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Texas Triple Chance

Topic closed. 103 replies. Last post 1 year ago by garyo1954.

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SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
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Posted: October 11, 2015, 12:53 pm - IP Logged

I just noticed that this is a pick 7 game and not a pick 10 game.
So this is pick 7 / 10 / 55.

    bobby623's avatar - abstract
    San Angelo, Texas
    United States
    Member #1097
    January 31, 2003
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    Posted: October 11, 2015, 12:56 pm - IP Logged
    abcdefp()1:
    1124110,0017447573,1657737

    equals: abccddddef

    Serge
    Neat work, but not useful because my choices are based almost entirely on TRENDS, not mathematics.
    When I begin constructing plays, the Decade columns will be a source of information that might aid the guesswork.
    As of today, there have been 12 drawings.
    When the individual columns are added, Decades C, D, E have the higher totals.
    What this means over the long haul is uncertain.
    It will probably be a more of a visual tool where conclusions can be made just by viewing the trends.
    For example, I think I would limit my Decade A choices to '1' per signature.
    It's just too early in the game, but my "brain cells" are being educated with each drawing.
    Actually, my game choices will be based almost solely on the Alpha signatures.
    Again, it's early but ABBC in positions 1 thru 4 could be a favorite.
    "Connector", "CC", in P5 and P6 is a favorite, as is 'DEEF" in the Last 4 positions.
    Making good choices will depend on other Trend factors, which will become fairly obvious in future.
    Choosing Integers, of course, is another matter.
    I have designed a series of Tracking charts which will provide the clues that will help me identify the integers
    having best chance of being in the next drawing.
    Again, its Trends, Trends, Trends.
    I'll evaluate all the Trend lines and let my brain guide my decisions.
    Perhaps those folks who believe there is a mathematical solution to lottery play will find your ideas useful.
    Regarding 'different chunks'.
    In the Trend analysis business, the Decade breakdown I listed is the easier method.
    Thanks for your interest.

      bobby623's avatar - abstract
      San Angelo, Texas
      United States
      Member #1097
      January 31, 2003
      1405 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: October 11, 2015, 1:04 pm - IP Logged

      I just noticed that this is a pick 7 game and not a pick 10 game.
      So this is pick 7 / 10 / 55.

      No, not a Pick 7 game.
      It's pick 10.
      To win the $100,000 jackpot, you have to correctly match 7 of the 10 integers drawn.
      You have to choose 10 integers in order to get a ticket.
      You just include your 7 best choices in each play.

        SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
        Economy class
        Belgium
        Member #123700
        February 27, 2012
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        Posted: October 11, 2015, 1:14 pm - IP Logged

        Serge
        Neat work, but not useful because my choices are based almost entirely on TRENDS, not mathematics.
        When I begin constructing plays, the Decade columns will be a source of information that might aid the guesswork.
        As of today, there have been 12 drawings.
        When the individual columns are added, Decades C, D, E have the higher totals.
        What this means over the long haul is uncertain.
        It will probably be a more of a visual tool where conclusions can be made just by viewing the trends.
        For example, I think I would limit my Decade A choices to '1' per signature.
        It's just too early in the game, but my "brain cells" are being educated with each drawing.
        Actually, my game choices will be based almost solely on the Alpha signatures.
        Again, it's early but ABBC in positions 1 thru 4 could be a favorite.
        "Connector", "CC", in P5 and P6 is a favorite, as is 'DEEF" in the Last 4 positions.
        Making good choices will depend on other Trend factors, which will become fairly obvious in future.
        Choosing Integers, of course, is another matter.
        I have designed a series of Tracking charts which will provide the clues that will help me identify the integers
        having best chance of being in the next drawing.
        Again, its Trends, Trends, Trends.
        I'll evaluate all the Trend lines and let my brain guide my decisions.
        Perhaps those folks who believe there is a mathematical solution to lottery play will find your ideas useful.
        Regarding 'different chunks'.
        In the Trend analysis business, the Decade breakdown I listed is the easier method.
        Thanks for your interest.

        I am adding the hot chocolate and whipped cream on your homemade vanilla ice cream.

        You can kind of drag probability and trends out of the drawings, but you do not have the average reference point without probability. I won't post all cases for your chunks alias decades. Trends come, trends go and there is the no trend. It all comes more or less according to a random model.

        Defining a trend that stays for a while is a key, if the amount of numbers is very limited and those could be used as key numbers, to cut the costs.

        What kind of trends are you looking for? Or, how do you define trend?

          SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
          Economy class
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          Posted: October 11, 2015, 1:32 pm - IP Logged
          ScoreCombinationsProbabilityChance 1:
          71200,00000059       1 691 064,38 
          694500,00004657           21 473,83 
          52494800,00122940                 813,40 
          429799000,01468454                   68,10 
          3178794000,08810723                   11,35 
          2549791550,27092974                     3,69 
          1814506000,40137739                     2,49 
          0453796200,22362454                     4,47 

          10.4 % to win any price.

            bobby623's avatar - abstract
            San Angelo, Texas
            United States
            Member #1097
            January 31, 2003
            1405 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: October 11, 2015, 2:54 pm - IP Logged

            I am adding the hot chocolate and whipped cream on your homemade vanilla ice cream.

            You can kind of drag probability and trends out of the drawings, but you do not have the average reference point without probability. I won't post all cases for your chunks alias decades. Trends come, trends go and there is the no trend. It all comes more or less according to a random model.

            Defining a trend that stays for a while is a key, if the amount of numbers is very limited and those could be used as key numbers, to cut the costs.

            What kind of trends are you looking for? Or, how do you define trend?

            A complete answer to your question will require more time and energy than I have to give for this Topic.
            But, I'll give a short answer.
            Background.
            I have a paper and pencil workout I call Substitution Lottery Workout w/Gap Strategy.
            It's a labor intensive situation involving numerous tracking charts that have to be kept
            current.
            This workout can be used for any lottery game having clearly defined Decades.
            For this explanation on how I use Trends to guide my integer choices, I'm using my
            Pick 3 workout.
            I've decided to base my next play on Alpha Signature ABC.
            This means I need to get 1 integer from Decade A, 1 integer from Decade B and 1 integer from Decade C, which, by the way, includes R which is always 0 (zero).
            I use Gap strategy.
            In this instance, my worksheets tell me that for Decade B, I need to use Gap string 1, which, by the way is the Default.
            The Decade B Hotsheet, Gap 1 column ends with '3'. This tells me that I must go to Follower-Follower Page 3, Column 3, which ends with '11',
            This is where I choose one Gap number, `1,2,or 3 by analyzing Column 11.
            Here are the choices, listed here as a horizontal trend line to save space.
            11: 32321111112331331312
            Question: What is the next G digit??
            There are several ways to analyze the data:
            Verbally - Last digit is 2 - 2.3.2.1.2.3.2.? (dont talk too loud, lol)
            2 is followed by 3, 1,3, (could be next is 1)
            Use Sum3 (this generates a separate line) by adding consecutive digits, 3 at a time.
            8764553346877787756.....next is 2+1+?
            Choices +1(4), +2(5), +3(6).
            I choose +2(5)
            The next digit is "2", which, according to other workout features means the Next Decade B digit should be "4"
            I say 'should' because my choice is based on intuition and other factors.
            I'm not always Right, but, I'm making correct choices often enough to make it worthwhile.
            Now - you no doubt have questions, which, unfortunately, I won't answer.
            You either think substitution is good strategy or you don't.
            if you do, I've posted enough stuff over the past 5 years to help you set up your own
            workout.
            I doubt you will do that because most lottery players travel the easy routes, trying to
            win by pushing a few keys on a computer, or, whatever.
            Thanks for your interest.

              SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
              Economy class
              Belgium
              Member #123700
              February 27, 2012
              4035 Posts
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              Posted: October 12, 2015, 8:34 am - IP Logged
              11020304050
              91929394955
              abcdefp()1:
              1124110,0017447573,1657737
              2222200,0050472198,1313786
              1222210,0075707132,0875857

              ...

              No guarantee for correct calculus!

              Bobby's

              Letter-combination, 1 in ..., possible combinations of 10, probability

              ABBCCDDEEF1:132,0875857000122214337500,007570734
              AABCCDDEEF1:148,5985339125131968300000,006729541
              AABBCDDEEF1:148,5985339125131968300000,006729541
              AABBCCDEEF1:148,5985339125131968300000,006729541

              ...

              2946 Possible letter combinations

              Tool used: Excel with VBE

              Each letter-combination holds many 7 number combinations.

                bobby623's avatar - abstract
                San Angelo, Texas
                United States
                Member #1097
                January 31, 2003
                1405 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: October 14, 2015, 10:53 am - IP Logged

                No, not a Pick 7 game.
                It's pick 10.
                To win the $100,000 jackpot, you have to correctly match 7 of the 10 integers drawn.
                You have to choose 10 integers in order to get a ticket.
                You just include your 7 best choices in each play.


                My statement that a player has to choose 10 integers is INCORRECT.
                Players making personal picks must choose the 7 integers they believe will be in the
                next 10-integer winning combination.

                I guess that makes it a  Pick 7 game, as Serge reported.

                Live and learn!

                  garyo1954's avatar - garyo
                  Dallas, Texas
                  United States
                  Member #4549
                  May 2, 2004
                  1823 Posts
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                  Posted: October 19, 2015, 9:45 pm - IP Logged


                  My statement that a player has to choose 10 integers is INCORRECT.
                  Players making personal picks must choose the 7 integers they believe will be in the
                  next 10-integer winning combination.

                  I guess that makes it a  Pick 7 game, as Serge reported.

                  Live and learn!

                  Bobby,

                  This is one of the worst games, if not the worst, I've seen. Texas is selling it on the idea of CHANCEs instead of odds. We all know that having three chances does not change the ODDS of having a winning combination. In this case the ODDS are 1:202927725. The two additional QPs (CHANCES) do not reduce those odds.

                  You still have to have 7 of 55 in any one line no matter how many CHANCES or how many numbers they draw. Let's see now.....

                  I can pay $2 to play a 7 of 55 for $100,000 (the cap on the payout is 1 million btw) or pay $1 and play 6 of 54 for millions or play a $1 and play Mega Million for more millions.

                  I can pay $1 and play 2Step (starting jackpot $200,000) with much better odds. All or Nothing pays $250,000 and its a $2 game.

                  This game needs to produce a lot of winners to survive. But producing a lot winners will mean its losing money. It's just a BAD game. 

                  Be that as it may, here's the top alpha patterns. Once you compare the patterns to the results you'll see this is going to be a low ball game. 

                  All 100 top patterns start with A or B. Pattern 107 is CCDDEEF. The next starting C pattern (CCCDDEF) is at 200 with 324000 combinations.

                  The Even/Odd breakdown is about what you would expect with Odds producing better.

                  It appears the best plays two low pairs and a triple, or three pairs and single, or two triples and a single.

                  My greatest accomplishment is teaching cats about Vienna Sausage. When I need a friend, all I need do is walk outside, pop open a can, and every little critter in the neighborhood drops by to say "Hi!"

                    Avatar
                    Krypton
                    United States
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                    March 11, 2013
                    904 Posts
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                    Posted: October 20, 2015, 7:36 am - IP Logged

                    Bobby,

                    This is one of the worst games, if not the worst, I've seen. Texas is selling it on the idea of CHANCEs instead of odds. We all know that having three chances does not change the ODDS of having a winning combination. In this case the ODDS are 1:202927725. The two additional QPs (CHANCES) do not reduce those odds.

                    You still have to have 7 of 55 in any one line no matter how many CHANCES or how many numbers they draw. Let's see now.....

                    I can pay $2 to play a 7 of 55 for $100,000 (the cap on the payout is 1 million btw) or pay $1 and play 6 of 54 for millions or play a $1 and play Mega Million for more millions.

                    I can pay $1 and play 2Step (starting jackpot $200,000) with much better odds. All or Nothing pays $250,000 and its a $2 game.

                    This game needs to produce a lot of winners to survive. But producing a lot winners will mean its losing money. It's just a BAD game. 

                    Be that as it may, here's the top alpha patterns. Once you compare the patterns to the results you'll see this is going to be a low ball game. 

                    All 100 top patterns start with A or B. Pattern 107 is CCDDEEF. The next starting C pattern (CCCDDEF) is at 200 with 324000 combinations.

                    The Even/Odd breakdown is about what you would expect with Odds producing better.

                    It appears the best plays two low pairs and a triple, or three pairs and single, or two triples and a single.

                    G

                    your probably correct. I've not dove in nor cracked the surface of this one. IMHO the Two Step has the payout lol Bonus Ball is $5 vs others $1.  I normally play 20 lines per any game   When I do well I'm hitting 3 plus the BB on many lines which adds up to a decent amount of $$$ 

                    i will dabble with the Game of chance but first I've git to finish the projects I'm on

                     

                    Larry

                    Stay In The Vortex, you'll be happy you did ..... Random? Seriously? You want me to believe that?

                      butch2030's avatar - DiscoBallGlowing
                      The KEY ingredient is Combos & Patterns
                      Elgin, IL
                      United States
                      Member #68867
                      January 1, 2009
                      1221 Posts
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                      Posted: October 20, 2015, 12:40 pm - IP Logged

                      Here's 7 out of the 19 draws

                      12015-10-191615263338455051541
                      22015-10-16346151619333845461
                      32015-10-01182627313236384250541
                      42015-10-0961013252729394550511
                      52015-10-14167222436435052541
                      62015-10-05567202538484954552
                      72015-10-0611115252729484954552

                      Good Luck & Best Wishes

                        garyo1954's avatar - garyo
                        Dallas, Texas
                        United States
                        Member #4549
                        May 2, 2004
                        1823 Posts
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                        Posted: October 20, 2015, 1:23 pm - IP Logged

                        G

                        your probably correct. I've not dove in nor cracked the surface of this one. IMHO the Two Step has the payout lol Bonus Ball is $5 vs others $1.  I normally play 20 lines per any game   When I do well I'm hitting 3 plus the BB on many lines which adds up to a decent amount of $$$ 

                        i will dabble with the Game of chance but first I've git to finish the projects I'm on

                         

                        Larry

                        Larry,

                        Not a lot to see at this point.

                        If you use all 19 draws plus pretests its 95 results. Of those, 82 start with "A", 11 Start with "B", 2 start with "C."

                        Of the 791 total alpha patterns, 462 start with "A," (58.4%). The last AFFFFFF set falls around 149,403,045.

                        210 alpha patterns start with "B," 26.5%. The last BFFFFFF set falls around 194 million.

                        84 start with "C."

                        28 start with "D."

                        7 start with "E."

                        Needless to say 84% of the matrix contains "A" and/or "B" numbers. Based on the 95 draws thus far (82 "A" + 11 "B") 93 of the total 95 draws have a low number of "A" or "B" or multiple low numbers in those ranges. 

                        That's not going to change (much) over the long haul. High number sets will be few and far between.

                        My greatest accomplishment is teaching cats about Vienna Sausage. When I need a friend, all I need do is walk outside, pop open a can, and every little critter in the neighborhood drops by to say "Hi!"

                          SergeM's avatar - slow icon.png
                          Economy class
                          Belgium
                          Member #123700
                          February 27, 2012
                          4035 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: October 20, 2015, 1:58 pm - IP Logged

                          A complete answer to your question will require more time and energy than I have to give for this Topic.
                          But, I'll give a short answer.
                          Background.
                          I have a paper and pencil workout I call Substitution Lottery Workout w/Gap Strategy.
                          It's a labor intensive situation involving numerous tracking charts that have to be kept
                          current.
                          This workout can be used for any lottery game having clearly defined Decades.
                          For this explanation on how I use Trends to guide my integer choices, I'm using my
                          Pick 3 workout.
                          I've decided to base my next play on Alpha Signature ABC.
                          This means I need to get 1 integer from Decade A, 1 integer from Decade B and 1 integer from Decade C, which, by the way, includes R which is always 0 (zero).
                          I use Gap strategy.
                          In this instance, my worksheets tell me that for Decade B, I need to use Gap string 1, which, by the way is the Default.
                          The Decade B Hotsheet, Gap 1 column ends with '3'. This tells me that I must go to Follower-Follower Page 3, Column 3, which ends with '11',
                          This is where I choose one Gap number, `1,2,or 3 by analyzing Column 11.
                          Here are the choices, listed here as a horizontal trend line to save space.
                          11: 32321111112331331312
                          Question: What is the next G digit??
                          There are several ways to analyze the data:
                          Verbally - Last digit is 2 - 2.3.2.1.2.3.2.? (dont talk too loud, lol)
                          2 is followed by 3, 1,3, (could be next is 1)
                          Use Sum3 (this generates a separate line) by adding consecutive digits, 3 at a time.
                          8764553346877787756.....next is 2+1+?
                          Choices +1(4), +2(5), +3(6).
                          I choose +2(5)
                          The next digit is "2", which, according to other workout features means the Next Decade B digit should be "4"
                          I say 'should' because my choice is based on intuition and other factors.
                          I'm not always Right, but, I'm making correct choices often enough to make it worthwhile.
                          Now - you no doubt have questions, which, unfortunately, I won't answer.
                          You either think substitution is good strategy or you don't.
                          if you do, I've posted enough stuff over the past 5 years to help you set up your own
                          workout.
                          I doubt you will do that because most lottery players travel the easy routes, trying to
                          win by pushing a few keys on a computer, or, whatever.
                          Thanks for your interest.

                          There we go again with odds and predictions against a weak payout.

                          You'll have to explain the terms, column 11 of what?

                          Nice to read yours, but I think that I am far ahead of you. I sometimes just enjoy the lecture. I am not publishing, don't ask for it, I won't! I'll limit my questions from here on, people read this, lol.

                          If you want to make an egg stand vertically then ask for Columbus!

                            garyo1954's avatar - garyo
                            Dallas, Texas
                            United States
                            Member #4549
                            May 2, 2004
                            1823 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: October 21, 2015, 7:49 pm - IP Logged

                            After last night's drawing I went back and got all pretest and live draws together and ran some ideas. We got lemons so we might as well try to make lemonade, right?

                            76 patterns have hit so far. Here's the breakdown. In short 103 of 120 start with an A number. 15 start with a B number. (I'm not crazy. I'm using only the first 7 numbers since 7 is all you get to choose.) 

                            I am a bit surprised that 6 Even and 4 Odds come out more than any other E/O pattern, but for that I used all ten numbers to get some idea of how the even and odds are falling. I may go back and see what position the evens and odds are falling later, I don't see that as a priority for the time being.

                            AAAAABB1
                            AAAAABC1
                            AAAABBC1
                            AAAABBD1
                            AAAABCC1
                            AAAABCD1
                            AAAABDE1
                            AAAACCD1
                            AAABBBB1
                            AAABBBD1
                            AAABBCC2
                            AAABBCD1
                            AAABCCC2
                            AAABCCD1
                            AAABEEE1
                            AAACCDE2
                            AABBBCC2
                            AABBBCD2
                            AABBBCE1
                            AABBCCC2
                            AABBCCD4
                            AABBCDD1
                            AABBCDE1
                            AABBDDE1
                            AABCCCC1
                            AABCCCD5
                            AABCCDD3
                            AABCCDE3
                            AABCDDD1
                            AABCDDE2
                            AABDDDD1
                            AACCCDD1
                            AACCCDE1
                            AACCDEE1
                            AACDEEE1
                            ABBBBBC1
                            ABBBBCC2
                            ABBBBCD2
                            ABBBBDD1
                            ABBBCCC3
                            ABBBCCD2
                            ABBBCDD4
                            ABBCCCC1
                            ABBCCCD7
                            ABBCCCE1
                            ABBCCDD4
                            ABBCCDE2
                            ABBCCEE1
                            ABBCDDE2
                            ABBDDDD1
                            ABCCCCC1
                            ABCCCCD1
                            ABCCCDD3
                            ABCCCDE1
                            ABCCDDD2
                            ABCCDDE1
                            ABCCEEE1
                            ABCDDDD1
                            ABCDDEE1
                            ACCCDDD2
                            ACCDDDD1
                            ADDDEEE1
                            BBBBBBD1
                            BBBBCCC1
                            BBBBCCD1
                            BBBBCDD1
                            BBBCCCC1
                            BBBCCCD1
                            BBBCCDD1
                            BBCCCCC1
                            BBCCCDD2
                            BBCDDEE3
                            BBCDEEE1
                            BCCDDDD1
                            CCCCDDD1
                            CCCDDDD1
                            EVEN/ODDTOTAL
                            10/0 =0
                            9/1 =0
                            8/2 =6
                            7/3 =17
                            6/4 =31
                            5/5 =26
                            4/6 =19
                            3/7 =13
                            2/8 =7
                            1/9 =1
                            0/10 =0

                            My greatest accomplishment is teaching cats about Vienna Sausage. When I need a friend, all I need do is walk outside, pop open a can, and every little critter in the neighborhood drops by to say "Hi!"

                              garyo1954's avatar - garyo
                              Dallas, Texas
                              United States
                              Member #4549
                              May 2, 2004
                              1823 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: October 21, 2015, 8:23 pm - IP Logged

                              Here we have 59 sets of numbers. These comprise 49.1% of all the draws thus far. What do they have in common?

                               

                              92820152111319202832363749ABBBCCD55
                              92820156151617192239434554ABBBBCD46
                              9282015451216192433515355AABBBCD46
                              92820152121314232428384750ABBBCCC73
                              9292015491123242832465152AABCCCD64
                              9302015791218222333445355AABBCCD46
                              930201510111423242730373941BBBCCCD46
                              10120154101215192224344454ABBBBCC82
                              101201556918212628364448AAABCCC73
                              1022015461013202627354852AABBCCC73
                              10220155141622272829394054ABBCCCC64
                              1022015481322232528364454AABCCCC73
                              10220154121620212430374344ABBCCCD73
                              1032015124581416435254AAAAABB73
                              103201511152024272829324250BBCCCCC64
                              10320152121516202124274749ABBBCCC55
                              10520154161722232830364647ABBCCCD73
                              1052015161415272831424546AABBCCD55
                              1052015891417192336444552AABBBCD55
                              10620151111525272948495455ABBCCCE28
                              10620158101215181923252648ABBBBBC64
                              1062015381315222628364650AABBCCC73
                              10720156112022232529475354ABCCCCC46
                              108201510131517181934424852BBBBBBD64
                              1082015261120252835424752AABCCCD64
                              10820151248212234354448AAAACCD73
                              10920156101325272939455051ABBCCCD37
                              10920152141819212729324751ABBBCCC46
                              1092015491316222634455254AABBCCD73
                              10920151567111637414855AAAABBD37
                              101020154182425262930404453ABCCCCD73
                              1010201511151620222728333742BBBCCCC55
                              1010201516814182133363751AAABBCD55
                              10122015281013182628314652AABBBCC82
                              10122015381416192940505253AABBBCE64
                              101320159121520262739414753ABBCCCD37
                              10132015151516182326273239AABBBCC46
                              101420151141725272931434553ABBCCCD19
                              10142015241025262932364352AABCCCD73
                              1014201513141517222830475455BBBBCCD55
                              101520156141820262933354546ABBCCCD64
                              10152015581020212535374245AABCCCD46
                              1015201526811152226324250AAABBCC82
                              1016201534615161933384546AAABBBD55
                              101620151111314172134394154ABBBBCD37
                              1016201523515212627464955AAABCCC37
                              10162015121019212433344955AABBCCD46
                              10172015467891620434451AAAAABC64
                              101720151234192426273954AAAABCC55
                              101720154678172830485051AAAABCD73
                              101920156131518192022384143ABBBBCC55
                              1019201556913172128294753AAABBCC28
                              101920153101415202736464955ABBBCCD55
                              101920158131622272930414448ABBCCCD64
                              10202015891022262830354953AABCCCD64
                              102020151457151928334751AAAABBC28
                              1020201512411121419253437AAABBBB55
                              1020201512141618202527323952BBBBCCC73
                              1020201512319202735384345AAABCCD37

                               

                              If you said, in each one the first 6 numbers are all below 30, we'd be thinking the same. Look closer and you'll notice 25 sets have 7 numbers below 30. And closer still 6 have 8 numbers below 30.

                              Why is this important?

                              It shows we are not hurting ourselves by eliminating the top 25 numbers.

                              If we drop back to the fifth number, we find 92 sets contain 5 numbers below 30.

                              It would seem then playing 5, 6 or 7 numbers below 30 is an advantage in hitting the lowers prizes.

                              My greatest accomplishment is teaching cats about Vienna Sausage. When I need a friend, all I need do is walk outside, pop open a can, and every little critter in the neighborhood drops by to say "Hi!"