Last nite was this year's 200th drawing, so 1,000 balls have been drawn year to date. 1,000 balls having popped out of the drum makes for easy math, so I thought I post the following;
With 37 hits (the most hits this year of any number) #39 has been drawn 3.7% of the time. There are 166 drawings (830 balls) left this year, so if #39 kept up it's current pace, it would hit 31 more times and have a total of 68 hits for the year. I can see it easily hitting 60, 61, or 62 times in 2016, but not 68.
In second place is #31 with 33 hits this year. So it's been hitting at a rate of 3.3%. That says in the next 166 draws, if it continues to hit 3.3% of the time, it could finish the year with another 27 hits, which would make for 60 hits on the year. That's very do-able. Same thing applies for #35 which has 32 hits on the year.
Any number that is drawn 3 percent of the time will be drawn 55 times in any given year. That's 7 hits higher than the average/expected number of hits of 48 per year. So my thinking is that as of today, #'s 39, 31, and 35 have the best shot at 60 hits in 2016.
On the other end of the spectrum, there's #21 with it's 13 hits this year. In order for it to get to 60 hits, it'd have to hit at a rate of 5.6%. (it needs 47 more hits with 830 balls left to be drawn in 2016) Not happening! It's impossible for it to get that hot.
So what is there to make out of all this?? Play #39, 31 & 35 a high percentage of the time and you'll probably get a lot of FP's, and maybe even win a few more 3 out of 5's than you typically do! G5