Are you playing Mega Millions with the $5.00 per play?Prev Topic Next Topic

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Are you playing Mega Millions with the $5.00 per play?

No - None

[ 121 ]

[ 56.5% ]

Very Little - One Line

[ 45 ]

[ 21.0% ]

Some - I Cut Back

[ 13 ]

[ 6.1% ]

Yes - Business As Usual

[ 35 ]

[ 16.4% ]

Total valid votes

[ 214 ]

Discarded votes

[ 4 ]

Albert Bundy

us
Member #254,954
August 29, 2025
10 Posts
Offline

Aug 29, 2025, 9:18 pm

Quote: Originally posted by JustMaybe on Aug 29, 2025
My advice is that you don't tell your wife 🤣🤣🤣 just tell us, that's the plan 🤷

If I tell her, she will spend the money.

If I don't tell her, she will find out, hit me with a stick, and spend the money.

Al Bundy Member #254,954 NO MA'AM
KY Floyd

NY
United States
Member #23,834
October 16, 2005
5,127 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 1:13 am

"I'm not sure what numbers from the Texas spreadsheets you used in your previous post to determine the chance of a roll but what do you think are the chances we see another 2 billion jackpot? "

There's a worksheet for every drawing, and you'll find a link to it on the page that shows the current advertised jackpot. Somewhere around noon on the day of the drawing (or Friday for Saturday's PB jackpot) they add the next jackpot if it rolls.
https://www.texaslottery.com/export/sites/lottery/Games/Powerball/Estimated_Jackpot.html
https://www.texaslottery.com/export/sites/lottery/Games/Mega_Millions/Estimated_Jackpot.html

There are a bunch of variables that affect the chance, so I'll make some assumptions. First, I'll figure tomorrow's jackpot ends up at exactly $1 billion and rolls. I'll also figure that the interest rate remains the same and every $100 million of advertised jackpot is $45.3 million cash. Then I'll figure the rolls (if they happen) are to 1.15 >1.35 > 1.65 and 2.00 billion. Skipping some math, that means selling about 101, 135, 203, and 237 million tickets. The chances of a rollover for those drawings would then be 0.708, 0.63, 0.499, and 0.457. Multiply the first 3 together and the chance of rolling and reaching $2 billion is 0.2226 or 22.3%. The chance of also rolling the 4th time is 10.2%. One of the biggest variables is what the actual jackpots are. If we get 3 rolls after Saturday and the 4th jackpot is to a bit more than 2 billion then the chance is 22.3% because it only needs to roll past 1.65 and the mystery is whether or not it's won at the first jackpot over 2 billion. If 3 rolls gets it to anything under 2 billion we'd need that 4th rollover to get past it.

"Even with 254,931 Lottery Post members we are yet to have a second prize jackpot winner. "

If there were actually that many members and they each played once per week they would collectively buy 13,256,412 tickets per year. Probability would then suggest 1 second place winner 48 weeks or so, except that a lot of those tickets would be from the smaller subset of possible combinations using only calendar numbers. Of course there aren't that many members now even if you count people who signed up and simply haven't come back. A substantial portion of those "members" have died and won't be buying tickets no matter how big the jackpot gets. That said, for as long as LP has been around there's very likely somebody who signed up at some point and has won a 2nd place prize unless most of them have stuck strictly to games besides PB or MM.
CDanaT

Central TN
United States
Member #121,185
January 4, 2012
9,389 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 7:51 am

At least Measly Millions made some progress with an increase of $25M this time.

OLD: Looking at the $2 MM run from 6/07/24 - 9/10/24 with only a starting jackpot of $20 Million, the jackpot after 18 draws was already at $405 Million. It took 27 draws to reach the $800M winning jackpot.

Looking at the last $2 MM Billion dollar jackpot run from 9/13 - 12/27/24 starting jackpot of $20 Million, the jackpot after 18 draws was at $387 Million. At 27 draws it was $760M. It took 30 draws to reach the $1.269B winning jackpot.(*consider Holiday gift giving for extra sales)

NEW: Looking at the $5 MM run from 7/01/25 - Present with a starting jackpot of $50 Million,(2-3 draw advantage) the jackpot after 18 draws is at $302 Million. What will the next 9-12 draws bring? Let the speculation begin. Good luck to all participants of the MM.

Best of luck to all of us with tonights PB draw
JADELottery

Eagle Sun

IA, MN, WI
United States
Member #21
December 7, 2001
5,177 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 8:25 am

At $5.00 a Line and the Crappy Multiplier Gimmick, No Sale.

Wanna impress, try reaching $32 Billion.

The One Over None
I Know...
JADELottery

Eagle Sun

IA, MN, WI
United States
Member #21
December 7, 2001
5,177 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 9:50 am

Was looking at Powerball's site and noticed the breakdown of winners and power play winners.

Looks like about 80% of players don't choose the multiplier.

So, MM's goal was to force 80% of the their players to take the Extra $3.00 Multiplier.

Meanwhile, Powerball gets to $1 Billion Plus with $2.00 & the Optional $1.00 Multiplier.

The One Over None
I Know...
CDanaT

Central TN
United States
Member #121,185
January 4, 2012
9,389 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 9:55 am

I am very much in favor of starting a $1 National game. Have the jackpot odds at 1/304 Million(slightly above the old MM) and let em go...See who survives out of the big 3
Ranett

United States
Member #201,949
November 3, 2019
6,428 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 1:03 pm

Yep, looks like customers moved over to powerball instead.
Droptop209

Newman, California
United States
Member #193,972
November 24, 2018
206 Posts
Online

Aug 30, 2025, 2:54 pm

Good luck to all LP members playing tonight
GoodLuckDude

us
Member #254,768
August 22, 2025
16 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 5:06 pm

Good luck everyone! I hope someone wins the jackpot tonight.
JustMaybe

us
Member #228,334
January 2, 2023
1,493 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 5:33 pm

Quote: Originally posted by GoodLuckDude on Aug 30, 2025
Good luck everyone! I hope someone wins the jackpot tonight.

I hope that I win the PB jackpot tonight.

It would be the begining of a new era 🙏

I believe winning the lottery jackpot is a 💯 % factor of luck.

May Fortuna, goddess of chance or lot vindicate me.
Justing618

Baltimore
United States
Member #221,592
March 26, 2022
999 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 9:42 pm

Super weird. Just bought powerball tickets. And there's no powerball logo printed on the top. And the machine kept posting the same numbers. But printed different numbers. I'm thinking I should have played the posted number. 🤷
JustMaybe

us
Member #228,334
January 2, 2023
1,493 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 10:09 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Justing618 on Aug 30, 2025
Super weird. Just bought powerball tickets. And there's no powerball logo printed on the top. And the machine kept posting the same numbers. But printed different numbers. I'm thinking I should have played the posted number. 🤷

Hahahaha the problem is if you recall the posted numbers and those numbers come through tonight - mayhem 🤣

I believe winning the lottery jackpot is a 💯 % factor of luck.

May Fortuna, goddess of chance or lot vindicate me.
Justing618

Baltimore
United States
Member #221,592
March 26, 2022
999 Posts
Offline

Aug 30, 2025, 11:13 pm

Quote: Originally posted by JustMaybe on Aug 30, 2025
Hahahaha the problem is if you recall the posted numbers and those numbers come through tonight - mayhem 🤣

I remembered the first 2 numbers on the machine. They where not the first 2 in the drawing. And i just checked all my tickets . Theywhere dudz! O well...... Mabye next time.🤷I kinda think someone hit tonight........
Justing618

Baltimore
United States
Member #221,592
March 26, 2022
999 Posts
Offline

Aug 31, 2025, 12:36 am

No one won! 😳
ezhillga

United States
Member #137,268
December 31, 2012
6 Posts
Offline

Aug 31, 2025, 1:16 am

i agree

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