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# never play quick picks

Topic closed. 103 replies. Last post 3 years ago by noise-gate.

 Page 7 of 7

United States
Member #145267
August 1, 2013
1709 Posts
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 Posted: January 25, 2014, 10:49 pm - IP Logged

And so was mega millions: 22 45 46 47 65 - 10 this week.

San Diego, CA
United States
Member #61467
May 24, 2008
28146 Posts
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 Posted: January 25, 2014, 10:53 pm - IP Logged

How do your own numbers give you better odds when most jackpots have been won by Quick Picks?

Economy class
Belgium
Member #123700
February 27, 2012
4035 Posts
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 Posted: January 26, 2014, 8:15 am - IP Logged

New Member
Wayne County, Michigan
United States
Member #151692
January 24, 2014
8 Posts
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 Posted: January 26, 2014, 9:23 am - IP Logged

Lottery Companies love players like Richard Lustigs. Where they think theres a strategy to random games. Its called Random for a reason. They have no memory what the pervious Spin or number was. If you flop a coin, heads or Tails and it lands on Heads, Tails doesn't tell Heads "its my turn you went." Every number has the same chance of hitting. For Example the odds for Mega Millions Jackpot is 1:258,890,850. If the winning numbers are 1-2-3-4-5 (6) and the next draw are 01-14-15-26-56 (15). Now I ask you which scienario of numbers are most likely to occur. Most would go with the second set of numbers, because it looks possible. But probability tells us of this occurence is exactly the same. Picture Yankee Stadium that holds 50,291. Now Picture 5,148 Yankee Stadiums at once each holding 50,291 people. Those are your odds of Jackpot from another point of view. In reality I would bet my life both my examples of Winning Jackpot numbers will not happen in my lifetime.

Economy class
Belgium
Member #123700
February 27, 2012
4035 Posts
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 Posted: January 26, 2014, 10:33 am - IP Logged

I don't know what Richard has to do with the lottery. The lottery likes people to buy tickets, just like a a supermarket wants you to buy their products. They don't care at all who is buying. If you don't like to play, then shut up and don't. I heard enough losers complaining.

Economy class
Belgium
Member #123700
February 27, 2012
4035 Posts
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 Posted: January 26, 2014, 10:35 am - IP Logged

Out of 125 tickets , only 17 won? that's about a 7.9% of winning..

What's the price of a ticket and what did they win? What is the percentage? How much for the taxes? How much for Patel? ...

Los Angeles, California
United States
Member #103813
January 5, 2011
1530 Posts
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 Posted: January 26, 2014, 10:52 am - IP Logged

Lottery Companies love players like Richard Lustigs. Where they think theres a strategy to random games. Its called Random for a reason. They have no memory what the pervious Spin or number was. If you flop a coin, heads or Tails and it lands on Heads, Tails doesn't tell Heads "its my turn you went." Every number has the same chance of hitting. For Example the odds for Mega Millions Jackpot is 1:258,890,850. If the winning numbers are 1-2-3-4-5 (6) and the next draw are 01-14-15-26-56 (15). Now I ask you which scienario of numbers are most likely to occur. Most would go with the second set of numbers, because it looks possible. But probability tells us of this occurence is exactly the same. Picture Yankee Stadium that holds 50,291. Now Picture 5,148 Yankee Stadiums at once each holding 50,291 people. Those are your odds of Jackpot from another point of view. In reality I would bet my life both my examples of Winning Jackpot numbers will not happen in my lifetime.

Why you using such big font New Member? Stop Shouting!

We all know the odds, no need to preach to the choir. Relax and have a cold one:

Los Angeles, California
United States
Member #103813
January 5, 2011
1530 Posts
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 Posted: January 26, 2014, 10:56 am - IP Logged

What's the price of a ticket and what did they win? What is the percentage? How much for the taxes? How much for Patel? ...

Looked like the size of a \$2 ticket. I don't know exactly what game or state, so this is just ballpark:

You can expect hits around 1 in 5 overall, and about 55-60% return through 100 plays.

They got 17 winners out of 125 (maybe they overlooked some) or only 1 in 7.35 hits.(17 out of 125...that is crazy...) And only had 1 mid-tier prize over \$20.(didn't hear the amount) So I'd guess 16 prizes with \$5 average and 1 \$30? for the 17th, a little less than 50% return. About as expected or worse depending.

Kentucky
United States
Member #32652
February 14, 2006
7342 Posts
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 Posted: January 27, 2014, 6:56 pm - IP Logged

Yep. Total bunk.

I think everyone knows the infamous video of him saying "never play quick picks...have you won yet?" while sitting right next to the \$100M JP winner who played a QUICK PICK: (video can't be embedded)

Bwaahaahahaa!!!

Classic.

Cynthia Stafford's system is similiar to Thrifty's "I'll play some day strategy".

Lustig is promoting his book and made himself accessible to any show that wanted discuss the MM jackpot. I don't see the logic behind "never play quick picks" and neither did Robin Roberts.

United States
Member #124493
March 14, 2012
7023 Posts
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 Posted: January 27, 2014, 8:16 pm - IP Logged

You would of been better off buying my book "How to boil water on a Barbeque grill".

Actually I read yor book and I liked it.

However I dont think it was as good as "How to boil water with Hot Stones in a Sweat Lodge".

Richmond,Va
United States
Member #137058
December 26, 2012
17 Posts
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 Posted: January 28, 2014, 5:49 pm - IP Logged

LOL, I think that if it is your time to win, it doesn't matter how you play. Another thing too is...people have won big,and only bought a few tickets.

United States
Member #142499
May 13, 2013
1203 Posts
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 Posted: January 28, 2014, 9:20 pm - IP Logged

Someone apparently did:

http://articles.orlandosentinel.com/2010-10-20/news/os-box-lucky-lottery-winner-20101015_1_mega-money-jackpot-publix-scratch-off-game

That justifies his oft repeated claim of "7 Jackpots" with over a million dollars total...just barely.

I think all it proves is that that Town Center Publix appears to sell a lot of winning tickets. This guy is running a scam. Can't wait to see him featured on American Greed.

I might wake up early and go running.  I might also wake up and win the lottery.

The odds are about the same.

Zeta Reticuli Star System
United States
Member #30470
January 17, 2006
10390 Posts
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 Posted: January 29, 2014, 5:59 pm - IP Logged

Considering that statistics tell us that most jackpots are won by quick picks you think that just maybe it would be a lottery represtnative telling people not to play any?

Those who run the lotteries love it when players look for consistency in something that's designed not to have any.

There is one and only one 'proven' system, and that is to book the action. No matter the game, let the players pick their own losers.

Bay Area - California
United States
Member #136477
December 12, 2012
4145 Posts
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 Posted: January 30, 2014, 12:22 am - IP Logged

Someone said that Richard is a " Legend " in the lottery business since he won " 7 times " - l beg to differ. Going on GMA and saying " Dont buy QP'S" does not a legend make.

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