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How to simulate a distribution and use the lottery's own randomness against itself.

207 replies. Last post 7 days ago by JADELottery.

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The Quantum Master
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Posted: July 19, 2016, 1:29 pm - IP Logged

 Might have a look at this and program it.

Cool

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    lakerben's avatar - spherewall
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    Posted: August 14, 2016, 1:21 pm - IP Logged

    No problem.

    Hope you win big.

    Going to try for p5.

    How about them cowboys!

     

     

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      JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
      The Quantum Master
      West Concord, MN
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      Posted: August 18, 2016, 9:15 am - IP Logged

      Going to try for p5.

      Good Luck.

      Cool

      Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
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      Use at your own risk.

      Order is a Subset of Chaos
      Knowledge is Beyond Belief
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      Jehocifer

        lakerben's avatar - spherewall
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        Posted: September 12, 2016, 1:06 am - IP Logged

        Good Luck.

        Cool

        It's more of a skip and repetitive in the nm rr cash.  Hot digit and patterns.

        How about them cowboys!

         

         

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          JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
          The Quantum Master
          West Concord, MN
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          Posted: September 13, 2016, 5:12 pm - IP Logged

          It's more of a skip and repetitive in the nm rr cash.  Hot digit and patterns.

          We like to monitor on a draw index.

          The difference between draw indexes is nearly the same a the common 'skip'.

          It's off by 1, just subtract 1 for the draw difference and you get the 'skip' number.

          Also, using draw index allows to relative position to any number when figuring when a number might occur.

          Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
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          Use at your own risk.

          Order is a Subset of Chaos
          Knowledge is Beyond Belief
          Wisdom is Not Censored
          Douglas Paul Smallish
          Jehocifer

            JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
            The Quantum Master
            West Concord, MN
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            Posted: October 12, 2016, 8:36 am - IP Logged

            2D could be worked by two methods.

            First would be sum the columns or rows and use that to decide which is used to select.

            Second would be a serialization of all the data keeping in mind the placement in the serialization when selecting.

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            Order is a Subset of Chaos
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              Posted: October 29, 2016, 4:17 pm - IP Logged

              Excellent work, Jade. All good. But with 1500 draws--which is a massive number of draws statically speaking--you will always get a true bell curve. Like flipping quarters. If you cut down to a smaller draw population, say 200 draws, from a 6-ball Lotto or even a 5-ball Powerball (5+1=6), then you might get some useful statistical variance from the bell's median. The system will always try to balance itself statistically. For example, if you have +27 (positive 27 numbers)  from the median of the bell curve, the bell will always work to "balance" to the negative (odd) side so that the median becomes equal.

              1500 is too large a population to result in any significant deviation. We are talking about numbers, after all. With all due respect, it becomes like flipping quarters--the deviation will be very small. However, in one single 6 number draw, even a small deviation from 1500 (-5) might result in a very quick "balance" to the positive numbers for that one draw.

              And, after all is said, it's all about one draw, right?

              Make America great again! One draw at a time.

              Good luck.

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                Posted: October 29, 2016, 5:59 pm - IP Logged

                Jade has done a lot of hard work and posted it for us to use, if we wish. With all due respect, Tucker Black, from this post, you don't seem to believe in "game theory" which is pure mathematics. in fact you utter these words:

                "This is the superstition of "numbers chosen more frequently in the past are more likely to hit in the future" which is just as false as the superstition "numbers chosen less frequently in the past are due to hit in the future".

                I have written lots of programs to simulate the lottery, not to try to make predictions (since it's impossible). I do this to get a probability distribution of winnings for buying n tickets. I never buy the tickets, I'm just curious to see how big n needs to be to reduce the probability of winning nothing below p, see what the median is, and the mode. The expected value is easy to calculate and does not require millions of simulations. The expected value (i.e., how much you win on average for one ticket) is very important. The lower the value, the more of your wager the state gets. Even if a game had an expected value of 100%, you can still lose (and there is no game like that with the exception of side bets at craps at some casinos in Las Vegas)."

                Tucker Black, your statement is incorrect. Your focus on N as the number of tickets rather than on the numbers or draws themselves is the statistical flaw in your game. You use words like "superstition." This is a mathematics forum, not the other forums (which I am not able to comment on because I have not studied their methods). In mathematics, however, the statistical probability of the next draw number group can be deduced to a small group strictly from past draws if you have some idea of how to set up your statistical programs. Simple college statistics, if that. But to say that the only way to win is to buy 15 tickets with the MB number 1-15 is simply missing the point. If you have written programs "for fun" and they work, I suggest you get 5 dollars and go play the Pick 5 the next chance you get. When you have money on the line and a good statistical system to limit "bad" numbers, the odds of smaller wins (non-jackpots) become better than Blackjack or even Poker odds. 

                I am not being mean, I hope, and that is not my intention. Having some skin in the game will motivate you to develop winning programs. You seem to understand statistics but cannot apply them to lotto. Lotto is statistics, mathematics of draws and numbers as N. Jade is a superstar, sharing his knowledge with faith-filled and expectant lotto players. I say this sincerely, Tucker Black: if you think it is "impossible," that this is all "superstition," you have lost before you have even played. You should not play and waste your money with that mindset. The world is filled with people who need to see proof of any future event in order to believe it. Good luck with that theory playing lottery. Rich or poor, a person without faith is the poorest of the poor. Faith is more important than even knowing the next draw's best group of probable numbers.

                To all Tucker Blacks: if you think lotto mathematics is "superstition" and "impossible," you will be correct in your personal draws; play quick picks or just play for the fun of it.

                 

                Make America great again. One draw at a time.

                  LottoAce's avatar - WWI Flying_Ace.gif
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                  Posted: October 29, 2016, 8:14 pm - IP Logged

                  well done JadeLottery!

                  I have always admired your work.

                  "know your limitations, but excede your expectations"

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                    Posted: October 29, 2016, 8:24 pm - IP Logged

                    I heard from someone that the longer you let the computer or program run, meaning the more permutations you let it iterate, the closer you get to the winning combination. "By repeating the process you are in essence compressing time". The point of doing this is to save you money.

                    Saying that the balls are just balls and the numbers have no meaning is in essence believing in superstition. Those days are long gone. Putting values on the balls such as numbers makes it much easier to understand and comprehend. It is the system that needs to be focused on of course. The values do represent something. Anyone that doesn't believe so must believe only in superstition as a means to an end. Whatever that end may be. Pencil and paper systems in theory are no different than random number generators. You must have a data file as well as update that data file.

                    I am paraphrasing a little here.

                    And Jade Lottery I know you are a very smart person and know much more than I do. So salute to you of course

                      Gambler667's avatar - shapes swish.jpg

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                      Posted: November 6, 2016, 6:59 pm - IP Logged

                      Good job, Jade!

                      Is it possible to set up this file for a pick 6 with 2BB too?

                      Gambler938See Ya!

                        JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                        The Quantum Master
                        West Concord, MN
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                        Posted: December 1, 2016, 10:43 pm - IP Logged

                        Thanks for the good replies.

                        Haven't forgot this.

                        Been trying to make something work programmatically in excel, but it's a bugger.

                        ...

                        Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                        Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                        Use at your own risk.

                        Order is a Subset of Chaos
                        Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                        Wisdom is Not Censored
                        Douglas Paul Smallish
                        Jehocifer

                          JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                          The Quantum Master
                          West Concord, MN
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                          December 7, 2001
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                          Posted: December 2, 2016, 11:41 am - IP Logged

                          The 2D and 3D flavor of this is quite interesting.

                          Might be a bit more complicated for the average user.

                          Stay tuned...

                          Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                          Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                          Use at your own risk.

                          Order is a Subset of Chaos
                          Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                          Wisdom is Not Censored
                          Douglas Paul Smallish
                          Jehocifer

                             
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