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Quote: Originally posted by GiveFive on Jan 31, 2022
One more thing about playing smartly.....
I've learned that what "playing smartly" actually means is that you gain insights as to how the numbers behave over time. Every game has behavioral characteristics, and all Pick5 games offered by different states share or have the same behavioral characteristics. I've compared NY's Take5 to FF5 many times in this forum. Yes, they each have a different matrix (5/36 vs 5/39) but the exact same kinds of things happen in Take5 that happen in Fantasy5. The only thing that's different is which numbers those same things happen to. For instance, #1 is the top all time hitter in FF5, and #6 is the all time top hitter in Take5. And you can also see those same behavioral characteristics in other states Pick5 games as well. I've looked in my lottery software at just about every states Pick5 game, and I see the exact same behavioral traits in them that I've seen in FF5.
Here are a few common characteristics that I've seen among multiple states Pick5 games.
Numbers get hot and stay hot for long periods of time. That's true in every state's Pick5 game.
Each year, for a 5/36 or 5/39 game, the top hitting number of the year will have about 60 hits (or more than 60) and you can see which number will be the top hitter of the year by the end of June of that year because it will have about 30 hits. (It's averaging 5 hits per month when most numbers are averaging 4 hits per month) That's true in every states Pick5 game.
See what I mean? G5
Do you think I'm crazy when I say other states Pick5 games behave just like Florida's FF5??
Here's a list of Pick5 games offered in some other states and Florida. It shows the biggest hitter in that state's Pick5 game for all of last year - 2021.
NY Take5 5/39 #33 58 hits in 2021
Nebraska Pick5 5/38 #5 66 hits in 2021
FLA FF5 5/36 #35 63 hits in 2021
New Mexico Roadrunner 5/37 #8 67 hits in 2021
Ohio Rolling Cash5 5/39 #11 59 hits in 2021
California FF5 5/39 #33 58 hits in 2021
Massachusetts Mass Cash 5/35 #20 64 hits in 2021
The matrix of each states game is similar to FF5. While they're not identical, they're pretty close. Most of the games are played every day of the year just as FF5 is.
The list above does not include the following states that offer a Pick5 game; Arizona, Arkansas, Connecticut, Louisiana, Maryland, Maine, Michigan, Mississippi and Missouri all offer Pick5 games with a matrix similar to FF5's. While I didn't look at the data for 2021 in those states, it will be very close to FF5's. G5
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Now that it's February, here's some info regarding the number of jackpots won in January of 2022;
Out of 31 days in January, on 22 of them there was a jackpot winner(s) The other 9 days saw a Rolldown because there was no jackpot winner.
There are a total of 49 players in Florida that either won a FF5 jackpot outright, or shared it with other players. Of those 49 players, 9 of them won a jackpot with a Free Ticket. 19 players won with a QP, which means a total of 28 players won a jackpot with a QP. 21 players won a jackpot with numbers they picked. Only 6 times did a player win the entire jackpot, the other 16 times a jackpot was won, it was split among multiple players. Three times (days) a jackpot was divided equally among 4 players. The other days when there was a jackpot winner it was divided among 2 or 3 players.
The Twenty's Number Group smoked the month of January with 53 hits. The hottest number of the month was #23 with 9 hits.
The Singles had 33 hits, The Teens had 37, and The Thirty's had 32.
So the Twenty's had 34.2% of the 155 numbers drawn during January.
I still think The Teens Number Group will come alive in February and lead the way with the most hits. 140 balls (as opposed to 150 or 155) will be drawn in February because there are 28 days in the month. That makes me think the Teens wont get to 50 or more hits (that's a TON of hits) in February, it probably could be more like 46 or 47.
In regards to 50 or more hits for a Number Group in one calendar month: In 2021 it happened just four times where a number group had at least 50 hits in a month. There 48 opportunities a year for a Number Group to get to 50 or 50+ hits, so you can see it happened just 8% of the time last year. In 2020 it happened just three times, and in 2019 it happened twice. So at least 50 hits in any month for a Number Group is something that des not happen much.
The Twenty's sure kicked off 2022 with a bang, didn't they? G5
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Something to remember and think about when picking your numbers,,,,
Since January 1st, 2019, #35 has 195 hits. That's 12 more hits than second place #17 which has 183 hits in the same time period which consists of 1127 drawings. #35 was among the hits leaders of January 2022, so through the last 37 months, #35 shows no signs of letting up.
It's averaging 65 hits per year and 5.3 hits per month. Those are BIG numbers!
I play it a lot. If I see it start to slow down, I'll post here. G5
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Quote: Originally posted by GiveFive on Feb 1, 2022
Something to remember and think about when picking your numbers,,,,
Since January 1st, 2019, #35 has 195 hits. That's 12 more hits than second place #17 which has 183 hits in the same time period which consists of 1127 drawings. #35 was among the hits leaders of January 2022, so through the last 37 months, #35 shows no signs of letting up.
It's averaging 65 hits per year and 5.3 hits per month. Those are BIG numbers!
I play it a lot. If I see it start to slow down, I'll post here. G5
I would also add the following stat to the above post... #35 is the fifth ranked all time number with 1,079 hits since FF5 began way back in 2001. G5
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Quote: Originally posted by GiveFive on Jan 20, 2022
Let's have some fun.....
There are 12 more drawings left in January.
Both the Teens and Twenty's number groups have averaged 42 hits per month for the last 13 years.
As of last night the Teens has 24 hits and the Twenty's has 32.
My thinking is that with 12 draws remaining in January (60 numbers/balls) the Twenty's will have 42 or more hits in January and be the number group with the most hits. They only need 10 of the 60 balls to be drawn or 16.666% to reach 42 while the Teens needs 18 or 30% of the 60 balls yet to be drawn. The Twenty's has the easier path to 42.
So from now until the end of the month, I say numbers from The Twenty's Number Group should played more than numbers from the Teens. (But don't completely ignore The Teens) I'll keep track daily of how each group is doing and post results here. G5
Little did I realize on January 20th when I posted the above that the Twenty's had 21 more hits still left in the tank! G5
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Quote: Originally posted by GiveFive on Feb 1, 2022
Little did I realize on January 20th when I posted the above that the Twenty's had 21 more hits still left in the tank! G5
And the 20's aren't ready to take a seat just yet. Only had returning #8 last night. I'm on a break until Saturday. Haven't even had a free ticket in the last 4 nights. I stink! Lol Gonna sit back and see what pops over the next few nights.
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Another rolldown last night. As of today, there have been 10 of them which is 31.25% of the 32 drawings held this year. That translates into 118 rolldowns per year. Not Good.
If you're like me, you play FF5 hoping to win a jackpot. Needless to say, I don't want to share it with other players. The reality is that just six times this year has a jackpot been won by one FF5 player. Just 18.75% of this years 32 drawings saw a sole winner.
So with the rolldowns added to jackpots won by multiple players (10 + 16 = 26) approximately 81% of all drawings have not had a single jackpot winner.
When I play a game like PowerBall (not often) like many PB players I'm really playing to win a second place prize. The odds are ridiculously long to win a PB jackpot, but in terms of lottery game odds, PB's second place odds are reasonable. I always buy the PowerPlay option, so if I were to match five numbers, but not the PowerBall, I'd win 2 million dollars. A 2 million dollar payout is pretty sweet considering PB's second places odds.
But for FF5, that's not the case. Although lower tier prize winners benefit from a FF5 rolldown, without one, FF5 lower tier prizes are straight up lousy. It's my belief that most Florida lottery players that regularly buy FF5 tickets have the same thing in mind that I do. They want to be the sole winner of a FF5 jackpot. I hate to burst anyone's bubble, and I'm not advocating players stop playing FF5, but the reality is they probably wont see their dream come true.
It's those sole winners of a FF5 jackpot that are the really lucky one's. G5
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Quote: Originally posted by Alottomystery on Feb 2, 2022
I have not done well lately. However, I did notice that all of last night's numbers came from the past 6 drawings before that. Interesting...
If I had a higher level of membership to The Lottery Post I could post a chart/graph that you'd probably find pretty interesting or revealing. It shows how many hits come from previous drawings. Paying for a membership to The LP doesn't make much sense for me because I have the same data The LP has. Paying for a membership just so I can have the ability to post pretty charts and graphs doesn't make sense for me.
Hopefully I can give you an idea of what I'm talking about without a pretty picture. FF5 is just like any other game in that the vast majority of numbers that hit, also hit just a few drawings previously. That's a very common thing to find no matter what states game you choose, no matter if it's a Pick5 game or if it's a Pick6 game.
So let me try to show you what I'm talking about with the following:
Over the entire life of FF5 (7,506 drawings since July of 2001) there have been;
5,297 hits that skipped 0 drawings. (the number was a "repeater" or it was drawn in two consecutive drawings)
4,534 one-skips a number hit, skipped a drawing, and then hit again
3,880 two-skips a number hit, skipped two drawings, and then hit again
3,280 three-skips
2,869 four-skips
2,386 five-skips
2,071 six-skips
1,868 seven-skips
1,554 eight-skips
1,359 nine-skips
1,201 ten-skips
978 eleven-skips
875 twelve-skips
742 thirteen-skips
619 fourteen-skips
I could keep going and extend the above data out to a "sixty seven-skip" of which there has been only 1, (#24 skipped 67 drawings in 2012 which is the longest skip ever in FF5) but I'm sure you can see what the table is telling you. As of last night, there have been a total of 37,530 winning numbers drawn. 21,037 (56%) of those 37,530 were a six-skip or less!
Some say FF5 is "a two-skip game"... but in reality all games are a two-skip game. This is why it pays to make your lines of five numbers composed of four numbers with ten-skips or less, and then pick one number that's skipped a lot of drawings. Rarely do we see a set of five winning numbers with all five numbers being three-skips or less, but it does happen, usually about 5 or 6 times per year. The last time it happened was August of last year, so I keep looking for it to happen soon, and I play a few lines on my ticket with all five numbers that are three-skips or less. ("Five from the last four" or 5FTL4.)
Hope this helps with your number picking. Good Luck! G5
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Quote: Originally posted by GiveFive on Feb 2, 2022
If I had a higher level of membership to The Lottery Post I could post a chart/graph that you'd probably find pretty interesting or revealing. It shows how many hits come from previous drawings. Paying for a membership to The LP doesn't make much sense for me because I have the same data The LP has. Paying for a membership just so I can have the ability to post pretty charts and graphs doesn't make sense for me.
Hopefully I can give you an idea of what I'm talking about without a pretty picture. FF5 is just like any other game in that the vast majority of numbers that hit, also hit just a few drawings previously. That's a very common thing to find no matter what states game you choose, no matter if it's a Pick5 game or if it's a Pick6 game.
So let me try to show you what I'm talking about with the following:
Over the entire life of FF5 (7,506 drawings since July of 2001) there have been;
5,297 hits that skipped 0 drawings. (the number was a "repeater" or it was drawn in two consecutive drawings)
4,534 one-skips a number hit, skipped a drawing, and then hit again
3,880 two-skips a number hit, skipped two drawings, and then hit again
3,280 three-skips
2,869 four-skips
2,386 five-skips
2,071 six-skips
1,868 seven-skips
1,554 eight-skips
1,359 nine-skips
1,201 ten-skips
978 eleven-skips
875 twelve-skips
742 thirteen-skips
619 fourteen-skips
I could keep going and extend the above data out to a "sixty seven-skip" of which there has been only 1, (#24 skipped 67 drawings in 2012 which is the longest skip ever in FF5) but I'm sure you can see what the table is telling you. As of last night, there have been a total of 37,530 winning numbers drawn. 21,037 (56%) of those 37,530 were a six-skip or less!
Some say FF5 is "a two-skip game"... but in reality all games are a two-skip game. This is why it pays to make your lines of five numbers composed of four numbers with ten-skips or less, and then pick one number that's skipped a lot of drawings. Rarely do we see a set of five winning numbers with all five numbers being three-skips or less, but it does happen, usually about 5 or 6 times per year. The last time it happened was August of last year, so I keep looking for it to happen soon, and I play a few lines on my ticket with all five numbers that are three-skips or less. ("Five from the last four" or 5FTL4.)
Hope this helps with your number picking. Good Luck! G5
Because all lottery games have such long odds, players need an "edge". And every single edge they can get!
IMHO, the best edge anybody can get is playing smartly. While smart play will very likely reward you with many more small prize wins than players you know that don't possess the knowledge you do, you're still going to need a little luck to put you over the top and win a jackpot.
So what are some "edges" you can use to take your game to the next level?
Skips are a huge edge many players use. My post above talks about "skips"... Numbers that are hot have a short skip cycle, and those that are cold have a long skip cycle. For instance #35, last years top hitter, skipped an average of 4.7 draws between hits. #32 which hit the least in 2021, had an average of 8.7 drawings between hits.
Players often say things like "That #27 came back quick" which in effect means it was a short skip. That's why knowledgeable players pick a lot of short skip numbers for their lines...mostly numbers that have skipped fewer than ten draws. But don't forget to include a long skip ("a longshot") on the line too.
I play one "repeater" on just about every line I play because repeaters have been drawn in nearly 50% of all drawings.
I realize that it's hard to see/know some of the things I write about here without having lottery software on your PC. There are a few "edges" other than skips that I can write about, but without having software they're almost invisible to the average player.
Adjacent's is another edge you can use. One or two adjacent's have appeared in a very high percentage of all drawings. If #6 came out last night, #5 or #7 might be a good pick for tonight's drawing.
Odd/even sometimes is good to use. All things even out given enough time... so if there has been a lot of odd numbers drawn lately, pick a few more even numbers than you do odd. High/Low...same thing. If there has been a lot of low numbers drawn lately, then pick more high numbers than you do low numbers.
Sum total -- the sum of the numbers on your lines should be in a range from 70 to 115. A large percentage of all jackpot winning lines drawn in all 7,506 drawings had a total that fell in that range. A total of 92/93 is the sweet spot or center of the range. Sure there have been drawings that had a total of less than 70 or greater than 115, but they have not happened as much as all of the jackpot winning lines that totalled up to 70 to 115.
Knowing the above unfortunately does not guarantee that you'll win a jackpot, but using what you know does provide you with the satisfaction that you aren't blindly wasting a dollar or two as you otherwise would be if you had zero knowledge. G5
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I'm sure you have heard somebody say "Buy Quick Picks because QP's have won more jackpots." And they'd be absolutely 100% correct about QP's having won more jackpot's than Player Picks or "PP's".
Here's something else that's 100% correct. 75% of all lottery tickets sold are QP's. (Although that doesn't seem to be the case with FF5. It looks like it's closer to 50/50 with FF5) If QP's are 75% of all tickets sold, then just 25% are PP's, which means QP lines out number PP lines 3 to 1.
If Florida sold 100,000 FF5 lines, then 75,000 of them would be QP's and 25,000 would be PP's. If you put that on a pie graph, a three quarters sized slice of the pie would be QP's and a one quarter sized slice would be PP's. Which slice do you think the jackpot winning numbers has the best chance of coming from?
Buying QP's is all well and good, but you lose all control over the numbers you get. How do you know you wont get a line of five longshots and no short skips? What if the terminal gave you a line with four consecutive numbers? (Lines like that are hardly ever drawn) What if the sum of the five numbers was 25, or 140? There are any number of reasons why players don't want to buy QP's, but ya know what? I play a couple of QP's every time I pick my FF5 numbers. That way I have both based covered.
And while I'm at it...Jackpot Triple Play currently has a jackpot of $1.2 million. I bought 5 QP's for it today. Almost every JTP jackpot winner has been a QP. I could use my software to chose my numbers, but because I only play JTP when the jackpot grows to over 1 million, I don't bother with my software. JTP odds to win a jackpot aren't as extreme as PowerBall's so when it's jackpot gets to a million bucks, I slam a few bucks on it until somebody hits it and the jackpot resets. G5
BTW an edge I forgot to put in my post above this post: Play 3 odd and 2 even numbers or 3 even and 2 odd's on all of your lines. Out of the 376,992 possible combinations of five numbers a 5/36 matrix produces, 249,696 of those combo's are 3 odd/2 even or 3 even/2 odd. (124,848 each)
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Quote: Originally posted by GiveFive on Feb 2, 2022
Because all lottery games have such long odds, players need an "edge". And every single edge they can get!
IMHO, the best edge anybody can get is playing smartly. While smart play will very likely reward you with many more small prize wins than players you know that don't possess the knowledge you do, you're still going to need a little luck to put you over the top and win a jackpot.
So what are some "edges" you can use to take your game to the next level?
Skips are a huge edge many players use. My post above talks about "skips"... Numbers that are hot have a short skip cycle, and those that are cold have a long skip cycle. For instance #35, last years top hitter, skipped an average of 4.7 draws between hits. #32 which hit the least in 2021, had an average of 8.7 drawings between hits.
Players often say things like "That #27 came back quick" which in effect means it was a short skip. That's why knowledgeable players pick a lot of short skip numbers for their lines...mostly numbers that have skipped fewer than ten draws. But don't forget to include a long skip ("a longshot") on the line too.
I play one "repeater" on just about every line I play because repeaters have been drawn in nearly 50% of all drawings.
I realize that it's hard to see/know some of the things I write about here without having lottery software on your PC. There are a few "edges" other than skips that I can write about, but without having software they're almost invisible to the average player.
Adjacent's is another edge you can use. One or two adjacent's have appeared in a very high percentage of all drawings. If #6 came out last night, #5 or #7 might be a good pick for tonight's drawing.
Odd/even sometimes is good to use. All things even out given enough time... so if there has been a lot of odd numbers drawn lately, pick a few more even numbers than you do odd. High/Low...same thing. If there has been a lot of low numbers drawn lately, then pick more high numbers than you do low numbers.
Sum total -- the sum of the numbers on your lines should be in a range from 70 to 115. A large percentage of all jackpot winning lines drawn in all 7,506 drawings had a total that fell in that range. A total of 92/93 is the sweet spot or center of the range. Sure there have been drawings that had a total of less than 70 or greater than 115, but they have not happened as much as all of the jackpot winning lines that totalled up to 70 to 115.
Knowing the above unfortunately does not guarantee that you'll win a jackpot, but using what you know does provide you with the satisfaction that you aren't blindly wasting a dollar or two as you otherwise would be if you had zero knowledge. G5
I used to play a select group of numbers on FF5, but now I simply buy (2) QP then hope for the best. This afternoon i had a few lotto tickets to cash in. On my way to the counter I put $2 in the machine for 2 Fantasy5 QP tickets. Not realizing I earned two free FF5 from my current stash. So tonight I have 4 FF5 QP's.
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Quote: Originally posted by Alottomystery on Feb 2, 2022
Awesome information. You always share an abundance of knowledge and we appreciate you GiveFive.
Thank you.
I enjoy analyzing the numbers to see how they behave, and I don't mind sharing what I've learned. Who knows? Maybe somebody reading what I've posted will use the information I post, and also have a little luck come into their life... and WHAMMO! A big pile of cash will fall right out of the sky and land in their lap.
Believe it or not, a big pile of cash fell out of the sky and landed in my lap about 12 years ago except it had absolutely nothing to do with buying lottery tickets. I received a notice in the US Mail from a big law firm in New York City about me joining a class action lawsuit that involved my employer and a lot of other people that worked for the company I worked for. To join the law suit I had to mail them back a post card and opt in the suit. On a lark, I sent the card back and opted in, but my thoughts were that if I ever saw any money from it, it would be peanuts. Imagine my surprise when months later I got an envelope from that law firm with a check in it made out to me for $13,000...... The suit was filed by employees of my company that said my employer had cheated them out of overtime pay and we won!!
Here's to a big pile of cash falling out of the sky and landing in your lap. G5
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A lot of the information I post isn't a big secret and there are players around that have known about the things I post for years. Most of it is pretty obvious too.
For instance playing lines with 3 odd/2 even numbers or 3 even/2 odd numbers is pretty basic. Those 249,696 combos represent 62.23% of the total 376,992 possible combos. That says they have the greatest probability/likelyhood of being drawn. So do like all football coaches do, go with the play has the largest probability of being successful. It still might not work, but it's likely that it will.
The the best thing anybody can do with the lottery is to give yourself the highest probability of being successful. To do that, you have to use your knowledge of how the numbers behave to pick your own numbers, and then hope that Lady Luck is on your side too. If you dont have basic knowledge of how lottery numbers for the game you like to play behave, then all you're doing is casting your fate to the wind. G5