Welcome Guest
Log In | Register )
You last visited December 9, 2016, 6:13 pm
All times shown are
Eastern Time (GMT-5:00)

Tickets for updated Mega Millions game on sale Saturday

Topic closed. 104 replies. Last post 3 years ago by TheOtherOne.

Page 5 of 7
3.97
PrintE-mailLink
reddbrim's avatar - Lottery-067.jpg
New Member
fresno ,tx
United States
Member #131768
August 17, 2012
26 Posts
Offline
Posted: October 20, 2013, 10:15 pm - IP Logged

She right the state lotto better odds.not great odds but better.....i wonder have any one ever hit a jackpot on here before?

    Avatar
    NY
    United States
    Member #23835
    October 16, 2005
    3474 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: October 21, 2013, 12:58 am - IP Logged

    I'm just going to play all 15 mega balls alone, and QP the white balls, and use the multiplier for a total of $30 per draw. Guaranteed $2 back and chances to win more on rest.

    You may be guaranteed to win $2, but statistically it guarantees that you'll lose $28.

    If you do that for every draw, over the course of a year you'll spend $3,120 for 1560 chances at winning something. Based on the odds, here's what you can expect to win:

      Match        average prize     total 
    74   0+1       $  3.46           $256.53
    28   1+1       $  6.93           $194.13
    3.3  3+0       $17.33           $  57.20
    2     2+1       $17.33           $  34.66

    That means you can expect to win a total of $542.52.

    There's a 1 in 7 chance for a 3+1 match that would pay between $50 and $250, and 1 in 35 chance of matching 4+0 to win between $500 and $2500. Chances for the bigger prizes are small enough to be mostly meaningless, so even if the 4+0 match guaranteed $2500 what you get for $3,120 is a 1 in 35 chance of turning a profit of $42.52 and a 97% chance of losing at least $2350.

    Woo hoo!

      JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
      The Quantum Master
      West Concord, MN
      United States
      Member #21
      December 7, 2001
      3675 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: October 21, 2013, 11:09 am - IP Logged

      I'll buy that for a dollar.

      Wink

      Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
      Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
      Use at your own risk.

      Order is a Subset of Chaos
      Knowledge is Beyond Belief
      Wisdom is Not Censored
      Douglas Paul Smallish
      Jehocifer

        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
        mid-Ohio
        United States
        Member #9
        March 24, 2001
        19830 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: October 21, 2013, 11:13 am - IP Logged

        I'm going to do what I said I was going to do when the changes were announced.

        I'm going to send a playslip and $2 (as I always played the Megaplier) to the MUSL and say, "Considering your new game format I'll skip the formality of playing a ticket and here's your $2."

        Scared

        For anyone else who wants to do that here's the address:

        Multi-State Lottery Association
        4400 N.W. Urbandale Drive
        Urbandale, Iowa 50322

        Thanks for sharing but I'm too cheap to spend the extra money for a stamp so when its jackpot gets high enough I'll just buy two $1 tickets instead. Roll Eyes

         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
           
                     Evil Looking       

          LottoGuyBC's avatar - Lottery-050.jpg
          British Columbia
          Canada
          Member #116101
          September 4, 2011
          4033 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: October 21, 2013, 12:33 pm - IP Logged

          I'll buy that for a dollar.

          Wink

          ROFL roflmao

          "You have to be in it to win it!"

            ressuccess's avatar - Lottery-043.jpg

            United States
            Member #93164
            June 23, 2010
            1325 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: October 21, 2013, 1:15 pm - IP Logged

            Good luck to the people participating in this new matrix. It will be part of my current event this week.

              Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
              Chief Bottle Washer
              New Jersey
              United States
              Member #1
              May 31, 2000
              23274 Posts
              Online
              Posted: October 21, 2013, 1:38 pm - IP Logged

              You may be guaranteed to win $2, but statistically it guarantees that you'll lose $28.

              If you do that for every draw, over the course of a year you'll spend $3,120 for 1560 chances at winning something. Based on the odds, here's what you can expect to win:

                Match        average prize     total 
              74   0+1       $  3.46           $256.53
              28   1+1       $  6.93           $194.13
              3.3  3+0       $17.33           $  57.20
              2     2+1       $17.33           $  34.66

              That means you can expect to win a total of $542.52.

              There's a 1 in 7 chance for a 3+1 match that would pay between $50 and $250, and 1 in 35 chance of matching 4+0 to win between $500 and $2500. Chances for the bigger prizes are small enough to be mostly meaningless, so even if the 4+0 match guaranteed $2500 what you get for $3,120 is a 1 in 35 chance of turning a profit of $42.52 and a 97% chance of losing at least $2350.

              Woo hoo!

              I think there is merit to playing 30 lines, but not in the manner suggested by the OP.

              Instead of playing the Megaplier with 15 lines, I would play 30 lines without the Megaplier.  That will win the same guaranteed $2 every draw, but provide enough lines (30) for a decent wheel.

              Which brings me to the next point:  quick-picking the 5 white balls is a pretty poor plan.  Create a 30-line wheel that has some kind of guarantee, so that if your group of numbers hits, you're guaranteed to have a decent winner.

              There is not enough history with a 75-number pool to do any kind of analysis, so just use your favorite numbers in the wheel. 

              The nice thing about a 15-number Mega Ball pool is that you can ramp things up in quantities of 15, while playing every Mega Ball number in each new chunk of 15 you add to your wheel.

              I personally have played Mega Millions like this many times, and I have had some nice hits, including a 4+0 and some 3+1's.  My 4+0 was one digit away from a 5+0.  (It has been a while, but I think it was like I had a 46 on the 4+0 line and the 5th number was a 47.)

               

              Check the State Lottery Report Card
              What grade did your lottery earn?

               

              Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
              Help eliminate computerized drawings!

                Avatar

                United States
                Member #11879
                February 26, 2005
                61 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: October 21, 2013, 2:18 pm - IP Logged

                They wouldn't try something sneaky like put two (or more) Megaballs with each numeral in the machine, would they?  Would that tilt the odds in any drastic fashion?

                 

                I have been playing six set numbers for years, dating to before I heard of MegaMillions.  I had been rotating one of the numbers into the Megaball position on a calendar-month basis.  This new limit of 15 has effectively limited my ability to do that to only one of the six numbers.  I just bought my first ticket for this 75/15 matrix with a quick pick in the Megaball position.  Here's hoping....

                  RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                  mid-Ohio
                  United States
                  Member #9
                  March 24, 2001
                  19830 Posts
                  Offline
                  Posted: October 21, 2013, 2:46 pm - IP Logged

                  They wouldn't try something sneaky like put two (or more) Megaballs with each numeral in the machine, would they?  Would that tilt the odds in any drastic fashion?

                   

                  I have been playing six set numbers for years, dating to before I heard of MegaMillions.  I had been rotating one of the numbers into the Megaball position on a calendar-month basis.  This new limit of 15 has effectively limited my ability to do that to only one of the six numbers.  I just bought my first ticket for this 75/15 matrix with a quick pick in the Megaball position.  Here's hoping....

                  There was a rumor that Texas did something like that with the PB multiplier to get higher numbers when they were in charge of it, but then there were rumors that Texas paid out larger jackpot amounts than they should to attract more players in some of their other games too.  Players like to hear those types of rumors.

                   * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                     
                               Evil Looking       

                    Avatar
                    LA CA
                    United States
                    Member #118691
                    November 6, 2011
                    416 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: October 21, 2013, 3:20 pm - IP Logged

                    Even though the second prize is $1 million, CA winners won't get $1 million , correct? It will be based pari-mutuel for that draw?

                      Jon D's avatar - calotterylogo
                      Los Angeles, California
                      United States
                      Member #103813
                      January 5, 2011
                      1530 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: October 21, 2013, 6:12 pm - IP Logged

                      Even though the second prize is $1 million, CA winners won't get $1 million , correct? It will be based pari-mutuel for that draw?

                      Yep, the new MM will be pari-mutuel like all CA games.

                      Tomorrow's draw 2nd prize would be around $400,000.

                        Avatar
                        LA CA
                        United States
                        Member #118691
                        November 6, 2011
                        416 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: October 21, 2013, 10:34 pm - IP Logged

                        Yep, the new MM will be pari-mutuel like all CA games.

                        Tomorrow's draw 2nd prize would be around $400,000.

                        hmmm ..thats just bad..

                          TheOtherOne's avatar - Lottery-027.jpg
                          Nashville, TN
                          United States
                          Member #86739
                          February 9, 2010
                          483 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: October 21, 2013, 11:05 pm - IP Logged

                          MM sure knows what they're doing. They are banking on everyone to figure out ' hey I can spend$15 each draw and cover all 15 numbers and win SOMETHING'

                          But with those 75 numbers in the white ball field it is astronomical almost to win.

                          Also isn't 1:258 million odds astronomical too? I'm not seeing how that equates to 1:129 mill.

                            Avatar
                            NY
                            United States
                            Member #23835
                            October 16, 2005
                            3474 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: October 22, 2013, 1:58 am - IP Logged

                            They wouldn't try something sneaky like put two (or more) Megaballs with each numeral in the machine, would they?  Would that tilt the odds in any drastic fashion?

                             

                            I have been playing six set numbers for years, dating to before I heard of MegaMillions.  I had been rotating one of the numbers into the Megaball position on a calendar-month basis.  This new limit of 15 has effectively limited my ability to do that to only one of the six numbers.  I just bought my first ticket for this 75/15 matrix with a quick pick in the Megaball position.  Here's hoping....

                            If you buy two pints of milk will you still get 1/4 gallon?

                              NYSlugger 777's avatar - 777
                              NY
                              United States
                              Member #54513
                              August 21, 2007
                              6371 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: October 22, 2013, 2:32 am - IP Logged

                              Under the revamped game, the prizes and odds for matching numbers will be as follows.

                               

                              • Match 1 number + the Mega Ball: $2 (odds are 1 in 56)
                              • Match only the Mega Ball: $1 (odds are 1 in 21)

                               

                              This is the part in the article where I noticed immediately the "NEW"  odds of winning various prizes that are listed are incorrect. How can the Odds of matching ONLY  the mega Ball be 1 in 21, if there are only 15 Mega Balls to choose from?? That would be impossbile. Obviously if I play one game and pick one mega Ball out of the 15 that are avaiable to choose from, my odds of correctly matching "ONLY THE MEGA BALL" ARE 1 in 15.

                               

                              Now how can matching 1 white ball number from a field of 1 thru 75, PLUS matching a mega ball correctly  from a field of 1 thru 15 in the same event be only1 in 56? Since there are 75 white ball numbers to choose from, your odds will have to automatically be GREATER then 75  because you have to match the mega ball in addition to matching one of the 75 white balls numbers that are available to choose from. Your odds of winning that $2 is WAY TOUGHER than you may think.

                              I haven't done any further research on the other new odds that are listed for the other prize levels  but I assume some of the others listed may be incorrect as well, INCLUDING the odds of winning a jackpot prize which may be higher than the stated 1 in 258,890,850. 

                              I have not gotten a chance to look at the new playslips yet as I have forgotten to check but if there is anyone that mentioned they have the new playslips, please let us know what odds of winning various prizes are listed in the  new playslips. THanks!

                              .