Hi Everyone:
Many players use some variation of the "up one up down" technique to generate their plays. Such a variation consists of picking a 4 digit number and then: adding one to each digit, subtracting one from each digit, adding one to each pair, subtracting one from each pair, and finally adding one to and subtracting one from each of the numbers in each pair. The total number of resulting selections is 32. There is some veritability to this technique, because it does produce winners at times. The question is: When is the best time to play and which 4 digit number is to be used for the key?
Consider all of the 715 boxed numbers between 0000 and 9999 and a past drawfile with N entries. We will refer to these boxed numbers as "keys". Let's ask: By applying the up down varaition described above to each of the 715 keys, which key was able to produce the most winners found in the past drawfile(boxed or straight). This is not an easy question to answer using pencil and paper, as it would lead to quite a tedious and heuristic task. I wrote a program to perform this task and applied it to 15 days worth of past draws from the NY Pick4 - day and night games for a total of 30 past draws. I started from March 1, 2012 working back, and the draws were as follows(starting from3/1):
1278
0791 |
2
8019
1651 |
3
7397
0719 |
4
2373
2909 |
5
8783
4536 |
6
9079
6547 |
7
2155
1637 |
8
5149
6467 |
9
9484
2871 |
10
9163
6479 |
11
4837
5199 |
12
1370
0252 |
13
0788
2410 |
14
4361
9385 |
15
1364
2142 |
Here are the results for all the keys that unlocked at least one winner(boxed or straight)
0007 - 2
0016 - 1
0017 - 2
0018 - 2
0019 - 1
0027 - 2
0028 - 1
0036 - 1
0069 - 2
0078 - 2
0079 - 3
0089 - 3
0115 - 1
0117 - 1
0124 - 3
0125 - 1
0126 - 2
0135 - 3
0136 - 1
0137 - 1
0146 - 3
0155 - 2
0168 - 1
0169 - 2
0178 - 4
0179 - 3
0188 - 2
0189 - 3
0199 - 1
0223 - 2
0224 - 3
0225 - 2
0234 - 3
0236 - 2
0245 - 1
0246 - 1
0256 - 1
0268 - 1
0269 - 2
0277 - 2
0278 - 3
0279 - 4
0288 - 3
0289 - 3
0299 - 1
0336 - 1
0345 - 1
0346 - 1
0347 - 1
0348 - 1
0356 - 1
0357 - 1
0359 - 2
0367 - 2
0368 - 2
0377 - 1
0378 - 2
0379 - 1
0446 - 1
0449 - 1
0458 - 2
0467 - 1
0469 - 1
0477 - 1
0689 - 1
0699 - 1
0788 - 1
0789 - 1
0799 - 3
0889 - 1
0899 - 1
1114 - 2
1123 - 2
1124 - 2
1125 - 3
1134 - 2
1145 - 1
1147 - 1
1155 - 1
1156 - 1
1168 - 1
1169 - 1
1177 - 1
1178 - 3
1179 - 4
1188 - 2
1189 - 2
1199 - 1
1223 - 1
1224 - 3
1225 - 2
1233 - 1
1234 - 1
1235 - 2
1236 - 1
1237 - 1
1245 - 2
1246 - 3
1247 - 1
1255 - 1
1256 - 3
1257 - 1
1259 - 2
1266 - 2
1267 - 2
1268 - 3
1269 - 2
1277 - 2
1278 - 1
1279 - 5
1288 - 1
1289 - 3
1334 - 1
1335 - 1
1336 - 2
1337 - 2
1345 - 2
1346 - 1
1347 - 2
1349 - 1
1355 - 2
1356 - 3
1357 - 2
1358 - 2
1359 - 1
1368 - 3
1369 - 1
1377 - 2
1378 - 3
1379 - 3
1388 - 1
1445 - 1
1446 - 1
1447 - 1
1456 - 1
1459 - 1
1468 - 2
1469 - 1
1479 - 1
1699 - 3
1789 - 3
1799 - 3
1899 - 3
1999 - 1
2223 - 1
2224 - 1
2225 - 1
2234 - 1
2246 - 1
2249 - 1
2256 - 1
2268 - 1
2269 - 1
2277 - 1
2278 - 1
2279 - 1
2288 - 1
2336 - 2
2345 - 1
2346 - 2
2347 - 2
2356 - 2
2359 - 2
2368 - 1
2378 - 2
2379 - 1
2446 - 2
2469 - 1
2589 - 1
2599 - 1
2778 - 1
2789 - 1
2799 - 1
2899 - 1
3467 - 2
3479 - 2
3488 - 2
3489 - 2
3499 - 1
3557 - 1
3566 - 1
3567 - 1
3568 - 1
3577 - 1
3578 - 1
3579 - 2
3588 - 1
3589 - 1
3667 - 1
3669 - 1
3678 - 2
3679 - 2
3688 - 1
3689 - 3
3778 - 1
3779 - 1
3788 - 1
3789 - 1
3889 - 1
4457 - 1
4466 - 1
4468 - 1
4477 - 1
4478 - 1
4479 - 1
4488 - 1
4489 - 1
4556 - 1
4557 - 1
4566 - 1
4567 - 1
4568 - 1
4577 - 1
4578 - 2
4579 - 2
4588 - 1
4589 - 2
4599 - 1
4666 - 1
4667 - 1
4668 - 2
4677 - 1
4678 - 1
4679 - 1
4688 - 1
4689 - 1
4778 - 2
4779 - 1
4789 - 2
5567 - 1
5667 - 1
7899 - 1
The left 4 digits are those of the key and the number to the right of the dash is the number of winners unlocked by the key. For example: the key 4778 unlocked the two winners: 7397 and 6479. The up one down one scheme applied to 4778 gives:
5878, 5788, 5779, 4888, 4879, 4789, 3678, 3768, 3777, 4668, 4677, 4767, 5778, 4878, 4788, 4779, 3778, 4678, 4768, 4777, 5678, 5777, 4868, 4877, 4787, 3878, 3788, 3779, 4688, 4679, 4769
The keys that unlocked the most winners over this 15 day span are: 1279 with 5 winners and 0178, 0279, and 1179, each, with 4 winners. There are also many keys that unlocked 3 winners, but we'll consider those that unlocked the highest and next to highest amount of winners. Now the question is: Is there enough "umpf" left in these keys to unlock another one or two winners over the next, say, five days?. Let's see.
The next 5 days worth of winners were:
3713
5530
9107
2742
5049
3040
9989
2944
3032
0331
Each of the 5 keys unlocked winners. 1279 unlocked 9107, 0178 unlocked 9107, 0279 unlocked 9107 and 1179 unlocked 9107, just after 1 days worth of plays.
It seems that this type of anlysis can offer a powerful way to detect patterns and trends. I don't want to give the reader the impression that that this is a "pie in the sky" system, but I've run many tests, and several of them showed similar results.
The program I wrote to do the key analysis is called keyPerformance.exe. I also wrote another utility called
unlock.exe, which generates the up one down one selections when you enter a 4 digit key. I f anyone is interested in these programs they can be downloaded from:
http://uploading.com/files/a84cm385/Handicapping%2BThe%2BPick4.zip/
Installation:
1. Unzip the Handicapping The Pick4.zip file to a working folder
2. Prepare a text file of the last 30 draws(day and night - 15 days total if your circuit handles day and night Pick 4, otherwise last 30 days). Name the file drawsP4.txt and make sure it is in the folder that conatins the programs you downloaded. One entry to a line, no other characters, and latest draw on top. Therte are many different types of text editors, and unfortunately some cause havoc to a program that depends on a text file. I've used Notepad successfully, but you have to makesure that the last entry in the draw file is follwed by a carriage return.
3. Click on the program icon keyPerformance. You will see a quick flash indicating that the program finished executing. A file will be generated called keys.txt
4. Open keys.txt in a text editor and look for the top two best performing keys(see above example).
5. Click on the program icon unlock, and enter your 4 digit key when prompted. A display of all 32 selections will appear in the window. The program will keep asking you for another key, in case you want to see the selections for more than one key.
Sorry - I know there are a lot of EXCEL fans out there, but I think it would be extremely difficult to create an EXCEL program that could perform the required analysis(Winsome, what do you say?).
That's about it. Good luck.
Comments welcomed.
jayemmar