How did you figure Red PB 28 had a 99.4% chance of hitting having never hit in the 254 drawings since the matrix changed and Yellow MM 28 has a 99.3% of hitting even though it has hit twice in the last 254 MM drawings.

It's based on Distribution Lag.

Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only. Any gain or loss is your responsibility. Use at your own risk.

Order is a Subset of Chaos Knowledge is Beyond Belief Wisdom is Not Censored Douglas Paul Smallish Jehocifer

Beautiful Florida United States Member #5709 July 18, 2004 20110 Posts Offline

Posted: June 14, 2011, 6:26 pm - IP Logged

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on June 14, 2011

Using the previous table we can make a new table that shows the distribution of 'Times Drawn' or 'Hit Frequency' for each of the balls, see below.

Hit Frequency

Number of Balls in a given Hit Frequency

0

1

1

1

2

0

3

3

4

5

5

5

6

5

7

5

8

6

9

3

10

0

11

3

12

1

13

0

14

1

15

0

16

0

17

0

18

0

19

0

The following shows the graph of the table.

Continues...

Yes Jade,

There is logic in your charts, and per say the logic only pertains to the number out the longest. Or others that haven't been drawn in a while. What I'm trying to say, is that there are too many variables for any logic to prevail when the Red or Yellow ball is drawn.

When it does get drawn people are going to say, see I told you so, without them contemplating any logic while they're saying " I Knew it...! ". To me, percentages or frequency is moot went they are put up against variables..!

" When Injustice Becomes Law, Resistance Becomes Duty "

mid-Ohio United States Member #9 March 24, 2001 19825 Posts Offline

Posted: June 14, 2011, 7:12 pm - IP Logged

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on June 14, 2011

The graph follows a very well know equation.

We have found a relationship between and that transforms the equtaion into a Selection Probability (P) and Sample Size (S) based equation.

Continues...

Even if that equation is well known to people who work with such, it means nothing to the average lottery player. Assuming you are using it because it has worked in the past more than it has not then could you show a couple of times that it predicted the red ball correctly.

Using some common logic that included just basic math and observations I predict the most likely red ball in Wednesday drawing is 21. From the most repeated position chart 21 is second and from the most hits chart 21 is third.

* you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket *

West Concord, MN United States Member #21 December 7, 2001 3675 Posts Offline

Posted: June 14, 2011, 7:31 pm - IP Logged

Using the eqution for a few sample sizes we can see how the distribution moves out away from the 0 Hit Frequency.

As there are more samples (Draws) being done, the 0 Hit Frequency Probability gets smaller and smaller.

What it's saying is that if a ball is not drawn as the samples increases and the cruve moves out from the 0 Hit Frequency, that ball is then Lagging behind the Normal Distribution for that sample size.

The Probability that 0 Hit Frequeny ball remaining there gets smaller and smaller, or in other words it's probability of being drawn increases so it can move along with the curve.

You can find the Probability it will Hit by subtracting the y value for that 0 Hit Frequency from 1, then multiply by 100%.

The End.

Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only. Any gain or loss is your responsibility. Use at your own risk.

Order is a Subset of Chaos Knowledge is Beyond Belief Wisdom is Not Censored Douglas Paul Smallish Jehocifer