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How to simulate a distribution and use the lottery's own randomness against itself.

207 replies. Last post 4 days ago by JADELottery.

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The Quantum Master
West Concord, MN
United States
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December 7, 2001
3675 Posts
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Posted: December 10, 2015, 12:06 pm - IP Logged

How it to use? As well as where to choose numbers or combinations for game? Please, give the instruction "Step by step".

This is a mathematical forum, meaning we presented a mathematical formula or algorithm; showed its program code and use in an Excel spreadsheet.

It's a tool for those who would like to use it any way they'd like.

The process for arriving at the program code is shown in earlier posts.

The Excel sheets are there to demonstrate the functions and/or algorithms.

Choosing numbers would imply a system.

This is one of those tools any one can use in constructing a system.

The best part about the Excel sheets is it allows you to play around with the formula in action.

If you can't or don't want to use the Excel sheets, the code is posted at https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/289726/4117213 in this topic and can be adapted to whatever coding language you'd like to use.

Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
Use at your own risk.

Order is a Subset of Chaos
Knowledge is Beyond Belief
Wisdom is Not Censored
Douglas Paul Smallish
Jehocifer

    lakerben's avatar - spherewall
    New Mexico
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    January 29, 2010
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    Posted: December 10, 2015, 6:22 pm - IP Logged

    This is a mathematical forum, meaning we presented a mathematical formula or algorithm; showed its program code and use in an Excel spreadsheet.

    It's a tool for those who would like to use it any way they'd like.

    The process for arriving at the program code is shown in earlier posts.

    The Excel sheets are there to demonstrate the functions and/or algorithms.

    Choosing numbers would imply a system.

    This is one of those tools any one can use in constructing a system.

    The best part about the Excel sheets is it allows you to play around with the formula in action.

    If you can't or don't want to use the Excel sheets, the code is posted at https://www.lotterypost.com/thread/289726/4117213 in this topic and can be adapted to whatever coding language you'd like to use.

    Your the man!

     

    Great job jade!

    How about them cowboys!

     

     

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      JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
      The Quantum Master
      West Concord, MN
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      Posted: January 10, 2016, 11:32 am - IP Logged

      Your the man!

       

      Great job jade!

      Cool

      Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
      Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
      Use at your own risk.

      Order is a Subset of Chaos
      Knowledge is Beyond Belief
      Wisdom is Not Censored
      Douglas Paul Smallish
      Jehocifer

        lakerben's avatar - spherewall
        New Mexico
        United States
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        January 29, 2010
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        Posted: January 28, 2016, 3:39 pm - IP Logged

        I'm still studying this one.

        How about them cowboys!

         

         

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          JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
          The Quantum Master
          West Concord, MN
          United States
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          Posted: February 9, 2016, 9:13 am - IP Logged

          derek7, you need to clean out some of your PM box.

          we can't send a reply PM on this thread because your box is full.

          Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
          Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
          Use at your own risk.

          Order is a Subset of Chaos
          Knowledge is Beyond Belief
          Wisdom is Not Censored
          Douglas Paul Smallish
          Jehocifer

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            fresno, ca
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            March 28, 2015
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            Posted: February 11, 2016, 7:54 pm - IP Logged

            its it possible you can creat a excel version of this for the pick 3.

              JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
              The Quantum Master
              West Concord, MN
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              Posted: February 12, 2016, 11:13 am - IP Logged

              these files already have Pick 3, Pick 4 and Pick 5 in them.

              http://www.jadexcode.com/files/excel/disimulate-mm-pb-hb-dp-0.xlsm

              or

              ftp://www.jadexcode.com/excel/disimulate-mm-pb-hb-dp-0.xlsm

               

              after downloading, click a tab as shown below:

               

              Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
              Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
              Use at your own risk.

              Order is a Subset of Chaos
              Knowledge is Beyond Belief
              Wisdom is Not Censored
              Douglas Paul Smallish
              Jehocifer

                lakerben's avatar - spherewall
                New Mexico
                United States
                Member #86099
                January 29, 2010
                11119 Posts
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                Posted: February 12, 2016, 11:09 pm - IP Logged

                these files already have Pick 3, Pick 4 and Pick 5 in them.

                http://www.jadexcode.com/files/excel/disimulate-mm-pb-hb-dp-0.xlsm

                or

                ftp://www.jadexcode.com/excel/disimulate-mm-pb-hb-dp-0.xlsm

                 

                after downloading, click a tab as shown below:

                 

                Thanks!

                How about them cowboys!

                 

                 

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                  New Member
                  Fl
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                  February 23, 2016
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                  Posted: February 23, 2016, 4:11 pm - IP Logged

                  Hi JADELottey. Thanks for the work. When i first came across you post. I knew right away this what i was looking for for the longest. I was doing somthing to this effect on paper. Im no way a math  geek. I was tracking numbers in a simple form. Example the 0 came 2 times in the first row, the 4 cames 5 times in the second row and so on, so on. I downloaded the files you posted. Tried all, the one that end up working for me was the "DisimulateDailyPick4-0.xlsm" file. What i did was replace the  numbers with the numbers from Florida Play 4 numbers, that had came. I have been tracking for about last 2 weeks. I just so happen to screeshot the a few of the prediction that your program spit out. On three occasion a few drawing apart your program gave the right numbers. i just have to put them in order, but the number was in the right column/slot i had to choose between -1, 0 +1 in that slot. 2 time it gave the whole play 4 number and once 3 of the 4 numbers. i wish i could up load a picture dont know how on this form.

                  Thanks for the work you done. I would like to make a few suggestion and have a few questions.

                  I tried to open your files in Excel 2007 no luck for me. I end up opening it up in "Libre Office" it's a free office program like Microsoft Office.

                  once open it take a while to calculate but works. Can you create a blank doc where we can fill in my own numbers. It was hell deleting the other numbers and replacing them with the Florida Play4 past numbers. At times it would stop calculating. i would have to start all over again.  How do i restart the calculating process again it stops.

                  Thanks your on the right track.


                    France
                    Member #148832
                    November 13, 2013
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                    Posted: February 24, 2016, 7:16 am - IP Logged

                     Hi JADELottery,

                     Your system is good for Loto France 5/49 and EuroMillions 5/50.

                     Thanks.

                      JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                      The Quantum Master
                      West Concord, MN
                      United States
                      Member #21
                      December 7, 2001
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                      Posted: February 24, 2016, 8:42 am - IP Logged

                      Hi JADELottey. Thanks for the work. When i first came across you post. I knew right away this what i was looking for for the longest. I was doing somthing to this effect on paper. Im no way a math  geek. I was tracking numbers in a simple form. Example the 0 came 2 times in the first row, the 4 cames 5 times in the second row and so on, so on. I downloaded the files you posted. Tried all, the one that end up working for me was the "DisimulateDailyPick4-0.xlsm" file. What i did was replace the  numbers with the numbers from Florida Play 4 numbers, that had came. I have been tracking for about last 2 weeks. I just so happen to screeshot the a few of the prediction that your program spit out. On three occasion a few drawing apart your program gave the right numbers. i just have to put them in order, but the number was in the right column/slot i had to choose between -1, 0 +1 in that slot. 2 time it gave the whole play 4 number and once 3 of the 4 numbers. i wish i could up load a picture dont know how on this form.

                      Thanks for the work you done. I would like to make a few suggestion and have a few questions.

                      I tried to open your files in Excel 2007 no luck for me. I end up opening it up in "Libre Office" it's a free office program like Microsoft Office.

                      once open it take a while to calculate but works. Can you create a blank doc where we can fill in my own numbers. It was hell deleting the other numbers and replacing them with the Florida Play4 past numbers. At times it would stop calculating. i would have to start all over again.  How do i restart the calculating process again it stops.

                      Thanks your on the right track.

                      hi, thanks for your feedback.

                      glad to see this is working for you.

                      we will make the empty data version of these.

                      in the meantime, good luck.

                      Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                      Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                      Use at your own risk.

                      Order is a Subset of Chaos
                      Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                      Wisdom is Not Censored
                      Douglas Paul Smallish
                      Jehocifer

                        JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                        The Quantum Master
                        West Concord, MN
                        United States
                        Member #21
                        December 7, 2001
                        3675 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: February 24, 2016, 8:43 am - IP Logged

                         Hi JADELottery,

                         Your system is good for Loto France 5/49 and EuroMillions 5/50.

                         Thanks.

                        thank you,

                        good luck and win big.

                        Presented 'AS IS' and for Entertainment Purposes Only.
                        Any gain or loss is your responsibility.
                        Use at your own risk.

                        Order is a Subset of Chaos
                        Knowledge is Beyond Belief
                        Wisdom is Not Censored
                        Douglas Paul Smallish
                        Jehocifer

                          JADELottery's avatar - MeAtWork 03.PNG
                          The Quantum Master
                          West Concord, MN
                          United States
                          Member #21
                          December 7, 2001
                          3675 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: February 24, 2016, 6:19 pm - IP Logged
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                            New Member
                            Fl
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                            February 23, 2016
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                            Posted: February 25, 2016, 10:53 am - IP Logged

                            Thanks so much, Will check back with more feedback

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                              New Member
                              Burlington, VT
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                              February 25, 2016
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                              Posted: February 26, 2016, 12:14 am - IP Logged

                              And finally, the best part of this function.

                              Simulating the lottery's own random selection.

                              It simple, get a distribution of numbers and plug it into the function.

                              We used the Mega Ball for this demonstration.

                              The current distribution of the Mega Ball as of 2015-05-22 @ 11:39 CT is:

                              MBReal
                              112
                              211
                              317
                              48
                              58
                              613
                              717
                              88
                              910
                              1010
                              1111
                              1210
                              138
                              147
                              1515

                               

                              We ran a sample set for the same number of draws going back to 2013-10-22 and simulated the following.

                              MBRealSimulated
                              11215
                              21115
                              31715
                              483
                              588
                              61315
                              71714
                              888
                              9108
                              10108
                              111113
                              12109
                              1389
                              1477
                              151518

                               

                              Pretty close, Aye!

                              Also, the best part about this function is no matter what the lottery does, the function adapts instantly.

                              ...Done.

                              The problem with this is that you are taking a set of data from the past and simulating the MB numbers for the same time period (i.e., the past). That is why your simulated MB frequencies are very close to the actual MB frequencies. It does not indicate what the next MB will be.

                              The probability of hitting the MB for the next drawing on one ticket is exactly 1/15 regardless of which number you choose. The 15 MB ping-pong balls that bounce around have no knowledge of the previous two draws and no interest in trying to add up to 24. One of the 15 is chosen at random, period, end of story.

                              Frequency of numbers chosen from the past are not perfectly even (for example, exactly 10 1's, 10 2's, ... and 10 15's from the last 150 drawings) because MB numbers are chosen at random with replacement for each drawing rather than from a set of numbers without replacement.

                              This is the superstition of "numbers chosen more frequently in the past are more likely to hit in the future" which is just as false as the superstition "numbers chosen less frequently in the past are due to hit in the future".

                              I have written lots of programs to simulate the lottery, not to try to make predictions (since it's impossible). I do this to get a probability distribution of winnings for buying n tickets. I never buy the tickets, I'm just curious to see how big n needs to be to reduce the probability of winning nothing below p, see what the median is, and the mode. The expected value is easy to calculate and does not require millions of simulations. The expected value (i.e., how much you win on average for one ticket) is very important. The lower the value, the more of your wager the state gets. Even if a game had an expected value of 100%, you can still lose (and there is no game like that with the exception of side bets at craps at some casinos in Las Vegas).

                              There is one way to guarantee yourself a win in MegaMillions, though: buy 15 tickets and select a different MB for each one (obviously not quickpick). Of course, if you only win $1 and spent $15, you're still in the hole but if you insist on being able to collect something rather than throwing away nothing but losing tickets, that strategy is absolutely 100% guaranteed to work.

                                 
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