I believe I made a mistake by reducing the odds to the lowest common denominator when the true odds are much higher. It's really doing "Harry Potter math" by pretending many of the chances against winning magically don't exist. The odds against matching three numbers are 306 to 1 so the usual approach is to divide 306 by the number of tickets played. In this example it would be 306 divided by 46 or 6.65 to 1. Odds should be expressed as chances to lose compared to chances to win so the odds might be expressed as 260 divided by 46 or 5.65 to 1. By doing that we're pretending over 250 of those combos don't exist.
We did the same thing with the 28 number groups saying the odds were 39 to 1. A group of 28 numbers has 98,280 combos but only one of those combos can match the drawing so we can't divide 3,904,701 by 98,280. There is an accumulative value because each of those combos reduces the chances against, but only by one for each combo. The true odds of a group of 28 numbers is 3,806,421 to 1.
The odds of 46 QPs having a five number match is usually done by division too making over 3 million combos against winning magically disappear. If any 46 combos have 46 different lines, only one of those combos can match the drawing, the odds are always "to 1" and the true odds are determined by subtracting 46 from 3,904,701 or 3,904,655 to 1. Thrifty tried to point that out months ago but explained it wrong.
To get a three number match, you must match any one of three numbers but only one so the odds against are 51 to 1 but still slightly better than 60 to 1.
A couple of years ago we had a similar contest of 46 QPs against the 46 combo wheel which proved absolutely nothing because they used the LP RNG and not the real lottery terminal generated QPs. They were trying to prove why QPs were better than self picks based on the 70% to 80% PB stats by using 46 combos that would be self picks if they were played.
They even cheated by using all 46 bonus numbers. I have ten real QPs with two sets of multiple bonus numbers. A player would have to buy 75 QPs before they could expect to get all 46 bonus numbers. There is a good possibility 46 QPs could have all 56 numbers but there is no guarantee. The odds of four or five number matches are slightly lower using the wheel because of the guaranteed two number match too.