Quote: Originally posted by AllenB on Jan 29, 2016
Interesting. Not sure what you mean by N-String. My original question on this post was looking for an elimination processes. My example is just to illustrate one method. Any Process or formula can be used. The real question for me is when a process is only 10-15% successful in predicting a draw, is it also 85%-90% successful in predicting a number will not hit?
I know that just picking a number in a position has a 10% chance of being correct. The idea makes me think about a process where you pick a number, declare it 90% likely not to hit, pick a second number (1-9) and so on. By the idea you could get to the number by about the 4th or 5th pick. I know this does not work any better than just picking a number. Each selection has the same odds. The only difference is that a formula or process produces a number based on a set of criteria that we track. We all look for hits. If a process is hits a number in a column 15% of the time vs the actual odds of the number hitting (10%) do you use it as a predictor or an eliminator.
I see the elimination process as another tool to work into the Steps for Number predictions. Lets say you have 4 or 5 processes or formulas that you use in your workout. You back test them and determine their hit percentages. We mostly look for hits; but most of the time they miss. So why not track your results and start looking for trends with your success and failure rates. Then change your predictions based on a combination of success and failure.
Successful Elimination of just 1 number from each position still does not give you a winning formula, just slightly better odds of winning.
I have talked about a comprehensive workout using many different formulas, combinations, Ranking, Repeats, ......? I always looked for hits. I have seen that I never get them all using a 1 criteria for each number even if the criteria for each number is different, 1 is not enough. I envision a setup that brings the various systems or formulas into a matrix with on-off switches that are flipped based on prediction from my previous success / failure.