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How did you do in the Lottery in 2014?

Topic closed. 74 replies. Last post 2 years ago by mikemmk1990.

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How did you do in the Lottery n 2014?

Up Big [ 8 ]  [12.12%]
Up [ 8 ]  [12.12%]
Around Even [ 15 ]  [22.73%]
Down [ 23 ]  [34.85%]
Down and Out [ 12 ]  [18.18%]
Total Valid Votes [ 66 ]  
Discarded Votes [ 5 ]  
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Kentucky
United States
Member #32652
February 14, 2006
7341 Posts
Offline
Posted: January 2, 2015, 6:34 pm - IP Logged

Right thats small bet actually. A valuable bet depends on how much is in the pot and your very best hands compare to the cards on the table. So the value bet to me is that much of a bet.

The more I think about it, the only difference between betting $100 or $3 on a pick-4 number is the payoff. The risk is the same because it depends on how much a player wants to spend and that should be relative to how much one can afford to lose. It looks like your pick-4 playing style is similar to mine with the exception of the amount of the wagers.

    p4wanbi's avatar - Lottery-062.jpg
    WA
    United States
    Member #122238
    January 27, 2012
    180 Posts
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    Posted: January 2, 2015, 6:35 pm - IP Logged

    The more I think about it, the only difference between betting $100 or $3 on a pick-4 number is the payoff. The risk is the same because it depends on how much a player wants to spend and that should be relative to how much one can afford to lose. It looks like your pick-4 playing style is similar to mine with the exception of the amount of the wagers.

    Word.

    playing what can be afforded...spend half of what was reclaimed.

      RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
      mid-Ohio
      United States
      Member #9
      March 24, 2001
      19894 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: January 2, 2015, 9:10 pm - IP Logged

      Washington doesn't have a traditional pick-4 game and it would require hits on multiple days to win almost 1/2 million playing their Match 4 game. So they must be playing in another state's pick-4 game. My skepticism is mostly on the $35,000 in wagers, the "I don't play everyday" comment, and the significance of making five .50/.50 bets. 

      Had they just said they wagered $100 on one pick-4 straight combination every day for a year and got lucky, there would be less skepticism.

      "instead, you're hitting the same set of numbers in single draws? That is risky."

      With $35,000 a year to wager, they can make 357 $100 bets, but the amount wagered on one bet can't change the 9999 to 1 odds against it winning. According to their figures only one 1 out the 357 bets paid off, but that means their strategy is still 28 times better than probability.

      Sounds like he's duplicating what Steve Player use to do in that New England state, but he's spending less.  Haven't much about him lately, must had made his money and retired

       * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
         
                   Evil Looking       

        Avatar
        Kentucky
        United States
        Member #32652
        February 14, 2006
        7341 Posts
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        Posted: January 3, 2015, 8:46 pm - IP Logged

        Sounds like he's duplicating what Steve Player use to do in that New England state, but he's spending less.  Haven't much about him lately, must had made his money and retired

        I watched lots of people bet $100 or more on one Craps, Blackjack, and Roulette outcomes, but there is a big difference in betting $100 on an even money bet or a 37 to 1 Roulette number and a 9999 to 1 pick-4 number. Player probably bets multiple numbers at around $10 a bet.

        If they can win $490,000 for every $35,000 they bet, it shouldn't take too long before they can retire.

          Bondi Junction
          Australia
          Member #57242
          December 24, 2007
          1102 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: January 4, 2015, 9:15 am - IP Logged

          I have won lots of small prizes, nothing big yet.

           

          Maybe one day!

          We all get a lot out of lotteries!

            Pompano Beach
            United States
            Member #122193
            January 26, 2012
            602 Posts
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            Posted: January 4, 2015, 9:20 am - IP Logged

            I won my 1st Pick4 ever in November and hit again in December- so I did good.

            "You can't take it with you."Sun Smiley

              Avatar
              Delaware
              United States
              Member #93503
              July 1, 2010
              453 Posts
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              Posted: January 5, 2015, 9:24 pm - IP Logged

              Daily numbers: hit a few pick 3's but nothing great

              Jackpot games: hit 3+1 on MM and 3+1 on hot lotto made a little bit of money hope to hit the jackpot this year.. but don't we all? lol

                savagegoose's avatar - ProfilePho
                adelaide sa
                Australia
                Member #37136
                April 11, 2006
                3315 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: January 8, 2015, 8:37 am - IP Logged

                Didn't make a profit, but the loss wasn't that much. I've been working for a long time on KENO strategies, which will stay a secret for now.
                These strategies might give me a better ROI in 2015, now that they are almost fully developed.

                i have played my keno strategy for a few years, and made a few bucks. ive developed a website for tracking my success only this dec. and an in process of developing it to functional to offer to people. i will tell you here, and everyone on LP and later offer the website to link to observe my success over the coming year. 

                 i would call it a modified monte carlo system

                ok i play a low spot game say

                spot 1 that wins $3 to start. after $3 loss i move to

                spot 2 that wins $12 if after losing $12 i move to

                spot $3 that wins $32 if after losing $32 i move to 

                spot 4, that wins $120 if after losing $120 i move to 

                spot 5 tat wins $500 if after losing $500 i move to 

                spot 6 that wins $1300 if after losing $1300 i move to 

                spot 7 that wins $8000  if after losing $8000 i move to

                spot 8 that wins $50 000 if after losing $50 000 i move to 

                spot 9 that wins $100 000 if after losing $100 000 i move to 

                spot 10 that wins $1m+ jackpot if after losing that i die

                 

                 

                i have won spot 6x 2 times spot 5 x 3 spot 4 never, and uncountable spot 3's

                the current losses is stated at - $1700 ish that accounts for the last 2 years where i only won at spot 6 resetting it to zero. so my spreadsheet has that form  last 2 years added to the losses when i started this sheet.  i will make the sheet avail for sharing that wont be editable , or viewing hte formula in a few min. here

                https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IBn_yfUDElWEtHDhmfyp6RnX5_U-vPwE2o1aNJEXaUA/edit?usp=sharing

                2014 = -1016; 2015= -1409; 2016  = -1171; 2017 = ?  TOT =  -3596

                keno historic = -2291 ; 2015= -603; 2016= -424; 2017 = ? TOT = - 3318

                  Avatar
                  frontenac, kansas
                  United States
                  Member #67724
                  December 3, 2008
                  200 Posts
                  Offline
                  Posted: January 8, 2015, 9:37 am - IP Logged

                  Hypothetically anything is possible but only with perfect knowledge. Waiting until the exact right time....easier said than done. If every player did this then the lottery wouldn't exist. If any system or pattern existed that was truly predictable, then again, due to perfect knowledge the lottery wouldn't exist. Think about it.

                  The patterns that players track are not unique to their information. All players have the same information, and there are only so many patterns or combinations of patterns that can exist in the finite space of possibilities. So any one pattern that was really effective would be overplayed and the lottery would go broke or eliminate fixed prizes. People get lucky...this is a fact....but the vast majority do not. I'm sure p4wanbi is not the only player who plays big. There are many others who play big.....and lose. It is easy to say that I spent X and won Y, but how long have you played and how close would you come to going broke given a finite bankroll? I mean, if you believe in patterns then you should be throwing money at the stock market, not the stingy lottery. Bet big on those penny stocks! LOL

                  Well the only thing i got to say is I dont know if he actually did win that amount on 35 grand that i would be broadcasting it here drawing attention to myself....the IRS is lurking....and if he did win as he said then the IRS is going to take what 40%  and if he has state taxes maybe another 10% there.   Of couse that would still leave him close to but not quite 200 grand to put into his pocket.

                    savagegoose's avatar - ProfilePho
                    adelaide sa
                    Australia
                    Member #37136
                    April 11, 2006
                    3315 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: January 8, 2015, 12:19 pm - IP Logged

                    i have played my keno strategy for a few years, and made a few bucks. ive developed a website for tracking my success only this dec. and an in process of developing it to functional to offer to people. i will tell you here, and everyone on LP and later offer the website to link to observe my success over the coming year. 

                     i would call it a modified monte carlo system

                    ok i play a low spot game say

                    spot 1 that wins $3 to start. after $3 loss i move to

                    spot 2 that wins $12 if after losing $12 i move to

                    spot $3 that wins $32 if after losing $32 i move to 

                    spot 4, that wins $120 if after losing $120 i move to 

                    spot 5 tat wins $500 if after losing $500 i move to 

                    spot 6 that wins $1300 if after losing $1300 i move to 

                    spot 7 that wins $8000  if after losing $8000 i move to

                    spot 8 that wins $50 000 if after losing $50 000 i move to 

                    spot 9 that wins $100 000 if after losing $100 000 i move to 

                    spot 10 that wins $1m+ jackpot if after losing that i die

                     

                     

                    i have won spot 6x 2 times spot 5 x 3 spot 4 never, and uncountable spot 3's

                    the current losses is stated at - $1700 ish that accounts for the last 2 years where i only won at spot 6 resetting it to zero. so my spreadsheet has that form  last 2 years added to the losses when i started this sheet.  i will make the sheet avail for sharing that wont be editable , or viewing hte formula in a few min. here

                    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IBn_yfUDElWEtHDhmfyp6RnX5_U-vPwE2o1aNJEXaUA/edit?usp=sharing

                    ok as i sit here at the beginning of this year, looking at my data i think of a plan to super charge it , and test rather quickly the 1st 3spots,

                     

                    it involves

                    if at the end of the year i haven't won my money back i start back at spot 1 but instead of $1 per draw, i spend the following .

                    step 1

                    spot 1 =$3  bet in 1 game for spot 3meaning i will $9 if that one game hits.

                    step 2

                     spot 2 i bet $12 in 1 game for spot 2, meaning  if it hits i wins $144.

                    step 3

                    spot 3 i bet $2 per draw every draw i play until this years bets  total is positive if true, i return to step 1 meaning if i get 3 numbers i win $$64

                    step 4

                    i bet $2 per draw every draw until this years total is positive  if true i return to step 1 meaning if i win i get $240

                    step5

                    spot 5 i  bet $1 per draw until the total losses for this year  year are  =$500 if after this historical winnings are zero i have cleared all my losses! if that is still negative reset to year 1

                    step6

                    spot 6 i bet $1 per draw till this years total losses are= $1300  if after this historical winnings are zero i have cleared all my losses! if that is still negative

                    reset to year 1

                    step7

                    spot 7 i bet $1 per draw till this years total losses are =8000 if after this historical winnings are zero i have cleared all my losses! if that is still negative

                    reset to year 1

                    step 8

                    spot 8  its all the same from here

                    i bet $1 per draw till this years total losses are =50 000 if after this historical winnings are zero or positive i have cleared all my losses! if that is still negative reset to year 1

                    you can pretty much guess the routine from here on in ea year will start like this and this is the plan i have to start from today. i haven't figured i will be losing even $1300 in a year so dont se it going upto $50k  if historical winnings are ever back to positive it means the whole system goes back to year 1 status, which is the above posts plan this is year 2 or 3 year plans this is actually my 3rd year of losing, but this modified plan should turbo charge getting back to year 1

                    2014 = -1016; 2015= -1409; 2016  = -1171; 2017 = ?  TOT =  -3596

                    keno historic = -2291 ; 2015= -603; 2016= -424; 2017 = ? TOT = - 3318

                      uprrman's avatar - nw bookeep.jpg
                      harvard,il
                      United States
                      Member #96756
                      September 4, 2010
                      2543 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: January 8, 2015, 12:39 pm - IP Logged

                      scratch off 500.00 1 times many  losers

                      p3 330 2 times  many losers

                      pick 4 1000.00 1 time some losers

                      i want to be a millionaire a second time!

                        Avatar
                        Florida
                        United States
                        Member #160844
                        November 9, 2014
                        115 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: January 14, 2015, 3:50 pm - IP Logged

                        Im up, 2014 was my biggest year so far considering i started in 12'

                         

                        Cash 3 my favorite game $$$$$. I cant remember how many times i won $290, $330 but about at least 30+ $500

                        Play 4  Str8/bx  for the first time $$$$ .

                        I don't have a system I play on gut feeling. One I've learned here If you like your play em

                        $ = digit

                        "I must make my own lane"

                          Avatar

                          United States
                          Member #154236
                          April 8, 2014
                          1441 Posts
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                          Posted: January 14, 2015, 10:56 pm - IP Logged

                          Pick 4: Hit a pick 4 straight for 2700.00 back in February.  3 or 4 100.00 boxed wins and one 200.00 boxed so probably a little ahead on pick 4.

                          Cash 5:  Spend 2-3 bucks a day on Cash 5 and never got more than 3 numbers hit on a draw so loss on Cash 5 as I expect most do unless you are lucky enough to hit a jackpot and mine is coming in 2015Smiley.

                          Scratch Offs:  Only play scratch offs 1rst Tuesday of every month when the new games come out in NC.  Usually spend anywhere from 20.00 to 50 or 60.00 depending on the games that come out and I hit 500.00 once, 100.00 2 or 3 times and several 20-50 dollar wins so probably broke even on scratchys.

                          Rarely play Power Ball or Mega and don't play P3.

                            Chris$'s avatar - Sphere animated2.gif
                            P A
                            United States
                            Member #117331
                            October 3, 2011
                            7074 Posts
                            Online
                            Posted: January 14, 2015, 11:20 pm - IP Logged

                            Up about $27,000 from 2014. 

                            Some big hits over the past 6 years. 

                            Had a few 10k hits every year I think.

                            2010 had 20k and 10k + multiple 1k wins.

                            (My bigger wins come from pick 3&4 bets)

                            ♠♣♥♦= $$$$

                              Avatar
                              Warren, MI
                              United States
                              Member #160169
                              October 20, 2014
                              59 Posts
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                              Posted: January 19, 2015, 2:35 pm - IP Logged

                              Up about $27,000 from 2014. 

                              Some big hits over the past 6 years. 

                              Had a few 10k hits every year I think.

                              2010 had 20k and 10k + multiple 1k wins.

                              (My bigger wins come from pick 3&4 bets)

                              Is the 27,000 from 2014 alone or over the 6 years? This gives me hope in my pick 3 endeavors