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DID Mega Millions roll over ?

Topic closed. 60 replies. Last post 6 years ago by Longarm.

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What do you think ?

Yes [ 21 ]  [52.50%]
No [ 13 ]  [32.50%]
Don't Know [ 4 ]  [10.00%]
Don't Care [ 2 ]  [5.00%]
Total Valid Votes [ 40 ]  
Discarded Votes [ 2 ]  
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Chief Bottle Washer
New Jersey
United States
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May 31, 2000
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Posted: March 26, 2011, 1:35 am - IP Logged

well if new york won again, how many times have they won this year?  i think they should only be allowed to sell so many tickets so that other states have more equal odds of winning.

States don't win, people do.

 

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    Avatar
    New Member

    United States
    Member #108464
    March 26, 2011
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    Posted: March 26, 2011, 1:38 am - IP Logged

    No! The big jackpot is gone! Next tuesday jackpot now is only 12 millions.

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      DFW, Texas
      United States
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      August 18, 2009
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      Posted: March 26, 2011, 1:38 am - IP Logged

      States don't win, people do.

      Now that's true.  But the state wins when it has an income tax.  I'm glad Texas doesn't tax lottery winnings (until you spend them).

      But the point holds.  New York has a lot of players, so it has a lot of winners.

        dr65's avatar - black panther.jpg
        Pennsylvania
        United States
        Member #74096
        May 2, 2009
        23252 Posts
        Online
        Posted: March 26, 2011, 1:40 am - IP Logged

        One winner in New York! wow!

          All*Star's avatar - Trek STLOGO4.gif
          North Carolina
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          March 25, 2007
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          Posted: March 26, 2011, 1:48 am - IP Logged

          $600 if you played the Megaplier.

          Yeah, I know. That would've been nice ~ and 1 more white ball

               would've been $10 G's (or $40 G's with the megaplier)

          "Everybody's a STAR....some rising, some falling....

             5 stars  Whichever YOU happen to be.....SHINE ON!!

            All*Star's avatar - Trek STLOGO4.gif
            North Carolina
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            Posted: March 26, 2011, 1:53 am - IP Logged

            Congrats.  I had two white balls.  I also had 53, so, of course, they drew 52 and 54.  Oh, well, I only spent 3 bucks.

            Lep  .... thanks, Longarm!

            "Everybody's a STAR....some rising, some falling....

               5 stars  Whichever YOU happen to be.....SHINE ON!!

              rdgrnr's avatar - walt
              Way back up in them dadgum hills, son!
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              Posted: March 26, 2011, 1:54 am - IP Logged

              Welp, guess it's time to get back to work on my Powerball Strategery.


                                                           
                                   
                                                       

               

               

               

               

                                                                                                                 

              "The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing"

                                                                                                          --Edmund Burke

               

               

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                DFW, Texas
                United States
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                August 18, 2009
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                Posted: March 26, 2011, 2:03 am - IP Logged

                Welp, guess it's time to get back to work on my Powerball Strategery.

                My Powerball strategery consists of getting a ticket every-now-and-then, and getting really drunk when I don't win.  That sounds like a good idea about now.

                I suspect I'd get really drunk if I did win, but I'll hafta wait to find out.

                  rdgrnr's avatar - walt
                  Way back up in them dadgum hills, son!
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                  Posted: March 26, 2011, 2:08 am - IP Logged

                  My Powerball strategery consists of getting a ticket every-now-and-then, and getting really drunk when I don't win.  That sounds like a good idea about now.

                  I suspect I'd get really drunk if I did win, but I'll hafta wait to find out.

                  I'll drink to that!   Cheers


                                                               
                                       
                                                           

                   

                   

                   

                   

                                                                                                                     

                  "The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing"

                                                                                                              --Edmund Burke

                   

                   

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                    DFW, Texas
                    United States
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                    Posted: March 26, 2011, 2:19 am - IP Logged

                    I'll drink to that!   Cheers

                    I already have been.  Knowing I'd probably lose more than $400,000,000 in potential winnings was enough to get me started before the drawing.

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                      New York
                      United States
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                      January 28, 2011
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                      Posted: March 26, 2011, 2:24 am - IP Logged

                      One winner from my state NY, like I guessed! I wonder which county it was from...

                        Raven62's avatar - binary
                        New Jersey
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                        June 28, 2005
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                        Posted: March 26, 2011, 4:12 am - IP Logged

                        Please explain your choice...

                        03/25 Results=22-24-31-52-54 MB-04 (Megaplier=4)

                        1 Match 5+1 Winner:
                        - New York (1)

                        32 Match 5+0 Winners:
                        - California (5)
                        - Colorado (1)
                        - Indiana (1)
                        - Kentucky (2)
                        - Maryland (1)
                        - Massachusetts (1)
                        - Michigan (1)
                        - New York (4)
                        - North Carolina (2)
                        - Ohio (4)
                        - Oregon (1)
                        - Pennsylvania (2)
                        - South Carolina (1)
                        - Texas (3)
                        - Washington (2)
                        - West Virginia (1)

                        5+1 0,000,001 $312,000,000
                        5+0 0,000,032 $250,000/$287,323
                        4+1 0,000,208 $10,000/$8,336
                        4+0 0,008,455 $150/$167
                        3+1 0,009,636 $150/$171
                        2+1 0,166,816 $10/$10
                        3+0 0,429,933 $7/$8
                        1+1 1,013,682 $3/$3
                        0+1 1,958,494 $2/$2
                        ====================
                        TOT 3,587,257

                        Jackpot Rolled Back to $12,000,000 for the 03/29 Drawing!

                        A mind once stretched by a new idea never returns to its original dimensions!

                          GiveFive's avatar - Lottery-026.jpg
                          NY State
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                          Member #92609
                          June 10, 2010
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                          Posted: March 26, 2011, 6:27 am - IP Logged

                          One winner from my state NY, like I guessed! I wonder which county it was from...

                          The $312,000,000 winning ticket was sold in Albany at Coulson's Newstand on Broadway.

                          About playing the lottery --  You will lose more than you win. Until you hit a jackpot.  Then everything changes!

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                            Delaware
                            United States
                            Member #93503
                            July 1, 2010
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                            Posted: March 26, 2011, 8:34 am - IP Logged

                            As I suspected... :( and why NEW YORK?! I'm tired of them winning

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                              NY
                              United States
                              Member #23835
                              October 16, 2005
                              3502 Posts
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                              Posted: March 26, 2011, 3:30 pm - IP Logged

                              Have You ?

                              I would not know where to begin.

                              All I know is the drawing happens in Atlanta...some times Time Square.

                              The MM web site is (or was) maintained by the VA Lottery.

                              I don't know of a "MUSL" equivalent to MM or who to contact.

                              Do you ?

                               

                              I think players would be far less inclined to quick pick if it were determined that:

                              (1) A substantial number of combinations go UNCOVERED.

                              and...

                              (2) A substantial number of cominations played were quick picks.

                               

                              We can reasonably believe that quick picks are random but what about

                              the pleasure lotteries enjoy from all the attention that comes from rollovers ?

                              It suggests to me that quicks picks MAY be BIASED to repeat.

                              The lottery obviously has the information (or can get it if they don't track it), but you can come fairly close yourself. Based on the increase in cash value there were about 150 million tickets sold. If every ticket was played randomly that would mean that about 63% of combinations were played. That would leave 37%, or about 65 million that weren't played.

                              Asuming 80% of tickets were QP's that's 120 of the 150 million that were sold. 80% of the 63% of combinations that would be played randomly is 50.4%, so we can assume that's what was covered by QP tickets. Played randomly the other 30 million tickets would account for 12.6% of combinations, but we know that a lot of people play numbers that aren't random. That means there's a lot more duplication than there would be if all tickets were random.

                              We know a lot of people play birthday numbers, and if you only use those for the first 5 numbers you're choosing from just under 4.5% of the possible combinations, and that's based on using all 46 mega balls. Sticking to 4 birthday numbers and 1 number from the rest accounts for just under 21%. Then there are the people who fill out the playslip with the various patterns. Many years ago NY advertised that something like 10,000 people played each of the two diagonals in lotto. It's a safe bet that less than 100 combinations form varous patterns that account for at least 100,000 tickets, and pprobably far more. If those non-random combinations are  twice as likely to be played (as an average), the 20% of self picks would only account for about 6.3% of combinations. That would mean that a total of about 56.7% of all combinations were in play, and 43.3% weren't played at all.

                              We can also figure out for ourselves whether or not there's a significant bias in QP's by looking at the 2nd place winners. Individual results can be expected to vary quite a bit, but we can look at a long term trend and see if the number of 2nd place winners fits with probability. In the case of the current drawing, the 32 winners seems to be pretty close to what we would expect from random results. The 32 tickets probably represent 24 to 26 of the mega numbers, which is 52 to 56.5%, which is fairly close to the total percentage of combinations that should have been played. Other drawings have followed similar patterns. When the number of 2nd place winners does seem to be a bit high or low the winning numbers usually look like ones that people would play more or less often than average. I can also be pretty safe in promising you that there are plenty of people who are far better than most of us at probability and statistics looking at such things. If lottery results had any substantial departure from what's expected plenty of people would be able to show us proof.