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Do some number combinations have better odds?

Topic closed. 5280 replies. Last post 4 years ago by rdgrnr.

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Posted: December 24, 2012, 10:46 am - IP Logged

Good luck, you know that all five winning numbers being in the last 20 numbers drawn has only happened six times.  Two of those were 18 and one was 16.

12/21/12
07/10/12
10/20/09
08/21/07
09/29/06
02/17/06

I'm guessing I only needed to hit ONCE to beat Boney............


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    Posted: December 24, 2012, 10:47 am - IP Logged

                 


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      Posted: December 24, 2012, 10:52 am - IP Logged

      Set of 28 for MM. Tue. Dec. 25, 2012.

      01 03 05 06 07 08 11 12 18 19 22 24 26 28 29 31 32 33 39 41 42 43 44 49 51 52 54 56

      bonus ball 10


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        Posted: December 24, 2012, 10:55 am - IP Logged

          RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
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          Posted: December 24, 2012, 1:04 pm - IP Logged

          I'm guessing I only needed to hit ONCE to beat Boney............

          Hitting ONCE will beat more players than just Boney.  Boney is also guessing about his chances too.

           * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
             
                       Evil Looking       


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            Posted: December 24, 2012, 3:43 pm - IP Logged

            Hitting ONCE will beat more players than just Boney.  Boney is also guessing about his chances too.

            "Boney is only guessing about his CHANCES too."

            Are you sure about that?


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              Posted: December 24, 2012, 3:47 pm - IP Logged

              "Boney is only guessing about his CHANCES too."

              Are you sure about that?

              Right, losing numbers are losing numbers. No guesswork there.


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                Posted: December 24, 2012, 4:02 pm - IP Logged

                Right, losing numbers are losing numbers. No guesswork there.

                RJOh said CHANCES, not NUMBERS.


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                  Posted: December 24, 2012, 4:10 pm - IP Logged

                  RJOh said CHANCES, not NUMBERS.

                  I said losing numbers, which makes his chances ZERO.......


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                    Posted: December 24, 2012, 4:12 pm - IP Logged

                    Boney has a way of posting losing numbers as do all QP style players who choose to post.


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                      Posted: December 24, 2012, 4:20 pm - IP Logged

                      Most QP players don't post at all in order to avoid the embarrassment........

                        Boney526's avatar - NjlpLogo
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                        Posted: December 24, 2012, 4:20 pm - IP Logged

                        I said losing numbers, which makes his chances ZERO.......

                        Right because you can define the chances of something after it already happened.  That's exactly how it works.....  Confused

                          Boney526's avatar - NjlpLogo
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                          Posted: December 24, 2012, 4:21 pm - IP Logged

                          "Boney is only guessing about his CHANCES too."

                          Are you sure about that?

                          Haha, you are right, I wasn't guessing.

                           

                          It was basically a race, or a prolonged coinflip with ties involved, since the goal was to hit 5/5 quicker than the other person.  I guess since the draw he did win on, he chose less numbers than me, I was more likely to win, but randomness occurs....

                           

                          But I bet if you keep that same thing running for a very long time, that I would do just as bad as you.  Of course your results look good now, but I'm not a results oriented thinker when it comes to games of chance.  I learned that lesson the hard way, winning a few hundred on the Pick 3 when I turned 18 and losing more than just that in the next few months of play.  The variance involved in these games can trick many short term winners...  You have to be value oriented and just bet accordingly or the ups, and more specifically, the downs after the ups will kill you.  And that's in games where the STD DEV over hundreds of trials is only in the 100s of dollars, where as the lottery played at the same stakes would be way, way higher.  (1/2 NLHE can have STD DEVs around 240 dollars per 100 hands, for example)

                           

                          The Lottery has both negative expectation and high STD DEV, making it horrible for advantage players, but since variance is what makes it possible for you to win in a losing game it's just fine for casual gamblers who just want to play a few dollars.  If Ronnies goal is to play bigger money than most, that's his decision to make.  I'd like to argue that his money is better put to use elsewhere, but since as far as I know he isn't actually buying thousands of tickets - and I'm sure he's playing within his means since he doesn't seem to be a degenerate by any measure of the word - his Lottery play probably doesn't negatively affect him and is probably really fun, too.

                           

                          I wish you good luck on your real plays...  You, just like every other person out there, will need it to win...


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                            Posted: December 24, 2012, 4:23 pm - IP Logged

                            Right because you can define the chances of something after it already happened.  That's exactly how it works.....  Confused

                            But I said you would get ZERO 5 of 5 hits BEFORE the 39 draws started.........


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                              Posted: December 24, 2012, 4:24 pm - IP Logged

                              Haha, you are right, I wasn't guessing.

                               

                              It was basically a race, or a prolonged coinflip with ties involved, since the goal was to hit 5/5 quicker than the other person.  I guess since the draw he did win on, he chose less numbers than me, I was more likely to win, but randomness occurs....

                               

                              But I bet if you keep that same thing running for a very long time, that I would do just as bad as you.  Of course your results look good now, but I'm not a results oriented thinker when it comes to games of chance.  I learned that lesson the hard way, winning a few hundred on the Pick 3 when I turned 18 and losing more than just that in the next few months of play.  The variance involved in these games can trick many short term winners...  You have to be value oriented and just bet accordingly or the ups, and more specifically, the downs after the ups will kill you.  And that's in games where the STD DEV over hundreds of trials is only in the 100s of dollars, where as the lottery played at the same stakes would be way, way higher.  (1/2 NLHE can have STD DEVs around 240 dollars per 100 hands, for example)

                               

                              The Lottery has both negative expectation and high STD DEV, making it horrible for advantage players, but since variance is what makes it possible for you to win in a losing game it's just fine for casual gamblers who just want to play a few dollars.  If Ronnies goal is to play bigger money than most, that's his decision to make.  I'd like to argue that his money is better put to use elsewhere, but since as far as I know he isn't actually buying thousands of tickets - and I'm sure he's playing within his means since he doesn't seem to be a degenerate by any measure of the word - his Lottery play probably doesn't negatively affect him and is probably really fun, too.

                               

                              I wish you good luck on your real plays...  You, just like every other person out there, will need it to win...

                              The only thing that RANDOM is the way you construct thought.........

                                 
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