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Powerball 28 The Most overdue Red Ball

Topic closed. 225 replies. Last post 5 years ago by kapla.

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JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
The Quantum Master
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Posted: June 14, 2011, 5:03 pm - IP Logged

How did you figure Red PB 28 had a 99.4% chance of hitting having never hit in the 254 drawings since the matrix changed  and  Yellow MM 28 has a 99.3% of hitting even though it has hit twice in the last 254 MM drawings.

It's based on Distribution Lag.

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    MADDOG10's avatar - smoke
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    Posted: June 14, 2011, 5:14 pm - IP Logged

    It's based on Distribution Lag.

    Can't see it.  Distribution lag as you say has no logic in randomness.

                                                 

                                                   "  When Injustice Becomes Law, Resistance Becomes Duty "

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      The Quantum Master
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      Posted: June 14, 2011, 5:26 pm - IP Logged

      Can't see it.  Distribution lag as you say has no logic in randomness.

      ok, let me get the equations, tables and charts ready.

      Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
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      Use at your own risk.

      Order is a Subset of Chaos
      Knowledge is Beyond Belief
      Wisdom is Not Censored
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        JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
        The Quantum Master
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        Posted: June 14, 2011, 5:48 pm - IP Logged

        First, let's do a little setup so we are all on the same page.

        We will be talking about the Red Powerball only.

        This can apply to the Yellow Mega Ball with a little change in some variables.

        The Pick 5 parts of each, the Powerball and Mega Millions are not included.

        (Mega = Million, so it's a Million Millions, or Trillions. oops, hiden side thought.)

        What we are dealing with is an Equiprobable Selection, meaning each selection has the same probability of being chosen.

        In this case, 1 out of 39 or 1 / 39th for each Red Powerball.

        When numbers are selected, each of the numbers can be given a hit frequency.

        At this current number of draws, for this version of the Powerball, there are a total of 254 Red Powerball as of 2011-06-14.

        From the Lottery Post and alternate site USA Mega, the frequency of the Red Powerball selection are as follows:

        Powerball
        Sorted by Times Drawn

        #Times
        Drawn
        % of
        Drawings
        Last
        Drawn
        23145.51%5/25/2011
        15124.72%5/7/2011
        21114.33%6/4/2011
        27114.33%4/20/2011
        30114.33%2/9/2011
        0593.54%4/27/2011
        1193.54%5/28/2011
        3793.54%3/30/2011
        0483.14%11/24/2010
        0683.14%3/2/2011
        0983.14%3/23/2011
        2083.14%9/8/2010
        2483.14%5/4/2011
        2983.14%6/8/2011
        0872.75%6/11/2011
        2572.75%10/2/2010
        3172.75%6/1/2011
        3672.75%5/21/2011
        3972.75%4/13/2011
        0262.36%1/29/2011
        0762.36%4/16/2011
        1062.36%2/26/2011
        1962.36%4/23/2011
        3362.36%11/6/2010
        1251.96%12/22/2010
        1651.96%5/18/2011
        1751.96%10/20/2010
        2251.96%12/4/2010
        3451.96%10/23/2010
        0141.57%11/20/2010
        0341.57%4/30/2011
        1441.57%12/18/2010
        2641.57%8/21/2010
        3841.57%9/4/2010
        1331.18%9/18/2010
        1831.18%12/15/2010
        3231.18%1/19/2011
        3510.39%10/9/2010
        2800%-

        The 'Times Drawn' is the frequency of that ball's selection for the 254 samples drawn in the Powerball to date.

        From this we can create a another distribution based on the frequency of each ball and that is where the Distribution Lag comes in.

        Continues...

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          JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
          The Quantum Master
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          Posted: June 14, 2011, 6:08 pm - IP Logged

          Using the previous table we can make a new table that shows the distribution of 'Times Drawn' or 'Hit Frequency' for each of the balls, see below.

          Hit FrequencyNumber of Balls in a given Hit Frequency
          01
          11
          20
          33
          45
          55
          65
          75
          86
          93
          100
          113
          121
          130
          141
          150
          160
          170
          180
          190


          The following shows the graph of the table.

          Continues...

          Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
          Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
          Use at your own risk.

          Order is a Subset of Chaos
          Knowledge is Beyond Belief
          Wisdom is Not Censored
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          Jehocifer

            MADDOG10's avatar - smoke
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            Posted: June 14, 2011, 6:26 pm - IP Logged

            Using the previous table we can make a new table that shows the distribution of 'Times Drawn' or 'Hit Frequency' for each of the balls, see below.

            Hit FrequencyNumber of Balls in a given Hit Frequency
            01
            11
            20
            33
            45
            55
            65
            75
            86
            93
            100
            113
            121
            130
            141
            150
            160
            170
            180
            190


            The following shows the graph of the table.

            Continues...

            Yes Jade,

                 There is logic in your charts, and per say the logic only pertains to the number out the longest. Or others that haven't been drawn in a while.  What I'm trying to say, is that there are too many variables for any logic to prevail when the Red or Yellow ball is drawn.

                  When it does get drawn people are going to say, see I told you so, without them contemplating any logic while they're saying " I Knew it...! ".   To me, percentages  or frequency is moot went they are put up against variables..!

                                                         

                                                           "  When Injustice Becomes Law, Resistance Becomes Duty "

              JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
              The Quantum Master
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              Posted: June 14, 2011, 6:37 pm - IP Logged

              The graph follows a very well know equation.

              We have found a relationship between  and that transforms the equtaion into a Selection Probability (P) and Sample Size (S) based equation.

              Continues...

              Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
              Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
              Use at your own risk.

              Order is a Subset of Chaos
              Knowledge is Beyond Belief
              Wisdom is Not Censored
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              Jehocifer

                JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                The Quantum Master
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                Posted: June 14, 2011, 6:58 pm - IP Logged

                P is the Probabaility of Selection, in this case 1 / 39.

                S is the Sample Size, in this case 255 for the next draw.

                The value of is equal to the product of P x S, .

                 

                The value of is equal to the square root of , .

                now becomes, for the final equation as follows.

                 

                This is where the Distribution Lag occurrs due to the S - Sample Size changing.

                It's the result of the curve moving out from the 0 Hits Frequency.

                y is the number of balls in a given x hit frequency.

                Continues...

                Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                Use at your own risk.

                Order is a Subset of Chaos
                Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                Wisdom is Not Censored
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                Jehocifer

                  JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                  The Quantum Master
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                  Posted: June 14, 2011, 7:09 pm - IP Logged

                  When we apply the equation we can see how the theoretical values for 254 draws fits to the Actual samples.

                  Continues...

                  Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                  Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                  Use at your own risk.

                  Order is a Subset of Chaos
                  Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                  Wisdom is Not Censored
                  Douglas Paul Smallish
                  Jehocifer

                    RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
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                    Posted: June 14, 2011, 7:12 pm - IP Logged

                    The graph follows a very well know equation.

                    We have found a relationship between  and that transforms the equtaion into a Selection Probability (P) and Sample Size (S) based equation.

                    Continues...

                    Even if that equation is well known to people who work with such, it means nothing to the average lottery player.  Assuming you are using it because it has worked in the past more than it has not then could you show a couple of times that it predicted the red ball correctly.

                    Using some common logic that included just basic math and observations I predict the most likely red ball in Wednesday drawing is 21.  From the most repeated position chart 21 is second and from the most hits chart 21 is third.

                     * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                       
                                 Evil Looking       

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                      The Quantum Master
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                      Posted: June 14, 2011, 7:31 pm - IP Logged

                      Using the eqution for a few sample sizes we can see how the distribution moves out away from the 0 Hit Frequency.

                      As there are more samples (Draws) being done, the 0 Hit Frequency Probability gets smaller and smaller.

                      What it's saying is that if a ball is not drawn as the samples increases and the cruve moves out from the 0 Hit Frequency, that ball is then Lagging behind the Normal Distribution for that sample size.

                      The Probability that 0 Hit Frequeny ball remaining there gets smaller and smaller, or in other words it's probability of being drawn increases so it can move along with the curve.

                      You can find the Probability it will Hit by subtracting the y value for that 0 Hit Frequency from 1, then multiply by 100%.

                      The End.

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                      Use at your own risk.

                      Order is a Subset of Chaos
                      Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                      Wisdom is Not Censored
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                        JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                        The Quantum Master
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                        Posted: June 14, 2011, 8:16 pm - IP Logged

                        When we apply the equation we can see how the theoretical values for 254 draws fits to the Actual samples.

                        Continues...

                        Oh, fogot to post the table for this graph.

                        Hit FrequencyNumber of Balls in a given Hit FrequencyTheoretical Hit FrequencyNormal Probability
                        0100.006023
                        1110.015161
                        2010.032735
                        3320.060617
                        4540.096272
                        5550.131135
                        6560.153199
                        7560.153501
                        8650.131912
                        9340.097224
                        10020.061458
                        11310.033320
                        12110.015493
                        13000.006179
                        14100.002113
                        15000.000620
                        16000.000156
                        17000.000034
                        18000.000006
                        19000.000001

                        Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                        Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                        Use at your own risk.

                        Order is a Subset of Chaos
                        Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                        Wisdom is Not Censored
                        Douglas Paul Smallish
                        Jehocifer

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                          The Quantum Master
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                          Posted: June 14, 2011, 8:37 pm - IP Logged

                          So, how does this relate to Hot, Cold, and Due numbers.

                          Hot numbers are those that move faster than the Distribution movement or have Distribution Lead.

                          Cold numbers are those that were following or leading the Distribution movement or have Distribution Linger.

                          Due numbers are those that are falling behind the Distribution movement or have Distribution Lag.

                          Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                          Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                          Use at your own risk.

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                          Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                          Wisdom is Not Censored
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                            LottoL's avatar - techno eye.jpg
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                            Posted: June 15, 2011, 6:16 am - IP Logged

                            So, how does this relate to Hot, Cold, and Due numbers.

                            Hot numbers are those that move faster than the Distribution movement or have Distribution Lead.

                            Cold numbers are those that were following or leading the Distribution movement or have Distribution Linger.

                            Due numbers are those that are falling behind the Distribution movement or have Distribution Lag.

                            Nice charts JADELottery!

                             

                            Just curious.  Do you think there is any correlation between white ball 28 and red ball 28?

                            In the last couple of Powerball drawings, last digit #8 seems to be occurring more frequently.

                            In my analysis, a number you are expecting as a PB will show up as a white ball first.

                            For Example,

                            06/11/2011 16 18 27 36 50         PB = 08   
                            06/08/2011 14 37 44 45 53         PB = 29     
                            06/04/2011 17 19 39 41 58         PB = 21   
                            06/01/2011 08 18 38 46 56         PB = 31 

                             

                            Do you think number 28 will show up as a white ball first? 
                            Or perhaps 28 will get hit as a white ball and a powerball together.

                             

                            Best Of Luck!

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                              The Quantum Master
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                              Posted: June 15, 2011, 12:17 pm - IP Logged

                              Nice charts JADELottery!

                               

                              Just curious.  Do you think there is any correlation between white ball 28 and red ball 28?

                              In the last couple of Powerball drawings, last digit #8 seems to be occurring more frequently.

                              In my analysis, a number you are expecting as a PB will show up as a white ball first.

                              For Example,

                              06/11/2011 16 18 27 36 50         PB = 08   
                              06/08/2011 14 37 44 45 53         PB = 29     
                              06/04/2011 17 19 39 41 58         PB = 21   
                              06/01/2011 08 18 38 46 56         PB = 31 

                               

                              Do you think number 28 will show up as a white ball first? 
                              Or perhaps 28 will get hit as a white ball and a powerball together.

                               

                              Best Of Luck!

                              Depends on the sample size you are looking at.

                              If this is a small sample size, then the confidence in your correlation is pretty low.

                              If it's a large sample size, then the confidence in the correlation is relatively high.

                              However, correlation is only facet of many observation and analysis than can be used to show relationships.

                              Also, this posting we made is just one facet of a mathematical gem that can show the inner beauty of Chaos.

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                              Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                              Use at your own risk.

                              Order is a Subset of Chaos
                              Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                              Wisdom is Not Censored
                              Douglas Paul Smallish
                              Jehocifer

                                 
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