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Substitution Works - Mega Balls

Topic closed. 30 replies. Last post 2 years ago by bobby623.

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bobby623's avatar - abstract
San Angelo, Texas
United States
Member #1097
January 31, 2003
1394 Posts
Offline
Posted: May 25, 2015, 10:28 am - IP Logged

Ohio has a 5/39 game with a starting jackpot of $100,000 which rolls until someone wins and its tickets are only a dollars and it seems to be doing fine.  I guess it all depends on what TLC think players can afford and then again it also what Texas's players are willing to pay.

According to reports, Texans are buying lottery products at record levels, especially the scratch offs.
Cash 5/37 is a joke with jackpots less than $20,000 but folks keep playing it.
There are indications that the jackpot games are not growing. Players have no doubt decided that Mega and Powerball are 'predatory' games that
should be avoided. Amen to that.
The politicians who voted to cancel the lottery two years ago are deadly silent this year.

    SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
    Economy class
    Belgium
    Member #123700
    February 27, 2012
    4035 Posts
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    Posted: May 25, 2015, 12:02 pm - IP Logged

    Euromillions pays out for 2/5, but what a difference! 2/50 against 2/37, and you have to pay two euros for one combination at Euromillions. I think that you are lucky to have such a game. Also the All or nothing has a low loosing score. Everybody will want to move to Texas now.

      RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
      mid-Ohio
      United States
      Member #9
      March 24, 2001
      19830 Posts
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      Posted: May 25, 2015, 6:52 pm - IP Logged

      Euromillions pays out for 2/5, but what a difference! 2/50 against 2/37, and you have to pay two euros for one combination at Euromillions. I think that you are lucky to have such a game. Also the All or nothing has a low loosing score. Everybody will want to move to Texas now.

      If those games are that attractive most states of similar size will either add them to their games or come up with something very similar.  Nobody is going to get rich playing all or nothing, it's that right now spending $10 with an almost guaranteed of winning back $2 seems like a good deal to some players.  That will change when they look back after spending a thousand dollars seeing they've only won $200.

       * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
         
                   Evil Looking       

        SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
        Economy class
        Belgium
        Member #123700
        February 27, 2012
        4035 Posts
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        Posted: May 25, 2015, 7:45 pm - IP Logged

        Those games are attractive, and it is not because Texas pays 2 for 1, for 2/5, that for example New York would change its pick 5! The All or nothing is really attractive, and consider a fix budget for a year. If you spend 500 in a year on tickets, you have the better result with All or nothing, that is sure. I think that you are unaware of the calculation! Please check it out and do the math or look it up on LP as I posted it. - There is no game that pays 2 for 1 with a 1 out of 2 chance. Maybe if you buy out the tickets when the jackpot is higher than the price.

          RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
          mid-Ohio
          United States
          Member #9
          March 24, 2001
          19830 Posts
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          Posted: May 26, 2015, 4:56 pm - IP Logged

          Those games are attractive, and it is not because Texas pays 2 for 1, for 2/5, that for example New York would change its pick 5! The All or nothing is really attractive, and consider a fix budget for a year. If you spend 500 in a year on tickets, you have the better result with All or nothing, that is sure. I think that you are unaware of the calculation! Please check it out and do the math or look it up on LP as I posted it. - There is no game that pays 2 for 1 with a 1 out of 2 chance. Maybe if you buy out the tickets when the jackpot is higher than the price.

          I think Ohio's Rolling Cash5 is a fun and an attractive game but I don't see Texas rushing to duplicate it.  Each state have their own ideas about what works in their state.  The only games most states agree on are MM and PB because before they were added to their list of games, local players were going across their boarders to play them.

           * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
             
                       Evil Looking       

            karmamichele's avatar - 18989

            United States
            Member #135929
            November 30, 2012
            119 Posts
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            Posted: May 26, 2015, 9:02 pm - IP Logged

            I don't play Mega Millions - too many Decades (8), too many numbers (75) to track via
            my Substitution w/Gap strategy workout.
            I'm having some success 'guessing' what the next Bonus Ball will be in the Texas Two-Step
            game. Therefore, I think the same workout will work for the Mega Ball.
            So, just for the heck of it, I generated a set of tracking charts that reflect where the 15
            Mega balls have been, since Jan. 2015, and where they might be headed.
            If I'm interpreting the trend line in what I call the 'Star Chart', and other tracking charts, correctly, the Mega Ball
            for the next Mega Millions drawing, May22, could be one of four possibilities - 1, 2, 3, or 4.
            The Star Chart presents a trend line that forms numerous patterns, in lieu of numerical
            combinations, when a  'dot' activated by other charts moves across a piece of graph paper.
            The trend line for the four Mega Ball possibilities just completed a 'Left 3-point Diagonal.' and is moving along a path that will form a 'Right 4-point Diagonal.'
            The '3-point' reference means the line moved three consecutive graph columns, whereas the 4-point means the line has crossed three consecutive graph columns. If it continues, it will complete the 'right diagonal' on the Mega Ball #1 line.
            I have to point out that 4-point diagonals, in either direction, are not frequent.
            But, these are fresh charts and there are not many examples to consider, as there are with the
            Two-Step charts having four lines.
            Mega Ball #1 has missed 26 consecutive opportunities, and is, in some workouts, a 'cold' prospect.
            But, you never know.
            Mega Ball #2 would make a good second choice, if my reading of the 'tea leaves' is correct.
            There are other possible patterns, such as right and left steps, tea and table spoons, up and down bowls, letters M and W, to name a few, or no discernible pattern.
            One more comment regarding the 'Star Chart'.
            Some folks can evaluate a line of data and intuitively know what the what next item will be.
            In my book, a person who can make the right choice on a relatively consistent basis is
            a "Lotto Star."
            As an aside, this analysis does not, repeat, does not involve 'odds', mathematical formulae or other of the popular methods used in traditional workouts.
            Use at your own risk!!!

            Where are your workouts Bobby?  See Ya!

                                                                                       

             

            May your Pockets be heavy, And your heart be light! Wherever you go or whatever you do,

            May the luck of the Irish be there with you! May Good Luck pursue you each day & night!

              bobby623's avatar - abstract
              San Angelo, Texas
              United States
              Member #1097
              January 31, 2003
              1394 Posts
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              Posted: May 26, 2015, 11:17 pm - IP Logged

              Where are your workouts Bobby?  See Ya!

              It will be awhile before I post workout details.
              This is new and only two drawings.
              Don't want to put something out until I'm confident that my methods are sound.
              Thanks for your interest.

                Avatar
                New Member
                INDIANAPOLIS
                United States
                Member #164861
                March 17, 2015
                8 Posts
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                Posted: May 26, 2015, 11:58 pm - IP Logged

                Can't wait to try your workout bobby.

                Thank you

                  RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                  mid-Ohio
                  United States
                  Member #9
                  March 24, 2001
                  19830 Posts
                  Offline
                  Posted: May 27, 2015, 5:34 am - IP Logged

                  Can't wait to try your workout bobby.

                  Thank you

                  Good luck if you really believe someone in going to analyze the last 167 MM games, come up with a strategy/workout to improve your odds of winning a quarter of a billion dollars jackpot and hand it over to you because they don't like playing such games with large matrix.

                   * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                     
                               Evil Looking       

                    bobby623's avatar - abstract
                    San Angelo, Texas
                    United States
                    Member #1097
                    January 31, 2003
                    1394 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: May 27, 2015, 9:10 am - IP Logged

                    Well, well, well!!
                    Beginner's luck??
                    Lucky shot??
                    Lotto Star??
                    Proof that a workout using the power of substitution can work??
                    Take your pick, or add other (good and/or bad) possibilities!!

                    I'm certain that the great mathematically-oriented folks here are thinking that
                    one partial win doesn't prove anything. Only consistent wins are worthy
                    of consideration!!

                    Fair enough!
                    Let's see what develops!

                    I've updated my tracking and trend charts and, if I'm reading the Star Chart and several trend lines correctly, the next Mega Ball, May 26, will be a 5,6,7 or 8.
                    Personally, I favor Mega Ball #7.
                    Time will tell!!

                    Detailed paper and pen workouts demand good penmanship and close attention to details.
                    Otherwise, you could end up traveling up a wrong column or across in the wrong row.
                    Enough said.
                    I predicted '7',
                    The winning number is '12'.
                    __

                    My updated data indicates the May 29 Mega Ball could be 1,2,3 or 4.

                      bobby623's avatar - abstract
                      San Angelo, Texas
                      United States
                      Member #1097
                      January 31, 2003
                      1394 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: May 30, 2015, 10:12 am - IP Logged

                      The winning Mega Millions combination for the May 29 drawing is: 20-27-38-49-66+2.
                      I predicted the MB# would be 1,2,3, or 4!!!
                      Two correct choices in a row!
                      I've updated my paper and pencil workout and, if I'm reading the Star Chart and other trend lines correctly, the next MB# will be 5, 6, 7, or 8.

                        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                        mid-Ohio
                        United States
                        Member #9
                        March 24, 2001
                        19830 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: June 1, 2015, 8:46 am - IP Logged

                        The winning Mega Millions combination for the May 29 drawing is: 20-27-38-49-66+2.
                        I predicted the MB# would be 1,2,3, or 4!!!
                        Two correct choices in a row!
                        I've updated my paper and pencil workout and, if I'm reading the Star Chart and other trend lines correctly, the next MB# will be 5, 6, 7, or 8.

                        With your system are you trying to pick a winning MM combination or just the winning maga ball of 15?  By pick four possible outcomes of 15 your odds of being correct are 4/15 or 26%

                         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                           
                                     Evil Looking       

                          bobby623's avatar - abstract
                          San Angelo, Texas
                          United States
                          Member #1097
                          January 31, 2003
                          1394 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: June 1, 2015, 4:29 pm - IP Logged

                          With your system are you trying to pick a winning MM combination or just the winning maga ball of 15?  By pick four possible outcomes of 15 your odds of being correct are 4/15 or 26%

                          Hello, RJOH
                          It goes without saying that all lottery system players, including you, are following some kind of game plan, so to speak, they believe will help them be a winner.

                          As far as I can tell, most of the methods are based on one central idea:
                          Winning lottery combinations can be predicted in advance by applying various mathematical formulae that analyze a lottery game 'en masse' and point the way to financial independence.
                          I did that for many years before concluding that trying to reverse engineer the lottery machines is futile.
                          As an alternative, I created an original workout where the power of substitution is used to break any lottery game history into smaller portions for subsequent analysis and prediction purposes.
                          Following specific rules of procedure, the workout provides various follower trend lines that a User can evaluate and use to choose numbers that seem to have the best chance of being in the next winning combination.
                          I have used much of my time and LP space to describe the workout, but, the method has apparently failed to attract a loyal band of believers.
                          It's been a mostly one-way street with me giving much but not receiving anything of value in return.
                          As I said in a recent post, there is a ton of information available about how to generate data for lottery games using traditional methods, but, little or no information about choosing the extra balls.
                          I don't spend any of my throw away money on Mega Millions and Powerball.
                          But, given the possibility that there are some 'silent' substitution believers 'out there' I decided to generate a workout specifically for the bonus balls.
                          Since LP is a lottery forum, I have posted my progress - without giving too much detail - to demonstrate that substitution workouts are reliable and can generate winning numbers frequently enough to make the effort and expense worthwhile.
                          The folks who are using substitution know exactly what I'm doing and they can replicate the workout on their own.

                          Folks who might want to adopt substitution will have to do a search on my name and read the detailed guidance I've posted over the past several years, bearing in mind that the workout has been improved in some areas.

                          Substitution techniques are not complicated. It's actually child's play in many respects.
                          The only real qualifications are an ability to follow detailed instructions and the mental agility to analyze and interpret the data in various trend charts that help identify numbers having the best chance of winning.

                          So, to answer your question.

                          I'm using a substitution-based workout to track only the Mega balls.
                          Yes, there are 4 numbers per prediction, but a user can choose fewer numbers by evaluating a tracking chart that maps the behavior of individual numbers.

                          It would appear that the trend charts I've created are indeed useful in choosing (guessing) which Mega ball will be in the next winning combination.

                          FYI
                          The workout has rules of procedure whereby the Mega balls are divided into four groups and identified with specific Alpha signatures and Gap numbers.
                          In other words, the workout is using the Gaps to identify Mega Ball numbers for play.
                          Last MB# = Gap1# = Alpha Signature = Gap2# = Next MB#.
                          There are 15 Gap1 numbers.
                          There are 4 Alpha Signatures (A, B, C and D)
                          There are 4 Gap2 numbers (1,2,3 and 4)
                          Each of the Gap2 numbers represent one of 4 Groups of Mega Balls.|
                          Group 1 - 1,2,3,4; Group 2 - 5,6,7,8, Group 3 - 9,10,11,12, Group 4 - 13,14,15.
                          There is a Main Worksheet where required substitutions are made and the Gaps are generated according to precise rules of procedure.
                          There are tracking charts that show past behavior of the Alpha Signatures and Individual Mega Ball numbers.
                          There is a 4-line Sum chart that maps the progress of the individual Gap2 numbers.
                          And a Play chart where the End-of-Line and other data are brought together in a particular format that aids the finding of the best answer to the What's Next question.
                          So far, I've correctly interpreted the trend lines twice in three attempts.
                          I'm convinced I've created a workout others might find useful.
                          In fact, I think I'll adjust my play schedule to include 4 Quick Picks with my Mega Ball choices in future drawings.
                          Thanks for your interest.

                            RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                            mid-Ohio
                            United States
                            Member #9
                            March 24, 2001
                            19830 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: June 1, 2015, 7:42 pm - IP Logged

                            Hello, RJOH
                            It goes without saying that all lottery system players, including you, are following some kind of game plan, so to speak, they believe will help them be a winner.

                            As far as I can tell, most of the methods are based on one central idea:
                            Winning lottery combinations can be predicted in advance by applying various mathematical formulae that analyze a lottery game 'en masse' and point the way to financial independence.
                            I did that for many years before concluding that trying to reverse engineer the lottery machines is futile.
                            As an alternative, I created an original workout where the power of substitution is used to break any lottery game history into smaller portions for subsequent analysis and prediction purposes.
                            Following specific rules of procedure, the workout provides various follower trend lines that a User can evaluate and use to choose numbers that seem to have the best chance of being in the next winning combination.
                            I have used much of my time and LP space to describe the workout, but, the method has apparently failed to attract a loyal band of believers.
                            It's been a mostly one-way street with me giving much but not receiving anything of value in return.
                            As I said in a recent post, there is a ton of information available about how to generate data for lottery games using traditional methods, but, little or no information about choosing the extra balls.
                            I don't spend any of my throw away money on Mega Millions and Powerball.
                            But, given the possibility that there are some 'silent' substitution believers 'out there' I decided to generate a workout specifically for the bonus balls.
                            Since LP is a lottery forum, I have posted my progress - without giving too much detail - to demonstrate that substitution workouts are reliable and can generate winning numbers frequently enough to make the effort and expense worthwhile.
                            The folks who are using substitution know exactly what I'm doing and they can replicate the workout on their own.

                            Folks who might want to adopt substitution will have to do a search on my name and read the detailed guidance I've posted over the past several years, bearing in mind that the workout has been improved in some areas.

                            Substitution techniques are not complicated. It's actually child's play in many respects.
                            The only real qualifications are an ability to follow detailed instructions and the mental agility to analyze and interpret the data in various trend charts that help identify numbers having the best chance of winning.

                            So, to answer your question.

                            I'm using a substitution-based workout to track only the Mega balls.
                            Yes, there are 4 numbers per prediction, but a user can choose fewer numbers by evaluating a tracking chart that maps the behavior of individual numbers.

                            It would appear that the trend charts I've created are indeed useful in choosing (guessing) which Mega ball will be in the next winning combination.

                            FYI
                            The workout has rules of procedure whereby the Mega balls are divided into four groups and identified with specific Alpha signatures and Gap numbers.
                            In other words, the workout is using the Gaps to identify Mega Ball numbers for play.
                            Last MB# = Gap1# = Alpha Signature = Gap2# = Next MB#.
                            There are 15 Gap1 numbers.
                            There are 4 Alpha Signatures (A, B, C and D)
                            There are 4 Gap2 numbers (1,2,3 and 4)
                            Each of the Gap2 numbers represent one of 4 Groups of Mega Balls.|
                            Group 1 - 1,2,3,4; Group 2 - 5,6,7,8, Group 3 - 9,10,11,12, Group 4 - 13,14,15.
                            There is a Main Worksheet where required substitutions are made and the Gaps are generated according to precise rules of procedure.
                            There are tracking charts that show past behavior of the Alpha Signatures and Individual Mega Ball numbers.
                            There is a 4-line Sum chart that maps the progress of the individual Gap2 numbers.
                            And a Play chart where the End-of-Line and other data are brought together in a particular format that aids the finding of the best answer to the What's Next question.
                            So far, I've correctly interpreted the trend lines twice in three attempts.
                            I'm convinced I've created a workout others might find useful.
                            In fact, I think I'll adjust my play schedule to include 4 Quick Picks with my Mega Ball choices in future drawings.
                            Thanks for your interest.

                            As you noted I too have tried to develop a system to help me predict winners and a couple of years back when I matched 5of6 in the local 6/49 game I thought I was on to something but as anyone who checked my predictions statistics knows I haven't done as well since. 

                            With Mega Millions last matrix change I made changes to adapt for the 75 numbers and is constantly making them.  For tomorrow MM drawing I will only use the last 168 drawings to calculate my picks but will avoid repeating any combinations that have matched five in MM/BigGame 1881 previous drawings.  Like you I used to post my system but with only the one near jackpot hit, there wasn't much interest in it.  I usually play 15 lines and use all 15 mega ball so I know I will win at least a dollar.  I guess for a system to attract interest it should have at least hit one jackpot but if it had been that good I probably wouldn't have post it.

                            Good luck on your picks for tomorrow MM drawing.

                             * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                               
                                         Evil Looking       

                              bobby623's avatar - abstract
                              San Angelo, Texas
                              United States
                              Member #1097
                              January 31, 2003
                              1394 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: June 3, 2015, 12:47 pm - IP Logged

                              The winning combination and Mega Ball for the June 2 drawing is 2.9.11.22.23 + 12.

                              I evaluated several trend lines and wrongly predicted the Mega Ball would be 5, 6, 7 or 8.

                              I bought 4 QPs and played my Mega ball choices.
                              A total strikeout!
                              Not a single main combination hit!!

                              It goes without saying that others could have evaluated the same trend lines and drawn different conclusions.

                              How long does it take to update the tracking charts?
                              I did it in less than 10 minutes!

                              I spent a little longer evaluating the trend lines, which are rather sparse given the short life span of the workout.
                              My best guess is that the Mega Ball for the June 5 drawing could be 13, 14, or 15.
                              I like '13'!!

                              Thanks for your interest.