United States Member #59354 March 13, 2008 3962 Posts Offline

Posted: August 6, 2016, 3:45 pm - IP Logged

The results posted below are positional,

Pick-4 evening to evening draws

Games with 0 skips <= 9 -> 27 avg 1 in 37.03704 Games with 1 skips <= 9 ->160 avg 1 in 6.25 Games with 2 skips <= 9 ->315 avg 1 in 3.174603 Games with 3 skips <= 9 ->356 avg 1 in 2.808989 Games with 4 skips <= 9 ->142 avg 1 in 7.042253

Games with 0 skips >= 10 ->142 avg 1 in 7.042253 Games with 1 skips >= 10 ->356 avg 1 in 2.808989 Games with 2 skips >= 10 ->315 avg 1 in 3.174603 Games with 3 skips >= 10 ->160 avg 1 in 6.25 Games with 4 skips >= 10 -> 27 avg 1 in 37.03704

pick-4 mid to mid draws

Games with 0 skips <= 9 -> 27 avg 1 in 37.03704 Games with 1 skips <= 9 ->141 avg 1 in 7.092198 Games with 2 skips <= 9 ->331 avg 1 in 3.021148 Games with 3 skips <= 9 ->380 avg 1 in 2.631579 Games with 4 skips <= 9 ->121 avg 1 in 8.264462

Games with 0 skips >= 10 ->121 avg 1 in 8.264462 Games with 1 skips >= 10 ->380 avg 1 in 2.631579 Games with 2 skips >= 10 ->331 avg 1 in 3.021148 Games with 3 skips >= 10 ->141 avg 1 in 7.092198 Games with 4 skips >= 10 -> 27 avg 1 in 37.03704

I will post mid to eve and eve to mid later.

RL

Working on my Ph.D. "University of hard Knocks"

I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

they are not. Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

United States Member #116344 September 8, 2011 3919 Posts Online

Posted: August 6, 2016, 4:19 pm - IP Logged

Is are about ratios, some will spend $30 for prize of $50. I'll like the ratio of spending $300 for $500. If you're risk-aversed, then forget P4, and focus on P3(which has a lot twist/turns with lower payout ).

United States Member #59354 March 13, 2008 3962 Posts Offline

Posted: August 6, 2016, 4:51 pm - IP Logged

p-4 mid to eve

Games with 0 skips <= 9 -> 14 avg 1 in 71.42857 Games with 1 skips <= 9 ->134 avg 1 in 7.462687 Games with 2 skips <= 9 ->384 avg 1 in 2.604167 Games with 3 skips <= 9 ->320 avg 1 in 3.125 Games with 4 skips <= 9 ->148 avg 1 in 6.756757

Games with 0 skips >= 10 ->148 avg 1 in 6.756757 Games with 1 skips >= 10 ->320 avg 1 in 3.125 Games with 2 skips >= 10 ->384 avg 1 in 2.604167 Games with 3 skips >= 10 ->134 avg 1 in 7.462687 Games with 4 skips >= 10 -> 14 avg 1 in 71.42857

p-4 eve to mid

Games with 0 skips <= 9 -> 14 avg 1 in 71.42857 Games with 1 skips <= 9 ->135 avg 1 in 7.407407 Games with 2 skips <= 9 ->384 avg 1 in 2.604167 Games with 3 skips <= 9 ->318 avg 1 in 3.144654 Games with 4 skips <= 9 ->149 avg 1 in 6.71141

Games with 0 skips >= 10 ->149 avg 1 in 6.71141 Games with 1 skips >= 10 ->318 avg 1 in 3.144654 Games with 2 skips >= 10 ->384 avg 1 in 2.604167 Games with 3 skips >= 10 ->135 avg 1 in 7.407407 Games with 4 skips >= 10 -> 14 avg 1 in 71.42857

Working on my Ph.D. "University of hard Knocks"

I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

they are not. Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

United States Member #59354 March 13, 2008 3962 Posts Offline

Posted: August 6, 2016, 4:56 pm - IP Logged

Quote: Originally posted by adobea78 on August 6, 2016

Is are about ratios, some will spend $30 for prize of $50. I'll like the ratio of spending $300 for $500. If you're risk-aversed, then forget P4, and focus on P3(which has a lot twist/turns with lower payout ).

Here in MO p-3 pays $600 for a straight, still not enough for me to get interested. Maybe some day but not now.

Playing for straight hits I hit more digits playing P-4 vs P-3. Don't know why p-4 seems easier but that's where I

am at.

RL

Working on my Ph.D. "University of hard Knocks"

I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

they are not. Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

United States Member #116344 September 8, 2011 3919 Posts Online

Posted: August 6, 2016, 7:12 pm - IP Logged

Quote: Originally posted by RL-RANDOMLOGIC on August 6, 2016

Here in MO p-3 pays $600 for a straight, still not enough for me to get interested. Maybe some day but not now.

Playing for straight hits I hit more digits playing P-4 vs P-3. Don't know why p-4 seems easier but that's where I

am at.

RL

With regard to the ratio 1/10 , P5 is manageable than P4 which is manageable than P3. The issue here is PRIZE RATIO, I will rather opt for $5000 prize with a cost $1000 than a cost of $100 for $500.

Lets take the string 672804 off the MO's eve draw 3018( 8/2/2016), considering 6C_{4} (with digit order), we generate 360 combos:

Permutations without repetition (n=6, r=4) Using Items: 6,7,2,8,0,4

United States Member #59354 March 13, 2008 3962 Posts Offline

Posted: August 7, 2016, 12:27 pm - IP Logged

Quote: Originally posted by adobea78 on August 6, 2016

With regard to the ratio 1/10 , P5 is manageable than P4 which is manageable than P3. The issue here is PRIZE RATIO, I will rather opt for $5000 prize with a cost $1000 than a cost of $100 for $500.

Lets take the string 672804 off the MO's eve draw 3018( 8/2/2016), considering 6C_{4} (with digit order), we generate 360 combos:

Permutations without repetition (n=6, r=4) Using Items: 6,7,2,8,0,4