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Wavepack

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Oct 3, 2023, 10:25 pm

3 7 8 10 13 19 25 29 51 58 59 66

1 4 10 16
MADDOG10

50

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Oct 3, 2023, 11:35 pm

Mega Millions results 10/3; 3-19-32-39-59 + 24

____________________________________________________________________________________________________

JADELottery 3+0

Wavepack 3+0

rcbbuckeye 1+1 ** lone predictor of MB # 24

____________________________________________________________________________________________________

Congrats to the (3) winners, and the (1) Almost.

Thanks for playing.

=========================================================================

Dalvin Payne with 2+0.

The truth is like a Lion, you don't have to defend it

Let it loose, it will defend itself.
Wavepack

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Oct 3, 2023, 11:52 pm

Had I played IRL, it would have been a 2+0 loser ticket.

Trying out new ideas. No Earth shattering discoveries yet. Just incremental improvement here and there.
wander73

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Oct 3, 2023, 11:52 pm

congrats and wtg.
sully16

25

Ringleader

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Oct 4, 2023, 5:53 am

Congrats to all the winners and almosts.

JADELottery

Eagle Sun

IA, MN, WI
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Member #21
December 7, 2001
5,177 Posts
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Oct 4, 2023, 7:35 am

Great Job Everyone.

Well, we had 4 of the WBs again in our initial set; just missed randomly getting that 4^th pick in the final 12.

WB

This is our =DisimulateNexus(N, D, Z₁, Z₂) function sample break down:

∙	∙	M↓			Minimum			341	∙	∙	∙				∙	∙	∙
∙	∙	μ - 25% σ			Lo Std Dev			586	X =	12	Nonordered				Sample Size
∙	∙	μ			Average			721	Y =	7	Both				10000
∙	∙	μ + 25% σ			Hi Std Dev			856	Z =	13	Ordered				∙	∙	∙
∙	∙	M↑			Maximum			1123	┌─	32	All				∙	∙	∙
DisimulateNexus Distribution Nonordered								Total	↓	DisimulateNexus Distribution Ordered
Number	A	B	C	D	E	MB	MP	A-E	∙	Number	A	B	C	D	E	MB	MP
1	537	0	0	0	0	295	0	537	X	1	537	0	0	0	0	295	0
2	540	394	0	0	0	295	5719	934	Y	2	910	24	0	0	0	295	5719
3	545	437	0	0	0	312	2968	982	Y	3	905	77	0	0	0	312	2968
4	500	420	177	0	0	339	1035	1097	Y	4	953	141	3	0	0	339	1035
5	499	419	205	0	0	353	278	1123	Y	5	882	233	8	0	0	353	278
6	490	383	196	0	0	387	0	1069	∙	6	750	308	11	0	0	387	0
7	427	411	174	0	0	426	0	1012	X	7	679	302	31	0	0	426	0
8	398	393	210	70	0	395	0	1071	∙	8	623	406	42	0	0	395	0
9	422	336	178	64	0	462	0	1000	∙	9	524	421	55	0	0	462	0
10	369	355	195	63	0	429	0	982	∙	10	487	435	56	4	0	429	0
11	415	357	204	76	0	447	0	1052	Z	11	422	518	108	4	0	447	0
12	331	356	190	80	0	461	0	957	∙	12	366	459	125	7	0	461	0
13	331	313	218	101	0	457	0	963	Z	13	315	480	160	8	0	457	0
14	309	323	212	87	0	461	0	931	∙	14	288	454	177	12	0	461	0
15	299	299	214	99	0	455	0	911	Z	15	237	476	181	17	0	455	0
16	338	288	221	108	0	393	0	955	Z	16	199	511	235	10	0	393	0
17	274	299	217	98	50	495	0	938	∙	17	190	463	253	31	1	495	0
18	260	256	241	118	46	466	0	921	X	18	150	463	263	45	0	466	0
19	242	290	218	115	54	405	0	919	∙	19	119	419	329	51	1	405	0
20	205	230	202	107	56	427	0	800	∙	20	77	371	300	50	2	427	0
21	232	234	234	122	62	419	0	884	X	21	94	381	339	69	1	419	0
22	192	230	229	131	69	390	0	851	∙	22	64	350	356	80	1	390	0
23	174	259	205	136	61	392	0	835	Z	23	60	302	383	86	4	392	0
24	188	209	222	157	71	318	0	847	Z	24	45	277	389	129	7	318	0
25	149	224	217	131	73	321	0	794	Z	25	22	247	394	127	4	321	0
26	137	195	217	138	93	0	0	780	∙	26	29	211	375	157	8	0	0
27	137	163	209	177	100	0	0	786	Z	27	16	206	394	156	14	0	0
28	106	151	241	183	109	0	0	790	X	28	16	168	373	212	21	0	0
29	87	175	203	169	102	0	0	736	∙	29	8	132	379	189	28	0	0
30	110	149	230	177	115	0	0	781	∙	30	8	141	358	251	23	0	0
31	87	128	186	209	98	0	0	708	∙	31	9	94	351	228	26	0	0
32	88	106	240	168	134	0	0	736	X	32	5	103	343	245	40	0	0
33	69	111	199	208	134	0	0	721	∙	33	5	89	307	280	40	0	0
34	75	108	213	163	147	0	0	706	∙	34	1	61	312	281	51	0	0
35	69	107	213	189	143	0	0	721	∙	35	3	57	297	287	77	0	0
36	56	67	182	186	131	0	0	622	∙	36	1	51	237	259	74	0	0
37	45	88	205	213	158	0	0	709	∙	37	0	42	260	322	85	0	0
38	48	61	165	180	183	0	0	637	∙	38	0	29	206	306	96	0	0
39	35	72	166	213	180	0	0	666	Z	39	0	24	179	362	101	0	0
40	35	56	174	226	189	0	0	680	X	40	0	15	230	325	110	0	0
41	20	53	158	208	200	0	0	639	∙	41	0	11	184	318	126	0	0
42	31	50	161	215	189	0	0	646	Z	42	1	18	142	366	119	0	0
43	24	46	160	223	218	0	0	671	Y	43	0	6	141	346	178	0	0
44	30	35	133	210	195	0	0	603	∙	44	0	10	102	324	167	0	0
45	25	56	127	218	199	0	0	625	Y	45	0	3	97	336	189	0	0
46	20	48	110	204	248	0	0	630	∙	46	0	1	100	304	225	0	0
47	0	28	131	226	222	0	0	607	X	47	0	4	79	316	208	0	0
48	0	24	119	218	244	0	0	605	X	48	0	1	63	285	256	0	0
49	0	22	105	213	252	0	0	592	∙	49	0	1	56	274	261	0	0
50	0	27	114	190	252	0	0	583	∙	50	0	3	51	260	269	0	0
51	0	27	106	202	250	0	0	585	∙	51	0	1	37	258	289	0	0
52	0	20	93	199	273	0	0	585	∙	52	0	0	33	246	306	0	0
53	0	13	88	214	263	0	0	578	∙	53	0	0	21	224	333	0	0
54	0	19	92	204	293	0	0	608	X	54	0	0	29	239	340	0	0
55	0	14	87	188	264	0	0	553	∙	55	0	0	21	191	341	0	0
56	0	12	80	199	272	0	0	563	∙	56	0	0	17	190	356	0	0
57	0	12	74	182	280	0	0	548	X	57	0	0	7	180	361	0	0
58	0	13	65	196	277	0	0	551	∙	58	0	0	5	156	390	0	0
59	0	9	58	177	294	0	0	538	X	59	0	0	4	136	398	0	0
60	0	9	60	165	279	0	0	513	Z	60	0	0	5	85	423	0	0
61	0	6	49	150	277	0	0	482	∙	61	0	0	4	99	379	0	0
62	0	5	51	156	283	0	0	495	Y	62	0	0	1	82	412	0	0
63	0	0	37	160	269	0	0	466	Z	63	0	0	0	62	404	0	0
64	0	0	37	158	231	0	0	426	∙	64	0	0	1	49	376	0	0
65	0	0	39	152	242	0	0	433	∙	65	0	0	0	38	395	0	0
66	0	0	44	140	253	0	0	437	Z	66	0	0	1	22	414	0	0
67	0	0	0	131	240	0	0	371	∙	67	0	0	0	13	358	0	0
68	0	0	0	121	238	0	0	359	∙	68	0	0	0	9	350	0	0
69	0	0	0	119	222	0	0	341	∙	69	0	0	0	2	339	0	0
70	0	0	0	0	223	0	0	223	∙	70	0	0	0	0	223	0	0

The One Over None
I Know...

JADELottery

Eagle Sun

IA, MN, WI
United States
Member #21
December 7, 2001
5,177 Posts
Online

Oct 4, 2023, 7:57 am

Well, with only 3 WBs, could have had at least a 3 line win, if we played one of our wheels using our 'Simple Wheel Generator' program.

Wheel
· Pick 5 of 12 Numbers used to
· Generate 15 Combinations from a
· Total of 792 Possible Combinations
· Build Time - 00:00:00.3850
· Created 2023-08-01 10:36:27

Condition
· If 4 Drawn Numbers are in the Set of 12 Numbers,
· Then at least 1 Combination has 3 Winning Numbers.

Numbers
· 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
· 01 03 07 16 24 39 43 47 54 59 62 66

Numbers Checked in Any Position
· 03 19 32 39 59

Matched 3 Numbers
· 03 39 59

Matched Distribution
· 0 1 2 3 4 5
· 3 7 4 1
__________________________________________________________________
01 03 07 54 62 » 1
03 07 39 47 59 » 3
43 54 59 62 66 » 1
01 07 16 43 66 » 0
01 03 43 59 66 » 2
03 16 24 43 47 » 1
03 07 16 39 62 » 2
07 24 54 59 62 » 1
01 39 43 47 54 » 1
03 24 39 62 66 » 2
01 16 24 59 62 » 1
16 24 47 54 66 » 0
07 24 47 62 66 » 0
16 39 54 59 62 » 2
07 24 39 43 54 » 1
__________________________________________________________________

The Original Wheel

Wheel
· Pick 5 of 12 Numbers used to
· Generate 15 Combinations from a
· Total of 792 Possible Combinations
· Build Time - 00:00:00.3850
· Created 2023-08-01 10:36:27

Condition
· If 4 Drawn Numbers are in the Set of 12 Numbers,
· Then at least 1 Combination has 3 Winning Numbers.

Numbers
· 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
· 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
__________________________________________________________________
01 02 03 09 11
02 03 06 08 10
07 09 10 11 12
01 03 04 07 12
01 02 07 10 12
02 04 05 07 08
02 03 04 06 11
03 05 09 10 11
01 06 07 08 09
02 05 06 11 12
01 04 05 10 11
04 05 08 09 12
03 05 08 11 12
04 06 09 10 11
03 05 06 07 09
__________________________________________________________________

The One Over None
I Know...
Wavepack

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Oct 4, 2023, 8:06 am

What end constraint of the last n draws did you use to generate the numbers in the table? Is n=3?

JADELottery

Eagle Sun

IA, MN, WI
United States
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December 7, 2001
5,177 Posts
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Oct 4, 2023, 8:32 am

Quote: Originally posted by Wavepack on Oct 4, 2023

What end constraint of the last n draws did you use to generate the numbers in the table? Is n=3?

The =DisimulateNexus(N, D, Z₁, Z₂) function is applied to each column individually.

Last Two Draws
∙	A	B	C	D	E	MB	MP
Z₂	15	30	35	42	60	16	4
Z₁	18	40	47	55	64	11	4

∙	D - Distribution
N - Number	A	B	C	D	E	MB	MP
01	45	0	0	0	0	23	0
02	39	3	0	0	0	21	230
03	50	6	0	0	0	20	234
04	41	8	1	0	0	28	125
05	24	11	1	0	0	19	29
06	29	10	3	0	0	19	0
07	37	12	0	0	0	19	0
08	40	12	1	1	0	17	0
09	26	15	2	0	0	30	0
10	32	20	5	1	0	25	0
11	23	18	6	0	0	33	0
12	16	18	3	1	0	24	0
13	16	18	9	1	0	29	0
14	21	26	10	0	0	25	0
15	22	22	8	1	0	23	0
16	15	20	8	2	0	20	0
17	17	24	10	3	1	27	0
18	13	14	12	5	2	30	0
19	7	20	11	5	0	28	0
20	14	21	14	3	0	23	0
21	10	13	10	5	0	23	0
22	6	26	8	3	1	34	0
23	8	12	13	2	1	19	0
24	6	23	13	5	0	29	0
25	7	15	19	5	2	30	0
26	4	15	19	4	0	0	0
27	5	11	14	9	2	0	0
28	7	13	17	7	1	0	0
29	9	13	21	6	2	0	0
30	4	15	18	6	1	0	0
31	2	16	23	10	3	0	0
32	2	12	14	11	2	0	0
33	6	13	14	8	2	0	0
34	6	12	13	9	3	0	0
35	0	11	12	11	0	0	0
36	2	11	14	10	1	0	0
37	1	13	20	8	2	0	0
38	1	12	13	20	7	0	0
39	2	3	20	10	7	0	0
40	1	8	20	13	4	0	0
41	1	8	13	16	4	0	0
42	0	4	14	24	6	0	0
43	0	11	11	18	11	0	0
44	0	5	17	20	6	0	0
45	0	6	9	14	9	0	0
46	1	1	16	27	9	0	0
47	0	4	17	12	8	0	0
48	0	2	12	23	11	0	0
49	0	1	6	14	7	0	0
50	0	2	10	12	10	0	0
51	0	0	7	17	9	0	0
52	0	2	5	21	15	0	0
53	0	2	16	16	14	0	0
54	0	2	4	21	10	0	0
55	0	0	5	12	20	0	0
56	0	0	8	16	17	0	0
57	0	0	4	16	23	0	0
58	0	1	7	17	20	0	0
59	0	1	2	18	24	0	0
60	0	0	6	13	20	0	0
61	0	0	4	19	21	0	0
62	0	1	1	16	30	0	0
63	0	0	2	12	26	0	0
64	0	0	0	12	41	0	0
65	0	0	2	9	22	0	0
66	0	0	1	5	39	0	0
67	0	0	0	5	32	0	0
68	0	0	0	5	36	0	0
69	0	0	0	3	33	0	0
70	0	0	0	0	41	0	0

A play line is made by selecting columns individually and there are no repeats in a sample play line.

∙	Nonordered								∙	Ordered
10000	DisimulateNexus(N, D, Z₁, Z₂)								∙
Index	A	B	C	D	E	MB	MP	Rad	∙	A	B	C	D	E	MB
1	16	09	29	35	64	12	3	35	∙	09	16	29	35	64	12
2	28	05	37	38	55	03	2	41	∙	05	28	37	38	55	03
3	32	05	29	17	70	16	2	60	∙	05	17	29	32	70	16
4	05	09	19	29	57	10	2	27	∙	05	09	19	29	57	10
5	12	27	10	55	23	22	3	51	∙	10	12	23	27	55	22
6	05	27	11	21	61	17	2	44	∙	05	11	21	27	61	17
7	03	19	22	35	66	20	5	51	∙	03	19	22	35	66	20
8	14	17	08	29	48	12	3	49	∙	08	14	17	29	48	12
9	02	12	05	27	43	18	5	19	∙	02	05	12	27	43	18
10	05	39	25	42	62	17	2	40	∙	05	25	39	42	62	17
11	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙
12	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙
13	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙	∙

The One Over None
I Know...

Wavepack

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Oct 4, 2023, 8:41 am

Was the distribution formed from a sum of 3 picks? Yes, it looks like you are constraining column by column on an ordered data set.

I implemented a bit differently in that I chose that max of the sample distribution (rather than simulate to get a high sample distribution approaching the expected distribution, assuming uniform random selection to form the expected distribution).
konane

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Oct 4, 2023, 8:47 am

Congratulations JADELottery, Wavepack, rcbbuckeye and Almost Dalvin Payne. Nice calls everyone.

Have fun and the best of luck to everyone!
JADELottery

Eagle Sun

IA, MN, WI
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December 7, 2001
5,177 Posts
Online

Oct 4, 2023, 8:49 am

Quote: Originally posted by Wavepack on Oct 4, 2023
Was the distribution formed from a sum of 3 picks? Yes, it looks like you are constraining column by column on an ordered data set.

I implemented a bit differently in that I chose that max of the sample distribution (rather than simulate to get a high sample distribution approaching the expected distribution, assuming uniform random selection to form the expected distribution).

The Nexus part of the Disimulation is based on a 3 Sum.

The One Over None
I Know...
Wavepack

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Oct 4, 2023, 8:56 am

From what I implemented and tested, it appears that using the sample distribution is not good enough. I'll re-implement with a simulated distribution and see if the test results improve.
JADELottery

Eagle Sun

IA, MN, WI
United States
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December 7, 2001
5,177 Posts
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Oct 4, 2023, 9:17 am

Quote: Originally posted by Wavepack on Oct 4, 2023
From what I implemented and tested, it appears that using the sample distribution is not good enough. I'll re-implement with a simulated distribution and see if the test results improve.

Yep, we worked that kind of simulation before.

An idealized distribution gives the general expectation, but doesn't incorporate any subtle fluctuations from the live data.

The One Over None
I Know...

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