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dr san

bgonÃ§alves
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Oct 1, 2024, 11:13 pm

What determines whether a lottery number has a high probability or low probability of being drawn? What types of tracking are necessary?
Stat$talker

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Oct 2, 2024, 2:11 am

Quote: Originally posted by dr san on Oct 1, 2024
What determines whether a lottery number has a high probability or low probability of being drawn? What types of tracking are necessary?

"What determines whether a lottery number has a high probability or low probability of being drawn? What types of tracking are necessary?"

Itz degree of Probability of course

Ya gonna need "The Equalizer" ....Nooo, not da one on TV...or da Moviez...yepp, the one on yo device'z screeen..

"STAT$TALKER"

They don't sayy Hanez, til I sayy, that they sayy Hanez"
dr san

bgonÃ§alves
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Oct 2, 2024, 6:17 am

ok stat thank you
hypersoniq

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Oct 2, 2024, 6:57 am

At face value, all numbers have an equal chance of being drawn.

A simple example from a pick n style game like the pick 3...

10 balls in each machine, each ball having a 10% expectancy of being drawn. With a 10% expectancy, your historic data will present as a uniform distribution rather than a bell curve because there is no probability higher than 10% for each number.

The only data you have is past draw results.

Numbers do not know if they are hot, cold or due. We are left trying to separate false patterns from actual trends.

Have an EXCELlent day!
Stat$talker

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Oct 2, 2024, 8:31 am

Quote: Originally posted by hypersoniq on Oct 2, 2024
At face value, all numbers have an equal chance of being drawn.

A simple example from a pick n style game like the pick 3...

10 balls in each machine, each ball having a 10% expectancy of being drawn. With a 10% expectancy, your historic data will present as a uniform distribution rather than a bell curve because there is no probability higher than 10% for each number.

The only data you have is past draw results.

Numbers do not know if they are hot, cold or due. We are left trying to separate false patterns from actual trends.

"because there is no probability higher than 10% for each number."

Nooope, NOT TRUE..

Possibilitiez (10%) & Probabilitiez (0-1).. are 2 different thangz..!!

Go read any good book on the subject, cauze naah you're spewin hyperbole ,. .hypersoniqly
hypersoniq

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Oct 2, 2024, 11:56 am

Favorable outcome =1

Possible outcomes = 10

In a daily game for each position in the combo. If you have no game history, the probability of your selected number coming out is 1:10

If you have the history, the observational probability will favor the numbers that have previously appeared with higher frequency, but there are no major leaders, over time they still settle in at ~10%. I look at the probabilities of all possible outcomes and this doesn't really change from a pick 2 through a pick 5...

Have an EXCELlent day!
Stat$talker

700 light yrs West of Milky Way Galaxy's Center
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Oct 2, 2024, 2:32 pm

Quote: Originally posted by hypersoniq on Oct 2, 2024
Favorable outcome =1

Possible outcomes = 10

In a daily game for each position in the combo. If you have no game history, the probability of your selected number coming out is 1:10

If you have the history, the observational probability will favor the numbers that have previously appeared with higher frequency, but there are no major leaders, over time they still settle in at ~10%. I look at the probabilities of all possible outcomes and this doesn't really change from a pick 2 through a pick 5...

"the probability of your selected number coming out is 1:10"

That'z POSSIBILITIEZ...(1:9, oddz not so good)..not Probabilitiez..

"Favorable outcome =1"

Noope..That meanz "Virtual CERTAINTY.

Heck, even cottoneyedjoe'z BROKEN Calculator figurez betta than that..... Ya may wanna ask'im to borrow it..

-Stat$talker
JustMaybe

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Oct 2, 2024, 9:04 pm

If I knew the answer, I would have won the 2B Powerball jackpot 😁

I believe winning the lottery jackpot is a 💯 % factor of luck.

May Fortuna, goddess of chance or lot vindicate me.