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probability of euromillions rollover

Topic closed. 34 replies. Last post 11 years ago by anonymous77.

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BILOXI, MISSISSIPPI
United States
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August 3, 2005
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Posted: January 31, 2006, 11:00 pm - IP Logged

the most picked #'s are 1-31    birthdays dates      a roll over or single winner will have higher #'s  lets see if i'm right on friday

    dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

    United States
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    Posted: February 1, 2006, 1:50 am - IP Logged

    I would be shocked at a rollover. It's already the biggest jackpot ever offered. I just can't see it rolling over yet again.

    Good news for Europe is sales should really be the best it's ever been. That and people in the states can get tickets at prime ticket service.

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      BILOXI, MISSISSIPPI
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      Posted: February 3, 2006, 1:53 pm - IP Logged

      2 hours to go

        dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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        Posted: February 3, 2006, 10:12 pm - IP Logged

        Three winners. I won exactly 0 dollars however.

          Todd's avatar - Cylon 2.gif
          Chief Bottle Washer
          New Jersey
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          Posted: February 3, 2006, 10:16 pm - IP Logged

          I hit 1 + both Lucky Stars, for a $15.68 payout.  It paid for 5 Powerball tickets for tomorrow's $180 million drawing, with money left in my account to spare. 

          Prime Ticket Service is working like clockwork these days, a real pleasure to play at.

           

          Check the State Lottery Report Card
          What grade did your lottery earn?

           

          Sign the Petition for True Lottery Drawings
          Help eliminate computerized drawings!

            dvdiva's avatar - 8ball

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            Posted: February 3, 2006, 10:23 pm - IP Logged

            I won $26 from prime ticket on the drawing before this one. Nothing this time though. I will use them again once Euromillions get up there.

              anonymous77's avatar - moon
              Seoul
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              Posted: February 3, 2006, 10:53 pm - IP Logged

              Last Friday, I won nothing. But, I had two winning lines tonight. (2+1) for $12.51 and (2+2) for $36.30. So, with 5 PTS tickets, I am also going for $180M Powerball tomorrow. Good luck!

               


              ånonymous77 - Primarily for fun and entertainment!

               

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                EU
                Estonia
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                Posted: March 3, 2006, 6:25 am - IP Logged

                Anonymous77

                Could you post a link where are Euromillions sales data? Also, do you know which % of total sales are contributed to Jakpot?

                Thank you in advance

                  anonymous77's avatar - moon
                  Seoul
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                  Posted: March 3, 2006, 10:28 am - IP Logged

                  The following website shows overall European ticket sales of EM in euros.

                        merseyworld

                  Then, you may clik Euro Millions #xxx in the middle.

                  I think that approximately 22% of total prize pool goes into the jackpot.

                   

                  Good luck!

                   

                   

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                    EU
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                    Posted: March 3, 2006, 10:55 am - IP Logged

                    Thank you for the link, but as I calculated only 11% goes to jackpot. I hoped it is bigger.

                    Good luck"

                      anonymous77's avatar - moon
                      Seoul
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                      Posted: March 3, 2006, 11:08 am - IP Logged

                      I think that about 11% of tickets sales , not 11% of total prize pot( pool), would go into the jackpot since total prize pool would be one half of total ticket sales.

                       

                       

                        anonymous77's avatar - moon
                        Seoul
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                        Posted: March 4, 2006, 9:02 am - IP Logged

                        Euro Millions rolled to €38M jackpot for this coming 3/10 drawing. For the latest drawing, the amount of jackpot determined was €27M (£18.5M/$32.5M). Based on the increase in the amount of jackpot pool, I see that EM expects the total EM ticket sales being approximately €100M, which would be equal to 50 million tickets.

                        Assuming 50 million tickets are sold, the probability of EM to roll on 3/10 is 52%. So, there would be roughly 50:50 chance of being hit or rolling over. The following table indicates the probability of the number of EM jackpot winners being 0, 1, and 2+.


                        # Winners       Probability     Cumulative
                              2+                14%              14%
                              1                  34%              48%
                              0                   52%            100%

                         

                         

                        Good luck!

                         

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                          Sparta, NJ
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                          Posted: March 4, 2006, 9:23 am - IP Logged

                          Works for me - if I am the one winner.  A zillion to one, would be great, if I was the one!  I'd be glad to make the trip to the Post Office to file the claim!

                          Cheers

                          |||::> *'`*:-.,_,.-:*''*:--->>> Chewie  <<<---.*''*:-.,_,.-:*''* <:::|||

                          I only trust myself - and that's a questionable choice

                            anonymous77's avatar - moon
                            Seoul
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                            Posted: March 15, 2006, 8:10 am - IP Logged

                            Euro Millions rolled to €51M jackpot for this coming 3/17 drawing. For the latest drawing, the amount of jackpot determined was €38.2M (£26.4M/$46M). And, the overall European sales were €84M. Based on the increase in the jackpot pool, I figure out that Euro Millions expects the total sales being approximately €116M, which would be equal to 58 million tickets (please see the note in the botteom).

                            Assuming that 58 million tickets would be sold, the probability of EM to roll over on 3/17 is 47%. So, again, there would be approximately 50:50 chance of being hit or rolling over, but this time, leaning very slightly towards being hit. The following table indicates the probability of the number of EM jackpot winners being 0, 1, and 2+.

                             

                            <Probability of Euro Millions to roll over on March 17>

                            # Winners    Probability      Cumulative Pr.

                            2+                    17%                17%

                            1                      36%              53%

                            0                     47%              100%

                             

                            <NOTE: The actual proportion of sales being allocated to the jackpot pool may not be exactly 11% during the earlier stages in a series of consecutive rollovers, which seemingly is higher than that in relatively later stages. As an example, for the last drawing, such percentage was 13.6%, instead of 11%, where the probability of rollover should be somewhat underestimated. So, those probabilities would be systematically, but possibly not to a significant extent, biased, depending on the relative standing in time among a series of several consecutive rollovers. Anyway, it is noted, they represent approximate estimates just for some ones' reference>

                             

                            Good luck!

                             

                             

                              anonymous77's avatar - moon
                              Seoul
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                              Posted: March 21, 2006, 9:18 am - IP Logged

                              Euro Millions rolled to €64M jackpot for the 3/24 drawing. In the last drawing, the amount of jackpot determined was €51.9M (£36M/$63M) and the overall European sales €89M. Based on the increase in the jackpot pool and on the average ratio of incremental jackpot pool over the overall European sales, I figure out that Euro Millions expects the total sales for this drawing being approximately, and maybe conservatively, €86M, which would be equal to 43 million tickets.

                              If one assumes that 43 million tickets are sold, the probability of EM rolling over would be 57%. The following table indicates the probability of the number of EM jackpot winners being 0, 1, and 2+.

                               

                              <Probability of Euro Millions to roll over on March 24>

                              # Winners     Probability      Cumulative Pr.

                              2+                    11%                 11%

                              1                      32%                 43%

                              0                       57%                100%

                               

                              Note: The average proportion of overall European sales allocated to the jackpot pool over the past few drawings was calculated and used to estimate the number of tickets which Euro Millions seemingly expects to sell. That was approximately 14%. So, I think, the probability of Euro Millions rollover this time should NOT be interpreted as underestimated.

                               

                               

                              Good luck!