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Quote: Originally posted by LottoBoner on Mar 3, 2013
This looks really great RJ. I had a decent month last month and this is only going to motivate me.
I am coming after you. Enjoy your time at the top of the list, because I am about to surpass you. ( Give or take a month)
I love the way Jimmy talks like he knows when his lifetime prize ratio belongs in a land fill.
The proof is in the statistics. Good work RJ! You must be using that pirated A+ GH program to its full advantage!
BTW, GH is having a 30th anniversary sweepstakes giveaway! So any interested parties can check out smart luck dot com!
LottoBoner,
Yeah, RJOh sure knows when to "Take the money and run." It's amazing the boost your stats get when you have a $5000 hit in one month with an $80 outlay. Now, if RJOh is smart, he'll stop posting for the rest of the year. That way, his 2013 stats will offset his 2012 results, which are right in line with what most people experience.
When we were discussing how a 4800 combo 4if4 of 28 number wheel would need to match all five numbers once out of every 7 drawings to show a small profit, I never thought about the Megaplier option. Because that prize is $1 million, an average of one hit out of 14 drawings or about 3 out of 39 should show a profit too.
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Quote: Originally posted by Stack47 on Mar 4, 2013
When we were discussing how a 4800 combo 4if4 of 28 number wheel would need to match all five numbers once out of every 7 drawings to show a small profit, I never thought about the Megaplier option. Because that prize is $1 million, an average of one hit out of 14 drawings or about 3 out of 39 should show a profit too.
RJOh showed a chart that had stats for hitting 5 of 5 using recently drawn numbers. I remember that 35 numbers were hitting about 10% of the time with "skips" in the list where 20 or so draws would go by without a hit. If timing was good if seems 28 of the past 35 could be played toward the end of a 20 draw "skip"
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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Mar 4, 2013
LottoBoner,
Yeah, RJOh sure knows when to "Take the money and run." It's amazing the boost your stats get when you have a $5000 hit in one month with an $80 outlay. Now, if RJOh is smart, he'll stop posting for the rest of the year. That way, his 2013 stats will offset his 2012 results, which are right in line with what most people experience.
Yeah, RJOh sure knows when to "Take the money and run." It's amazing the boost your stats get when you have a $5000 hit in one month with an $80 outlay. Now, if RJOh is smart, he'll stop posting for the rest of the year.
To be rated on the prediction board you has to posted predictions in the previous six months. Some have accused me of only posting 10 lines per game to rig the results and now you try to say there's something shady about matching 5of6 in 8 drawings playing only 10 lines.
My only reason for posting those results were to show you that winning back 25% of the money spent on a pick6 game isn't unusual. The ratings on the prediction board are calculated automatically and can't be rigged by smart playing.
I've been posting predictions ever since the board was created and been in the top twenty most of that time and I have no plans to stop.
* you don't need to buy every combination, just the winning ones *
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Quote: Originally posted by RJOh on Mar 4, 2013
Yeah, RJOh sure knows when to "Take the money and run." It's amazing the boost your stats get when you have a $5000 hit in one month with an $80 outlay. Now, if RJOh is smart, he'll stop posting for the rest of the year.
To be rated on the prediction board you has to posted predictions in the previous six months. Some have accused me of only posting 10 lines per game to rig the results and now you try to say there's something shady about matching 5of6 in 8 drawings playing only 10 lines.
My only reason for posting those results were to show you that winning back 25% of the money spent on a pick6 game isn't unusual. The ratings on the prediction board are calculated automatically and can't be rigged by smart playing.
I've been posting predictions ever since the board was created and been in the top twenty most of that time and I have no plans to stop.
RJOh,
If you reread my post carefully, I think you will see that you were not accused of rigging anything. I know how the stats are compiled at LP. I said, "if RJOh is smart," somewhat playfully hinting that if you stopped posting now, your high prize ratio would hold for the rest of the year. It's an easy way that some people use to document support for their arguments that "skill" can help you win. If you spend some time looking at the stats of people who post their maximum allotment over at least 3 months, you will see that the most common Prize Ratio is in the vicinity of 48-52%. Scores above 100% can usually be traced to a few (often only 1) lucky plays, like your $5000 hit in a Pick-6. You'll have to admit, you don't post a lot of picks, not nearly enough to support any claims for a "long term" edge. You do better than average.
During the year that I followed and compiled the results of MadDog's Powerball Challenge, one notable person scored a big hit early on, and then never posted again. Their Prize Ratio for that year [in the Challenge] looks great. Their PR on the LP boards last year with around $500K Picks, was 35%. They haven't predicted this year. You can assess this behaviour however you wish.
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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Mar 4, 2013
RJOh,
If you reread my post carefully, I think you will see that you were not accused of rigging anything. I know how the stats are compiled at LP. I said, "if RJOh is smart," somewhat playfully hinting that if you stopped posting now, your high prize ratio would hold for the rest of the year. It's an easy way that some people use to document support for their arguments that "skill" can help you win. If you spend some time looking at the stats of people who post their maximum allotment over at least 3 months, you will see that the most common Prize Ratio is in the vicinity of 48-52%. Scores above 100% can usually be traced to a few (often only 1) lucky plays, like your $5000 hit in a Pick-6. You'll have to admit, you don't post a lot of picks, not nearly enough to support any claims for a "long term" edge. You do better than average.
During the year that I followed and compiled the results of MadDog's Powerball Challenge, one notable person scored a big hit early on, and then never posted again. Their Prize Ratio for that year [in the Challenge] looks great. Their PR on the LP boards last year with around $500K Picks, was 35%. They haven't predicted this year. You can assess this behaviour however you wish.