path data)

Interval 3>90123-345678,8901234567,890123

Interval 6>xxx

Interval 1>23456789,

Start deleting interval digits with current draw 5361 and subsequent draws till playable string

4789023-90234789-----9023-3478-8902347-89023----xxxx-234789>delete 6378> 4902-90249--902-4-9024-902( baseline 902-4902 or 4444-999999-00000-22222)> hits 9991,2309

NB> strategy to wage str8/Box, doubles is subjective and starts at the base line. The combo 999x may seem improbable with stats, random says otherwise, at base line do not try to rationalise much, there is nothing logical here, is about intuition at this point. You hit consistent and big with random.

Thanks for posting and using TX data Adobea. I wish my stats professors way back in undergrad had used lottery examples like yours! It would have made the topics much more engaging lol.

While we do have to go with random, there are definitely patterns within randomness and those are worthwhile to track, especially in ball-dropping states. If the environment is truly random then all major number categories (eg sums) even out in a given sample size.

Now where I have an issue is within computer-driven states where it is the key or seed of an algorithm that is inputted into the software that drives the illusion of so-called "random" output. Nevertheless even here there are patterns we can follow and track. But like you said, when we get tired we can just go with a given random set. However there is something inherently unsatisfying about that approach in my view. Perhaps it is an illusion but I like to feel that I am in control of my biological tendency to identify patterns!

With that off of my chest, TX please!

I like to compare my own tracked predictions to your random sets.

"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life."  Muhammad Ali

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 Posted: March 29, 2015, 8:15 pm - IP Logged

Thanks for posting and using TX data Adobea. I wish my stats professors way back in undergrad had used lottery examples like yours! It would have made the topics much more engaging lol.

While we do have to go with random, there are definitely patterns within randomness and those are worthwhile to track, especially in ball-dropping states. If the environment is truly random then all major number categories (eg sums) even out in a given sample size.

Now where I have an issue is within computer-driven states where it is the key or seed of an algorithm that is inputted into the software that drives the illusion of so-called "random" output. Nevertheless even here there are patterns we can follow and track. But like you said, when we get tired we can just go with a given random set. However there is something inherently unsatisfying about that approach in my view. Perhaps it is an illusion but I like to feel that I am in control of my biological tendency to identify patterns!

With that off of my chest, TX please!

I like to compare my own tracked predictions to your random sets.

Patterns  are sense  of control, our minds demands it for orientation and survival.Assuming we lived in  fourth dimensional plane, our perception will be different. Perceiving  'apparent' patterns in randomness  is more than okay, but you need to discern the difference between ' routine' and randomness. Routine is our daily boring life--walking your dog, seeing the same Wife everyday, driving the same route to work, same Safeway mall etc , random is unexpected event during this routine, it could be uplifting or depressing. I don't think the four wheels under your car will hit the same spot on your daily rout from  A to B. The rout is routine, the motion of the car has many variables, starting with time, pressure of tires, condition of road, this a simple case of randomness. The points of impact(random) of your wheels during A to B for  X days can be located (clustered).

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 Posted: March 29, 2015, 10:43 pm - IP Logged

Method>Prediction Interval, Pivots> digits

Ark>

335-333-355-555-350-351-352-353-354-356-357-358-359

CAL>-221-227-222-211-217-210-213-214-215-216-218-219

CT>777-776-770-771-773-774-775-778-779-670-671-672-673-677-679

CAL>241

United States
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 Posted: March 29, 2015, 11:24 pm - IP Logged

If you're tired of tracking and endless statistics, then randomize just the pool and use each member as pivot for Prediction Interval. The premise of the game is randomness, you got to ride with random.

` Randomize Data    94540721959338378302(it could be the last 20 draws)  Interval path> 01234567890123456789(assumption)  TX `
Fri, Mar 27, 2015 Thu, Mar 26, 2015 Wed, Mar 25, 2015 Tue, Mar 24, 2015 awing Date Pick 3 Pick 4 Midday Evening Midday Evening 2-0-1 9-8-8 9-9-1 8-5-7-6 7-8-4-7 6-1-1-4 2-6-8 6-9-1 5-2-3 4-8-0 2-8-1-1 1-4-5-8 9-7-9-4 1-2-8-2 3-3-0 2-4-4 1-9-0 9-6-4 5-0-1-8 8-7-7-1 0-9-9-0 2-5-0-3 0-8-4 3-8-9 2-5-3 1-6-2 4-0-1-3 6-4-4-8 4-4-0-2 4-7-9-6 9-7-1 2-3-3 0-2-5 2-2-7 3-0-9-5 9-0-2-4 7-4-5-1 0-3-4-6 7-8-2 2-2-4 7-6-2 6-4-4 9-7-6-3 7-0-4-8 0-3-9-1 8-6-5-2 4-7-7 4-3-5 9-3-1 5-6-7 7-4-4-8 6-7-3-4 6-3-2-5 7-4-8-0 0-8-2 4-2-8 6-4-6 1-7-3 9-7-2-4 4-5-1-9 8-1-4-1 5-8-8-7 7-5-7 3-8-3 8-3-8 3-3-2 2-3-0-9 6-7-0-2 6-6-8-9 3-0-8-3 2-0-4 6-5-0 4-5-9 4-8-2 6-3-7-8 5-3-6-1 3-8-5-0 9-9-9-1

Steps> take a draw set, digits of set becomes your pivot, locate interval for each pivot

draw  650,  pivots 6,5,0,  interval 6>x( nothing from data), interval 5>4-4,9-9, interval 0>4-7, 3-2

Working on intervals

5> 4567890123, 90123456789

0>4567,3456789012

Next draws> 4567890123,90123456789,4567,3456789012> start deleting current draw 650 and subsequent draws till you hit a string size for your budget> 4789123-91234789-47-3478912>204,482>7913-91379-7> 459> 713-137-7 (base line 713-173 or 77-11-33)>hits 383,757,173

Infer> The workout is within random, you're just following the wave, you're in control when to wage (baseline), you do not have a favorite digits. The only thing that matters is your waging strategy at the baseline, str8 vs Box, forming front pairs for 10 picks or 20 picks (the elusive x is not your concern).

NB>Sampling is always a subset of a larger data, the larger the sample size the better.

P4>draw 5361> pivots 5,3,6,1>

Interval for 5>4567890123, 90123456789 (follow interval path data)

Interval 3>90123-345678,8901234567,890123

Interval 6>xxx

Interval 1>23456789,

Start deleting interval digits with current draw 5361 and subsequent draws till playable string

4789023-90234789-----9023-3478-8902347-89023----xxxx-234789>delete 6378> 4902-90249--902-4-9024-902( baseline 902-4902 or 4444-999999-00000-22222)> hits 9991,2309

NB> strategy to wage str8/Box, doubles is subjective and starts at the base line. The combo 999x may seem improbable with stats, random says otherwise, at base line do not try to rationalise much, there is nothing logical here, is about intuition at this point. You hit consistent and big with random.

Simple case of locating intervals using recent draws

Random path is just assumption, it can be done in several ways, this is just simplistic view to get the ideal across.

FL

Sun, Mar 29, 2015 Sat, Mar 28, 2015 Fri, Mar 27, 2015 Thu, Mar 26, 2015 Drawing Date Pick 3 Pick 4 Midday Evening Midday Evening 2-0-5 3-6-5 7-0-0-7 8-3-1-7 8-2-2 1-4-1 6-8-3-5 4-0-0-4 7-7-8 1-2-1 5-4-3-1 4-8-9-3 2-3-4 4-2-7 7-9-0-9 0-2-7-8 3-0-6 4-5-1 1-6-9-0 0-8-7-2 3-2-8 5-5-6 3-9-0-3 4-9-2-2 1-1-6 2-9-7 6-3-3-7 0-9-0-1 8-8-8 0-0-5 6-8-1-1 1-0-9-1 1-7-7 4-5-3 7-9-2-3 4-7-6-4 6-6-7 6-0-6 0-5-3-6 4-8-6-3

take the draw 234----pivots  2,3,4---int2>3-8,  int3>x, int4>x

234> 345678-x-x  > 5678> filter 427, 778> 56x or 65x

draw 778----7,8-----7>1-7(1234567),  8>8-8(8901234567)

778> 1234567-1234567-8901234567>filter 778,121,822,141> 356-356-0356> hit 365

P4>1690----1-6-9-0---1>8-1(8901), 6>7-4(78901234), 9>3-0(34567890), 0>9-3(90123)

1690= 8901-78901234-34567890-90123> filter 1690,0872>Base line> 34-345-3(34345--33445)> hit 5431

0872---0-8-7-2----0> 9-3(90123), 8>6-1(678901),7>4-6(456),2>9-2(9012)

0872=90123-678901-456-9012> filter 0872,7909> 13-61-456-1(1361456---1166345)>hit 5431,6835

NB> at the base-line , note the drive digits(position 1), which forms pairs/triads(see hits), this is another filter tool. A front pair will easily get you 5k with NP2.

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 Posted: March 31, 2015, 3:29 pm - IP Logged

DC>805-800-885-880-505-500-801-802-803-804-806-807-809-886-889-881

TRI>484-480-084-080--481-482-483-485-486-487-489-081-082-083-085-086-087-088-089

OH>555-559-955-999-550-551-552-553-554-556-557-558-590-591-592-593-594-596-597-598

NY>111-151-150-152-153-154-155-156-157-158-159

TRI> str 487

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 Posted: March 31, 2015, 8:49 pm - IP Logged

DC>805-800-885-880-505-500-801-802-803-804-806-807-809-886-889-881

TRI>484-480-084-080--481-482-483-485-486-487-489-081-082-083-085-086-087-088-089

OH>555-559-955-999-550-551-552-553-554-556-557-558-590-591-592-593-594-596-597-598

NY>111-151-150-152-153-154-155-156-157-158-159

DC>085

NY>514

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 Posted: March 31, 2015, 11:27 pm - IP Logged

Can you do an example with GA P4?

Thanks

"If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail"

----Abraham Maslow

4287 9993 3909 1798 3095 0276 5339

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 Posted: April 1, 2015, 11:51 am - IP Logged

Can you do an example with GA P4?

Thanks

GA>P4

Tue, Mar 31, 2015 Mon, Mar 30, 2015 Sun, Mar 29, 2015 Sat, Mar 28, 2015 Drawing Date Pick 3 Pick 4 Midday Evening Midday Evening 8-0-8 3-4-0 8-5-1-2 7-5-8-8 2-5-0 7-3-7 2-8-8-4 0-1-3-7 8-3-9 6-0-3 0-6-3-7 1-3-0-2 2-1-1 3-8-2 0-5-9-3 3-3-9-5 4-2-9 0-0-7 6-7-1-9 2-2-2-1 0-6-0 6-6-0 1-1-0-6 5-8-3-4 5-8-0 8-6-2 7-0-4-2 0-0-7-0 2-6-5 4-4-2 6-7-0-0 1-4-1-6 4-1-5 7-1-8 0-7-7-4 3-5-3-4 1-6-5 2-3-3 5-5-6-7 8-6-7-0

Draw 0637> pivots 0,6,3,7> int0>1-6, int6>5-7, int3>1-0, int7>6-1

Interval 0637> 123456-567-1234567890-678901> filter 0637,1302>>>>>>>>>

45-5-4589-89>>>Baseline  445558899 (you can turn this into a Pair +NP2 for str hit)> hit 2884,7588

Draw 5834> 5-8-3-4> int5> 3-3(3456789012), int8>x, int3>5-4(5678901234), int4>1-1(1234567890)

5834> 3456789012-x-5678901234-1234567890> filter 5834,6719> 02-02-02 >baseline 000222> hit 2221

NB> intervals can be located everywhere, recent or past.

Try draw 1302

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 Posted: April 4, 2015, 7:20 pm - IP Logged

DC>805-800-885-880-505-500-801-802-803-804-806-807-809-886-889-881

TRI>484-480-084-080--481-482-483-485-486-487-489-081-082-083-085-086-087-088-089

OH>555-559-955-999-550-551-552-553-554-556-557-558-590-591-592-593-594-596-597-598

NY>111-151-150-152-153-154-155-156-157-158-159

Tri>hits so far>str 087,487

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DC>805-800-885-880-505-500-801-802-803-804-806-807-809-886-889-881

TRI>484-480-084-080--481-482-483-485-486-487-489-081-082-083-085-086-087-088-089

OH>555-559-955-999-550-551-552-553-554-556-557-558-590-591-592-593-594-596-597-598

NY>111-151-150-152-153-154-155-156-157-158-159

OH>Str 591

Bakersfield, Ca
United States
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April 17, 2010
201 Posts
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