AllenB's Blog

Perhaps I have not explained the concept well enough.  Maybe the whole ideas is overwhelming.  Maybe it looks like to much work.  I guess I have answered my question of why no one has contacted me and shown interest in Giving it a closer, hands on Look.

I'll keep the offer open for a few more days.  After that, Who Knows?

Here is an example of the Data from which to make a Guess for the Straight Block, TR Value and Structure Number Filters

I've been silent for a while working away in the Shop making and modifying "Sniper" Tools.

I currently have 2 Models that I am Testing. 

1. Pick 3 Sniper Model 2
2. Pick 4 Sniper Model 1

The First question is  How am I going to Test then?  Alone? with Others?  I have been testing them alone.  I am also enlisting some help.  Guesswork has been a big help in getting to this point and hopefully will be one my Other Testers.  I have not decided on the Actual Testing Procedure yet.  The current Pick 3 and 4 Models are all very large files that also rely on Winsum's Files for Links.  That makes for some huge files and slow computing on the Pick 4 File in particular.  File sizes are large because the current models Create a lot of Data from the active formulas.  I am switching now to a File that just does the Filter matches without the background data and statistically driven selection process.  The Slimmed down version will be supplemented with a Text File containing the background Data and Statistics.  Pick 4 Model 2, will be the first available.

The Second question is Who are the others?  What background(s) would make for the Best.  Hard to know at this Point. 

Previous Blog entries and a few of my posts have broadly described the evolving processes for the 539 and Pick 3 Games. 

The Pick 4 Model description is also applicable to Pick 3.  The List Below contains Single Filters (1 Filter match only)1-8, Double Filters (2 Filter matches) 9-11 and Triple Filters (3 filter matches) 12-13.  The current focus is on Filter 13.  The Goal is a correct Selection of the St8 Block, Type and Repeat (TR) and Structure for the Draw.  The Supporting Data includes Statistics and Graphs of Same over anywhere from 50 to 1000 Games. (50 used because it fits the Window only). 

Filter_Sequence
1	_Str8_Block_All_Hits
2	_Str8_ Block_Rounds 1_8
3	_Str8_Block_This_Round
4	_TROEHL
5	_T
6	_R
7	_TR
8	_Str
9	_TROEHL_Str
10	_T_Str
11	_R_Str
12	_TR_Str
13	_Str8_Block_All_Hits_TR_Str
14	_Str8_ Block_Rounds 1_8_TR_Str
15	_Str8_Block_This_Round_TR_Str

Back to the Question of Background for Testers.  It is quite possible that a strong background in Excel might be not be preferable.  Digging into the File (If unlocked) is not necessary from my point of view.  Evaluating the Organization and Steps would be useful (it's not perfect).  In the End Success could be based on one's ability look at the Graphs and Make a Selection based solely on feelings or with your own set of If/Thens.

So this is a preliminary call out to those that are interested.  The System can run any State Game that is listed on the Daily Games Tab on LP.  I do not want to overload myself so I am going to set the Number of Testers at 5 each running a single State.  Guesswork has the first spot so I will accept 4 more.  Initially, I will send you the Graphs and Data for your review.  I will also include a small file that you can use to Log your Selections or you can just tell me by email what your Selection are for the Filter Values and I will send you the Combinations.  When the Slimmed down version is complete, I will send that file to you so that you can produce your own sets.  The file will be locked with a few things hidden; but, after i get t know you and you are excel savvy I will unlock it for you.

Let me know by PM if you are interested

Allenb

Getting Back into Pick 3

Yesterdays First Triple was 1_6_9.  This First Triple hit for the 10th Time in All Games.  When Looking at the Graph of The First Triple Hits we see that a New First Triple hit occur about every 10 Draws.  That means that the List of Unit Triples posted yesterday should include a Draw Match in 3-4 Days.

Back to the Sniper

The Rifle has advanced into an Automatic Mode, Firing 5 Bullets simultaneously.  Game and Round Filters are set automatically to On for Runs and Off for Skips.  Block Filters are turned off so that all Numbers from a Running Game pass and those from a Skipping game are Wounded.  The Scope Lets you Select a Group from the Casualty Summary and a Block (001,002,003) for Each Bullet.  Tonight's Casualty Report is shown Bellow.

Casualty Summary
Wounded	30	2	3	4	5	6	8	9	10	12	13	14	15	16	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	28	29	30	33	35	36	37	38	39
Wounded Blocks		1	1	1	1	3	2	2	3	1	2	1	1	3	2	1	3	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	2	2
Rescued	13	1	3	6	8	9	11	24	26	27	28	29	32	35
Rescued Blocks		2	1	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	2	1
Dead	22	2	4	5	10	12	13	14	15	16	18	19	20	21	22	23	25	30	33	36	37	38	39
Dead Blocks		1	1	1	3	1	2	1	1	3	2	1	3	1	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	2	2
Survivors	17	1	3	6	7	8	9	11	17	24	26	27	28	29	31	32	34	35
Survivors Blocks		2	1	3	1	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	3	3	1	2	1	1
Rescued_Wounded	8	3	6	8	9	24	28	29	35
Rescued_Wounded Blocks		1	3	2	2	2	3	3	1
Rescued_UnHurt	5	1	11	26	27	32
Rescued_UnHurt Blocks		2	2	2	2	2
UNTOUCHED	4	7	17	31	34
UNTOUCHED Blocks		1	1	1	1

 

New Direction.  This is a Real Eliminator.

I will not be Playing the Ticket Again.  After Running Back 400 Games the Formula Produced a 3 Hit only 7 Times.  At $15 per That's a Whopping $104.  The Formula Produced a total of 1624 Combinations (Some Wheeled with matching Numbers and were eliminated from Play).  Net is a Negative $1591.

Formulas for Each Combinations are as Follows:

Combination 1.  8-9-12-14-32 Both Sides of the Twin With the Largest Skip paired with both Sides of the first Cousin (a Pair Separated by 1 digit) with the Largest Skip plus the Right Digit of the In-Out Pair with the Longest Skip.  This combination formed 105 times in 400 Games and produced a single 3 hit in 400 Games.

Combination 2.  13-14-28-34-36 Both Sides of the Twin With the Most Hits to date paired with both Sides of the First Cousin with the Most Hits, paired with the Right Side of the In-Out Pair with the Most Hits to date.  This Combination formed 400 times and produces a single 3 hit.

Combination 3.  8-9-13-17-32 Both Sides of the Twin with the Fewest Hits to date.  Turn out this is the Same Twin with the  Longest Skip) plus the Left Side of the In-Out Pair with the fewest hits to date plus the Right Side of In-Out Pair with the Longest Skip plus the Left Side of the Twin with the most hits to date.  This Combination formed 400 times and produced 2 hits of 3 in 400 Games. 

Combination 4.  8-12-13-32-34 The Left Side of the Twin with the Largest Skip plus the Left Side of the Twin with the Most Hits to Date plus the Left Side of the First Cousin with the Largest Skip plus the Left side of the first Cousin with the Most Hits plus the Left Side of the In-Out Pair with the Longest skip.  This Combination formed 317 times and produced 3 hits of 3. This is the Play with 3 Hits in last Nights Draw.

Combination 5.  8-9-12-13-32 The First 2 Numbers from Combination 3 plus the third Number from Combination 4 plus the 4th and 5th Numbers from Combination 3.  This Combination formed 351 times and had no 3 Hits.

The Combinations Varied over the 400 Games.  There were 7 Different Sets for Combination 1,  Interestingly there was only 1 Set for Combination 2.  There were 7 Sets for Combination 3.  There were 15 Sets for Combination 4 and 12 Sets for Combination 5.

This setup is a little bit of Gimmickry.  There is no Real Strategy in the Selections except weighing heavy on Long Skips.  This example tells me that Long Skips are Bad Selections with respect to the Pairs that were analyzed. 

I am realistic at the Basic Level.  I know that this Example is but a small slice of Fail.  After all there were only 5 out of 575757 Combinations per Game.(0.00086842%)  

The Net Result from 400 Games was 7 hits of 3 out of 1624 Plays.  That is a Success Rate of 0.00431% for a 3 Hit Result.  At 15$ per 3 hit multiplied by the Success Ratio 0.00431 = the Success Rate = 6.4%.  The Odds of hitting 1 Number is 2.56%  Odds of a Second hit are 2.63%  and of getting a Third is 2.70%.  Adding these Odds (just for kicks) equals 7.90%. 

I am not sure how Bad this Process is.  I am not sure yet what is Equal to What.  If 7.9% Odds is compared to the Success Ratio,  This Process Really Sucks (out the Bad Combinations).  (7.9%/0.00008642%). 

I don't know what I know yet; but, I know I know something.

I need a Nap

The 5 Draws are history. 

I collect $14 and 2 Quick Picks for Tonight's Draw.

I will Repeat the Bet with the Same Numbers.  It only costs $11.00 to Do it.

I may have found Something equal to Nothing.  A Couple of Days ago, I finished tome tables and Filters on Twins (consecutive Pair)and First Cousins (Pair separated by 1 Digit) for California Fantasy 5.  From a formula that selects the Longest Skip and Highest Skip/Frequency, I Selected the Highest Values and Reduced them Down to 5 Combinations.  I decided to step up and I bought a Ticket that is Playing those 5 Combinations in 5 Consecutive Draws.  There have been 3 Draws so far and the 5 Combinations have produced only 4 Plays with a single hit.  That's Right, just 1 Number.  I equate that to Nothing because that is what I am getting for those hits.

I have 2 more draws left. 

All 25 Bucks are Gone.  $10 worth of Participation is left. 

Maybe I have found a Good Process that is Finding Bad Numbers

Monday, July 9, 2018

Every so often, I hit a Wall.  It usually comes near the end of an idea to “Regroup” the Numbers and development of a Way to use those Groups to “Predict”.  I can Feel the Walls Closing in as I Run back thru the Draws with this ‘New Group” trying to find ways of “Knowing”.  Always, There is nothing to know.  By Reducing Numbers to Groups that can be selected with as few as 3 Options you would think that Your Success rate is at least 1 out of 3.  The Problem is that it takes 1 of these options applied to 5 Events (Each Number Selection).  That leads to 243 possible Combinations of said options.  So far it looks to me like those 243 Combinations of Options are still to Random to Predict in spite of the fact that a few Options hit more than the Rest by wide margins.  The hit percentage of a Combination of Options is directly related to Inventory of Numbers each Option multiplied together.  Take a Look at the Structure Code Groups.  Inventories Vary, From Game to Game within Each Structure.  There are a few Structure Numbers Hit % Greater than their Current Inventory %.  Inventory variations do not change the List that much and seldom change the sign (+/-) of the Hit%-Inv% for the Top Hitters.  The Table Below appears on the Wall that I just Hit.

8929	All Games
Strt Code	Inv	Hits        All	Hit %	F             All	S/F       All	Inv %	Var. Hit%-Inv%
005	462	3	0.03%	2976.3	120%	0.08%	-0.05%
014	3300	32	0.36%	279.0	177%	0.57%	-0.21%
041	2310	236	2.64%	37.8	45%	0.40%	2.24%
023	7425	138	1.55%	64.7	23%	1.29%	0.26%
032	6600	220	2.46%	40.6	10%	1.15%	1.32%
050	252	77	0.86%	116.0	263%	0.04%	0.82%
104	5940	36	0.40%	248.0	1%	1.03%	-0.63%
113	29700	270	3.02%	33.1	130%	5.16%	-2.13%
122	44550	838	9.39%	10.7	47%	7.74%	1.65%
131	23760	956	10.71%	9.3	193%	4.13%	6.58%
140	3780	433	4.85%	20.6	34%	0.66%	4.19%
203	25245	148	1.66%	60.3	336%	4.38%	-2.73%
212	84150	834	9.34%	10.7	9%	14.62%	-5.28%
221	75735	1444	16.17%	6.2	97%	13.15%	3.02%
230	18360	771	8.63%	11.6	26%	3.19%	5.45%
302	44880	275	3.08%	32.5	59%	7.79%	-4.72%
311	89760	897	10.05%	10.0	161%	15.59%	-5.54%
320	36720	721	8.07%	12.4	73%	6.38%	1.70%
401	33660	213	2.39%	41.9	112%	5.85%	-3.46%
410	30600	321	3.60%	27.8	173%	5.31%	-1.72%
500	8568	66	0.74%	135.3	58%	1.49%	-0.75%

 

The Wall changes as I Run Back Through the Game History.  I try to look at the Entire wall at the same time.  I try to look at only a few points on the wall and ignore the others.  The Wall is Color Coded to Follow the Winning Numbers and Groups as it flashes thru time.  The Only thing missing an maybe the only thing that matters, is an Audio.  It would be very interesting to assign notes to numbers and groups and then play the song along with the Video.  Anyone Reading this ever try to find the Music of the Game?

After bouncing off of this wall enough it is replaced by another.  This one might be a Zone Code, A Quad Count, a Pair Structure, a “Pair_Block_Block” Sequence.  It does not matter Which Screen appears, it is always the Same Result.  Weary from weeding out imperfections in the evolving data, I finally reduce the Number of Steps required to make a selection, turn it into a button that executes a macro and out pops the Combinations that match the Filter or Filters.  At this Point, I pause and Try a few Games with the additional Buttons on the Control Panel.  I rarely hit anything significant because it is to easy to set a Filter Sequence and get a List that is Bad.  I need to take time to Learn how to use the Tool, but, I can’t stop changing the tool and adding more buttons. 

If I step back and look at what I have so Far, I am more, sure than ever, that there will never be a Strategy that works because of itself.  Mathematical or Statistical relationships can only be applied to the Past.  They are plastered all over the Walls that I keep running into. 

All for Not?  Maybe Not.  Perhaps one could disregard all of that data.  Then just Think of the Draw with respect to Some of the Groups.  Develop your own process.  A Questionaire?

1.          Do you think there will be a repeat in the Next Draw? If “Yes”, how many Numbers will Repeat?
2.          How many Numbers that have not hit in the last 7 Games will Hit?
3.          Will there be a Fibonacci Number in the Next Draw? If “Yes”, how many?
4.          How many numbers from each Quad Will Hit?
5. ……..

As you answer each of these questions, the Number of Combinations in the output is displayed.  Answer enough questions to get the output to what you want and Wait and See. 

Analogy helps me get thru times like this,  In this one, I am not so much bouncing off of these walls as I feel like I am in the Middle of a multi sided Room with a Paint Ball Gun not sure if I am trying to blackout what I hit of just highlight it with a pretty color.

I have had a few premonitions in my life that were startlingly correct.  Hitting a Jackpot is one of the premonitions that I hope is also Correct.  A Few premonitions were immediate and life-saving (avoiding traffic accidents because something suddenly felt wrong).  I thank wherever or whatever gave me that Feeling.  It came out of No Where, at exactly the right time to keep my life going.  The memories of those life-saving events are still crystal clear as is What opened the "Glimpse" into what felt like the Future.  When ever I roll the Tape, I See that the Vision did not come from an outside source, it was right in front of me.  Something directed my attention to the right place at the exact instant that something went wrong. 

I was fortunate to grow up before the World found out about all of this “Attention…..” Stuff.  I would have been put on some wonder drug that made me appear normal by suppressing something in my brain to make me sit still.  Instead, I had the Outdoors.  Be home by dinner was the only thing I had to do, after chores of course.  Learning for me was mostly from observation.  Reading was a bit different.  That is simply because if required me to do two things at a time.  Watching only requires 1.  I am not saying that I don’t like to read.  I am saying that the 2 things I have to do, do not stay in sync for very long when I Read.   I can run my eyes over a whole paragraph, while I watch Something completely different on My Brain Screen.   I, am saying that the stuff I read, only stays on the screen for a few minutes, and then mostly fades away.  I do not have a photographic memory when it comes to Stuff that I have Read.  I have a much better ability to Bring pictures to the Screen that appeared While I was just Watching.  I spend a lot of the time Looking at the Screen.  There are 2 Screens.  The one in my head and the one that changes when I hit the keys on my key board. 

Anyway.  This Lottery Premonition is A Lot Different.  This one does not come from My Eyes and the direction and focus that saved me.  This one just Floats in and Out.  It might be coming from Gold Fever caused by the premonition that I will someday Win.  Non the Less, I am content to let it Float.  When it happens, things, are going to be different.  There is an Audio in this video.  It whispers things about those changes.  Crazy things, I hope, like something that I will buy with the windfall will negatively affect the quality and quantity of my remaining life. The Audio suggest that an atonement for the Windfall, might just be to give it all away.  “Odd it is, to spend all of this time and attention on the Screens in search of something that you are afraid might hurt you”.  That, was Yoda’s voice.

So, I guess you could say that I have taken the Gold Pan and gone to the mountains.  These mountains have been pretty well picked over; but, the thing is New Gold appears all over the place every day.  There is no such thing as a claim.  Everyone can mine in the same place at the same time.  You can see groups of miners all over the place.  Mule Trains, single prospectors on donkeys or pulling a Wagon and Oh My, there is a darned Bus Up there too.  Sometimes the Vision just takes off by itself to some futuristic outcome; but mostly it is deep into the dirt composition looking for the right molecules that will suddenly turn to gold in my Pan.

I find this Quest Fascinating enough to turn down the Audio of Yoda’s Voice.  I am in no hurry.  Don’t get me wrong, I could be easily be fooled into thinking that I Really, Really Need a Lot of Things.  I don’t have to worry about that right now.  I take some pride in how simple my things and life are at the moment.  I can not be certain in any way when it will happen.  I can however say exactly when it will not.   I have absolutely nothing to worry about IF I DON’T BUY A TICKET.  And that my fellow miners, is the Way I Roll, or Fly in my Drone.  It is all imaginary (the stuff on the screen).  Not being compelled to go to  the Assay Office Every day Gives me more time to Fly and more places to Dig.  I can cover a lot more ground this way. 

This Blog is a Way of actually playing the Game.  Filing Reports that include Combinations before the Draw is the Action.  I Save not only the money, but the time it would take to fill out the tickets and go to Town. 

It occurs to me that I may not be spending enough time outdoors.  I mean Literally and Figuratively.  Figuratively in that I spend more time in developing mining tools, than actual mining. Every day, I take a few flights to places I want to dig with a tool that is always in development.  Things seem to be going OK.  I don’t know what will happens if I “Hit” the Jackpot on one of my Posts.  I am OK with the Faintness of the Vision at the moment.  It sheds just enough light for flying over the surface.  “Hitting” a Jackpot will undoubtedly brighten the surface; but, it will also Eliminate many of the shadow that hide valuable secrets.  A Hit will cause an increase in attention on me.  I don’t mean from you, I, mean from me.  To much of that and I risk becoming more like the Man in the Bus.  I imagine him Driving along smiling and thinking “This is What Ronny must have felt like.

I appreciate the increasing view count on this blog.  It is kind of a daily confessional visit.  I am just finding most of this stuff when I post it.  It is like I am alternating between Design and Construction activities and Laying on a Therapists Couch.  I am doing most or all of the Talking.  A few of you have contacted me and it was appreciated. 

So here it is.  Am I crazy Doc?  When you throw out the Technical Stuff and Read my Cute analogies does it suggest that I am to Obsessed?  I’ll caution you that I will Resist that Notion because of said obsession; but, I would really like some analysis.  So any of you would be Doctors or actual Doctors, Can you spare some of you thoughts and suggestions?

Ignore the Date on the Filter Settings. this is set for 7_2_2018

Minor Filter Change on round 3.  Set to match Largest S/F for that Round