Record number of people win SC Lottery Pick 4 game

Oct 2, 2019, 12:14 pm (66 comments)

South Carolina Lottery

SC Lottery pays out more than $3.4 million

We now know that a lot of people in South Carolina have the same strategy for the Pick 4 lottery game — and it just won them a lot of money.

Nearly 1,400 people won the South Carolina Education Lottery's Pick 4 midday drawing Saturday with the same set of numbers: 2-2-2-2. It was a record number of winners for the Pick 4 and a record payout, the Lottery announced in a statement.

Lottery spokeswoman Holli Armstrong said that people started lining up to claim their prizes around 7:30 a.m. Monday, about an hour before the payout office in Columbia opened.

The Lottery handed out fans and water as the winners waited in the Southern heat. Depending on how much players spent on the tickets, and how many they purchased, payouts were anywhere between $2,000 and $5,000.

One winner cashed out with $80,000 after buying 16 tickets with the lucky two's combo.

The drawing cost the Lottery more than $3.4 million, officials said.

Armstrong said the lines got busier around lunchtime as people started arriving from across the state. The office paid out more than $1 million by the end of the day.

She said there was also a line Tuesday but it was a lot smaller in comparison.

The new number crushes the 652 wins the last time quadruple 2s were drawn, on July 8, 2012.

CNN

Comments

Cassie8620's avatarCassie8620

omg. i love to hear things like this, as i know here in our state of NC, we almost had another quad of 2's a day or 2 ago, so this is wonderful to see with P4 game!!!(for SC)Hurray!

 

i do win nice amounts each year playing (same key #s)with p4. do well @ it,

so, i am Smileyalways extra happy 2 see news like this where MANY folks win too!Cheers

 

Great job, SC.

 

I have no doubt NC will see quad five's or 2 soon. Banana Almost came out again other (2225) couple days ago here, in  NC. Congrats!

winsumloosesum's avatarwinsumloosesum

I'm sure 1400 was the max and 2222 was cut off.

Same people that play 0000 through 9999 and 000 through 999.

Congrats to the winners!!

Eighty0uts778's avatarEighty0uts778

Very nice to see alot of winners. Same thing happened june 4 2019 eve draw in Texas when 4444 hit . the Texas lottery websight said there were over a 2000 winners so please be patent because of the very long lines.

grwurston's avatargrwurston

Congrats winners!!! Cheers

South Carolina has had 11,171 drawings in it's Pick 4 history. This was the eighth quad ever. 

That's one every 1,396 drawings. 

noise-gate

Since we " Know" that State lotteries hate paying out, SC officials are probably muttering under their breath " darn, how did this happen?" To them, money should only be flowing in one direction- theirs.

Imo the only time the lottery is glad to see a winner, is after the State coffers are overflowing, and the " we fleeced them enough in this round " statement follows.

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Here's something interesting about the SC Pick 4.

Based on the Lottery Post's Search Results, you're more likely to hit a Quad in the Midday drawing than the Evening drawing.

 

Since the start of the Midday Pick 4 on 2003-07-01, as of 2019-10-03, there have been 5078 drawings (Mon-Sat) with 7 Quads.

 Draw Date   State   Game   Results 
Sat, Sep 28, 2019 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 2-2-2-2
Fri, Feb 2, 2018 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 3-3-3-3
Tue, Mar 28, 2017 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 3-3-3-3
Tue, Sep 6, 2016 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 0-0-0-0
Mon, Dec 19, 2011 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 0-0-0-0
Mon, Oct 29, 2007 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 8-8-8-8
Sat, Mar 17, 2007 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 6-6-6-6

 

However, since the start of the Evening Pick 4 on 2003-01-27, as of 2019-10-03, there have been 6095 drawings (Sun-Sat) with only 1 Quad.

 Draw Date   State   Game   Results 
Sun, Jul 8, 2012 South Carolina Pick 4 Evening 2-2-2-2
Rman313's avatarRman313

That's awesome!! SC is never going to allow 2222 to fall for a very long time, if ever.

Bleudog101

Story of my life.   Phone call comes in early yesterday stating play 444 that it will come in.   Didn't play it.   Came in last night in Kentucky for the tune of over $1.1 million!

Stack47

Quote: Originally posted by grwurston on Oct 2, 2019

Congrats winners!!! Cheers

South Carolina has had 11,171 drawings in it's Pick 4 history. This was the eighth quad ever. 

That's one every 1,396 drawings. 

While quads might average once in every 1396 drawings, a quad was drawn in S.C. four times in the last three years. The only thing unique about this drawing was the payoff amount.

Stack47

Quote: Originally posted by Bleudog101 on Oct 5, 2019

Story of my life.   Phone call comes in early yesterday stating play 444 that it will come in.   Didn't play it.   Came in last night in Kentucky for the tune of over $1.1 million!

Did you get a call to play 8888 in KY today?

Nearly 1,400 people won the South Carolina Education Lottery's Pick 4 midday drawing Saturday and SC Lottery pays out more than $3.4 million

When I read that KY sold 652 winning tickets and paid out $1,533,652 (including "1-Off" tickets), it occurred to me that if S.C. sold 1400 tickets, each ticket had to be worth $2500 selling zero $1 straight tickets. Apparently someone is exaggerating how many winning tickets there actually were sold.

grwurston's avatargrwurston

Quote: Originally posted by Stack47 on Oct 7, 2019

Did you get a call to play 8888 in KY today?

Nearly 1,400 people won the South Carolina Education Lottery's Pick 4 midday drawing Saturday and SC Lottery pays out more than $3.4 million

When I read that KY sold 652 winning tickets and paid out $1,533,652 (including "1-Off" tickets), it occurred to me that if S.C. sold 1400 tickets, each ticket had to be worth $2500 selling zero $1 straight tickets. Apparently someone is exaggerating how many winning tickets there actually were sold.

There were exactly 1,393 winners for the 2222 according to the S.C. lottery website. 

For the 13 Pick 4 drawings from 10/1 thru 10/7, only 3 drawings had more then 10 straight winners. 20-16-12. No other drawing had more then 9 straight winners. Five of the drawings had 5 winners or less.

Makes 1,393 even more incredible. Thud

Cassie8620's avatarCassie8620

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on Oct 4, 2019

Here's something interesting about the SC Pick 4.

Based on the Lottery Post's Search Results, you're more likely to hit a Quad in the Midday drawing than the Evening drawing.

 

Since the start of the Midday Pick 4 on 2003-07-01, as of 2019-10-03, there have been 5078 drawings (Mon-Sat) with 7 Quads.

 Draw Date   State   Game   Results 
Sat, Sep 28, 2019 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 2-2-2-2
Fri, Feb 2, 2018 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 3-3-3-3
Tue, Mar 28, 2017 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 3-3-3-3
Tue, Sep 6, 2016 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 0-0-0-0
Mon, Dec 19, 2011 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 0-0-0-0
Mon, Oct 29, 2007 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 8-8-8-8
Sat, Mar 17, 2007 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 6-6-6-6

 

However, since the start of the Evening Pick 4 on 2003-01-27, as of 2019-10-03, there have been 6095 drawings (Sun-Sat) with only 1 Quad.

 Draw Date   State   Game   Results 
Sun, Jul 8, 2012 South Carolina Pick 4 Evening 2-2-2-2

Oh wow. Yes NodSo interesting. thanks for sharing that. i had no clue.that's always interesting to see. G-luck to all playing

their lottery games this evening. I still feel a quad Banana5-5-5-5 is coming out, before thanksgiving here in NC,

so i am keeping it in few x and 1x or 2x(minimum quad2222's since we almost had it a Smileyday before it hit, in neighboring SC.

G-night, my fellow lp players."

Cassie8620's avatarCassie8620

Quote: Originally posted by Rman313 on Oct 4, 2019

That's awesome!! SC is never going to allow 2222 to fall for a very long time, if ever.

IKR!(i know right.) my folks were saying this other day when it hit. so true. ha ha.yep. so true, Rman.

I would be stunned! if it ever repeat over the next six long months of fall and winter."We will see though."

 

i am happy so many got thousands out of it whether

 

the big whopping $5,000 each, some i am sure got it

$$$ multi-x hit $$$ $$$ or 2g'sWhite Bounce it's awesome, totally! I just love this story."

Stack47

Quote: Originally posted by grwurston on Oct 7, 2019

There were exactly 1,393 winners for the 2222 according to the S.C. lottery website. 

For the 13 Pick 4 drawings from 10/1 thru 10/7, only 3 drawings had more then 10 straight winners. 20-16-12. No other drawing had more then 9 straight winners. Five of the drawings had 5 winners or less.

Makes 1,393 even more incredible. Thud

And 1393 times $2500 equals $3,482,500. What makes that figure incredible is the fact if it's true, there were no $1 tickets sold.  Lots of people play only triples and quads so there probably are more 50 cent straights sold because players buy all the trips and quads for $5. Bet someone in S.C. simply divided the total payout by $2500. 

On 9/28 the midday KY Lottery drawing had 23 pick-4 "winners" collecting $4072 and obviously no $1 straight bets and probably no 50 cent straight bets either. The difference with trips and quads, there are no other types of "winners" unless there is an added bet option. 

ancient40

Quote: Originally posted by Stack47 on Oct 7, 2019

Did you get a call to play 8888 in KY today?

Nearly 1,400 people won the South Carolina Education Lottery's Pick 4 midday drawing Saturday and SC Lottery pays out more than $3.4 million

When I read that KY sold 652 winning tickets and paid out $1,533,652 (including "1-Off" tickets), it occurred to me that if S.C. sold 1400 tickets, each ticket had to be worth $2500 selling zero $1 straight tickets. Apparently someone is exaggerating how many winning tickets there actually were sold.

"it occurred to me that if S.C. sold 1400 tickets, each ticket had to be worth $2500 selling ZERO $1 straight tickets"

One winner cashed out with $80,000 after buying 16 tickets with the lucky two's combo.

80,000/16=5K

16 Tickets were sold at $5000.00  totaling $80,000.  16x5,000 

16 Tickets if sold at $2500.00  @0.50 bet would be 16x2500= $40,000

16  $1.00 tickets were sold to ONE winner winning whatever the lucky two's combo is

Stack47

Quote: Originally posted by ancient40 on Oct 8, 2019

"it occurred to me that if S.C. sold 1400 tickets, each ticket had to be worth $2500 selling ZERO $1 straight tickets"

One winner cashed out with $80,000 after buying 16 tickets with the lucky two's combo.

80,000/16=5K

16 Tickets were sold at $5000.00  totaling $80,000.  16x5,000 

16 Tickets if sold at $2500.00  @0.50 bet would be 16x2500= $40,000

16  $1.00 tickets were sold to ONE winner winning whatever the lucky two's combo is

They paid out "over $3.4 million" and that divided by the number of winners (1393) equals less than $2500 per ticket. That actual payout was probably $3,482,500 and somebody at the lottery simply divided that by $2500. 

The drawing cost the Lottery more than $3.4 million, officials said.

Like you said, at least one player bought 16 $1 tickets and probably many more $1 tickets were sold. The total payout is obviously under $3.5 million because if it was over that they would have reported that number instead of the "more than $3.4 million". 

One thing we do know for sure, there were no box payouts. LOL

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on Oct 4, 2019

Here's something interesting about the SC Pick 4.

Based on the Lottery Post's Search Results, you're more likely to hit a Quad in the Midday drawing than the Evening drawing.

 

Since the start of the Midday Pick 4 on 2003-07-01, as of 2019-10-03, there have been 5078 drawings (Mon-Sat) with 7 Quads.

 Draw Date   State   Game   Results 
Sat, Sep 28, 2019 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 2-2-2-2
Fri, Feb 2, 2018 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 3-3-3-3
Tue, Mar 28, 2017 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 3-3-3-3
Tue, Sep 6, 2016 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 0-0-0-0
Mon, Dec 19, 2011 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 0-0-0-0
Mon, Oct 29, 2007 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 8-8-8-8
Sat, Mar 17, 2007 South Carolina Pick 4 Midday 6-6-6-6

 

However, since the start of the Evening Pick 4 on 2003-01-27, as of 2019-10-03, there have been 6095 drawings (Sun-Sat) with only 1 Quad.

 Draw Date   State   Game   Results 
Sun, Jul 8, 2012 South Carolina Pick 4 Evening 2-2-2-2

On average, a Quad should be drawn once every 1000 draws.

As of 2019-10-07, the Midday drawing is averaging about 725.9 draws & the Evening is averaging 6099 draws.

If the Evening doesn't hit a Quad tonight, that's a average of 6100 draws.

The half life of a Quad hit is 693.1 draws, meaning 50% of all Quads on average should hit before 693.1 draws and 50% of all Quads should hit after 693.1 draws.

Provided, this is a truly random selection, of course.

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Tonight's Pick 4 Evening drawing, 2019-10-08, is the 2648th draw since the last Quad was selected back on 2012-07-08.

There's a 92.92% probability a Quad will hit tonight based on the Potential Probability of Occureence.

doodoohead's avatardoodoohead

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on Oct 8, 2019

Tonight's Pick 4 Evening drawing, 2019-10-08, is the 2648th draw since the last Quad was selected back on 2012-07-08.

There's a 92.92% probability a Quad will hit tonight based on the Potential Probability of Occureence.

Thanks General. Yes Nod

KY Floyd's avatarKY Floyd

"There's a 92.92% probability a Quad will hit tonight based on the Potential Probability of Occureence."

There are 10 possible quads and 9990 other possible outcomes. Based on actual probability there's a 0.1% chance of a quad being drawn.

Imagine my surprise when I checked and a quad wasn't drawn.

GuesssWork's avatarGuesssWork

Quote: Originally posted by KY Floyd on Oct 9, 2019

"There's a 92.92% probability a Quad will hit tonight based on the Potential Probability of Occureence."

There are 10 possible quads and 9990 other possible outcomes. Based on actual probability there's a 0.1% chance of a quad being drawn.

Imagine my surprise when I checked and a quad wasn't drawn.

I think the problem here is most folks get caught up in the math probabilities and do not realize random could care less one way or another on what our math dictates. You can recite any or all the exotic math formulas until blue in the face and yes sir, numbers don't lie.

Hence like you said, there's a 0.1% chance of a quad being drawn. That is fact, by the 9990 other combinations to only, 10 quads ratio.. This will not stop anyone from plucking down their cash on a Potential Probability of, "THIS TIME I WILL win Chance"..

Imagine my surprise when I checked and a quad wasn't drawn.          I wonder Blue Thinking..

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Tonight's Evening Quad Potential Occurrence Probability is now 92.93%.

Good Luck Everyone.

Stack47

Quote: Originally posted by KY Floyd on Oct 9, 2019

"There's a 92.92% probability a Quad will hit tonight based on the Potential Probability of Occureence."

There are 10 possible quads and 9990 other possible outcomes. Based on actual probability there's a 0.1% chance of a quad being drawn.

Imagine my surprise when I checked and a quad wasn't drawn.

But, but lots of people here believe those numbered ping pong are programmed to remember which of them and in whatever combination with the others were drawn in the past.

Please don't disillusion their beliefs with "actual probabilities.

Hiding Behind Computer

Stack47

Quote: Originally posted by GuesssWork on Oct 9, 2019

I think the problem here is most folks get caught up in the math probabilities and do not realize random could care less one way or another on what our math dictates. You can recite any or all the exotic math formulas until blue in the face and yes sir, numbers don't lie.

Hence like you said, there's a 0.1% chance of a quad being drawn. That is fact, by the 9990 other combinations to only, 10 quads ratio.. This will not stop anyone from plucking down their cash on a Potential Probability of, "THIS TIME I WILL win Chance"..

Imagine my surprise when I checked and a quad wasn't drawn.          I wonder Blue Thinking..

I Agree!

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Tonight's Quad potential is still 92.93%.

This is radioactive decay in slow motion folks.

Wink

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Hmm, now up to 92.95% for Sat Evening.

Seems bit odd.

Good Luck.

KY Floyd's avatarKY Floyd

"This is radioactive decay in slow motion folks."

Yeah, but far less predictable.

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

This Sunday Evening's Quad Potential now at 92.96%.

Keeps growing.

Stack47

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on Oct 12, 2019

This Sunday Evening's Quad Potential now at 92.96%.

Keeps growing.

Wow, the potential grew by 0.01%!

KY Floyd's avatarKY Floyd

"Wow, the potential grew by 0.01%!"

At least that part is realistic, since it's an increase of 1 in 10,000.

LottoBux's avatarLottoBux

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on Oct 12, 2019

This Sunday Evening's Quad Potential now at 92.96%.

Keeps growing.

I Wonder What The Quad Potential Would Be In Georgia With 3 Draws Daily?

Yesterday 6666 Hit In The Midday Draw

Date Draw Winning Numbers Winners Total Payout
10/13/2019 NIGHT
3 7 0 5
278 $48,972
10/13/2019 EVENING
9 6 5 9
182 $58,115
10/13/2019 MIDDAY
6 6 6 6
1,530 $4,658,755
JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Today's Evening Quad Potential is 92.76%

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Tonight's Quad Potential hanging about 92.76%.

Every day it does not happen... eh-he-he-ha-ha...

Good luck.

LoDonna's avatarLoDonna

Michigan Lottery Midday  Pick 4 1221 TODAY....

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

93.01% Potential Evening Quad tonight.

Good Luck.

KY Floyd's avatarKY Floyd

It's clearly time for you to call up lottery HQ to tell them you've discovered that they've obviously got a huge problem.

By your calculations there's only a miniscule 1 in 1,545,105,675 chance that they wouldn't have drawn a quad in the last 8 drawings, and yet it somehow hasn't happened.

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Monday's Evening Quad Potential is still 93.01%.

Good Luck.

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

We see the Midday nearly hit the Quad.

Yet, the Evening is strangely absent.

Tonight's Evening Quad Potential 93.02%.

Good Luck.

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Hmmm, here's some of the previous Occurrence Potentials and the current.

 

Midday Pick 4 Occurrence Potentials

Draw

ΔDraw

Date

Combo

Potential

1161

1161

2007-03-17

6666

68.68%

1354

193

2007-10-29

8888

17.55%

2646

1292

2011-12-19

0000

72.53%

4119

1473

2016-09-06

0000

77.08%

4293

174

2017-03-28

3333

15.97%

4559

266

2018-02-02

3333

23.36%

5075

516

2019-09-28

2222

40.31%

5098

23

2019-10-25

????

2.27%

 

Evening Pick 4 Occurrence Potentials

Draw

ΔDraw

Date

Combo

Potential

3451

3451

2012-07-08

2222

96.83%

6116

2665

2019-10-25

????

93.04%

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

There's about 1.3 to 1.5 times more wins in the evening draw than the midday draw.

Could mean there are 1.3 to 1.5 more plays in the evening than the midday.

Data from https://www.sceducationlottery.com/Lottery/Reports & https://www.sceducationlottery.com/Games/Pick4.

A couple of the week ending sales were extrapolated due to missing data: 2014-07-05 & 2015-07-04.

WEEK ENDING

Sales

Midday Wins

Evening Wins

PICK 4

Box

Straight

Box

Straight

2011-07-02

$446,824.50

1155

26

1000

65

2011-07-09

$1,261,551.00

804

20

1229

34

2011-07-16

$1,252,650.50

761

14

1356

101

2011-07-23

$1,200,177.50

688

80

1258

40

2011-07-30

$1,197,476.50

842

89

1354

45

2011-08-06

$1,301,728.50

745

21

1008

48

2011-08-13

$1,238,186.50

1015

45

796

44

2011-08-20

$1,242,645.00

1028

51

621

44

2011-08-27

$1,185,164.50

600

18

1382

67

2011-09-03

$1,223,496.50

748

24

715

19

2011-09-10

$1,228,054.50

815

29

1042

99

2011-09-17

$1,202,039.00

710

36

1092

50

2011-09-24

$1,182,844.00

556

18

673

56

2011-10-01

$1,206,796.50

1103

34

1216

75

2011-10-08

$1,293,251.00

746

64

920

33

2011-10-15

$1,218,222.50

548

19

1158

68

2011-10-22

$1,192,012.50

1245

84

729

46

2011-10-29

$1,161,143.50

1014

64

560

33

2011-11-05

$1,287,493.00

674

23

1100

49

2011-11-12

$1,317,129.00

741

20

999

36

2011-11-19

$1,211,197.00

774

34

868

39

2011-11-26

$1,179,326.50

739

20

1374

295

2011-12-03

$1,305,608.00

756

30

1270

70

2011-12-10

$1,318,587.00

623

80

1272

99

2011-12-17

$1,310,029.00

668

40

1896

163

2011-12-24

$1,400,552.50

433

372

1513

106

2011-12-31

$1,265,209.50

1012

76

618

31

2012-01-07

$1,316,702.00

1202

74

915

46

2012-01-14

$1,257,599.50

930

62

963

45

2012-01-21

$1,178,098.50

693

35

919

29

2012-01-28

$1,173,722.00

479

27

883

33

2012-02-04

$1,317,702.50

823

19

1265

52

2012-02-11

$1,404,941.00

661

20

1076

38

2012-02-18

$1,447,507.00

820

29

1177

112

2012-02-25

$1,428,752.50

605

19

718

58

2012-03-03

$1,426,705.50

579

21

1374

78

2012-03-10

$1,410,268.00

1011

54

1039

70

2012-03-17

$1,324,332.50

683

34

1002

53

2012-03-24

$1,301,005.50

701

62

1173

48

2012-03-31

$1,266,391.50

714

31

956

53

2012-04-07

$1,304,642.50

605

34

1096

60

2012-04-14

$1,255,179.50

989

129

1303

42

2012-04-21

$1,318,613.00

925

28

1589

298

2012-04-28

$1,275,443.00

711

32

996

75

2012-05-05

$1,383,966.00

939

19

1428

94

2012-05-12

$1,347,323.50

1394

35

1621

47

2012-05-19

$1,285,755.50

667

54

1123

42

2012-05-26

$1,225,671.50

920

22

792

34

2012-06-02

$1,279,250.00

700

79

1258

35

2012-06-09

$1,302,430.00

1039

42

1069

32

2012-06-16

$1,235,587.00

936

80

1631

61

2012-06-23

$1,243,223.50

1090

122

1211

51

2012-06-30

$1,240,535.00

635

14

1164

58

2012-07-07

$1,294,609.00

801

27

1022

45

2012-07-14

$1,305,885.50

906

31

1077

692

2012-07-21

$1,404,885.50

1915

101

1105

36

2012-07-28

$1,318,312.50

806

40

1119

52

2012-08-04

$1,382,412.00

957

90

1466

65

2012-08-11

$1,448,946.50

1282

47

3035

240

2012-08-18

$1,300,419.00

465

159

727

45

2012-08-25

$1,229,962.00

547

20

950

44

2012-09-01

$1,232,015.00

973

201

699

71

2012-09-08

$1,274,292.50

739

24

1315

48

2012-09-15

$1,225,374.00

396

12

1144

48

2012-09-22

$1,168,675.00

837

37

793

34

2012-09-29

$1,148,009.50

445

18

1080

57

2012-10-06

$1,296,460.50

705

12

1698

37

2012-10-13

$1,316,818.50

634

31

1272

92

2012-10-20

$1,315,425.50

463

22

899

41

2012-10-27

$1,293,789.00

922

90

947

45

2012-11-03

$1,327,425.50

646

43

1248

52

2012-11-10

$1,318,219.00

829

29

1315

66

2012-11-17

$1,304,292.00

743

28

1212

45

2012-11-24

$1,248,494.50

638

13

1373

54

2012-12-01

$1,281,362.00

517

40

1449

45

2012-12-08

$1,537,599.50

1624

31

1180

52

2012-12-15

$1,620,485.00

1228

180

990

48

2012-12-22

$1,526,610.00

701

28

1332

64

2012-12-29

$1,332,236.50

676

24

1034

44

2013-01-05

$1,422,395.00

746

30

1085

49

2013-01-12

$1,356,696.50

645

27

834

45

2013-01-19

$1,297,874.50

1223

28

1048

75

2013-01-26

$1,251,076.50

610

28

1784

74

2013-02-02

$1,284,553.50

880

34

887

45

2013-02-09

$1,366,157.50

1905

84

965

30

2013-02-16

$1,384,011.00

788

123

1234

46

2013-02-23

$1,388,975.50

849

54

786

56

2013-03-02

$1,431,569.50

963

27

750

44

2013-03-09

$1,487,795.00

1503

58

1339

88

2013-03-16

$1,438,204.50

941

27

1613

113

2013-03-23

$1,389,253.50

793

33

1741

115

2013-03-30

$1,361,769.50

664

55

1255

32

2013-04-06

$1,434,478.00

666

67

841

128

2013-04-13

$1,387,989.50

669

24

1730

48

2013-04-20

$1,416,008.50

812

139

790

136

2013-04-27

$1,404,584.00

665

46

1148

99

2013-05-04

$1,487,340.50

750

50

1047

54

2013-05-11

$1,451,891.00

669

122

1355

63

2013-05-18

$1,343,263.00

707

16

928

109

2013-05-25

$1,265,054.50

830

11

837

80

2013-06-01

$1,261,100.00

564

34

1071

150

2013-06-08

$1,393,403.00

751

38

1444

34

2013-06-15

$1,299,023.00

781

48

1028

45

2013-06-22

$1,251,546.50

924

30

1045

68

2013-06-29

$1,364,834.50

778

146

1368

101

2013-07-06

$1,484,512.00

1006

38

1669

85

2013-07-13

$1,361,442.00

795

25

700

37

2013-07-20

$1,300,206.50

961

52

1447

61

2013-07-27

$1,237,187.00

635

29

843

31

2013-08-03

$1,319,323.00

1188

36

1419

63

2013-08-10

$1,317,797.50

699

54

1519

46

2013-08-17

$1,302,300.50

643

26

833

49

2013-08-24

$1,234,607.50

999

21

886

37

2013-08-31

$1,274,522.00

853

42

1012

50

2013-09-07

$1,350,490.00

923

25

1426

87

2013-09-14

$1,297,864.50

558

28

2498

419

2013-09-21

$1,352,375.00

890

30

745

29

2013-09-28

$1,297,481.50

955

42

731

34

2013-10-05

$1,393,851.50

821

25

952

34

2013-10-12

$1,373,878.50

642

38

1754

170

2013-10-19

$1,315,573.00

512

21

903

37

2013-10-26

$1,275,791.00

542

29

979

45

2013-11-02

$1,309,434.00

895

28

889

41

2013-11-09

$1,390,064.50

1264

30

875

35

2013-11-16

$1,321,114.50

780

32

1282

47

2013-11-23

$1,299,825.50

641

22

1268

40

2013-11-30

$1,315,562.50

1778

159

932

71

2013-12-07

$1,455,750.00

1062

49

1129

52

2013-12-14

$1,410,049.50

796

12

1543

45

2013-12-21

$1,460,759.00

1060

25

1740

178

2013-12-28

$1,362,837.50

1185

15

2247

94

2014-01-04

$1,432,454.00

861

31

1365

35

2014-01-11

$1,364,498.50

553

36

1100

46

2014-01-18

$1,287,481.50

930

28

1044

43

2014-01-25

$1,230,448.00

773

29

1032

36

2014-02-01

$1,193,861.00

927

39

1545

240

2014-02-08

$1,420,013.00

960

37

2267

237

2014-02-15

$1,290,304.00

808

90

1504

63

2014-02-22

$1,477,758.50

1068

37

995

38

2014-03-01

$1,508,148.00

844

51

1634

58

2014-03-08

$1,585,643.00

1231

37

1647

139

2014-03-15

$1,445,094.00

785

40

1518

67

2014-03-22

$1,382,124.00

702

42

969

60

2014-03-29

$1,368,313.00

472

17

825

39

2014-04-05

$1,498,310.50

1105

64

1394

129

2014-04-12

$1,437,607.00

749

22

780

60

2014-04-19

$1,402,051.00

3100

164

719

44

2014-04-26

$1,427,808.50

723

40

1028

51

2014-05-03

$1,452,671.00

910

107

966

24

2014-05-10

$1,414,547.00

978

78

1543

54

2014-05-17

$1,372,980.00

985

13

1545

30

2014-05-24

$1,443,460.50

1682

64

1276

251

2014-05-31

$1,479,708.00

739

35

1292

119

2014-06-07

$1,523,190.50

870

43

1141

40

2014-06-14

$1,431,498.50

662

28

1509

90

2014-06-21

$1,432,255.50

1223

101

1381

73

2014-06-28

$1,397,734.50

759

20

1089

45

2014-07-05

$1,513,416.84

701

83

1179

43

2014-07-12

$1,495,932.50

2363

144

894

69

2014-07-19

$1,649,633.50

1922

43

2429

715

2014-07-26

$1,563,462.50

3617

168

2438

161

2014-08-02

$1,717,279.00

1719

41

1994

42

2014-08-09

$1,698,392.50

570

25

1448

51

2014-08-16

$1,616,382.00

1988

208

1271

173

2014-08-23

$1,529,348.50

709

51

1287

83

2014-08-30

$1,523,941.50

856

92

914

62

2014-09-06

$1,578,730.00

1138

121

1176

72

2014-09-13

$1,616,544.50

2158

74

1426

62

2014-09-20

$1,526,345.50

774

16

2191

109

2014-09-27

$1,482,408.00

925

83

1312

34

2014-10-04

$1,639,550.00

1400

45

1004

86

2014-10-11

$1,676,019.50

1597

67

2140

75

2014-10-18

$1,564,794.00

1077

18

1544

63

2014-10-25

$1,491,861.50

1063

44

1161

61

2014-11-01

$1,492,949.50

725

46

1434

174

2014-11-08

$1,663,524.00

1752

101

765

64

2014-11-15

$1,603,095.50

982

34

1554

103

2014-11-22

$1,599,152.00

639

18

1298

48

2014-11-29

$1,613,789.00

975

35

1139

96

2014-12-06

$1,821,720.00

813

30

1944

106

2014-12-13

$1,746,485.50

1006

65

1846

37

2014-12-20

$1,764,594.00

880

115

1213

69

2014-12-27

$1,687,407.00

1250

330

2511

74

2015-01-03

$1,755,122.50

1542

128

1167

41

2015-01-10

$1,646,768.00

881

74

1367

129

2015-01-17

$1,570,685.00

982

42

2036

88

2015-01-24

$1,522,006.00

622

25

1779

32

2015-01-31

$1,541,670.50

1116

40

632

50

2015-02-07

$1,692,567.50

746

19

1307

64

2015-02-14

$1,661,487.00

1803

124

1926

65

2015-02-21

$1,660,108.50

910

41

1685

75

2015-02-28

$1,687,332.50

1229

31

1509

85

2015-03-07

$1,766,688.00

910

42

1669

340

2015-03-14

$1,695,492.50

1321

59

1278

27

2015-03-21

$1,634,918.00

737

29

1349

95

2015-03-28

$1,596,523.50

764

15

2298

67

2015-04-04

$1,708,177.00

1130

41

1798

149

2015-04-11

$1,697,766.00

1035

53

818

26

2015-04-18

$1,704,664.00

1280

38

1550

51

2015-04-25

$1,639,040.50

1128

44

718

25

2015-05-02

$1,648,458.00

1411

44

1151

56

2015-05-09

$1,693,492.50

859

36

1828

46

2015-05-16

$1,552,684.00

824

22

1232

74

2015-05-23

$1,518,216.50

794

22

1171

44

2015-05-30

$1,554,521.00

2268

59

1924

27

2015-06-06

$1,683,785.50

875

20

1781

124

2015-06-13

$1,668,208.50

3509

326

1123

36

2015-06-20

$1,600,569.00

497

30

1119

72

2015-06-27

$1,673,251.00

1368

24

2149

213

2015-07-04

$1,739,716.52

2244

186

1273

243

2015-07-11

$1,792,077.00

1047

63

1399

86

2015-07-18

$1,772,366.50

1310

41

1443

58

2015-07-25

$1,651,289.00

920

33

944

84

2015-08-01

$1,649,272.50

890

78

1046

53

2015-08-08

$1,752,082.50

1695

57

1698

48

2015-08-15

$1,636,369.00

1048

24

1546

30

2015-08-22

$1,548,908.00

836

32

1476

77

2015-08-29

$1,545,141.50

1478

24

1370

47

2015-09-05

$1,653,716.50

885

35

1049

46

2015-09-12

$1,534,802.50

684

73

1548

60

2015-09-19

$1,536,246.50

512

41

1320

57

2015-09-26

$1,500,996.00

749

72

1203

43

2015-10-03

$1,666,392.50

902

29

935

78

2015-10-10

$1,644,091.50

1213

122

1762

141

2015-10-17

$1,628,873.50

867

30

1241

94

2015-10-24

$1,609,972.00

843

25

1006

33

2015-10-31

$1,682,821.50

1005

39

1392

121

2015-11-07

$1,839,948.00

823

61

2347

89

2015-11-14

$1,809,010.00

1728

198

1402

21

2015-11-21

$1,816,449.50

1847

21

1708

125

2015-11-28

$1,720,749.00

1030

37

1623

88

2015-12-05

$1,986,870.50

841

59

1274

141

2015-12-12

$1,924,535.50

1228

66

1107

72

2015-12-19

$1,887,039.50

1017

116

2263

62

2015-12-26

$1,736,124.00

988

41

1141

85

2016-01-02

$1,816,810.50

1285

42

2031

108

2016-01-09

$1,793,652.50

1032

48

3224

146

2016-01-16

$1,673,071.50

1202

35

1092

59

2016-01-23

$1,650,035.00

643

29

1342

41

2016-01-30

$1,656,981.50

900

49

1484

84

2016-02-06

$1,837,177.00

770

54

1455

63

2016-02-13

$1,800,585.50

1974

42

1156

70

2016-02-20

$1,817,468.00

1002

55

1125

57

2016-02-27

$1,864,342.00

759

25

2206

74

2016-03-05

$1,992,573.50

1401

63

2199

123

2016-03-12

$1,935,170.50

847

21

1967

123

2016-03-19

$1,828,194.50

870

146

1108

148

2016-03-26

$1,780,008.00

1213

39

957

48

2016-04-02

$1,828,771.50

753

28

1215

42

2016-04-09

$1,879,005.50

717

30

1513

99

2016-04-16

$1,781,432.50

1060

24

1230

41

2016-04-23

$1,774,454.50

855

31

1567

138

2016-04-30

$1,792,393.50

1569

114

1632

62

2016-05-07

$1,861,730.00

830

21

1946

199

2016-05-14

$1,738,737.00

934

25

1176

48

2016-05-21

$1,705,596.50

1335

40

1217

48

2016-05-28

$1,618,058.50

1018

33

1244

38

2016-06-04

$1,671,776.50

957

76

1252

51

2016-06-11

$1,632,176.00

1095

45

1079

47

2016-06-18

$1,595,200.00

487

25

1205

40

2016-06-25

$1,593,615.00

1052

32

1056

31

2016-07-02

$1,675,591.50

753

33

1538

111

2016-07-09

$1,726,724.50

1494

47

1399

54

2016-07-16

$1,703,288.50

813

31

1087

50

2016-07-23

$1,631,850.50

976

32

1643

49

2016-07-30

$1,643,715.00

1031

100

1626

133

2016-08-06

$1,787,678.00

585

16

1582

34

2016-08-13

$1,676,406.50

1303

43

2141

59

2016-08-20

$1,674,074.50

1264

230

1173

71

2016-08-27

$1,620,723.00

1040

32

1208

47

2016-09-03

$1,688,900.00

1464

140

1929

116

2016-09-10

$1,780,278.00

826

655

1709

49

2016-09-17

$1,735,737.00

1266

234

1015

165

2016-09-24

$1,785,575.00

1503

233

1856

36

2016-10-01

$1,770,047.50

1237

51

869

24

2016-10-08

$1,636,175.50

1160

36

1726

279

2016-10-15

$1,641,935.50

1000

57

829

39

2016-10-22

$1,702,865.50

811

52

1606

54

2016-10-29

$1,665,099.00

1002

55

1764

41

2016-11-05

$1,906,686.00

577

34

1386

57

2016-11-12

$1,863,506.50

884

40

1688

265

2016-11-19

$1,823,151.00

735

32

933

47

2016-11-26

$1,680,210.50

873

40

774

52

2016-12-03

$1,854,156.00

1671

42

2107

68

2016-12-10

$2,000,743.50

1845

77

1275

99

2016-12-17

$2,167,251.00

1261

31

2095

218

2016-12-24

$2,150,733.50

1392

307

2010

242

2016-12-31

$1,997,793.00

816

80

1109

68

2017-01-07

$2,023,936.50

881

32

2416

169

2017-01-14

$1,869,385.00

967

21

1549

56

2017-01-21

$1,803,946.50

581

23

1962

50

2017-01-28

$1,810,230.50

1759

215

2008

54

2017-02-04

$2,090,360.50

1162

108

1852

69

2017-02-11

$1,977,660.50

1098

77

1001

130

2017-02-18

$1,845,850.50

1006

49

1391

29

2017-02-25

$1,930,100.50

1220

66

1522

91

2017-03-04

$2,102,367.50

701

33

1192

80

2017-03-11

$2,086,233.50

583

33

2369

110

2017-03-18

$2,029,872.00

1129

66

1418

62

2017-03-25

$1,928,627.50

930

35

1205

58

2017-04-01

$1,977,408.00

815

735

1316

129

2017-04-08

$2,097,563.50

2871

130

1483

47

2017-04-15

$1,991,613.00

1199

52

1793

80

2017-04-22

$1,906,074.00

1447

39

1181

55

2017-04-29

$1,939,264.00

1439

266

1404

55

2017-05-06

$2,147,661.50

1514

78

2887

166

2017-05-13

$2,047,808.50

1494

40

1618

121

2017-05-20

$1,957,412.50

1222

54

1663

47

2017-05-27

$1,894,108.50

750

26

2253

122

2017-06-03

$1,886,152.50

955

36

1875

78

2017-06-10

$1,860,496.50

751

29

1094

104

2017-06-17

$1,771,995.50

1130

50

1052

37

2017-06-24

$1,710,320.00

826

39

1007

60

2017-07-01

$1,967,291.00

910

36

1000

47

2017-07-08

$2,051,429.50

964

54

1257

41

2017-07-15

$1,970,008.50

883

77

1331

67

2017-07-22

$1,866,289.00

941

49

1586

78

2017-07-29

$1,847,725.00

1049

29

1117

83

2017-08-05

$2,014,376.00

1213

35

1296

112

2017-08-12

$1,901,960.50

708

43

1350

37

2017-08-19

$1,783,966.50

820

41

1311

56

2017-08-26

$1,711,723.50

1317

43

1862

173

2017-09-02

$1,855,113.00

847

33

1021

65

2017-09-09

$1,924,608.00

1653

33

1242

48

2017-09-16

$1,823,067.00

1356

166

1899

78

2017-09-23

$1,872,183.00

598

41

2112

66

2017-09-30

$1,883,160.00

806

37

1609

94

2017-10-07

$2,105,579.00

1095

47

1971

87

2017-10-14

$1,972,835.50

764

34

1922

75

2017-10-21

$1,895,675.50

1153

57

1024

74

2017-10-28

$1,770,359.00

628

248

1214

196

2017-11-04

$1,920,514.00

1053

30

2303

80

2017-11-11

$1,932,698.00

815

39

1430

66

2017-11-18

$1,931,956.00

858

15

1163

45

2017-11-25

$1,877,694.00

1385

57

1921

43

2017-12-02

$2,006,587.00

1610

57

1294

81

2017-12-09

$2,147,372.50

740

158

1361

69

2017-12-16

$2,018,088.00

1639

67

1386

75

2017-12-23

$2,040,695.00

1475

155

1346

39

2017-12-30

$1,915,467.00

2282

180

2320

144

2018-01-06

$1,748,908.00

601

28

944

52

2018-01-13

$1,858,346.50

1091

108

781

57

2018-01-20

$1,767,902.50

1063

44

1382

79

2018-01-27

$1,721,035.00

983

33

1579

111

2018-02-03

$1,856,244.00

787

1267

1399

38

2018-02-10

$2,065,215.00

1172

103

1274

133

2018-02-17

$1,922,545.50

970

69

1482

66

2018-02-24

$1,959,304.00

1374

69

1801

48

2018-03-03

$2,225,995.00

1217

200

2812

79

2018-03-10

$2,120,289.00

874

29

1252

46

2018-03-17

$1,934,986.00

4362

233

1039

69

2018-03-24

$2,087,651.50

2023

176

1462

46

2018-03-31

$2,043,207.50

843

53

1813

82

2018-04-07

$2,116,960.00

1355

119

1346

102

2018-04-14

$2,066,572.00

834

30

2067

152

2018-04-21

$1,995,121.50

1801

52

1469

57

2018-04-28

$2,056,891.00

1862

73

3727

160

2018-05-05

$2,117,369.00

1416

48

1097

53

2018-05-12

$2,026,969.50

888

37

1577

66

2018-05-19

$1,769,730.00

841

43

2215

54

2018-05-26

$1,805,476.50

1246

38

1549

57

2018-06-02

$1,858,372.00

761

49

1433

104

2018-06-09

$1,950,179.00

933

36

2336

83

2018-06-16

$1,965,380.50

1191

50

1216

56

2018-06-23

$1,845,433.00

1641

52

2115

47

2018-06-30

$1,888,180.00

1669

63

1353

124

2018-07-07

$1,966,756.50

1885

48

2065

82

2018-07-14

$1,895,062.00

1806

64

844

60

2018-07-21

$1,892,775.00

1318

67

1106

60

2018-07-28

$1,831,164.50

656

25

2065

163

2018-08-04

$1,906,738.50

658

32

1694

38

2018-08-11

$1,823,140.50

1181

28

1214

39

2018-08-18

$1,782,332.00

1577

49

1496

45

2018-08-25

$1,797,866.00

1376

77

1606

115

2018-09-01

$1,920,097.00

1914

44

1043

51

2018-09-08

$1,872,087.50

1098

45

1300

72

2018-09-15

$1,776,062.50

2580

136

1311

49

2018-09-22

$1,975,724.00

1115

60

1201

95

2018-09-29

$1,917,799.00

1122

43

2058

87

2018-10-06

$2,026,930.00

935

45

1206

95

2018-10-13

$1,922,076.00

1998

44

1415

92

2018-10-20

$1,902,104.50

1260

171

1936

145

2018-10-27

$1,823,582.00

919

63

2036

80

2018-11-03

$1,985,692.00

1929

67

1917

191

2018-11-10

$2,048,920.50

1609

72

1763

73

2018-11-17

$1,964,664.00

1250

21

1784

41

2018-11-24

$1,865,953.50

589

30

1194

41

2018-12-01

$1,977,998.50

1022

40

1987

107

2018-12-08

$2,101,634.00

1378

57

1218

68

2018-12-15

$2,021,183.00

2051

91

996

32

2018-12-22

$2,054,055.50

708

36

2058

70

2018-12-29

$1,819,380.00

874

24

1530

34

2019-01-05

$1,964,411.00

1231

42

1887

80

2019-01-12

$1,901,074.00

823

35

1218

45

2019-01-19

$1,833,673.50

917

39

1801

60

2019-01-26

$1,784,681.00

1486

68

1590

43

2019-02-02

$1,912,447.00

930

43

1981

152

2019-02-09

$1,961,439.50

1242

70

1027

50

2019-02-16

$1,834,592.00

1046

35

1332

50

2019-02-23

$1,783,253.00

874

19

1577

98

2019-03-02

$2,052,869.00

1478

89

2394

363

2019-03-09

$2,156,588.00

1471

99

1706

373

2019-03-16

$2,068,281.00

1761

83

1250

50

2019-03-23

$2,043,199.00

1209

98

2415

260

2019-03-30

$1,954,616.50

726

75

1559

58

2019-04-06

$2,162,275.00

1227

84

1905

97

2019-04-13

$2,056,925.00

1311

188

1918

49

2019-04-20

$2,145,896.50

947

71

975

60

2019-04-27

$2,041,595.50

776

37

2232

352

2019-05-04

$2,265,063.50

3802

476

2158

64

2019-05-11

$2,251,175.50

875

36

1981

79

2019-05-18

$2,187,025.50

1342

46

1494

202

2019-05-25

$2,178,623.50

1100

27

1472

73

2019-06-01

$2,249,334.50

1338

60

1996

72

2019-06-08

$2,319,400.50

825

27

1561

87

2019-06-15

$2,274,042.00

2696

129

2498

269

2019-06-22

$2,146,015.00

1070

45

1732

63

2019-06-29

$2,137,767.50

1463

57

1334

45

2019-07-06

$2,262,184.50

895

48

1460

79

2019-07-13

$2,227,033.00

1106

46

2445

192

2019-07-20

$2,061,354.00

1279

81

1356

47

2019-07-27

$2,006,381.50

1237

227

1088

69

2019-08-03

$2,176,961.00

1411

84

1466

58

2019-08-10

$2,109,446.50

1561

62

1415

90

2019-08-17

$2,048,801.00

1072

37

918

39

2019-08-24

$1,967,848.50

1056

48

1602

193

2019-08-31

$2,002,716.50

838

44

1315

30

2019-09-07

$2,009,072.00

1603

49

1788

62

2019-09-14

$2,079,621.00

1428

50

1217

60

2019-09-21

$2,001,612.00

929

29

1517

102

2019-09-28

$2,012,671.00

1459

1431

2732

131

2019-10-05

$2,330,715.00

1126

34

2793

126

2019-10-12

$2,170,563.50

902

30

1375

62

2019-10-19

$2,046,311.00

1123

57

2081

63

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Does It Ring True?

In all of us, we have this evolved sense of what’s random and what’s not.

Take the simple act of flipping a coin.

Now, we’re not going to get in to the probability mathematical mumbo-jumbo or split hairs on the one sided weightiness of a coin.

Let’s just focus on the simple, is it Heads or is it Tails and you’ll see if this rings true.

Flip of a coin and we get a Tails.

Hmm, nothing too complicated, we got an outcome.

We’ll keep track of our outcomes with an H for Heads and a T for Tails.

In the first flip, T.

Again, flip and we get Tails.

Hmm-hmm, T & T, TT.

Ok, flip again, TTT… alright, interesting.

Let’s go on, TTTT… and a pattern forms.

Fifth flip, TTTTT… wha’?

We can see by this flip, something is flipping out, but it’s not impossible.

Impossible, meaning can never happen; unlike Improbable, meaning can happen, but is very rare.

Let’s carry this out to 16 flips and we get: TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT.

Again, this is not impossible, however, it is improbable.

But, let’s move even flipping further and we get TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT.

Once again, it’s not impossible, but very improbable.

At this point, your built-in sense of randomness kicks-in; you know what rings true.

Somewhere in this, we may have asked ourselves, “When is a Heads going to Hit?”

Well, that’s a good question.

How many Tails have to happen before we see a Heads?

This is really the essence of our built-in sense of randomness.

If the flips continued well beyond 32 flips and we are getting nothing but TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT…, our confidence this is not random would be pretty high.

Again, this is not Impossible, but is Extremely Improbable.

Here’s an example of a random flip that continues beyond 10 flips.

Flip

Outcome

1

T

2

H

3

T

4

H

5

H

6

T

7

T

8

T

9

T

10

H

 

We can plot the Head and Tails and see how this looks as a graph.

 

 

Or better yet, let’s call Heads a Hit and Tails a Miss.

Then it would look like this:

 

We can see it’s a Hit some flips and some flips it’s a Miss.

However, there may be flips when the Miss continues for a few flips; like at flip 38 to 43.

But, it does eventually Hit and within a reasonable sense of randomness; the randomness Rings True.

 

Now, now let’s carry this in to the current topic of Quads as a Hit & Miss.

We can plot the Midday Quad Hit & Miss and see if the randomness Rings True.

Hmm, seems reasonable since on average a Quad should Hit once every 1000 draws.

 

 

What is happening in the evening?

Hmm, hmm, hm… what’s going on?

 

 

The Midday has had fewer draws than the Evening, but more Quad Hits.

The Evening has had more draws, but way less Quad Hits than the Midday.

In Our Opinion, something doesn’t seem to ring true.

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on Oct 27, 2019

Does It Ring True?

In all of us, we have this evolved sense of what’s random and what’s not.

Take the simple act of flipping a coin.

Now, we’re not going to get in to the probability mathematical mumbo-jumbo or split hairs on the one sided weightiness of a coin.

Let’s just focus on the simple, is it Heads or is it Tails and you’ll see if this rings true.

Flip of a coin and we get a Tails.

Hmm, nothing too complicated, we got an outcome.

We’ll keep track of our outcomes with an H for Heads and a T for Tails.

In the first flip, T.

Again, flip and we get Tails.

Hmm-hmm, T & T, TT.

Ok, flip again, TTT… alright, interesting.

Let’s go on, TTTT… and a pattern forms.

Fifth flip, TTTTT… wha’?

We can see by this flip, something is flipping out, but it’s not impossible.

Impossible, meaning can never happen; unlike Improbable, meaning can happen, but is very rare.

Let’s carry this out to 16 flips and we get: TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT.

Again, this is not impossible, however, it is improbable.

But, let’s move even flipping further and we get TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT.

Once again, it’s not impossible, but very improbable.

At this point, your built-in sense of randomness kicks-in; you know what rings true.

Somewhere in this, we may have asked ourselves, “When is a Heads going to Hit?”

Well, that’s a good question.

How many Tails have to happen before we see a Heads?

This is really the essence of our built-in sense of randomness.

If the flips continued well beyond 32 flips and we are getting nothing but TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT…, our confidence this is not random would be pretty high.

Again, this is not Impossible, but is Extremely Improbable.

Here’s an example of a random flip that continues beyond 10 flips.

Flip

Outcome

1

T

2

H

3

T

4

H

5

H

6

T

7

T

8

T

9

T

10

H

 

We can plot the Head and Tails and see how this looks as a graph.

 

 

Or better yet, let’s call Heads a Hit and Tails a Miss.

Then it would look like this:

 

We can see it’s a Hit some flips and some flips it’s a Miss.

However, there may be flips when the Miss continues for a few flips; like at flip 38 to 43.

But, it does eventually Hit and within a reasonable sense of randomness; the randomness Rings True.

 

Now, now let’s carry this in to the current topic of Quads as a Hit & Miss.

We can plot the Midday Quad Hit & Miss and see if the randomness Rings True.

Hmm, seems reasonable since on average a Quad should Hit once every 1000 draws.

 

 

What is happening in the evening?

Hmm, hmm, hm… what’s going on?

 

 

The Midday has had fewer draws than the Evening, but more Quad Hits.

The Evening has had more draws, but way less Quad Hits than the Midday.

In Our Opinion, something doesn’t seem to ring true.

Oh, forgot to mention, it was a Two Tailed Coin.

Think about it.

NumberRunner

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on Oct 27, 2019

Oh, forgot to mention, it was a Two Tailed Coin.

Think about it.

what happens to your numbers when you add the fact there are pre and post draws?

JADELottery's avatarJADELottery

Quote: Originally posted by NumberRunner on Oct 27, 2019

what happens to your numbers when you add the fact there are pre and post draws?

Good question.

Wink

Subscribe to this news story