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Developing a winning MegaMillions System

Topic closed. 1111 replies. Last post 6 years ago by Stack47.

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kjs703's avatar - batman08
Alexandria,VA
United States
Member #51062
March 26, 2007
367 Posts
Offline
Posted: December 10, 2008, 8:16 pm - IP Logged

My Picks for 12/12/08 using group of thirty as base

(told you I was going back to base of Thirty)

2-4-8-9-10-11-12-17-20-21
22-26-27-30-31-32-33-36-37-40
44-46-48-49-50-51-52-54-55-56-

Tickets
01) 9-27-33-40-56++07
02) 10-17-44-49-51++16
03) 8-27-30-33-44++41
04) 8-10-21-46-49++46
05) 9-11-20-36-50++33
06) 17-22-31-36-48++12
07) 10-17-26-32-54++03
08) 11-26-27-33-46++24
09) 17-22-31-37-49++01
10) 9-20-27-33-48++11
11) 12-21-30-36-49++38
12) 2-27-33-40-56++36
13) 4-17-44-49-51++21
14) 2-4-9-27-36++27
15) 2-9-26-30-52++31
16) 10-26-36-54-55++24
17) 8-21-32-49-50++14
18) 4-22-27-31-46++09
19) 17-30-33-46-56++07
20) 17-27-32-37-52++02

As always my mega-ball picks seem to be the kiss of death of it being drawn!

    fja's avatar - gnome1

    United States
    Member #91
    January 19, 2002
    11924 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: December 12, 2008, 6:07 am - IP Logged

    02-04-10-37-38 +42

    02-09-11-43-55+24
    02-12-36-50-53+25
    02-27-35-40-54+22
    02-33-34-39-47+32
    04-05-27-33-53+11
    04-08-12-43-47+26
    04-09-20-36-54+13
    04-11-26-39-40+07
    04-34-35-50-55+39
    05-09-35-37-47+37
    05-12-38-40-55+16
    08-09-34-40-53+23
    08-10-33-54-55+18
    08-11-27-37-50+40
    09-26-33-38-50+21
    10-26-35-43-53+03
    11-12-20-33-35+45
    11-38-47-53-54+35
    12-26-34-37-54+27

     

    25 Wb's and 20 mb's

    good luck!!

    "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

      RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
      mid-Ohio
      United States
      Member #9
      March 24, 2001
      19816 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: December 12, 2008, 9:18 pm - IP Logged

      These are my 20 picks for tonight's drawing 12/12/08.  They were picked from the combinations I posted on the prediction board yesterday for those who wanted an earlier look.  Those combinations had all 46 bonus numbers so they will have at least a 0+1 win and I'll get a chance to see how picking more combinations using slightly wider parameters effect my results. 

      Some are the parameters used were:
       Sums = 95-205
       Gaps(spaces between adjacent numbers) = 1-25
       Range  = 16-53
       Clean look back only applied to three of the numbers.


        1. 05 14 23 28 34 +11
        2. 13 24 29 35 56 +40
        3. 02 12 23 27 44 +41
        4. 15 17 30 34 45 +07
        5. 10 21 29 42 48 +39
        6. 03 24 36 47 54 +38
        7. 15 26 36 44 56 +30
        8. 07 14 17 29 49 +37
        9. 02 06 26 48 51 +15
       10. 21 27 43 51 56 +21
       11. 15 28 32 38 55 +36
       12. 12 13 27 34 53 +09
       13. 06 23 24 25 39 +01
       14. 14 28 35 45 47 +10
       15. 05 19 24 25 31 +05
       16. 01 03 21 34 53 +42
       17. 06 27 32 42 55 +02
       18. 09 12 15 35 56 +12
       19. 03 18 32 33 51 +22
       20. 14 29 34 49 56 +04

      Good luck if you played.

       * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
         
                   Evil Looking       

        RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
        mid-Ohio
        United States
        Member #9
        March 24, 2001
        19816 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: December 12, 2008, 11:41 pm - IP Logged

        Tonight's winning numbers were:  10 16 19 27 48  +25

          1. 05 14 23 28 34 +11
          2. 13 24 29 35 56 +40
          3. 02 12 23 27 44 +41
          4. 15 17 30 34 45 +07
          5. 10 21 29 42 48 +39
          6. 03 24 36 47 54 +38
          7. 15 26 36 44 56 +30
          8. 07 14 17 29 49 +37
          9. 02 06 26 48 51 +15
         10. 21 27 43 51 56 +21
         11. 15 28 32 38 55 +36
         12. 12 13 27 34 53 +09
         13. 06 23 24 25 39 +01
         14. 14 28 35 45 47 +10
         15. 05 19 24 25 31 +05
         16. 01 03 21 34 53 +42
         17. 06 27 32 42 55 +02
         18. 09 12 15 35 56 +12
         19. 03 18 32 33 51 +22
         20. 14 29 34 49 56 +04

        Nothing for me.  I matched 1+1 on the prediction board only because I have every bonus number, however that was the best of the MM predictions on the board.  My system started out getting an occasional 3+0 or a 0+1 and sometime both but lately it has just gotten worst.  Maybe it time to re-evaluate this project.

         * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
           
                     Evil Looking       

          rcbbuckeye's avatar - Lottery-043.jpg
          Texas
          United States
          Member #55889
          October 23, 2007
          5588 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: December 12, 2008, 11:52 pm - IP Logged

          Well RJ, I have been watching your posts all year, you know I pick my numbers from my excel file along with what numbers I think are due. It's a struggle to even get 1 number right, even though I do ok occasionally on Maddog's challenge.

          Tonight I played 5 lines (money played) with all picked from LP's rng and got 2 on one line. I actually was a little (emphasis on little) encouraged that I did that well on only 5 lines. Point being maybe keeping it simple is the way to go. Problem is it's kinda boring just going with random picks. But it's not a bad thing to change gears every so often.

          Good at it and good luck.

            kjs703's avatar - batman08
            Alexandria,VA
            United States
            Member #51062
            March 26, 2007
            367 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: December 13, 2008, 8:27 am - IP Logged

            DE NUMS   10-16-19-27-48  25

             

            2-4-8-9-10-11-12-17-20-21
            22-26-27-30-31-32-33-36-37-40
            44-46-48-49-50-51-52-54-55-56-

            Tickets
            01) 9-27-33-40-56++07
            02) 10-17-44-49-51++16
            03) 8-27-30-33-44++41
            04) 8-10-21-46-49++46
            05) 9-11-20-36-50++33
            06) 17-22-31-36-48++12
            07) 10-17-26-32-54++03
            08) 11-26-27-33-46++24
            09) 17-22-31-37-49++01
            10) 9-20-27-33-48++11
            11) 12-21-30-36-49++38
            12) 2-27-33-40-56++36
            13) 4-17-44-49-51++21
            14) 2-4-9-27-36++27
            15) 2-9-26-30-52++31
            16) 10-26-36-54-55++24
            17) 8-21-32-49-50++14
            18) 4-22-27-31-46++09
            19) 17-30-33-46-56++07
            20) 17-27-32-37-52++02

            ok three numbers out of 30 -- not good at all -

            I need a better selection process for the base numbers.....

            As always - no Mega Balls!

            Any suggestions for getting base numbers?

              fja's avatar - gnome1

              United States
              Member #91
              January 19, 2002
              11924 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: December 13, 2008, 9:13 am - IP Logged
              2-04-10-37-38+42
              02-09-11-43-55+24
              02-12-36-50-53+25
              02-27-35-40-54+22
              02-33-34-39-47+32
              04-05-27-33-53+11
              04-08-12-43-47+26
              04-09-20-36-54+13
              04-11-26-39-40+07
              04-34-35-50-55+39
              05-09-35-37-47+37
              05-12-38-40-55+16
              08-09-34-40-53+23
              08-10-33-54-55+18
              08-11-27-37-50+40
              09-26-33-38-50+21
              10-26-35-43-53+03
              11-12-20-33-35+45
              11-38-47-53-54+35
              12-26-34-37-54+27

               

               

                20-linesplayedplayed  best 
                date  25-wb's20-mb's  combo
                27-Sep210+1
                30-Sep101+0
                3-Oct000+0
                7-Oct201+0
                10-Oct201+0
                14-OctDNPDNPDNP
                17-OctDNPDNPDNP
                21-Oct010+1
                24-Oct302+0
                28-Oct413+0/1+1
                31-Oct111+1
                4-Nov410+1
                7-Nov210+1
                11-Nov101+0
                14-Nov301+0
                18-Nov111+1
                21-Nov402+0
                25-Nov402+0
                28-Nov010+1
                2-Dec101+0
                5-Dec101+0
                9-Dec310+1
                12-Dec210+1

              "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

                Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
                CT
                United States
                Member #61398
                May 21, 2008
                781 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: December 13, 2008, 2:49 pm - IP Logged

                Result: 10-16-19-27-48 +25

                1. 01-05-22-40-46 +22
                2. 04-16-31-46-52 +24
                3. 05-15-25-39-48 +25
                4. 06-07-19-39-45 +7
                5. 06-21-25-29-42 +2
                6. 07-08-23-36-53 +11
                7. 07-29-34-37-38 +4
                8. 08-10-32-39-42 +26
                9. 08-18-19-38-44 +30
                10. 09-16-23-27-40 +17
                11. 09-20-24-36-52 +36
                12. 09-24-34-42-46 +37
                13. 10-25-31-37-44 +5
                14. 12-15-23-32-34 +32
                15. 13-14-31-45-52 +29
                16. 13-14-36-40-45 +38
                17. 13-16-19-30-49 +39
                18. 13-20-32-46-53 +21
                19. 18-27-30-36-46 +33
                20. 18-29-31-32-54 +15

                Picked all 5 WB's in my pool of 45 Followers w/Siblings, and picked up the MB as the top 3rd 'Due' ball.  Best was a 1+1, with a few 2+0's.

                  Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
                  CT
                  United States
                  Member #61398
                  May 21, 2008
                  781 Posts
                  Offline
                  Posted: December 13, 2008, 2:56 pm - IP Logged

                  For Tuesday 12/16

                  WB's = Followers w/Siblings, MB's = 'Due'.  Key WB Follower = #51

                  1. 01-04-21-38-48 +22
                  2. 01-09-25-31-53 +7
                  3. 01-15-22-39-44 +24
                  4. 04-13-34-42-44 +2
                  5. 04-24-35-46-50 +26
                  6. 05-06-26-39-56 +30
                  7. 06-22-32-33-38 +4
                  8. 07-20-39-50-53 +11
                  9. 07-28-35-42-43 +17
                  10. 08-26-31-44-50 +36
                  11. 09-16-20-28-46 +37
                  12. 10-26-33-48-53 +32
                  13. 12-13-24-41-54 +5
                  14. 12-17-38-40-51 +39
                  15. 12-18-21-32-42 +38
                  16. 13-14-33-39-46 +29
                  17. 14-19-21-24-43 +21
                  18. 14-25-40-44-48 +33
                  19. 16-17-34-41-43 +15
                  20. 16-25-32-50-55 +35

                    LottoL's avatar - techno eye.jpg
                    Texas
                    United States
                    Member #33719
                    February 24, 2006
                    705 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: December 13, 2008, 11:29 pm - IP Logged

                    ok three numbers out of 30 -- not good at all -

                    I need a better selection process for the base numbers.....

                    As always - no Mega Balls!

                    Any suggestions for getting base numbers?

                    =============================================

                     

                    For MM Friday Draws, try using numbers which were last drawn on a Tuesday.
                    For MM Tuesday Draws, try using numbers which were last drawn on a Friday.

                    (Or Vice Versa)

                    This didn't work to well in the last big drawing as only 1 number was selected
                    with the criteria used above.  However, leading up to the big draw 3 to 4 numbers
                    would be selected using said criteria.  It's not perfect but it's a really good start to
                    narrow down your numbers.  I track this at my website (track the green numbers for
                    the next draw). 

                     

                    Best of Luck!
                    LottoL

                      Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
                      CT
                      United States
                      Member #61398
                      May 21, 2008
                      781 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: December 14, 2008, 12:46 am - IP Logged

                      ok three numbers out of 30 -- not good at all -

                      I need a better selection process for the base numbers.....

                      As always - no Mega Balls!

                      Any suggestions for getting base numbers?

                      =============================================

                       

                      For MM Friday Draws, try using numbers which were last drawn on a Tuesday.
                      For MM Tuesday Draws, try using numbers which were last drawn on a Friday.

                      (Or Vice Versa)

                      This didn't work to well in the last big drawing as only 1 number was selected
                      with the criteria used above.  However, leading up to the big draw 3 to 4 numbers
                      would be selected using said criteria.  It's not perfect but it's a really good start to
                      narrow down your numbers.  I track this at my website (track the green numbers for
                      the next draw). 

                       

                      Best of Luck!
                      LottoL

                      3 numbers out of 30 isn't that bad.  30 numbers is 53.57% of the possible picks, so you would expect on average to get 53.37% of the numbers selected from your group, or 2.68 numbers (average).  If you hit 3 numbers every draw (out of 30) you would be ahead of the average.

                      Here are some alrogithms which aren't overly complicated and how they do over a long period of time.  Back testing is done with the last 353 Mega Millions draws with 30 picks for each draw:

                      Alrogithm % hits 3 or better  -  % hits all 5

                      Due                             -  55.8%  -  4.81%
                      Followers                   -  54.9%  -  2.54%
                      Followers w/Siblings  -  47.3%  -  2.83%
                      Most Frequent           -  60.3%3.39%
                      Least Frequent          -  53.2%  -  2.54%
                      Longest Since            -  59.2%  -  3.39%

                        LottoL's avatar - techno eye.jpg
                        Texas
                        United States
                        Member #33719
                        February 24, 2006
                        705 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: December 14, 2008, 4:48 am - IP Logged

                        ok three numbers out of 30 -- not good at all -

                        I need a better selection process for the base numbers.....

                        As always - no Mega Balls!

                        Any suggestions for getting base numbers?

                        =============================================

                         

                        For MM Friday Draws, try using numbers which were last drawn on a Tuesday.
                        For MM Tuesday Draws, try using numbers which were last drawn on a Friday.

                        (Or Vice Versa)

                        This didn't work to well in the last big drawing as only 1 number was selected
                        with the criteria used above.  However, leading up to the big draw 3 to 4 numbers
                        would be selected using said criteria.  It's not perfect but it's a really good start to
                        narrow down your numbers.  I track this at my website (track the green numbers for
                        the next draw). 

                         

                        Best of Luck!
                        LottoL

                        TO NARROW YOUR SELECTION EVEN FURTHER,

                        1.  After compiling the GREEN numbers mentioned above,

                        Go To my NUMBERS AS DRAWN chart at

                        and cross reference the GREEN numbers with the numbers for Drawn Position
                        1,2,3,4,and 5 referenced on my site as TOT01, TOT02, TOT03, TOT04, TOT05.

                        Try to figure out which number position is going to hit in the next draw (hard part),
                        but don't select more than two, possibly three numbers from a given
                        position - be it position 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5.  (Now that I posted this, it's
                        probably going to change).

                         

                        Best Of Luck,
                        LottoL

                          Avatar
                          New Member
                          Sydney
                          Australia
                          Member #66273
                          October 21, 2008
                          11 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: December 14, 2008, 8:41 am - IP Logged

                          My current strategy:

                          Hit 1-3 times last 7 draws

                          or

                          Skip > skip limit and last skip <= 10

                          where

                          Skip = number of weeks since last drawn

                          Last Skip = number of weeks between last drawn and previously drawn before that.

                          Skip Limit = average skip + 0.8 * standard deviation

                          Back tested over last 56 draws of 5/45 Australian Powerball

                          average hit = 3.27

                          average pool size = 29.15 (min 24 max 36)

                          3 or better = 76.8 %

                          all 5 = 12.5 % (pool sizes were 32,27,35,35,31,30,26)

                          average percentage versus random play = 101% Unhappy

                          Amanda

                            rcbbuckeye's avatar - Lottery-043.jpg
                            Texas
                            United States
                            Member #55889
                            October 23, 2007
                            5588 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: December 14, 2008, 9:35 am - IP Logged

                            ok three numbers out of 30 -- not good at all -

                            I need a better selection process for the base numbers.....

                            As always - no Mega Balls!

                            Any suggestions for getting base numbers?

                            =============================================

                             

                            For MM Friday Draws, try using numbers which were last drawn on a Tuesday.
                            For MM Tuesday Draws, try using numbers which were last drawn on a Friday.

                            (Or Vice Versa)

                            This didn't work to well in the last big drawing as only 1 number was selected
                            with the criteria used above.  However, leading up to the big draw 3 to 4 numbers
                            would be selected using said criteria.  It's not perfect but it's a really good start to
                            narrow down your numbers.  I track this at my website (track the green numbers for
                            the next draw). 

                             

                            Best of Luck!
                            LottoL

                            I am impressed with your chart. I track numbers by decade in each position (1-2-3-4-5) but until looking at your chart it never occurred to me that certain numbers play more often on Tuesdays or Fridays.

                            This is the kind of stuff that I like to see on LP, because there are smarter people out there than me that can think this stuff up to help cut the odds a little more.

                            Thanks for your input and good luck.

                            rcb

                              LottoL's avatar - techno eye.jpg
                              Texas
                              United States
                              Member #33719
                              February 24, 2006
                              705 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: December 14, 2008, 9:37 am - IP Logged

                              TO NARROW YOUR SELECTION EVEN FURTHER,

                              1.  After compiling the GREEN numbers mentioned above,

                              Go To my NUMBERS AS DRAWN chart at

                              and cross reference the GREEN numbers with the numbers for Drawn Position
                              1,2,3,4,and 5 referenced on my site as TOT01, TOT02, TOT03, TOT04, TOT05.

                              Try to figure out which number position is going to hit in the next draw (hard part),
                              but don't select more than two, possibly three numbers from a given
                              position - be it position 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5.  (Now that I posted this, it's
                              probably going to change).

                               

                              Best Of Luck,
                              LottoL

                              Just some notes on the AS DRAWN CHART that I haven't posted on my website.

                              This chart is broken down into the following tiers:

                              For the Tue, 12/16 draw, it comes out as follows:

                              TIER1 ( 5 numbers) = Repeat Number Possibilities
                              TIER2 (19 numbers) = Numbers Out 1 - 6 draws
                              TIER3 (18 numbers) = Numbers Out 7 - 14 draws
                              TIER4 ( 7 numbers) = Numbers Out 15 - 23 draws
                              TIER5 ( 3 numbers) = Numbers Out 24 - 33 draws
                              TIER6 ( 4 numbers) - Numbers Out over 34 draws

                              Since most numbers reside in TIERS 1, 2, and 3;
                              generally speaking, these TIERS will get hit just
                              about every draw.  These would be considered,
                              the hot numbers, if you will.

                              TIERS 4,5,6 would be considered the cooler numbers.

                              Generally speaking,  MM numbers are a combination
                              of TIERS 1,2,3 AND TIERS 4,5,6.

                              Therefore, as TIERS 1,2,3 shrink in size, you would
                              want to give more weight to the numbers in TIERS 4,5,6
                              and vice versa.

                              Best Of Luck,

                              LottoL

                                 
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