As much as we would like to believe that there's some way that we can predict the numbers to the lottery and improve our chances of winning, I believe that anybody that buys lottery prediction software is throwing their money away. Well, now here's a chance to prove me and all of the other skeptics out here wrong. I'm going to offer a challenge, but I don't believe anybody will seriously take me up on it. First though, some math is in order.
If you buy one Mega Millions ticket, your odds of winning something are 1 in 43. That's the value that's given on this website, but it's rounded off. A more accurate value is 1 in 42.73650937.
So the probability of winning something is 0.023399
The probability of not winning is 0.976601
So in 104 drawings or 1 year we have the following possibilities:
0 wins: (0.976601)^104 = .085229
1 win: 104C1 x (0.023399) x (0.976601)^103 = 0.212373
2 wins : 104C2 x (0.023399)^2 x (0.976601)^102 = 0.2620
3 wins : 104C3 x (0.023399)^3 x (0.976601)^101 = 0.213474
4 wins : 104C4 x (0.023399)^4 x (0.976601)^100 = 0.129148
5 wins : 104C5 x (0.023399)^5 x (0.976601)^99 = 0.061887
6 wins : 104C6 x (0.023399)^6 x (0.976601)^98 = 0.024466
7 wins : 104C7 x (0.023399)^7 x (0.976601)^97 = 0.008207
The sum of the probabilities is 0.996835
So, the probability of winning 8 or more times out of 104 drawings is only 0.3165%
So, my challenge is as follows:
1) post one set of five numbers and one Megaball number at least one hour before each MM drawing.
2) If you can win 8 or more times out of 104 drawings then it's highly likely that your lottery prediction system works.
Do we have any takers?