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Somebody crack the champagne

Topic closed. 143 replies. Last post 11 years ago by Clipper.

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cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
The Carolinas - Charlotte
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Posted: April 1, 2006, 2:34 pm - IP Logged

CONNECTICUT MIDDAY ($0.25 bets online)

$145.00 profit in 2005

Highest drawdown: $255.00

Largest skip: 10

Average skip: 2.29

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Stooges

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    Posted: April 1, 2006, 2:47 pm - IP Logged

    I have noticed a high incidence of the "ave. skip". Why not the median skip? It is proven that it is more profitable to play the median and under.

      cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
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      Posted: April 1, 2006, 2:55 pm - IP Logged

      Web

      I think that is what it is...the median. I wouldn't play after a skip of 3...too high of a bankroll needed.

      The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

      Stooges

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        Posted: April 1, 2006, 2:59 pm - IP Logged

        Web

        I think that is what it is...the median. I wouldn't play after a skip of 3...too high of a bankroll needed.

        Is there a rule of thumb

        What's the best skip to

        start?

        I hear for digits skip

        of 1 or 2 is the best

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          Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:03 pm - IP Logged

          That's the problem with a lot of these software. Other than Ion's software, they all seem to give the ave of the filters. You see, after the median there is no telling how long that strategy will be out for.

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            Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:07 pm - IP Logged

            That's the problem with a lot of these software. Other than Ion's software, they all seem to give the ave of the filters. You see, after the median there is no telling how long that strategy will be out for.

            I have named it "average skip", b/c that's what i call it.
            Perhaps i should have written median skip, but since it might be different for every state (and depending on the amount of draws used) i thought it was obvious.
            sorry for that.

            The average skip would, in my (translation) book be calculated like this:
            e.g. sumdigits 24, MD eve, out for 914 draws.
            Sumdigits 24 has these numbers: 789, 798, 879, 897, 978, 987, 699, 969, 996, 888 = 10 straight numbers,
            1000 / 10 = 100
            Average skip would be 100 draws.

            The real "average skip" for MD eve, for sumdigits 24 is 123.
            So that would be the median. (?)

             

            Am i understanding this correct?

              cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
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              Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:08 pm - IP Logged

              BA, webmark, et al

              I am kind of doing this by hand on Excel. My advice is to work after the 5th skip. That's usually double what the median is. You can't depend on a number to come up on it's average every time. When it's double, and really, triple its due, then you should start betting it.

              The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

              Stooges

                cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
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                Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:09 pm - IP Logged

                Average is correct, paurths.

                ACTUAL skip for MD eve in sum 24 is 123.

                The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

                Stooges

                  cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
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                  Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:10 pm - IP Logged

                  Or it could be

                  CURRENT SKIP = 123

                  The North Carolina Education Lottery - so much a joke that here are their mascots:

                  Stooges

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                    Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:16 pm - IP Logged

                    Average is correct, paurths.

                    ACTUAL skip for MD eve in sum 24 is 123.

                    Nono, the current skip for sum 24 in MD eve is 918 draws,
                    the "average skip" is 123 --> (over) 2700 draws / 22 (hits) = 123

                     

                    Anyway, what do you guys understand under "median" then?

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                      Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:23 pm - IP Logged


                      As I know it, the ave is the range divided by the hits within that range. Say your range is 1000 draws and your strategy hits 20x, then the ave is 50. Conversely the median skip is the middle skip. Say the skip patern looks like this... 15 35 40 50 70 70 120 140  210 250. Then the median is 70. If you do the maths it will be more profitable to play below the median.

                        cps10's avatar - Lottery-004.jpg
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                        Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:28 pm - IP Logged

                        paurths

                        okay...that works for me.

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                          Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:29 pm - IP Logged

                          "the median skip is the middle skip

                          uh??
                          am i understanding this correctly?

                          if the skip pattern would look like this: 15 35 40 50 70 210 250 70 120 140 
                          then the median would be between 210 and 250?

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                            Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:31 pm - IP Logged

                            ah, ok, i see now what you mean,
                            lol
                            sort the skips from low to high, then take the middle skip and that is the median

                            lol

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                              Posted: April 1, 2006, 3:37 pm - IP Logged

                              That's absolutely correct Paurths

                                 
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