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How to simulate a distribution and use the lottery's own randomness against itself.

207 replies. Last post 8 days ago by JADELottery.

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The Quantum Master
West Concord, MN
United States
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December 7, 2001
3675 Posts
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Posted: May 26, 2015, 7:51 am - IP Logged

Thanks.

Good luck also.

Megaball and Power Millions, we win either way.

Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
Use at your own risk.

Order is a Subset of Chaos
Knowledge is Beyond Belief
Wisdom is Not Censored
Douglas Paul Smallish
Jehocifer

    adulane62's avatar - file php?avatar=16228.gif
    From Denver, Rocky Mountain Empire,
    United States
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    Posted: May 26, 2015, 10:17 am - IP Logged

    Thanks jade!

    I Agree! Thank you for sharing this JADELottery! I almost missed this gem. Question: can these excel files be applied to a 6/42 game also? I see the regular 5 balls are separated from the bonus balls etc...Thanks!

    Go Broncos!  White Bounce

      JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
      The Quantum Master
      West Concord, MN
      United States
      Member #21
      December 7, 2001
      3675 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: May 26, 2015, 11:33 am - IP Logged

      I Agree! Thank you for sharing this JADELottery! I almost missed this gem. Question: can these excel files be applied to a 6/42 game also? I see the regular 5 balls are separated from the bonus balls etc...Thanks!

      The function can be applied to just about anything that has a known distribution.

      Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
      Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
      Use at your own risk.

      Order is a Subset of Chaos
      Knowledge is Beyond Belief
      Wisdom is Not Censored
      Douglas Paul Smallish
      Jehocifer

        JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
        The Quantum Master
        West Concord, MN
        United States
        Member #21
        December 7, 2001
        3675 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: May 26, 2015, 12:33 pm - IP Logged

        Here's an application.

         

        CardCount
        A74
        299
        375
        442
        525
        658
        781
        887
        985
        1037
        J84
        Q89
        K71

         

         

        1,500 Disimulate(Card, Count) Selections
        39Q373J56Q27Q94
        426822A610JK27QQ
        69JK5JJ8AJ532710
        KJA1079Q8K828466
        K3K78K7A22692K7
        464J710JK467A1092
        6JQ6JJ738810A222
        476JAAK3J2J9J92
        A7Q68382446Q979
        43878J87210775K10
        J9QQ68K85A2K372
        269K2K69A85KJ8Q
        237A53734J5A239
        83JQ372K2825377
        A6J28K10267932Q8
        998A252A3AQ8J7J
        K2689K289372766
        2AK3A36678897Q8
        8AQQ1082799Q46J3
        3Q7A823951076922
        8107J76J725Q9A98
        76JK7279Q9A2983
        6863Q10Q4JJ91033K
        323JK3AJ3101010J7J
        98J86A57J8748AA
        J84AKAK9A9KQ937
        JAJ95KJ3A2J78JQ
        58894A6AJ8872A4
        22988KK67107A782
        QJ8398JK4A64Q94
        Q7J8389K69106Q66
        4J4486422105A1023
        KJ6QKKK38A87858
        6338J875JJQA3210
        8QK262A22JQJ47A
        7K281032927536QJ
        77QK3Q92QA38386
        63J7AQ38Q99K2K3
        K82J41056A7JJ6104
        QJA5233Q58K8Q66
        JQK2AQ37Q53K8A2
        2AJ978936107K310J
        AQ288K5672K34QJ
        A52108962Q366945
        9A8KJ8Q10A23J222
        A687Q869A368582
        3K77A7749K4227A
        8727JJ92982K277
        96JJ3KK883108365
        64K410A899AK476A
        8A6Q992798QKK3Q
        J3Q7Q693J62Q1099
        82Q34K923A68QQ4
        8632AA989397335
        6695K4A3102988J3
        676QQ73JJJ7AQA3
        105771092632926A7
        88K6748883J910J9
        94Q298QK9J524A9
        77A42J4Q494K242
        Q53QJ427Q3KAA97
        QA39Q2Q762K9AKQ
        AA87J2Q85JQ9Q2Q
        J346K59J8Q25Q710
        K75JJA3366106Q77
        7JKA243943K79A9
        23JJ2Q103Q5A322Q
        10K2299KKAJ2K9A8
        74QJA72J6Q29698
        9A4J8Q72J7533J2
        687JA83K67QA66K
        299833Q392AJA3Q
        AQ7742AQA89869J
        J6K4Q47932Q8923
        3583KQA43QAKJJQ
        8QA4J7K8K6QQ742
        8J7JJQQ9J2Q10J78
        Q7KQ73KQJ310JA4K
        2729676AA78J6JK
        8Q86932QA7K993K
        8Q839286J9A8KKA
        62277AQA92K4973
        4QKAK7Q38Q5QQ4J
        9K7729A8AK9977Q
        795735A497JKJ3Q
        A3A105A9672Q7K10J
        2K2QQKK31042KJK9
        29986944Q98A7J9
        27A9JK29103J468J
        K92310J7K7K72Q29
        4A5K2J6J99AJAK7
        5244105AK3327JQ3
        10766K93KA5103946
        K823223Q35J8786
        86JQ5J1023KQ8892
        492926JQ492QK7J
        1092K7J88AQQ7Q79
        AQ310AQAK3A3879Q
        32826JJ33Q92K33
        A210J9695A3K287Q

        Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
        Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
        Use at your own risk.

        Order is a Subset of Chaos
        Knowledge is Beyond Belief
        Wisdom is Not Censored
        Douglas Paul Smallish
        Jehocifer

          JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
          The Quantum Master
          West Concord, MN
          United States
          Member #21
          December 7, 2001
          3675 Posts
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          Posted: May 26, 2015, 12:47 pm - IP Logged

          Distributions don't all have to be whole counting numbers.

           

          MeasurementDistribution
          1 1/322.95470295
          4 3/40.590479578
          69.83922823
          6 1/323.55641547
          1 1/297.56244126
          4 1/762.35795124
          23.96613772
          70.02008123
          5 1/262.9993291
          4/988.60281362

           

          Disimulate(Measurement, Distribution)
          100 Selections
          1 1/24/91 1/2
          1 1/21 1/24/91 1/2
          1 1/21 1/25 1/2
          1 1/21 1/24/9
          1 1/21 1/2
          4 1/74 1/7
          5 1/24 1/71 1/2
          6 1/34 1/74 1/74/9
          4 1/71 1/24/9
          1 1/34 1/75 1/2
          4 1/71 1/2
          1 1/24/91 1/24/9
          4/94/9
          4/95 1/24 1/71 1/2
          4 1/74 1/74/9
          5 1/24/9
          1 1/25 1/2
          4/94 1/7
          4 1/76 1/3
          4/94/91 1/2
          4 1/71 1/24/9
          1 1/24 1/74 1/7
          5 1/21 1/2
          4 1/74/94 1/7
          1 1/21 1/21 1/2

          Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
          Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
          Use at your own risk.

          Order is a Subset of Chaos
          Knowledge is Beyond Belief
          Wisdom is Not Censored
          Douglas Paul Smallish
          Jehocifer

            lakerben's avatar - spherewall
            New Mexico
            United States
            Member #86099
            January 29, 2010
            11120 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: May 27, 2015, 12:23 pm - IP Logged

            Distributions don't all have to be whole counting numbers.

             

            MeasurementDistribution
            1 1/322.95470295
            4 3/40.590479578
            69.83922823
            6 1/323.55641547
            1 1/297.56244126
            4 1/762.35795124
            23.96613772
            70.02008123
            5 1/262.9993291
            4/988.60281362

             

            Disimulate(Measurement, Distribution)
            100 Selections
            1 1/24/91 1/2
            1 1/21 1/24/91 1/2
            1 1/21 1/25 1/2
            1 1/21 1/24/9
            1 1/21 1/2
            4 1/74 1/7
            5 1/24 1/71 1/2
            6 1/34 1/74 1/74/9
            4 1/71 1/24/9
            1 1/34 1/75 1/2
            4 1/71 1/2
            1 1/24/91 1/24/9
            4/94/9
            4/95 1/24 1/71 1/2
            4 1/74 1/74/9
            5 1/24/9
            1 1/25 1/2
            4/94 1/7
            4 1/76 1/3
            4/94/91 1/2
            4 1/71 1/24/9
            1 1/24 1/74 1/7
            5 1/21 1/2
            4 1/74/94 1/7
            1 1/21 1/21 1/2

            This gives me more ideas.

            How about them cowboys!

             

             

            US Flag

              JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
              The Quantum Master
              West Concord, MN
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              3675 Posts
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              Posted: May 27, 2015, 12:24 pm - IP Logged

              This gives me more ideas.

              Naughty

              Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
              Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
              Use at your own risk.

              Order is a Subset of Chaos
              Knowledge is Beyond Belief
              Wisdom is Not Censored
              Douglas Paul Smallish
              Jehocifer

                MillionsWanted's avatar - 24Qa6LT

                Norway
                Member #9517
                December 10, 2004
                1272 Posts
                Online
                Posted: May 28, 2015, 5:04 am - IP Logged

                How many draws are necessary for a good calculation?

                  JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                  The Quantum Master
                  West Concord, MN
                  United States
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                  Posted: May 28, 2015, 11:17 am - IP Logged

                  Theoretically, 0 samples, based on a known distribution curve to generate selections.

                  Statistically, 1500 samples, construct a sample distribution to generate selections.

                  Dynamically, n = n + 1 samples, a continuously updated distribution to generate selections.

                  Personally, n, any set of samples you feel are needed to generate selections.

                  The function is designed to be an Adaptive Quantum Mechanical Selector based on any form of distribution.

                  Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                  Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                  Use at your own risk.

                  Order is a Subset of Chaos
                  Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                  Wisdom is Not Censored
                  Douglas Paul Smallish
                  Jehocifer

                    lakerben's avatar - spherewall
                    New Mexico
                    United States
                    Member #86099
                    January 29, 2010
                    11120 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: June 11, 2015, 12:08 pm - IP Logged

                    And finally, the best part of this function.

                    Simulating the lottery's own random selection.

                    It simple, get a distribution of numbers and plug it into the function.

                    We used the Mega Ball for this demonstration.

                    The current distribution of the Mega Ball as of 2015-05-22 @ 11:39 CT is:

                    MBReal
                    112
                    211
                    317
                    48
                    58
                    613
                    717
                    88
                    910
                    1010
                    1111
                    1210
                    138
                    147
                    1515

                     

                    We ran a sample set for the same number of draws going back to 2013-10-22 and simulated the following.

                    MBRealSimulated
                    11215
                    21115
                    31715
                    483
                    588
                    61315
                    71714
                    888
                    9108
                    10108
                    111113
                    12109
                    1389
                    1477
                    151518

                     

                    Pretty close, Aye!

                    Also, the best part about this function is no matter what the lottery does, the function adapts instantly.

                    ...Done.

                    Nice feature!

                    How about them cowboys!

                     

                     

                    US Flag

                      JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                      The Quantum Master
                      West Concord, MN
                      United States
                      Member #21
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                      Posted: July 2, 2015, 10:43 am - IP Logged

                      Is there a variation of the =CombNexus(N, R, C, Z1, Z2) for this thread like in Power Mega Balls with Three Sum Math ?

                      You bet your Ballsey Computer Dolla's there is!!!

                      Wink

                      Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                      Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                      Use at your own risk.

                      Order is a Subset of Chaos
                      Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                      Wisdom is Not Censored
                      Douglas Paul Smallish
                      Jehocifer

                        Avatar
                        Lisbon
                        Portugal
                        Member #167185
                        June 29, 2015
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                        Posted: July 3, 2015, 9:37 am - IP Logged

                        We're going to start posting in a bit.

                        We ask that you hold on any questions till we are finished.

                        If we have more to to post, you'll see a 'Continues...' at the bottom of the post.

                        When we are done, we will post '...Done.' at the bottom of the page.

                        This takes several posts because of the large number of graphs and tables.

                        We tried to post in one gigantic post once and it caused problems loading.

                        In the end we will be posting an Excel Function that can be copied and pasted into Excel to be used in Excel or modified to suite any programming language you'd like to use.

                        Continues...

                        Hello, Jade


                        You have made a great statistical work.
                        But the question is: what is this for?
                        Can you build a predictive algorithm from this knowledge?

                         

                        Here's an example:
                        Take the Megaball, once again.

                        If the common player bet 1 number he will get 0.0666 hits per draw (1/15 = 0.0666). This is the REFERENCE or the so called Theoretical Average (TA).
                        My question is: using this system (3 sums) how many hits can you achieve per draw?

                         

                        If after 100 samples, for example, you get 0.0666 hits a draw, then there is no advantage to follow it;

                        If you get a higher value means you can beat the TA so, in this case you are predicting;

                        finally, If you get a lower value you are also predicting because, in this case, you may bet against the algorithm.


                        However, I fear it is not possible to predict using this knowledge because there is a synchronizing problem, I mean, although similarities in simulated and real patterns, you need to synchronize your model with the reality of the game.
                        Several years ago when I started to develop predictive algorithms I lost a few hours or even days (I can`t remember exactly) with part of this same exercise you did and I quickly came to dead ends. However, you went a little bit further introducing simulated information.

                        But, I insist: is that enough to beat the odds, i.e. to get more than 0,0666 matches per drawing? If so, the system works.

                         

                        But let`s see some obvious problems present in the 3 sums technique.

                        If the first 2 numbers of the sum are 1 + 1 + ... = 24 and knowing that the ideal sum of Megaball is 24, it means that the third number would be 22. Now, the ball 22 does not exist!!!

                        In the case of the first 2 numbers are 15+13+…= 24 the third number would be -4. However, Megaball does not contain negative numbers. Therefore, a brief review finds that there are dozens of black cases where the system does not work, because there are no enough numbers.

                         

                        But the real problem is to construct predictive algorithms based on Euclidian maths when the reality is fractal. We can not fight fractal maths with Euclidian ou Gaussian maths. That is the reason why is so difficult to predict...

                        That is like fighting a war tank with a plastic revolver.

                         

                        Regards

                        RENTAP

                          RL-RANDOMLOGIC's avatar - usafce

                          United States
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                          Posted: July 4, 2015, 7:26 am - IP Logged

                          rt

                          I agree with you that this is well worked out but kind of expected the end result.  I don't have Jades math skills

                          but attempted to build my own little version and applied it to the lexicon of the number set.  This solved the out

                          of range problem but as expected the most probable is not synchronize.   Below is a link to a AVI file that I made

                          which shows a floating bar graph.  The green and red bars cover the active range and the blue the overall.

                           

                          The top four most probable are highlighted in red and the green the rest.  Using the lexie the range is 0-9 and I

                          added the option to increase the number of games used in the sums.  The video shows the data for one lexie

                          position over the course of 365 games using a five game sum.   The active range rolls kind of like a wave IMHO

                          but when one considers that the sum of the six least probable values are most of the time greater than the most

                          probable.   Overall it seems that the value that hits next has a greater probability of coming from one of least

                          likely values.    Which one, I don't have a clue. 

                           

                          Anyway, here is the video link which is kind of interesting.   Since the lexie values are 0 to 9 the highest value for

                          any 5 games is 45 which is to the right on the graph and the lowest value is 0.  It's possible that a single lexie

                          digit can be 0 five games straight but it does not happen very often.  https://app.box.com/s/nxb00knpzq4pmrbozenzezfll80wc3py

                          The video does not show the value that hit only the range changes draw to draw.

                          RL

                          Working on my Ph.D.  "University of hard Knocks"

                          I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

                          they are not.  Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

                          USAF https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prime_Base_Engineer_Emergency_Force

                            US Flag Trump / 2016 & 2020  

                            JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                            The Quantum Master
                            West Concord, MN
                            United States
                            Member #21
                            December 7, 2001
                            3675 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: July 4, 2015, 11:36 am - IP Logged

                            rt

                            I agree with you that this is well worked out but kind of expected the end result.  I don't have Jades math skills

                            but attempted to build my own little version and applied it to the lexicon of the number set.  This solved the out

                            of range problem but as expected the most probable is not synchronize.   Below is a link to a AVI file that I made

                            which shows a floating bar graph.  The green and red bars cover the active range and the blue the overall.

                             

                            The top four most probable are highlighted in red and the green the rest.  Using the lexie the range is 0-9 and I

                            added the option to increase the number of games used in the sums.  The video shows the data for one lexie

                            position over the course of 365 games using a five game sum.   The active range rolls kind of like a wave IMHO

                            but when one considers that the sum of the six least probable values are most of the time greater than the most

                            probable.   Overall it seems that the value that hits next has a greater probability of coming from one of least

                            likely values.    Which one, I don't have a clue. 

                             

                            Anyway, here is the video link which is kind of interesting.   Since the lexie values are 0 to 9 the highest value for

                            any 5 games is 45 which is to the right on the graph and the lowest value is 0.  It's possible that a single lexie

                            digit can be 0 five games straight but it does not happen very often.  https://app.box.com/s/nxb00knpzq4pmrbozenzezfll80wc3py

                            The video does not show the value that hit only the range changes draw to draw.

                            RL

                            Please refer to the topic Power Mega Balls with Three Sum Math for any Three Sum questions and answers.

                            This topic may at some point have Three Sum math applied, however, the basic fundamentals are best addressed in the above link.

                            Thank you.

                            Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                            Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                            Use at your own risk.

                            Order is a Subset of Chaos
                            Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                            Wisdom is Not Censored
                            Douglas Paul Smallish
                            Jehocifer

                              JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                              The Quantum Master
                              West Concord, MN
                              United States
                              Member #21
                              December 7, 2001
                              3675 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: July 4, 2015, 12:02 pm - IP Logged

                              Is there a variation of the =CombNexus(N, R, C, Z1, Z2) for this thread like in Power Mega Balls with Three Sum Math ?

                              You bet your Ballsey Computer Dolla's there is!!!

                              Wink

                              We are nearly finished testing and formatting with a =DisimulateNexus(Numbers, Distribution, N1, N2) function for the next update of the disimulate-mm-pb-0.xlsm file.

                              Most likely it will be another file in addition to the disimulate-mm-pb-0.xlsm file.

                              Cool

                              Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                              Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                              Use at your own risk.

                              Order is a Subset of Chaos
                              Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                              Wisdom is Not Censored
                              Douglas Paul Smallish
                              Jehocifer

                                 
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