Lotto Strategy - Odds of winning vs Chances of winningPrev TopicNext Topic

• SergeM

  

  Economy class
  Belgium
  Member #123,692
  February 27, 2012
  4,035 Posts
  Offline
  Jan 19, 2013, 4:24 pm

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  Cumulative chances, from 6 to 0.

  6	1	0,000000072	1:13983816
  5	258	0,000018521	1:53991,57
  4	13545	0,000987141	1:1013,03
  3	246820	0,018637545	1:53,66
  2	1851150	0,151015574	1:6,62
  1	5775588	0,564035024	1:1,77
  0	6096454	1,000000000	1:1
• CinCin

  

  Columbia, SC
  United States
  Member #135,277
  November 21, 2012
  584 Posts
  Offline
  Jan 19, 2013, 4:28 pm

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  I try not to pay attention to the odds when playing the lottery. Mentally, I try to psych myself into thinking the only odds I have are me against the lottery machine....If I paid attention to the odds, I'd probably never play!

  "If you can DREAM it, you can DO it!"- Walt Disney
• Anfang71

  

  Japan
  Member #131,597
  August 14, 2012
  372 Posts
  Offline
  Jan 19, 2013, 7:09 pm

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  Indeed. When I play Powerball or Florida Loto (I'm starting to play the Loto 6 here in Japan) I never think bout the real odds. Sometimes they may be there...but generally I go in with thinking simply Its either I win something(big amounts such as second or Jackpot..some games like PB, 3'rd prize would suffice) or I don't. So its 50/50. lol
• RJOh

  

  100

  mid-Ohio
  United States
  Member #9
  March 24, 2001
  20,272 Posts
  Offline
  Jan 20, 2013, 11:57 am

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  In response to SergeM

  Quote: Originally posted by SergeM on Jan 19, 2013

  Cumulative chances, from 6 to 0.

  6	1	0,000000072	1:13983816
  5	258	0,000018521	1:53991,57
  4	13545	0,000987141	1:1013,03
  3	246820	0,018637545	1:53,66
  2	1851150	0,151015574	1:6,62
  1	5775588	0,564035024	1:1,77
  0	6096454	1,000000000	1:1

  possible combos of 6/49 numbers = 13983816
  MATCH ODDS           WINNING COMBOS
  6/6   1 : 13983816            1
  5/6   1 : 54201             258
  4/6   1 : 1032            13545
  3/6   1 : 57             246820
  2/6   1 : 8             1851150
  1/6   1 : 2             5775588
  0/6   1 : 2             6096454
  _____________________________________
  overall odds 1 : 1 
  13983816 possible wins = 100%

   * you don't need to buy every combination, just the winning ones * 

         
  
• butch2030

  

  Elgin, IL
  United States
  Member #68,865
  January 1, 2009
  1,292 Posts
  Offline
  Jan 20, 2013, 12:09 pm

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  In response to RJOh

  Quote: Originally posted by RJOh on Jan 19, 2013

  I think butch2030 was trying to explain odds and chances aren't the same things.  For example in 6 of 49 game your odds of matching 3 are 1:57 but your overall chances of matching 3 or better are 1:54, so your chances of matching 3 are better than your odds of matching 3.

  You can test this by comparing the winning drawing with the previous 54 drawings of any 6/49  games for 10 drawings or more and you will average a match 3 or better the same number of times or more.

  Correct RJOh,

  Another example is the Win 4 Life game.  Odds of matching 4 of 6 = 1 : 555.11

  This is a 6/42 game with a Free Ball.  I do not take into the account the Free Ball, just the basic 6 numbers.

  Number of drawings from 03/01/06 thru 01/16/13 is 720 drawings.

  Number of drawings matching 4 of 6 of the same numbers, hitting more than once is 545  or 75.69% of the 720 total drawings.  I was able to put these 545 drawings into 171 Groups of related combinations.

  My contention is that history has a way of repeating.  Based on past history, I have a 75% chance in this game that the next drawing will contain 4 out of 6 numbers that are in one of my 171 Groups.  If this is true, then you have a 25% chance of matching 4 our of 6 numbers of the remaining combinations that are not in one of my Groups.

  Basically, what I am giving you is the best 4 of 6 numbers combinations, which have come in the most often together, in this game.  The pattern that I find, is that, if you have all six numbers in a given group; they will eventually all come together in a single drawing if they haven't already.

  Bottom Line is that, each player can either take it or leave.  The choice is theirs.

  You can view all the combinations & patterns for this game at - - -  https://www.box.com/shared/ftokpyyvft

  Good Luck & Best Wishes To ALL....................................................