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# How can I validate my system is getting closer to picking better numbers?

Topic closed. 11 replies. Last post 2 years ago by SergeM.

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United States
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March 16, 2006
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 Posted: June 2, 2015, 12:42 pm - IP Logged

MegaMillions...  Numbers appearing in ( ) represent the ball number in terms of the conversation, except the spreadsheet formula.

I'm going into this knowing that it's impossible to pick random numbers.  Be that as it may, still having fun trying to develop a program to create a pool of numbers to draw from.  I prefer cold numbers over hot numbers.  I am thinking along the lines of a coin toss in that the same side of coin becomes increasingly less possible to get consecutively over time.  If you get HH HH HH, the forth coin toss is likely HT, for example.  Man, I hope I understand that!  If the number is cold, I increase the number of times the number appears in the pool.  If the number is hot, I decrease the number of times the number appears in the pool.  I actually do this twice.  I have one series for the number of times the number has been drawn.  I have another series for the number of draws since last appeared.  If the ball has just been drawn, it gets a quantity of 1 in the pool.  If the number was last drawn 10 plays ago, it goes in the pool 10 times.  So on and so forth.

In one of my pools, there are over 1000 numbers, ranging from (1) to (75).  Lets just say an even 1000.  I create a pseudo random number between 1-1000, randbetween(1,1000) in this example.  Column A contains the sequential list of 1-1000.  In column B, the list of numbers (1) to (75) in whatever quantity of coldness I have determined.  I lookup the randbetween to find the number in column B.  There may be 20 of number (1), 5 of number (2), 8 of number (3) in this list.  Hope you get the idea.  If random number 23 is generated, then that equates to ball (2).

Is there a way to say that my pool of coldness is closer to making a better series of number, or no way at all?

mid-Ohio
United States
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March 24, 2001
20017 Posts
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 Posted: June 2, 2015, 2:31 pm - IP Logged

The results of your picks will speak for themselves.  The more they win the closer your are.  You've hit your target when you win a jackpot.

* you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket *

Economy class
Belgium
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February 27, 2012
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 Posted: June 2, 2015, 4:15 pm - IP Logged

The results of your picks will speak for themselves.  The more they win the closer your are.  You've hit your target when you win a jackpot.

Winning net like \$ 2000 every month is as nice as a jackpot. Maybe a bit stressful.

nj
United States
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August 10, 2013
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 Posted: June 3, 2015, 1:10 am - IP Logged

Pretty good filter Goggiemoogie !

nj
United States
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August 10, 2013
1013 Posts
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 Posted: June 3, 2015, 1:12 am - IP Logged

good filter =system validated !

United States
Member #59354
March 13, 2008
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 Posted: June 3, 2015, 2:05 am - IP Logged

GM

You can stimulate a RNG to simulate the draw history for a game but the problem is that

you still have to decide when to play some value.  Jade has posted some good stuff on

this and I suggest you study his recent post.   There are many ways to analyze how your

system is doing overall just look for the places it missed and see if anything can be done

to improve the outcome.

RL

....

mid-Ohio
United States
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March 24, 2001
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 Posted: June 3, 2015, 1:08 pm - IP Logged

Winning net like \$ 2000 every month is as nice as a jackpot. Maybe a bit stressful.

Are you one of those dreamers who think one can have a monthly income playing the lotteries?

* you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket *

Dallas, Texas
United States
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May 2, 2004
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 Posted: June 3, 2015, 3:03 pm - IP Logged

The real question in validating your theory is how well is your determination of hotness and coldness working?

In generating 1000 permutations, if you are not weighting the hotness and coldness, then there would be no way to determine the validity.

Your post sounds like an attempt to trap numbers. And there is nothing wrong with that. A single trap can be misleading since trends, flows, and skips are not set in stone. Look for a convergence of several traps.

My greatest accomplishment is teaching cats about Vienna Sausage. When I need a friend, all I need do is walk outside, pop open a can, and every little critter in the neighborhood drops by to say "Hi!"

Economy class
Belgium
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February 27, 2012
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 Posted: June 3, 2015, 7:12 pm - IP Logged

Are you one of those dreamers who think one can have a monthly income playing the lotteries?

That could be easier to realize then winning a jackpot.

nj
United States
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August 10, 2013
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 Posted: June 3, 2015, 11:48 pm - IP Logged

The big 2  issues -WHAT numbers will b  the winning ones

and  WHEN they will appear ...

Solving both is challenging and can b rewarding.One without the other is useless. Time frame,\$ invested ...WHAT  numbers ..and WHEN !

A lot of systems to solve the WHAT ..but for WHEN not much work put in. Maybe skips -average skip or highest skip ...play on the high skip ..you b waiting  for a while...do it for the avg. skip maybe you loose a few times and win  other times...profit ? maybe yes ,maybe no...

mid-Ohio
United States
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March 24, 2001
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 Posted: June 5, 2015, 7:40 pm - IP Logged

That could be easier to realize then winning a jackpot.

I've never seen a game with a payout structure that made that possible but I am guessing there may be schemers that would claim it is using their system.

* you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket *

Economy class
Belgium
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February 27, 2012
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 Posted: June 6, 2015, 5:29 am - IP Logged

I've never seen a game with a payout structure that made that possible but I am guessing there may be schemers that would claim it is using their system.

Consider a lucky streak missing the jackpot with many combinations and getting many second prizes?

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