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California again? (Powerball)

Topic closed. 33 replies. Last post 2 years ago by Coin Toss.

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Scratch$'s avatar - sm lottery.jpg

United States
Member #158848
September 5, 2014
294 Posts
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Posted: September 26, 2014, 12:09 pm - IP Logged

Last year there was one winner from California on Oct 23, 2013. I should have worded it better. I should have said for the year of 2013 California had 1 winner.  The main story however is that 44% of the PB wins "this year" have come from California.

And remember that California didn't have the Powerball game until April 2013. 5 jackpot winners in less than 1.5 years. Hmmmmmmm. 

Idea

Scratchers ~ Cash 5 ~ Powerball ~ Mega Millions

    LottoMetro's avatar - Lottery-024.jpg
    Happyland
    United States
    Member #146344
    September 1, 2013
    1129 Posts
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    Posted: September 26, 2014, 1:17 pm - IP Logged

    And remember that California didn't have the Powerball game until April 2013. 5 jackpot winners in less than 1.5 years. Hmmmmmmm. 

    Idea

    Despite joining 1/3 into the year, California sold about 223.3 million Powerball tickets last year. Add that to the 140.5 million so far this year, and you get 363,800,000 tickets sold. That's pretty substantial, enough to expect at least 2 winners without even blinking. Using the formula I posted in another thread, the probability of 4 or more winners from California in the 1.5 year period is about 15.7%. That gives odds of 1 in 6.4, which makes it seem not so unlikely after all. Smile

    If the chances of winning the jackpot are so slim, why play when the jackpot is so small? Your chances never change, but the potential payoff does.
    If a crystal ball showed you the future of the rest of your life, and in that future you will never win a jackpot, would you still play?

    2016: -48.28% (13 tickets) ||
    P&L % = Total Win($)/Total Wager($) - 1

      pickone4me's avatar - 021414tvlies zpsa453b327.jpg
      Wisconsin
      United States
      Member #104962
      January 23, 2011
      1075 Posts
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      Posted: September 26, 2014, 6:21 pm - IP Logged

      And no one would play because the jackpots would grow too slowly!!  Then if a smaller state won more than one jackpot we would have to kick them out also.  Or maybe if you don't like the big games just play your own state lottery and just maybe someone visiting your state from California would win it!!

      The jackpots are slow as it is,  so it couldn't be that much difference.  If you think it is cool that no where else wins except california,  or you want to spin some other goofy excuses to make yourself feel better to keep away those ( hey what if something is going on ) type of thoughts away go for it.

        Coin Toss's avatar - shape barbed.jpg
        Zeta Reticuli Star System
        United States
        Member #30470
        January 17, 2006
        10351 Posts
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        Posted: September 26, 2014, 6:34 pm - IP Logged

        100 years from now-

        How come Tralfamadore always wins the Inter-galactic Lottery, it's just not fair!

        Those who run the lotteries love it when players look for consistency in something that's designed not to have any.

        Lep

        There is one and only one 'proven' system, and that is to book the action. No matter the game, let the players pick their own losers.