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Lotto Strategy - Odds of winning vs Chances of winning

Topic closed. 19 replies. Last post 4 years ago by butch2030.

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SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
Economy class
Belgium
Member #123700
February 27, 2012
4035 Posts
Offline
Posted: January 19, 2013, 4:24 pm - IP Logged

Cumulative chances, from 6 to 0.

61     0,000000072  1:13983816
5258     0,000018521  1:53991,57
413545     0,000987141  1:1013,03
3246820     0,018637545  1:53,66
21851150     0,151015574  1:6,62
15775588     0,564035024  1:1,77
06096454     1,000000000  1:1
    Avatar
    Columbia, SC
    United States
    Member #135285
    November 21, 2012
    584 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: January 19, 2013, 4:28 pm - IP Logged

    I try not to pay attention to the odds when playing the lottery. Mentally, I try to psych myself into thinking the only odds I have are me against the lottery machine....If I paid attention to the odds, I'd probably never play!

    "If you can DREAM it, you can DO it!"- Walt Disney

      Avatar

      Japan
      Member #131605
      August 14, 2012
      372 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: January 19, 2013, 7:09 pm - IP Logged

      I Agree!

       

      Indeed. When I play Powerball or Florida Loto (I'm starting to play the Loto 6 here in Japan) I never think bout the real odds. Sometimes they may be there...but generally I go in with thinking simply Its either I win something(big amounts such as second or Jackpot..some games like PB, 3'rd prize would suffice) or I don't. So its 50/50. lol

        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
        mid-Ohio
        United States
        Member #9
        March 24, 2001
        19819 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: January 20, 2013, 11:57 am - IP Logged

        Cumulative chances, from 6 to 0.

        61     0,000000072  1:13983816
        5258     0,000018521  1:53991,57
        413545     0,000987141  1:1013,03
        3246820     0,018637545  1:53,66
        21851150     0,151015574  1:6,62
        15775588     0,564035024  1:1,77
        06096454     1,000000000  1:1

        possible combos of 6/49 numbers = 13983816
        MATCH ODDS           WINNING COMBOS
        6/6   1 : 13983816            1
        5/6   1 : 54201             258
        4/6   1 : 1032            13545
        3/6   1 : 57             246820
        2/6   1 : 8             1851150
        1/6   1 : 2             5775588
        0/6   1 : 2             6096454
        _____________________________________
        overall odds 1 : 1 
        13983816 possible wins = 100%

         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
           
                     Evil Looking       

          butch2030's avatar - DiscoBallGlowing
          The KEY ingredient is Combos & Patterns
          Elgin, IL
          United States
          Member #68867
          January 1, 2009
          1221 Posts
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          Posted: January 20, 2013, 12:09 pm - IP Logged

          I think butch2030 was trying to explain odds and chances aren't the same things.  For example in 6 of 49 game your odds of matching 3 are 1:57 but your overall chances of matching 3 or better are 1:54, so your chances of matching 3 are better than your odds of matching 3.

          You can test this by comparing the winning drawing with the previous 54 drawings of any 6/49  games for 10 drawings or more and you will average a match 3 or better the same number of times or more.

          Correct RJOh,

          Another example is the Win 4 Life game.  Odds of matching 4 of 6 = 1 : 555.11

          This is a 6/42 game with a Free Ball.  I do not take into the account the Free Ball, just the basic 6 numbers.

          Number of drawings from 03/01/06 thru 01/16/13 is 720 drawings.

          Number of drawings matching 4 of 6 of the same numbers, hitting more than once is 545  or 75.69% of the 720 total drawings.  I was able to put these 545 drawings into 171 Groups of related combinations.

          My contention is that history has a way of repeating.  Based on past history, I have a 75% chance in this game that the next drawing will contain 4 out of 6 numbers that are in one of my 171 Groups.  If this is true, then you have a 25% chance of matching 4 our of 6 numbers of the remaining combinations that are not in one of my Groups.

          Basically, what I am giving you is the best 4 of 6 numbers combinations, which have come in the most often together, in this game.  The pattern that I find, is that, if you have all six numbers in a given group; they will eventually all come together in a single drawing if they haven't already.

          Bottom Line is that, each player can either take it or leave.  The choice is theirs.

          You can view all the combinations & patterns for this game at - - -  https://www.box.com/shared/ftokpyyvft

          Good Luck & Best Wishes To ALL....................................................