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Heads/Tails /probablity

Topic closed. 49 replies. Last post 10 years ago by JADELottery.

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cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
The Carolinas - Charlotte
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September 12, 2005
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Posted: October 18, 2006, 7:30 pm - IP Logged

Odd/Even LDR: +$1,000

Total profit = $3,700

The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

Stooges

    cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
    The Carolinas - Charlotte
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    Posted: October 18, 2006, 7:34 pm - IP Logged

    Mostly -to-All High/Low: $0

    Total profit = $3,700

    The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

    Stooges

      cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
      The Carolinas - Charlotte
      United States
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      September 12, 2005
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      Posted: October 18, 2006, 7:34 pm - IP Logged

      Mostly-to-All In/Out: +$400

      Total profit = $4,100

      The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

      Stooges

        WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
        Stone Mountain*Georgia
        United States
        Member #828
        November 2, 2002
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        Posted: October 18, 2006, 7:38 pm - IP Logged

        here's a good example Keith ....

         WV ..... has had a digit 1 or 7 in it for 8 days in a row OK?  Now what does that mean to us? Well, it means all the numbers have come from a SPECIAL group called the 1/7 group ..... There are ruffly 50% or about 48% of the 1000 chart in that group ok?  So tonight I played the other side.... not all of the other side mind you.... just the Singles... no doubles or trips.  I am going to gamble on no doubles and hold my cost down ...yes.

          Here they are the single numbers that make up the other half.

          There are 56 of them ..... there are 64 on the other side.

          Wish me Luck.... and hope no double kills me.

         028, 046, 235, 389, 569, 029, 038, 056, 236, 245, 489, 039, 048, 246, 345, 589, 049, 058, 238, 256, 346, 689, 059, 068, 239, 248, 356, 023, 069, 249, 258, 348, 456, 024, 259, 268, 349, 358, 025, 034, 089, 269, 359, 368, 458, 026, 035, 369, 459, 468, 036, 045, 234, 289, 469, 56

         

         If I did this for a living.... I would cover all the doubles too..... and have enough in my poke to fade this for 3 plays. Here are the ..... yukky doubles. I did not play.

         000, 055, 226, 244, 299, 334, 488, 668, 335, 344, 399, 588, 669, 002, 066, 228, 255, 336, 444, 499, 688, 003, 229, 355, 445, 599, 004, 022, 266, 338, 446, 455, 699, 888, 005, 339, 366, 555, 889, 006, 033, 088, 222, 448, 466, 556, 899, 223, 449, 566, 999, 008, 044, 099, 224, 233, 288, 558, 666, 009, 225, 333, 388, 559

        Wish me Luck.... and hope no double kills me.

         028, 046, 235, 389, 569, 029, 038, 056, 236, 245, 489, 039, 048, 246, 345, 589, 049, 058, 238, 256, 346, 689, 059, 068, 239, 248, 356, 023, 069, 249, 258, 348, 456, 024, 259, 268, 349, 358, 025, 034, 089, 269, 359, 368, 458, 026, 035, 369, 459, 468, 036, 045, 234, 289, 469, 56

         

            Heh.... no double!  Winner 624 WV  Thumbs Up

         

         

        The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                      Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                      Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                               Win d    

          cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
          The Carolinas - Charlotte
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          September 12, 2005
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          Posted: October 18, 2006, 7:38 pm - IP Logged

          Mostly-to-All Odd/Even: +$400

          Total profit = $4,500

           

          That is all for those 11 systems that I provided. That is an incredible income for one State/Draw. Especially considering that I lost once! What I would do is wait until 7, then play at the prescribed progression. And then once I have lost 3 straight draws (which would make it "out" 10 straight draws), then I would quit and start over. Now, I would start over and play the 11th draw at the beginning of the progression. If I hadn't lost, I'd probably be up nearly $8,000!!!

          The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

          Stooges

            cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
            The Carolinas - Charlotte
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            Posted: October 18, 2006, 7:39 pm - IP Logged

            Way to go Chaz!! You won, what, $23.50?

            The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

            Stooges

              cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
              The Carolinas - Charlotte
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              Posted: October 18, 2006, 7:40 pm - IP Logged

              One thing I noticed today was that in SC Evening, the 1 & 5 were both out 7 draws...that sucker hit tonight at 855!!

              The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

              Stooges

                WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
                Stone Mountain*Georgia
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                Posted: October 18, 2006, 7:50 pm - IP Logged

                Sure....  and only 36 numbers in the 1/5 doubles group too!

                 If ya gambled and didn't play the 64 singles in the 1/5 group you would only had to put out  9 bucks.... win 75.00   net $66.00

                  The doubles of the 1/5 group 

                 055, 118, 001, 119, 155, 335, 588, 011, 255, 111, 166, 355, 445, 599, 112, 455, 005, 113, 122, 177, 555, 114, 556, 115, 133, 188, 557, 566, 116, 558, 117, 144, 199, 225, 559, 577

                 

                 Heck.... even if you played all  the singles in the1/5 group too .... all 64 ..... you would have still netted $50.00 ! Nice one..

                 

                 

                The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                              Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                              Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                                       Win d    

                  Thoth's avatar - binary
                  Findlay, Ohio
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                  Posted: October 19, 2006, 3:00 am - IP Logged

                  I have done  many tests on various 50/50 splits within the Pick 3.  The amount of historical data I used is nothing short of empirical.  I don't have my charts and graphs here right now to show everything, but the results I attained were somewhat depressing—although I pretty much expected them to be that way.

                  Very few 50% chances lose 13 times or more.  13 flips may seem to be a cut of point, or a most probabable time for things to go the other way, but the fact of the matter is that the two possibilites will split about 50/50.... no matter how long the streak has lasted.  When you watch a long losing streak unfold and then see your desired outcome finally occur, it may seem like it was supposed to happen...as if it was just too improbable to continue on, but this is really only due to perception because the event is so rare that you don't see it happen too often.  Take a step back and look at the situation for what it really is. 

                  Count how many times a 50/50 chance has done the following:

                  Losing streak of 6: how many will lose on the 7th, how many will win?

                  LLLLLL
                  LLLLLLL
                  LLLLLLW

                   

                  Losing streak of 7: how many will lose on the 8th and how many will win? 

                  LLLLLLL?
                  LLLLLLLL
                  LLLLLLLW

                   

                  Losing streak of 8: how many will lose on the 9th and how many will win? 

                  LLLLLLLL?
                  LLLLLLLLL
                  LLLLLLLLW

                   

                  Losing streak of 9: how many will lose on the 10th and how many will win? 

                  LLLLLLLLL?
                  LLLLLLLLLL
                  LLLLLLLLLW

                   

                  Losing streak of 10: how many will lose on the 11th and how many will win? 

                  LLLLLLLLLL?
                  LLLLLLLLLLL
                  LLLLLLLLLLW

                   

                  Repeat the same scenario all the way up to 15 consecutive losses or more.  You should be able to find several that high if you use a large enough history.  In every instance that I tested, losing streak (and even winning streaks) split both ways about 50/50.

                  Find 20 or so losing streaks of 13. Half will win and the other half will continue to become the 14th loss in a row.

                  Many of the posts I write talk about long-out digits and how they are "due" or are currently within a 99% mark.  For me say that the same rule don't apply to 50/50 chances would be kinda hypocritical, but it does seem to me that this particular "odd" has some how exempted itself from the rest of the game.   

                  ~Probability=Odds in Motion~

                    Thoth's avatar - binary
                    Findlay, Ohio
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                    Posted: October 19, 2006, 3:34 am - IP Logged

                    ...But then again, if on the 6th consecutive loss you plan on at least on win by (and including) the 10th try,  you do have a 93.75% chance of success.  Of course, this can be said for any set of 4 consecutive 50/50 tries—no matter what lies behind it.

                    Perhaps it might be more efficient to break that 50/50 down into smaller odds, such as 1/4, 1/8 and 1/16 and try to predict the clusters....---xx-x--xxx--x-x-xx----xx--xxxx.  Gonna have to play with this when I get some time.

                    ~Probability=Odds in Motion~

                      Pale Rider's avatar - prcm1
                      New Member
                      Daytona Beach, FL
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                      Posted: October 19, 2006, 7:07 am - IP Logged

                      Idea  Have been watching this thread with great interest and while researching and testing noticed a set which I'd like to present today for analysis and as a possible upcoming play:

                      10/19/06 Ohio Evening Last 10 Drawings

                      10/18 886
                      10/17 699
                      10/16 187
                      10/14 670
                      10/13 255
                      10/12 563
                      10/11 748
                      10/10 574
                      10/09 115
                      10/07 558

                      Main Factors:

                      Last 8 Draws - Mostly High
                      Last 6 Draws - Middle Digit High

                      Secondary Considerations:

                      #3 out 5 draws, #4 Out 6 draws
                      #3 only hit 1 time in past 15 draws
                      #0 missing as 1st digit for 28 draws
                      #3 missing as 1st digit for 26 draws
                      Last 2 draws and 3 of last 5 Drawings contained doubles

                        WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
                        Stone Mountain*Georgia
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                        Posted: October 19, 2006, 9:51 am - IP Logged

                        Thank you very much Pale Rider that one looks very interesting to me because of the Doubles. Seeing 2 doubles in a row is good because it takes the pressure off playing the doubles as insurance. So we get to knock off 27% of the chart there right off the bat. So we are down to 720 that includes subtracting trips.  

                         General Rommel liked to come in right behind Sand storms in the Africa campaign..... He would always surprise the opposing army as they came up from digging out of their fox holes.  Surprise.... Guttentag!  

                                      I like doubles as my sand storms.  LOL

                          If we go opposite the mostly high digits ...to mostly low to all low we can cut the numbers down again by Half. So 720/2 =360 

                         Rider...  notice this. There is a hidden string of connected digits. The digits 5,,6,,or 8 have been in every single number for several nights. I call this connected string.... the "String Three". This can be used effectively in one of 2 ways...if you think it will continue as Hot ..or if you think all 3 are about to stop suddenly. Either way ....it cuts down your plays a lot. Your call...

                         Well.... the 6 high digits in the middle cuts  it down to Lows in the middle only .....that cuts it by half again....   It would be better if it were 7 in a row but.. we will take it. 

                         Another angle... a small stack has been missing 3 digits for 4 days in a row. That means 66% of the 1000 chart has been missing that contains one of those 3 digits. I call them the "Key Three"  and Digits  4,,,3,,and 2 have been skipped 4 days in a row. I like to wait for at 5 days in a row before assuming that 66% containing those 3 digits of the 1000 chart is due or really ripe to play that day.  

                         Sorry for the length....  I do this a lot faster in my head... LOL  

                         

                         If you ASSume.. the String of three repeating digits (5-6-8)will continue today with at least one of those included in the plays your 30 remaining singles would look like this...

                          028, 046, 136, 145, 235, 038, 128, 146, 236, 245, 048, 138, 246, 345, 148, 238, 346, 248, 348, 015, 016, 025, 026, 035, 125, 018, 036, 045, 126, 135

                           If you think the Three string will break today.... and will not cantain any numbers using a 5,,6,,or 8 in the Singles plays it would look like this ..... 

                             019, 037, 127, 029, 047, 137, 039, 129, 147, 237, 012, 049, 139, 247, 013, 149, 239, 347, 014, 023, 249, 024, 123, 349, 034, 124, 017, 134, 027, 234

                         

                          Now.... because the tardy digits or KEY Three digits that are out have been the 4,,3,,and 2 pay particular attention to numbers in both groups that have one of those KEY Three

                         

                         

                        The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                                      Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                                      Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                                               Win d    

                          cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
                          The Carolinas - Charlotte
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                          Posted: October 19, 2006, 1:38 pm - IP Logged

                          ...But then again, if on the 6th consecutive loss you plan on at least on win by (and including) the 10th try,  you do have a 93.75% chance of success.  Of course, this can be said for any set of 4 consecutive 50/50 tries—no matter what lies behind it.

                          Perhaps it might be more efficient to break that 50/50 down into smaller odds, such as 1/4, 1/8 and 1/16 and try to predict the clusters....---xx-x--xxx--x-x-xx----xx--xxxx.  Gonna have to play with this when I get some time.

                          Well put Thoth. My theory is to use a high enough cut-off to allow myself a good chance of winning, and then only playing for 2 or 3 more draws before stopping that series. As you can see, I have only tested one state. I plan on testing others, but it is time consuming to say the least. Very interesting post nonetheless. Thank you.

                          The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

                          Stooges

                            cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
                            The Carolinas - Charlotte
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                            Posted: October 19, 2006, 1:41 pm - IP Logged

                            That's a lengthy analysis, Chaz. This will be interesting to see how it shakes out. I wonder how my OH (Mid) worked out today...

                            The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

                            Stooges

                              WIN  D's avatar - q05Q0
                              Stone Mountain*Georgia
                              United States
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                              Posted: October 19, 2006, 2:20 pm - IP Logged

                              If you think the Three string will break today.... and will not cantain any numbers using a 5,,6,,or 8 in the Singles plays it would look like this ..... 

                                   019, 037, 127, 029, 047, 137, 039, 129, 147, 237, 012, 049, 139, 247, 013, 149, 239, 347, 014, 023, 249, 024, 123, 349, 034, 124, 017, 134, 027, 234

                               

                                Now.... because the tardy digits or KEY Three digits that are out have been the 4,,3,,and 2 pay particular attention to numbers in both groups that have one of those KEY Three

                               

                               

                               

                                  Well the string did snap on those 5,6,8,digits !

                              Now then.... my favorite game plan comes up for Friday too. Pick 3 roulette playing aginst the Zero/one group to start off with. 10 in a row on RED right now..  I think I can wait a couple of days.. to see if continues...  NOT .   LOL 

                                What a lock.

                               

                               

                              The only real failure .....is the failure to try.                               

                                                            Luck is a very rare thing....... Odds not so much. 

                                                            Odds never change .....but probability does. 

                                                                                                                     Win d