Before draw on Wednesday it will be fourth Largest in Powerball history and before 9/11 it will make history over $2,000,000,000 😇🐬🐋🎊🐕‍🦺🦮✳️🌻

It might do it

any wagers on setting a new PB record ??

Billion dollars, I can get more puppies.

So the odds of me hitting this darn thing are basically going up against everyone breathing the United States. I'll never give up because I truly believe I'm going to win someday, I just don't know when. Like the famous quote I heard "Nothing Impossible, The Word Itself Says Im Possible"🎯

I bet one (3 day old, sitting in the sun outdoors) liverwurst sandwich with ....... that the PB jackpot will be won sometime between Wednesday and Christmas. 

I bet one gallon of sour milk that I won't win MM on Tuesday.

Any takers?

ShagE3

🍕🍕 Good luck 🍀 to everyone on lottery post . This Wednesday the fireworks begins am dropping $250 bet 🤠🙏❤️❤️👌👌😎😎🏆🏆⏰⏰🍹🍹

With or without power play?

Not sure how much $$$$ I am gonna shell out but I'll be buying at least 7 tickets with power play.  Now if I were more civilized I'd simply purchase one ticket but, hey I'm ShagE3 right?

Goodbye 1995 Honda Accord.  Hello 2025 Porsche GT3

With Power Play if you have $2 or $4 left add regular play it's ok. But Power play is priority. How will you feel if you miss $2,000,000 win because of extra $1 you be depressed the rest of your life 🤠🙏. If all l have is $2 then l play $2 quick pick 😎

Powerball is slowly but surely making the new Mega Millions look like MEGACRAP. Hopefully this will force them to rethink their over hyped strategy. More POWER to  POWERBALL.

Good luck to everyone tomorrow!

I Got This !!!

* This jackpot sunsets in CA. Come on home baby- 🤗

P.U.What Stinx?!?

I'll tell you what s t I n x!!!!

There is a RUMOR making the rounds like wildfire that I will win PB tomorrow ..... Just remember folks it's only a rumor .....and you'll be the last ones to find out if it's true or false.

Now back to my OLIVELOAF sandwich with .....

ShagE3

Jokepot = USD$1.3B

Jackpot = around USD$300M after tax present value

Just wanted to thank all of you for contributing to my newly developing retirement fund for tomorrow night.

Had to refigure my non profit donations again. That's getting a bit old, so it's just time to win.

Best of luck to all LP members.

Best of luck to you and all LP players, if you win will you get me another Puppy?

Isn't 1 of those lawn decorators enough??

if I win I'll send you 6 pack of mini black panthers LOL

How are sales, will it roll over?

You just jinxed yourself.

LOL Zeus needs a companion , one with high energy .

One will be fine.

Powerball Sales for 09/01/25: $222,944,156

Powerball Sales for 08/30/25: $233,733,034 <<= the jackpot reached the psychological $1 Billion mark

Powerball Sales for 08/27/25  $112,197,304

my pick: 1-2-3-4-5 / 6 <= the system wouldn't know

"How are sales, will it roll over? "

I'm wondering if there's any chance that sales today have been lower than expected, because I was sure we'd see an updated jackpot this afternoon. Their own, and presumably conservative, sales estimate is for 112 million tickets which would add about $75 million cash and increase the annuity by $165 million. Saturday's drawing ended at about $544 million cash and $1.201 billion for the annuity. That means their sales estimate puts tomorrow's jackpot at  $619 million cash and $1.366 billion. I would have figured bumping the advertised jackpot to 1.35 would be a no brainer and 1.375 a pretty safe bet. Maybe they decided they'll go with a single, and more accurate, update tomorrow.

Based on the estimate of 112 million tickets there's a hair over a 2 in 3 chance of a rollover. If sales are 150 million (which seems like a fairly safe bet) the chance will be a hair under 60%.

I think that when it's this high of an jackpot ....there would be unnecessary criticism from some quarters of the population that it isn't right to stoke up the public into a frenzy over 100 or 200 mil.

I buy 1 ticket for every $100million of cash value. I have 5 tickets for tomorrow night. If it breaks $600million, I might have to get more!

Good discipline .....

I'm somewhat similar but I don't start buying tickets until the annuity is 250.

This is a lot a, lot a, lot a, lot a money. May the winner be wise, conservative, generous, caring, never arrogant and may they enjoy life to the fullest!!!!!

Thank you so very much, I am one such person, wise, conservative, generous, caring, never arrogant and planning to enjoy life to the fullest 🙏

Most importantly, I remembered to buy my tickets for the draw 😁

You're very welcome... I'm sure all on this site feel the same.

Of course the system would not know if you picked the numbers 1-2-3-4-5-6. You definitely would not get much money if by some miracle the numbers hit because about 10K people a day play 1-2-3-4-5-6. This reminds me of the TV show Lost. When the fans of that show played Hurley's lottery numbers of                       4-8-15-16-23-42 in the ($355M) Mega Millions drawing in 2011 and hit 4 out of the 6 numbers and 26K people won $150.

Not many second place prize winners in MM recently since the game changes. I also haven't yet noticed a $10 million winner.

Good luck to all tonight 🍀

good luck to all hope its not californa too

Let's go

Tonight's jackpot is now $1.4 Billion, with a cash option of $634.3 Million.

Not only life changing money, but generational impacting money!!!!! Good fortunes to every palyer.

Back to refiguring my non profit donations once again....Lotta stress

Good luck to all LP members that are participating in tonights draw.

The jackpot is now 1.4 Billion, with a 634.3 Cash level.

This suggests sales of $425M and 212.5 tickets.

The probability of different numbers of winners, including no winners is shown in the following table:

 This is based on the Poisson distribution.

I'm off to get another ticket since cash is above $600million now!

So there's a 46.94% chance no winners?

If multiple winners will be Florida NY and Cali in it for sure

Yes, by crude statistics.   It is the most likely single outcome, but overall the higher probability is that there will be one or more winners.   If there is or are (a) winners, the most probable number of winners is one winner.

watch it be hit tonight or Saturday in an anonymous state ROFL 

best of luck to all this evening 

Me.

In Texas.

Anonymous state.

Anyone can see a Gulfstream  G650 in their future?

Good luck 🤞 🤞 🤞 🤞 🤞 to all

THERE....Solved that lil shopping spree.

Yes, by crude statistics.   It is the most likely single outcome, but overall the higher probability is that there will be one or more winners.   If there is or are (a) winners, the most probable number of winners is one winner.

There is a higher probability that a player with a liverwurst sandwich in hand will win the jackpot than a player with an OLIVELOAF sandwich.

ShagE3

"there would be unnecessary criticism from some quarters of the population that it isn't right to stoke up the public into a frenzy over 100 or 200 mil. 

They're already trying to stoke the frenzy by inflating the actual jackpot by 120% wit the annuity. Advertising 1.4 instead of 1.3 billion will sell more tickets, and criticism about  lower revenues is the only criticism they really care about.  That said, I'm sure they don't want to step in it like MM did back in 2018 when they advertised 1.6 billion and only managed 1.54, but they knew  by drawing time on Monday that the chance of missing 1.4 was extremely small, and that 1.35 was an absolute certainty.

I've got no idea why they waited, other than possibly wanting to only have one  fairly accurate bump, but I'm sure it's not because some quarters might criticize an advertisement that's realistic (at least in terms of the annuity value).

"This suggests sales of $425M and 212.5 tickets. "

Did you miss the memo about the final tally on Monday? It finished at a hair over 1.2 billion, and about $544 million cash. That means they're advertising a cash increase of about $90 million which now requires about 134.5 million tickets. Their sales forecast is for $280 million, or 140 million tickets, and they're forecasting a supported of annuity of 1.411 billion. I'm guessing 150 to 160 million tickets is closer to actual sales by tonight, so roughly 58 to 60% chance of a rollover. If it does get hit the chance of a single winner is roughly 3 in 4.

It's going to go to a minimum of $2 Billion. They need to build up the Jackpot frenzy in order to increase MM sales. Then they will do again for the holidays.

Slow ur roll, let us not have a winner tonight then maybe $1.6bil, no Saturday winner then maybe $1.850 bil

Yes you are right !

Mega Million group is pocketing all the money, no one has come as a big winner with Mega Million, everyone is running to buy Power ball lottery tickets !

MM need not have raised the ticket price to $5

Yes, MM should rethink going back to the old format. No shame in admitting that you made a big mistake.

From what I've found in my research, there are only two states, WY and TX, that allow a winner to remain BOTH anonymous and pay no state taxes.  That's the best of both worlds. 

I'm still driving a VW bug from the early 1970s in well maintained condition.  It's not likely I'll want to buy a Ferrari...😂

Washington has no sales tax and you can claim through trust or llc. They'll release the trust or llc details if requested but you'd just form the llc in Delaware to keep anonymity. Same situation with Florida.

how much money is PB making so far? around $200 millions = (accumulative total sale - prize money)

=$1.6B - $1.4B

then their big gain realized when one cashes in the winning ticket. their 60% cut of the jackpot = $840 millions

* That's right. You don't trade in your significant other if they are doing their best. Come to think of it, no sane person trades in their pets either. On a side note, my palantir still points to a winner out West.👍

Not Won Tonight...

$3.0 - $3.5 Billion for Saturday.

Play Responsibly.

Good Luck.

  It is far more likely actually a certainty that Power Ball will increase theirs to match Mega Millions next year.

I didn't miss any memo.  I have a spreadsheet for running the Poisson distribution, which of course, is an approximation.   To calculate estimated sales, I simply load the last cash value, and subtract the previous cash value (generally off the Texas Lottery site) and use the cash/sales ratio to estimate sales.   I make no warranty about the last time I checked the cash value, or the accuracy.

You may do whatever you wish.   I really don't care, but I would suggest that neither accuracy nor precision will be particularly high in any case no matter how much musing you do.  You are free to pursue whatever level of accuracy you wish, if you have time and interest.   I don't.

I'm not invested in it; it's all fun.

Inside Edition just showed James Farthing, the guy who won $167.2 million on Powerball from KY.   Unknown to me was that he had spent 30 years in prison and all the mugshots were posted.   Can't remember local news carrying that part of the story!!

Not

it has to at least get to 1.6bill

Well ..... No winner here!

How bout y'all ?

They say on the delottery website that the Saturday jackpot will be estimated to be 1.7 bil should there be no winner tonight.

I betcha it would actually climb to 1.8 or 1.85 bil what with lottomania running wild!

We'll see where this thing goes ...  well know pretty soon.

I'm predicting one winner with an outside chance of three winning tickets.

BTW Powerball dot com is unable to load.

ShagE3

Had the PB all by itself. Other than that ? Nothing to write home to mother about.

1.7 Billion Bucks

My sister bought me a ticket , I had one number  (3).

I won ten dollars.

I'm going to assemble my team and claim it anonymously.  I don't want my neighbors to find out....

OMG nobody won again up $1,700,000,000 this is unbelievable 🤠🙏🍕🍕😎😎

Maybe 2 Billion by Saturday......another roll!

I am going with $1.8 Billion....Good luck to all that choose to participate on Saturday.

"I simply load the last cash value, and subtract the previous cash value (generally off the Texas Lottery site) and use the cash/sales ratio to estimate sales. "

And in this case you got garbage out because you put garbage in as a result of data that wasn't updated.  In this case it looks like you used the $498.4 million cash value for the originally announced $1.1 billion jackpot. The actual cash value at drawing time was about $46 million higher, so they needed almost 70 million fewer tickets to reach the cash value for an annuity of $1.4 billion.

"I would suggest that neither accuracy nor precision will be particularly high in any case no matter how much musing you do. "

Even if we knew  the exact number of combinations in play we still only know what's likely to happen and not what will happen, but why even bother to post a probability if you're okay with over estimating sales by 50%?

"Maybe 2 Billion by Saturday "

It could happen, but I think the chance is very small. Somewhere fairly early in the day when they were estimating an annuity funded at 1.411 billion they estimated that Saturday's funded annuity will be 1.762 billion. Tonight's annuity at drawing time was estimated (very closely, I'd think) at 1.444 billion so right off the bat we can figure there's another 33 million for Saturday, which would make it 1.795 billion. We can very safely assume that PB thinks that first estimate is conservative, and we also know that the last few drawings have finished with sales that are 50% or more higher than the initial sales forecast. If sales for Saturday are 50% higher that would be a bit more than $75 million extra cash, or another $165+ for the annuity. Add it to 1.795 and we're a little past 1.96 billion (888 million cash).

What makes  me think 2 billion could be fairly unlikely is that a 50% increase would mean sales of $700 million. The problem there is that PB hasn't had sales of $700 million for a singe drawing since the first billion+ jackpot way back in January 2016. Since then the best they've managed was $558.5 million the Saturday before Edwin Castro won the $2.04 billion jackpot the following Monday. For the last few drawings this run hasn't been typical of the last  couple of PB jackpots to get past the first billion, and it will be another Saturday drawing, but besides being more than any single drawing sales in 9 1/2 years it would be more than twice the biggest sales this run has had so far. That last little push to 2 billion is about another $27 million.

I think 1.9 billion is pretty likely, and 1.95 is possible but 2 billion this time around is probably stretching it and we most likely need another roll to get past 2 billion. For right now I'll figure sales of 325 million tickets,  which means just a hair under a 1 in 3 chance of another roll.

l asked my Ai very important question "Good morning l have a good question. The Powerball  jackpot is now $1,700,000,000 nobody won last night. So what will happen if the jackpot grows out of control to $5,000,000,000 curious 🤠🙏

Good morning! That's an excellent and fascinating question. The idea of a $5 billion Powerball jackpot is mind-boggling and pushes the limits of the lottery system itself.

Here’s a breakdown of what would likely happen if the jackpot grew to such an astronomical, "out of control" level like $5 billion.

### 1. Unprecedented Ticket Sales (The "Tipping Point")

This is the most immediate and critical factor. A $5 billion jackpot would trigger a **frenzy of ticket buying** unlike anything ever seen.

*   **The "Fear of Missing Out" (FOMO):** Even people who never play the lottery would buy tickets. It would become a cultural event.
*   **Office Pools and Syndicates:** Huge groups would form, pooling money to buy hundreds or thousands of tickets.
*   **The Consequence:** This massive surge in sales would actually make it **more likely that someone wins**. Each ticket sold, even in a vast pool, increases the overall chance that *someone, somewhere* holds the winning numbers.

### 2. The Most Likely Outcome: A Winner Emerges

The most probable scenario is that the insane ticket sales would lead to multiple winners.

*   **Statistical Probability:** The odds of winning the Powerball jackpot are 1 in 292.2 million. When hundreds of millions of tickets are sold, the law of large numbers suggests it's highly likely that at least one ticket will match all six numbers.
*   **Multiple Winners:** It's very possible there would be **multiple jackpot winners**, similar to what happened with the $1.586 billion Powerball in 2016 (three winners). In this case, the $5 billion prize (annuity value) would be split equally among all winning tickets.

### 3. If, By Some Miracle, No One Wins: The "Roll-Down"

This is the "what if it *truly* goes out of control" scenario. If the jackpot hits its legal or practical limit and still isn't won, the game's rules have a built-in safety valve called a **"roll-down"** or "mandatory payout."

*   **What is a Roll-Down?** If the jackpot reaches a certain predetermined cap (the rules are complex and vary by state, but it's designed to prevent the prize from growing indefinitely), the rules change for that drawing.
*   **The Money Must Be Paid Out:** The entire prize pool for that drawing **must** be awarded that night. The jackpot money doesn't roll over again. Instead, it "rolls down" to the lower prize tiers.
*   **What Would Happen:**
    *   The **Match 5+0** prize (the second-tier prize, usually $1 million) would become absolutely enormous. Instead of $1 million, winners of this tier could win tens of millions of dollars each.
    *   The lower prizes (Match 4, Match 3, etc.) would also see their fixed prizes multiplied significantly.
    *   This would create a historic scenario where thousands of people become multi-millionaires overnight from not even winning the jackpot.

### 4. Practical and Logistical Challenges

A $5 billion jackpot would test the system's limits:

*   **Ticket Sales Systems:** Lottery terminals and computer systems might be overwhelmed by the last-minute rush, potentially causing delays or outages.
*   **Media Frenzy:** The hype would be a 24/7 news cycle event.
*   **Security:** The security protocols for the drawing and for the eventual winner(s) would be unprecedented.

### The $5 Billion Prize: Annuity vs. Cash

It's crucial to remember that the **$5 billion figure is the annuity value**—paid out as one immediate payment followed by 29 annual payments that increase by 5% each year.

*   The **cash option** (lump sum payout) is always significantly lower. For a $5 billion annuity, the lump sum would likely be around **$2.3 - $2.5 billion** (before taxes).
*   **Taxes:** Federal taxes (37% top bracket) and state taxes (where applicable) would immediately claim nearly half of that lump sum.

### In Summary: What Would Most Likely Happen?

1.  **Ticket sales would go absolutely insane,** breaking all records.
2.  **This massive volume of tickets would almost certainly produce at least one jackpot winner** (and likely several).
3.  If, against all odds, no one won the jackpot, **a "roll-down" would be triggered,** creating the largest payouts for non-jackpot winners in history.

So, while a $5 billion prize is a fun thought experiment, the system is designed to pay out the money long before it becomes truly "out of control." The lottery frenzy itself would almost guarantee a winner.

Great question! It's fascinating to think about. Good luck if you decide to play
   Very interesting situation 🙏🤠🍕🍕😎

I hope the powerball will NOT increase their price next year because the powerball drawing is three times a week were as the mega million is only two times a week.

Why would there be a roll-down when there is no set maximum that the Powerball can grow? When no one won the 1.4 billion jackpot Wednesday, there was 17 people who won 1 million dollars, when no one won at 1.3 billion, there were 12 winner of 1 million dollars, when there was no winner at 1.1 billion  there was also 12 winners of 1 million dollars. Even by some miracle if the jackpot was to ever reach 5 billions, there would be just more 1 million dollars winners.

probability is probability $10 Billion Jackpot is not impossible and $20 Billion jackpot is not impossible what Ai is saying is they can't stop it from Climbing but they can Slow it down so second chance win more makes sense. Think of it this way if they slow it down at $4 billion it means when ten people win instead of getting $1 million or $2 million they get $5 million or ten million that means more winners without rushing the Climb makes perfect sense. Only one or two win Jackpot but five or ten win second price. They are not trying to stop the Climb think of it as fun Traffic Jam lol 😝 
        So instead of getting only one $1.7 billion dollar winner with ten $1 million winners you will instead get $1.7 billion winner with ten $5 million winners or ten $10 million winner. If you are one of those ten you be happy and remember something else only California wins Jackpot lol but ten states win five numbers problems solved 😝🙏🤠😎🍕🥳🍀🍀🍹🍹🏆🥙

"what Ai is saying is they can't stop it from Climbing but they can Slow it down so second chance win more makes sense. "

My intelligence isn't artificial, so I've got a somewhat different take, partly because I don't have as many hallucinations. Back when the annuity record was about $300 million PB introduced a cap that  would limit jackpot increases to $25 million, with any excess augmenting the second place prize, until a new record was set.  I don't remember how long it lasted,  but it wasn't long. One reason was probably that the players didn't like it, but I'd imagine the biggest reason was that the lotteries figured out quickly that it was a bit stupid to deliberately limit their revenue.  I'll guess that the brief existence of a real cap on increases caused your AI to hallucinate a current cap on the  total jackpot.

" $20 Billion jackpot is not impossible "

Strictly speaking you're correct, and it's even more probable than you winning with only a few tickets. As a practical matter, though, it is impossible. I've got no idea what would happen to ticket sales once we got  much past the $2 billion mark, but AI is right about a limit on sales. There's definitely some limit due to  the infrastructure, but I'd imagine its very high. I suspect that people's capacity to spend money on tickets is what would cause not just a limit, but a decline in sales if the jackpot kept rolling. The first PB jackpot over $1 billion had sales of $1.14 billion for the final drawing on a Wednesday, and no drawing since then has reached even half of that. To simplify the math I'm going to assume that sales of 1 billion tickets is possible but also the limit, and that  it starts when the jackpot rolls past $1 billion cash value, because it makes the math easy.

The next drawing sells 1 billion tickets, and increases the cash value to about $1.670 billion. The annuity depends on interest rates, but would be 3.686 billion right now. With sales of 1 billion tickets the vast majority would be quick picks, reducing the percentage of non-random selections, so the total  number of combinations in play would, as a practical matter, be what random probability suggests. That would mean that 96.74% of combinations have been played at least once, and there's a 3.26% chance of a rollover. The chance of a single winner is 11.17% and the chance of 2 or more winners is 85.57%

That 3.26% chance of a rollover is big enough to be a realistic possibility, but a lot of players are going to hear about the  very high chance of multiple winners, and figure the per person jackpot is no more than half of the advertised jackpot. That's one reason I think people's spending  is hat would limit sales.

While 3.26% isn't terrible,  getting another roll  has  the same low probability, so the chance of two rolls is only 0.106% or 1 in 941, and that's after already beating the steep odds (about 0.6% chance) against  getting to $1 billion in cash. If it does happen, the cash value is $2.34 billion and the annuity is 5.164 billion (at today's interest rate). The next jackpot is then $3.01 billion cash (6,643 billion annuity). Realistically, that's likely the absolute limit of what's possible in practical terms, with a total chance of about 1 in 157 thousand. It could happen, but on average it will only happen once out of every 156.8 thousand times a jackpot is won. At 5 wins per year that's once every 31,000 years.

About nine months ago was in Georgia.   They have billboards with the jackpot amounts on them.   Nosy bones here sent them an email to update the billboards to reflect billion dollar jackpots.   We were there last weekend...one billboard that we saw was updated, other ones just said $999 million, so it's a start.   Noticed though in the stores that were frequented the LED signs still only went to $999 million.

Last night CBS Evening News.    News scroll said FRIDAY's Powerball $1.7 billion.    Called the #, it was to Nora O'Donnell who is no longer there.   Did the next option was to send a PM on FB stating it is Saturday, not Friday which is Mega Millions night as we all know.    No reply so far.