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• fxsterling

  

  BILOXI, MISSISSIPPI
  United States
  Member #19,650
  August 3, 2005
  621 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 17, 2005, 12:18 pm

  ▲▼

  i may be off            but help me out 
• sagan

  

  Blaine WA
  United States
  Member #17,274
  June 15, 2005
  117 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 17, 2005, 4:30 pm

  ▲▼

  isn't the actual draw amount reflected by the number of tickets sold ?

  the odds do not mean much to those who win the jackpot
• fxsterling

  

  BILOXI, MISSISSIPPI
  United States
  Member #19,650
  August 3, 2005
  621 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 17, 2005, 4:53 pm

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  i used #'s from last run            some one should know    better#'s
• twisted

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #2,376
  September 25, 2003
  582 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 17, 2005, 4:53 pm

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  I agree with your jackpot estimates until draw #15. I think the jackpot estimate for draw #14 will be $210 million and will be re-estimated to $220 million. The estimated jackpot for draw #15 will be $300 million and will be re-estimated before the draw to around $315 million.

  The impact of California sales will be magnifiedwhen the jackpot reaches $200 million. Because California has never seen a $200+ million jackpot. Also, as time passes, more Californians are becoming aware of MM and that will result in higher sales over time.  (IMO)
  
• JimmySand9

  

  United States
  Member #1,826
  July 11, 2003
  2,645 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 17, 2005, 5:09 pm

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  I think there are going to be a lot more winners with California in the mix. This run, I think, will end around $100M. It'll be a while before we see a $200M jackpot from any game.
  

  (insert signature here)
• ryanm

  

  Morrison, IL
  United States
  Member #4,657
  May 13, 2004
  1,885 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 17, 2005, 5:51 pm

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    Sales should go back up as more players settle into the new matrix

    Yeah, I think the jackpot will be won around $100 million as usual, but I voted for $450+ million!
• weshar75

  

  Mcminnville, Oregon
  United States
  Member #3,013
  December 13, 2003
  6,173 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 17, 2005, 11:22 pm

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  I am thinking that this run will go to the 205 million range and then get hit.  At least I am hoping for a long run so maybe I will get to take a trip to vancouver for a record mega millions ticket.  Will see if lady luck is going to give out a record or just another winner.
• dvdiva

  

  United States
  Member #2,338
  September 17, 2003
  2,063 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 18, 2005, 12:04 am

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  I think the amount between  15 and 16 is too great. I do think that it will be hit well below the record though.
  
• Tnplayer805

  

  North Dakota
  United States
  Member #13,397
  April 5, 2005
  1,623 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 18, 2005, 2:42 am

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  Really no one knows.  It's luck of the draw.  It might be won on the next draw or it could make a record.  Be optimistic when thinking about jackpot games guys.  It can very well happen.

  How are you going to win if you don't play?
• Chewie

  

  Sparta, NJ
  United States
  Member #18,330
  July 9, 2005
  1,977 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 18, 2005, 1:50 pm

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  I, for one, would like to see 10 or 15 hits that peak at $100M or less. Two things would happen. Ten to fifteen people would get rich, and the Lottery Directors would start whinning about the bonus impact. Be great to see the "people" win for a change.

  

  |||::> *'`*:-.,_,.-:*''*:--->>> Chewie  <<<---.*''*:-.,_,.-:*''* <:::|||

  I only trust myself - and that's a questionable choice
• ryanm

  

  Morrison, IL
  United States
  Member #4,657
  May 13, 2004
  1,885 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 18, 2005, 3:48 pm

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    It would be interesting to see what would happen to MM sales if they got such a lucky string of winners like Powerball did earlier this year.
• Bradly_60

  

  Atlantic Mine, Michigan
  United States
  Member #416
  June 23, 2002
  1,614 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 18, 2005, 5:33 pm

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  With the odds as they are now we have a chance to get more $200 m jackpots.  I like when they get high just because of all the attention that is paid to them.  I mean look at what happened when Jack Whitiker (sp) won that jackpot.  He was on every morning show and everything.  And when they get high a lot of people start winning the 2nd and 3rd tier prizes which aren't to shabby now.  Let's look forward to a record run.

  FYI:  Even though California joined NY still has the highest sales.

  Brad
• sagan

  

  Blaine WA
  United States
  Member #17,274
  June 15, 2005
  117 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 18, 2005, 7:08 pm

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  is there a place to go to  to find out how many tickets are sold for each draw

  the odds do not mean much to those who win the jackpot
• Chewie

  

  Sparta, NJ
  United States
  Member #18,330
  July 9, 2005
  1,977 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 18, 2005, 9:21 pm

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  The way I figure it, if I don't win tomorrow, it will go atleast until Tuesday. If I don't win Tuesday, it will go until next Friday ......

  

  |||::> *'`*:-.,_,.-:*''*:--->>> Chewie  <<<---.*''*:-.,_,.-:*''* <:::|||

  I only trust myself - and that's a questionable choice
• Bradly_60

  

  Atlantic Mine, Michigan
  United States
  Member #416
  June 23, 2002
  1,614 Posts
  Offline
  Aug 18, 2005, 9:30 pm

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  Sagan...go to lottoreport.com and click on Mega Millions sales by state

  Brad