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Little math help....pick 3

Topic closed. 5 replies. Last post 14 years ago by everett.

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WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
Stone Mountain*Georgia
United States
Member #828
November 2, 2002
10491 Posts
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Posted: May 10, 2003, 5:57 am - IP Logged

Please fee

    Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
    Chief Bottle Washer
    New Jersey
    United States
    Member #1
    May 31, 2000
    23260 Posts
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    Posted: May 10, 2003, 6:08 am - IP Logged

    Moved to Pick 3 forum...

     

    Check the State Lottery Report Card
    What grade did your lottery earn?

     

    Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
    Help eliminate computerized drawings!

      LobsterClan's avatar - lobster01
      Gainesville, FL
      United States
      Member #1209
      March 1, 2003
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      Posted: May 10, 2003, 6:47 am - IP Logged

      I can't really answer your questions.. but I can add some interesting statistics, based on the Fundamental Formula of Gambling, which was discovered by the folks at www.saliu.com (it's currently down, but there is a link Here which is taken directly from there).

      The formula states that there is a 50% chance that a particular 3 digit number will fall within 692 draws.

      There is a 90% chance that a number will fall within 2,301 draws. There's a 99% chance a number will fall within 4,602 draws. And finally, there's a 99.9% chance that a number will fall within 6,904 draws.

      Remember though, even 99.9% is never 100%.. but I would say it's pretty unlikely you'll often go over 6,904 draws without a number appearing.

      Here in Florida, we have had a total of 5,485 draws, and there are  4 numbers which have never appeared.

      Anyways, I hope someone finds these statistics useful or at least interesting.

        LobsterClan's avatar - lobster01
        Gainesville, FL
        United States
        Member #1209
        March 1, 2003
        97 Posts
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        Posted: May 10, 2003, 10:49 am - IP Logged

        One more quick stat:

        If you are certain of one number appearing, there are 271 possible combinations for this "favorite number" to appear.

          JAP69's avatar - alas
          South Carolina
          United States
          Member #6
          November 4, 2001
          8790 Posts
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          Posted: May 10, 2003, 11:41 am - IP Logged

          WIN D,

          Do not know of any.
          You are maxed in your mailbox

          WHATT

            Pacific Northwest
            United States
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            March 6, 2003
            707 Posts
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            Posted: May 10, 2003, 12:36 pm - IP Logged

            Win D,

            My formulas might not look nice but I think these are the ways to calculate the answers.

            1) Return being the same as the same as a hit the expected return rate of a straight should be in PICK 3:

            1/10*1/10*1/10=1/1000 once every thousand draws

            2) 2 digit return: I assume you mean the return not in a specific location but somewhere within the number?

            The calculation for two DIFFERENT digits here would be

            6 * (1/10 * 1/10 * 8/10) + 6 * (1/10 * 1/10 * 1/10) = 0.054

            So the chances are 54 in 1000 or 1 about in about 19 to get a return or every 19 draws a 2 digit return should occur.

            The calculation for the SAME two digits would be

            3 * (1/10 * 1/10 * 9/10) + 1 * (1/10 * 1/10 * 1/10) = 0.028  

            The chances are 28 in 1000 or 1 in about 36 draws or every 36 drwas a 2 digit same digit return should happen.

            3) That average you mentioned is correct (depending of course on the number of draws rather than the year). Some states do not have draws on Sunday, some have Midday end Evening games.

            In average the hit per number per column is 1/10 or once every 10 draws which would be in 365 draws per year 36.5 times.

            Good Luck!