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Developing a winning MegaMillions System

Topic closed. 1111 replies. Last post 6 years ago by Stack47.

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RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
mid-Ohio
United States
Member #9
March 24, 2001
19828 Posts
Offline
Posted: October 3, 2008, 11:00 pm - IP Logged

I was too late tonight.

01 12 16 31 44 +02
08 15 34 38 46 +35
06 25 26 41 54 +05
17 21 40 55 56 +21
19 27 30 32 51 +01
11 18 22 24 36 +10
16 19 36 46 49 +07
12 18 30 41 55 +41
08 25 28 32 56 +30
01 11 20 27 49 +12
17 20 35 51 54 +22
15 22 42 43 50 +15
06 24 38 39 42 +42
11 28 34 35 40 +11
12 24 27 29 43 +40

 * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
   
             Evil Looking       

    fja's avatar - gnome1

    United States
    Member #91
    January 19, 2002
    11931 Posts
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    Posted: October 4, 2008, 8:53 am - IP Logged

    My theory worked in reverse,,,I covered 25 wb and 20 mb numbers without picking one right !

    surprisingly I had a small victory

    "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

      Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
      CT
      United States
      Member #61398
      May 21, 2008
      781 Posts
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      Posted: October 4, 2008, 11:21 am - IP Logged

      RESULT: 13,28,32,41,52 +16

      My picks:

      1. 01-02-16-35-43 +30
      2. 01-06-19-29-43 +36
      3. 01-12-22-39-47 +37
      4. 02-23-30-43-52 +39
      5. 02-25-32-46-53 +38
      6. 06-08-20-35-51 +2
      7. 06-25-28-44-54 +7
      8. 08-12-17-32-36 +33
      9. 08-13-24-41-47 +26
      10. 09-20-31-39-49 +4
      11. 09-24-29-44-50 +40
      12. 11-20-30-36-47 +3
      13. 11-22-29-35-49 +17
      14. 11-25-31-41-55 +46
      15. 12-23-31-44-53 +35
      16. 13-17-19-28-51 +44
      17. 13-19-23-36-50 +13
      18. 16-17-30-41-54 +11
      19. 16-24-39-46-52 +5
      20. 22-28-32-46-55 +32

      Well I managed to get all 5 WB's in my pool, but did not hti the MB.  The best was three 2+0's.

        Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
        CT
        United States
        Member #61398
        May 21, 2008
        781 Posts
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        Posted: October 4, 2008, 1:05 pm - IP Logged

        That 16 MB was unexpected, eh?

        MB #16 was:

        - 32nd most frequent

        - Last appeared 9/25/2007 and then 9/22/2006 before that

        - Skip of 107 draws

        - 40th ranked 'Due' out of 46 (with my calculation)

        - 2nd longest out, only to #31 which hasn't been seen since 6/8/2007

          RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
          mid-Ohio
          United States
          Member #9
          March 24, 2001
          19828 Posts
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          Posted: October 4, 2008, 1:56 pm - IP Logged

          01 12 16 31 44 +02
          08 15 34 38 46 +35
          06 25 26 41 54 +05
          17 21 40 55 56 +21
          19 27 30 32 51 +01
          11 18 22 24 36 +10
          16 19 36 46 49 +07
          12 18 30 41 55 +41
          08 25 28 32 56 +30
          01 11 20 27 49 +12
          17 20 35 51 54 +22
          15 22 42 43 50 +15
          06 24 38 39 42 +42
          11 28 34 35 40 +11
          12 24 27 29 43 +40

          The downside of a system that wins something 85% of the time is 15% of the time it wins nothing.  Bonus #16 went 107 official drawings without a hit so not playing it those 107 drawings put you ahead of the curve, but nothing last for ever.

           * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
             
                       Evil Looking       

            JKING's avatar - Kaleidoscope 3.gif

            United States
            Member #5599
            July 13, 2004
            1185 Posts
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            Posted: October 4, 2008, 5:18 pm - IP Logged

            Hi,

              I would like to complement you and all that have participated in this thread.  It has stayed on topic, it's constructive and informative. It really is the optimum model of what threads on the LP should be.

            Thanks again.

            You are a slave to the choices you have made.  jk

            Even a blind squirrel will occasioanlly find an acorn.

              RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
              mid-Ohio
              United States
              Member #9
              March 24, 2001
              19828 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: October 5, 2008, 12:32 pm - IP Logged

              Hi,

                I would like to complement you and all that have participated in this thread.  It has stayed on topic, it's constructive and informative. It really is the optimum model of what threads on the LP should be.

              Thanks again.

              Thanks JKING,

              It was suggested in past threads that many LP members have ideas and strategies that improved their odds of winning and that sharing them with with others might produce even better ones.  This thread is my attempt to do that.  I picked MegaMillions because it's a game played in my state (Ohio) and eleven other states and I believe that while many games share similarities, each is unique.

              Stew12 pointed out that he did better using a similar strategy with PowerBall which suggests that strategies have to be adjusted for the uniqueness of the game you're playing.  I'm learning there is no one size fit all lottery strategy for every game unless you're buying a few QPs or playing your favorite numbers which may be the better strategy.

              Even if buying a few QPs is the better strategy, for me it can't be as entertaining as picking my own numbers/combinations.

               * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                 
                           Evil Looking       

                fja's avatar - gnome1

                United States
                Member #91
                January 19, 2002
                11931 Posts
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                Posted: October 7, 2008, 6:33 am - IP Logged
                  01-03-28-41-47+22
                  01-04-07-45-56+10
                  01-05-13-33-53+36
                  01-20-27-32-37+15
                  02-03-10-13-20+44
                  02-04-32-33-52+07
                  02-05-28-50-56+38
                  02-07-27-39-47+04
                  03-04-37-43-50+09
                  03-05-07-32-42+17
                  03-27-52-53-56+43
                  03-33-36-39-45+41
                  04-05-20-39-41+30
                  04-13-27-28-36+25
                  05-36-37-47-52+32
                  07-13-41-43-52+33
                  07-20-36-50-53+16
                  10-32-36-41-56+23
                  13-32-45-47-50+24
                  13-37-39-42-56+13
                20-Lines25-white  20-mega 
                  ballsballs
                09/27/0821
                09/30/0810
                10/03/0800

                If I can pick all the wrong numbers, then I can pick all the right ones too.

                "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

                  Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
                  CT
                  United States
                  Member #61398
                  May 21, 2008
                  781 Posts
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                  Posted: October 7, 2008, 11:45 am - IP Logged

                  Even though my idea worked decently for Friday's draw, I'm going to run a few drawings with Followers to see how this works out.  The way I calculate followers might be a little different from others, but here is how I do it.  I set up an array 56x56 (BALL x FOLLOWER) and each indexes represents a different ball combinations. I loop through all of the past draws and for each ball I increment positions in the array for that ball corresponding with each 5 WB's in the following draw.  Therefor each drawing I loop through I will be added the 5 WB's from the following draw 5 times each, once for each position in the current draw.  After all the past calculation is done and I am looking to pick followers for the upcoming draw, the system adds 5 rows in the array together (each row corresponding to each WB from the last draw) and totals the amount.  i.e. if the last draw was 1-2-3-4-5, and the ball #11 has followed ball #1 15 times, and followed #2 20 times, and followed #3,4,5 10 times each, the value for 11 is set to 65.  All values are calculated and ranked from greatest to least, and I choose off the top how many I am looking for.  For this draw (like the past few) I choose the top 36.  ...I'm pretty sure I am going to slim that down for upcoming draws as well, as long as I can get decent sized consistent hits.

                  MB's are picked from the top repeating positions (I am liking that strategy RJ, works well for me in Powerball at least!).

                  WB: 36,48,25,16,35,9,13,30,5,20,2,38,53,7,12,14,24,40,54,8,3,28,44,11,17,18,22,23,41,51,52,55,4,26,31,29
                  MB: 22,16,30,36,2,44,38,39,40,46,37,7,13,3,17,26,34,4,33,27

                  1. 02-07-30-44-52 +22
                  2. 02-18-25-36-40 +16
                  3. 02-20-24-30-55 +30
                  4. 03-13-16-20-44 +36
                  5. 03-14-23-26-48 +2
                  6. 03-23-24-29-53 +44
                  7. 04-05-11-12-23 +38
                  8. 04-07-18-48-54 +39
                  9. 05-17-20-31-54 +40
                  10. 05-18-28-36-48 +46
                  11. 07-08-13-22-26 +37
                  12. 08-09-14-17-29 +7
                  13. 08-11-35-38-51 +13
                  14. 09-28-40-51-53 +3
                  15. 09-38-41-44-54 +17
                  16. 11-13-36-41-53 +26
                  17. 12-16-17-30-41 +34
                  18. 12-22-35-40-52 +4
                  19. 14-22-24-25-31 +33
                  20. 16-25-28-38-55 +27

                  So we've proved simply using 'due' techniques for MM isn't that effective, lets check out followers!

                    RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                    mid-Ohio
                    United States
                    Member #9
                    March 24, 2001
                    19828 Posts
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                    Posted: October 7, 2008, 10:53 pm - IP Logged

                    I picked my WB numbers a little different tonight, I picked numbers that had hit 1-3 times during the last 16 drawings.  Again I'm running late, I just had time to play my numbers before the terminals switch over to the next drawing.

                      1. 02 22 35 43 49 +01
                      2. 19 27 30 32 50 +35
                      3. 15 21 39 46 51 +30
                      4. 06 18 31 34 41 +22
                      5. 08 16 26 29 38 +02
                      6. 01 29 32 35 40 +11
                      7. 07 08 19 21 54 +40
                      8. 12 15 22 28 48 +05
                      9. 18 27 43 44 46 +21
                     10. 16 28 36 39 49 +07
                     11. 12 14 34 44 51 +12
                     12. 06 26 30 36 42 +41
                     13. 07 22 29 41 44 +39
                     14. 01 15 26 27 31 +46
                     15. 08 18 28 40 50 +42

                    I added a feature to my program and when I used it I found a bug so I had to fix it before I could pick my numbers.

                     * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                       
                                 Evil Looking       

                      Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
                      CT
                      United States
                      Member #61398
                      May 21, 2008
                      781 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: October 8, 2008, 9:49 am - IP Logged

                      RESULT: 2-25-35-38-42  +34

                      1. 02-07-30-44-52 +22
                      2. 02-18-25-36-40 +16
                      3. 02-20-24-30-55 +30
                      4. 03-13-16-20-44 +36
                      5. 03-14-23-26-48 +2
                      6. 03-23-24-29-53 +44
                      7. 04-05-11-12-23 +38
                      8. 04-07-18-48-54 +39
                      9. 05-17-20-31-54 +40
                      10. 05-18-28-36-48 +46
                      11. 07-08-13-22-26 +37
                      12. 08-09-14-17-29 +7
                      13. 08-11-35-38-51 +13
                      14. 09-28-40-51-53 +3
                      15. 09-38-41-44-54 +17
                      16. 11-13-36-41-53 +26
                      17. 12-16-17-30-41 +34
                      18. 12-22-35-40-52 +4
                      19. 14-22-24-25-31 +33
                      20. 16-25-28-38-55 +27

                      Picked up 4 WB's and the MB with my set, decent for the first try with followers.  Managed a 0+1 and 3 2+0's.

                        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                        mid-Ohio
                        United States
                        Member #9
                        March 24, 2001
                        19828 Posts
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                        Posted: October 8, 2008, 8:25 pm - IP Logged

                        Winning numbers were: 02 25 35 38 42  +34

                          1. 02 22 35 43 49 +01 
                          2. 19 27 30 32 50 +35
                          3. 15 21 39 46 51 +30
                          4. 06 18 31 34 41 +22
                          5. 08 16 26 29 38 +02
                          6. 01 29 32 35 40 +11
                          7. 07 08 19 21 54 +40
                          8. 12 15 22 28 48 +05
                          9. 18 27 43 44 46 +21
                         10. 16 28 36 39 49 +07
                         11. 12 14 34 44 51 +12
                         12. 06 26 30 36 42 +41
                         13. 07 22 29 41 44 +39
                         14. 01 15 26 27 31 +46
                         15. 08 18 28 40 50 +42

                        Had I used all 39 numbers in my group I would have covered all 5 winning numbers but I used 34 of them and covered 4 of them.  Even had I used all 39 numbers, I probably wouldn't have had more than two on the same line.  I've got to get my WB pool smaller and probably play 20 MM balls if I want a winner.

                         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                           
                                     Evil Looking       

                          fja's avatar - gnome1

                          United States
                          Member #91
                          January 19, 2002
                          11931 Posts
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                          Posted: October 9, 2008, 6:33 am - IP Logged
                            01-03-28-41-47+22
                            01-04-07-45-56+10
                            01-05-13-33-53+36
                            01-20-27-32-37+15
                            02-03-10-13-20+44
                            02-04-32-33-52+07
                            02-05-28-50-56+38
                            02-07-27-39-47+04
                            03-04-37-43-50+09
                            03-05-07-32-42+17
                            03-27-52-53-56+43
                            03-33-36-39-45+41
                            04-05-20-39-41+30
                            04-13-27-28-36+25
                            05-36-37-47-52+32
                            07-13-41-43-52+33
                            07-20-36-50-53+16
                            10-32-36-41-56+23
                            13-32-45-47-50+24
                            13-37-39-42-56+13
                          20-Lines25-white  20-mega 
                            ballsballs
                          09/27/0821
                          09/30/0810
                          10/03/0800
                          10/07/0820

                          My theory is based more on coverage and luck using some consistant stats;

                          1.  The 5 last played:  over 50% of this years draws have a repeat number from the previous draw

                          2.  The 10 that have been out the longest...usually have one on that list

                          3.   10 spread over the remainder of the 41 left......

                          I dont think we'll find a consistant formula, but i do believe, we can find a few hits a year.

                          "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

                            Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
                            CT
                            United States
                            Member #61398
                            May 21, 2008
                            781 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: October 9, 2008, 10:00 am - IP Logged

                            but i do believe, we can find a few hits a year.

                            I hope so!

                            I'm going to go with followers again for the 10/10 draw, I'll play those out a few weeks and we'll see how they do.

                            WB: Top 36 followers

                            MB: Top 20 repeat positions

                            WB: 7,13,53,25,39,52,12,18,38,42,51,8,43,22,24,29,40,5,6,15,20,30,46,48,50,54,14,26,56,23,32,36,44,55,9,11
                            MB: 39,34,22,16,38,37,44,2,7,17,40,36,30,33,13,3,46,28,26,11

                            1. 05-07-51-53-54 +39
                            2. 05-14-24-32-39 +34
                            3. 05-23-30-43-52 +22
                            4. 06-08-46-52-56 +16
                            5. 06-09-38-42-50 +38
                            6. 06-13-22-44-54 +37
                            7. 07-12-43-48-56 +44
                            8. 07-13-30-38-54 +2
                            9. 08-15-23-39-48 +7
                            10. 08-25-30-36-53 +17
                            11. 09-14-29-40-53 +40
                            12. 11-15-29-50-52 +36
                            13. 11-20-26-40-43 +30
                            14. 12-14-15-22-55 +33
                            15. 12-20-25-42-46 +13
                            16. 13-20-26-29-55 +3
                            17. 18-22-32-46-51 +46
                            18. 18-24-25-50-56 +28
                            19. 18-36-40-42-51 +26
                            20. 24-26-38-44-48 +11

                              RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                              mid-Ohio
                              United States
                              Member #9
                              March 24, 2001
                              19828 Posts
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                              Posted: October 9, 2008, 10:21 am - IP Logged

                              FRI 09/12/08   01 12 14 25 35  +38
                              ------------------------------------
                                  09/09/08   22 23 28 49 52   +02
                                  09/05/08   01 06 15 27 46   +39
                                  09/02/08   14 23 43 44 54   +39
                                  08/29/08   21 25 26 50 51   +22
                                  08/26/08   06 16 24 34 36   +30
                                  08/22/08   12 13 15 41 42   +37
                                  08/19/08   09 18 19 26 40   +38
                                  08/15/08   08 23 29 30 53   +07
                                  08/12/08   02 07 23 38 40   +40
                                  08/08/08   11 17 28 32 50   +33
                                  08/05/08   09 21 36 38 55   +13
                                  08/01/08   09 13 17 18 56   +02
                                  07/29/08   11 13 20 30 42   +03
                                  07/25/08   02 16 19 35 52   +17

                              A few weeks ago, the winning numbers had what I call a clean look-back in which all the winning numbers had only hit once until all 5 had hit.  In the last 300 drawings there has been 16 (5%) such combinations.  When comparing that format with all 300 drawings, such a combination could have matched 3 or better 48% of the times.  The combinations falling within this classification are few and limited.  For this Friday drawing, I will pick 20 such combinations.

                               * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                                 
                                           Evil Looking       

                                 
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