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Predictions from a sequence

Topic closed. 19 replies. Last post 12 months ago by dr san.

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Lincoln, California
United States
Member #167130
June 27, 2015
256 Posts
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Posted: December 1, 2015, 12:39 pm - IP Logged

AllenB

 

If you find something that works let me know.  When working with random data it's always possible to come

to a solution that looks more probable than the others.  The most probable will hit more often overall but this

does not tell us when.   The problem is further compounded when working with more than one string.   

 

In the above example  " (0  45 2%) (1 299 11%) (2 792 29%) (3 1035 38%) (4 530 20%)." If we add the totals

of 2 and 4 we get 49%, so the two combined are greater than 3=38%.  This is how random works.  What we

need to know is, "When?"   If we play the most probable then we will hit more often but don't  expect it to hit on

que.  The three top values would do very well game to game but then we are faced with too many lines to play. 

 

My solution to this problem was to create a gauntlet of filters setting each one so that it covered the top 2 or 3

best values.  Again this suffers the same effect if too many filters are required to reach a play budget.

 

Keep in mind that 0,1,2 and 4 will show in 62% of the draws and 3 is only expected to show 3.8 out of 10 on average. 

0 and 1 can be eliminated as both added together equal 13% or around 1.3 out of 10 games on average.   These 2 are

small enough to exclude without any real loss but lets say that you have to make a selection from 5 strings.  The 13%*5

then becomes relevant in at least one of the 5 strings, which one, I don't have a clue.   Sufficiently random is not random

but as it's name implies it's close enough to derail our best efforts much of the time. 

 

Momentum seems to do well in prediction and one thing I have found is that a value, be it a filter, number, digit etc..

The #1 best time to play a value is right after it's self.  A skip of zero shows more that any other skip.

RL

Sorry for the delay in responding.  Being "Grampy" to 3 beautiful little girls is just more important. 

I am updating the sequence together with it's "cousins" to  try to go a little further down Prediction Road.

The sequence posted so far was derived as follows:

The basic concept was to separate the numbers into 2 groups and track the hits from each group on every draw.  Sound a lot like Strings?”.  My system is based on   4_Strings and The type of Draw (S,D,DD,T,Q). 

Strings have the two groups of numbers that I start with.  Rather than look for strings that I think will Break, I look at the strings that broke on the last draw.  For each type of draw there is a fixed number of strings that break. S=15, D=35, DD=70, T=70 and Q=126.  For each type of draw there will be a fixed set of numbers included on those broken strings and a fixed set that is not.

I  name the groups; R for “Restart” and N for “New”. The R Group is the set of numbers that are included on the Broken Strings.  The N group is the set of numbers that is not included.  For a game following an S Draw there will always be 6 numbers in the R Group and 4 numbers in the N Group.  Following a D Draw the groups include 7R, 3N.  Following a DD Draw the groups include 8R, 2N. Following a T Draw 8R,2N.

I first noticed when looking at a matrix of Games and String Hits derived from Winsome’s fine Work, that from 63% to 100% of the Strings will start to reform on the next draw “Restart”.   Looking back over all of the Ca Daily 4 Draws, I counted the number of hits from the R group for each draw.  Each count is a String Event and that is the sequence I posted.

Whenever we play a Pick 4 Game by selecting numbers we make 4 decisions. 1 for each number.  Our Odds of selecting the right number is 1:10 for each.  Your odds of hitting a straight are 1:10000  and hitting a Box 1:417 (you have 24 possibilities of hitting a box) By creating the String event and making it's selection the first selection the odds of being correct are 1:5.  The extreme difference in the counts make this selection more likely to be right because 3 of the options occur 88% of the time. Getting the decision correct reduces the number of combinations needed for a Box Win.  The second decision is the type of Draw  S,D,DD,T,Q.  S and D occur in 94% of all draws.  Getting this right further reduces the combinations from which the Box will come.  For each game the Group numbers are set by the previous draw.  Pairing the String Event with the Type is another sequence to predict from.  Each game has a fixed set of numbers in each group as determined by the string event for the previous game.  Pairing this with the String event for each game gives another sequence to predict from. 

I will post the data and some tables for CA Daily 4 later tonight. 

Thanks for your interest and advice

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    Lincoln, California
    United States
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    June 27, 2015
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    Posted: December 1, 2015, 12:45 pm - IP Logged

    By the way,  for Ca if I am correct I can still loose money when the Box payouts are very small

      Avatar
      Lincoln, California
      United States
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      June 27, 2015
      256 Posts
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      Posted: December 1, 2015, 6:48 pm - IP Logged

      Sorry for the pdf.  I am still learning about displaying images images in my posts.

      California Daily 4 Tonight. 

      This is what CA.pdf

        Avatar
        Lincoln, California
        United States
        Member #167130
        June 27, 2015
        256 Posts
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        Posted: December 1, 2015, 11:16 pm - IP Logged

        Sorry for the pdf.  I am still learning about displaying images images in my posts.

        California Daily 4 Tonight. 

        This is what CA.pdf

        String Event

        2

        Frequency

        3.5

        Games Out

        4

         Draw

         4

         9

         2

        8 

         

        Singles

         

        0127

        0128

        0178

        0237

        0238

        0378

        0247

        0248

        0478

        0257

        $63.00

         

        0258

        0578

        0267

        0268

        0678

        0279

        0289

        0789

        1237

        1238

        Boxes Hit

         

        1378

        1247

        1248

        1478

        1257

        1258

        1578

        1267

        1268

        1678

        1

         

        1279

        1289

        1789

        2347

        2348

        3478

        2357

        2358

        3578

        2367

        $216.00

         

        2368

        3678

        2379

        2389

        3789

        2457

        2458

        4578

        2467

        2468

        Win

         

        4678

        2479

        2489

        4789

        2567

        2568

        5678

        2579

        2589

        5789

        $153.00

         

        2679

        2689

        6789

         

         

         

         

         

         

         

         

        Doubles

         

        0027

        0028

        0078

        0122

        0177

        0188

        0223

        0377

        0388

        0224

         

         

        0477

        0488

        0225

        0577

        0588

        0226

        0677

        0688

        0229

        0779

         

         

        0889

        1127

        1128

        1178

        1223

        1377

        1388

        1224

        1477

        1488

         

         

        1225

        1577

        1588

        1226

        1677

        1688

        1229

        1779

        1889

        2337

         

         

        2338

        3378

        2234

        3477

        3488

        2235

        3577

        3588

        2236

        3677

         

         

        3688

        2239

        3779

        3889

        2447

        2448

        4478

        2245

        4577

        4588

         

         

        2246

        4677

        4688

        2249

        4779

        4889

        2557

        2558

        5578

        2256

         

         

        5677

        5688

        2259

        5779

        5889

        2667

        2668

        6678

        2269

        6779

         

         

        6889

        2799

        2899

        7899

         

         

         

         

         

         

        Double-Double

        Dd

        0022

        0077

        0088

        1122

        1177

        1188

        2233

        3377

        3388

        2244

         

         

        4477

        4488

        2255

        5577

        5588

        2266

        6677

        6688

        2299

        7799

         

         

        8899

         

         

         

         

         

         

         

         

         

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          bgonçalves
          Brasil
          Member #92564
          June 9, 2010
          2122 Posts
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          Posted: December 8, 2015, 5:14 pm - IP Logged

          Hello Monel you can do to 6 digits? As is done for 4 to possible patterns for rows with 6 strings
          123456 000111 x = 000000
          ???? You can standards for six strings