Coin Toss's Blog

Could 'Goldilocks' planet be just right for life?

Could 'Goldilocks' planet be just right for life?

Could 'Goldilocks' planet be just right for life?
AP

By SETH BORENSTEIN, AP Science Writer Seth Borenstein, Ap Science Writer – Wed Sep 29, 7:19 pm ET

WASHINGTON – Astronomers say they have for the first time spotted aplanet beyond our own in what is sometimes called the Goldilocks zonefor life: Not too hot, not too cold. Juuuust right.

Not too far from its star, not too close. So it could contain liquidwater. The planet itself is neither too big nor too small for theproper surface, gravity and atmosphere.

It's just right. Just like Earth.

"This really is the first Goldilocks planet," said co-discoverer R. Paul Butler of the Carnegie Institution of Washington.

The new planet sits smack in the middle of what astronomers refer to asthe habitable zone, unlike any of the nearly 500 other planetsastronomers have found outside our solar system. And it is in ourgalactic neighborhood, suggesting that plenty of Earth-like planetscircle other stars.

Finding a planet that could potentially support life is a major step toward answering the timeless question: Are we alone?

Scientists have jumped the gun before on proclaiming that planetsoutside our solar system were habitable only to have them turn out tobe not quite so conducive to life. But this one is so clearly in theright zone that five outside astronomers told The Associated Press itseems to be the real thing.

"This is the first one I'm truly excited about," said Penn StateUniversity's Jim Kasting. He said this planet is a "pretty primecandidate" for harboring life.

Life on other planets doesn't mean E.T. Even a simple single-cellbacteria or the equivalent of shower mold would shake perceptions aboutthe uniqueness of life on Earth.

But there are still many unanswered questions about this strangeplanet. It is about three times the mass of Earth, slightly larger inwidth and much closer to its star — 14 million miles away versus 93million. It's so close to its version of the sun that it orbits every37 days. And it doesn't rotate much, so one side is almost alwaysbright, the other dark.

Temperatures can be as hot as 160 degrees or as frigid as 25 degreesbelow zero, but in between — in the land of constant sunrise — it wouldbe "shirt-sleeve weather," said co-discoverer Steven Vogt of theUniversity of California at Santa Cruz.

It's unknown whether water actually exists on the planet, and what kindof atmosphere it has. But because conditions are ideal for liquidwater, and because there always seems to be life on Earth where thereis water, Vogt believes "that chances for life on this planet are 100percent."

The astronomers' findings are being published in Astrophysical Journaland were announced by the National Science Foundation on Wednesday.

The planet circles a star called Gliese 581. It's about 120 trillionmiles away, so it would take several generations for a spaceship to getthere. It may seem like a long distance, but in the scheme of the vastuniverse, this planet is "like right in our face, right next door tous," Vogt said in an interview.

That close proximity and the way it was found so early in astronomers'search for habitable planets hints to scientists that planets likeEarth are probably not that rare.

Vogt and Butler ran some calculations, with giant fudge factors builtin, and figured that as much as one out of five to 10 stars in theuniverse have planets that are Earth-sized and in the habitable zone.

With an estimated 200 billion stars in the universe, that means maybe40 billion planets that have the potential for life, Vogt said.However, Ohio State University's Scott Gaudi cautioned that is toospeculative about how common these planets are.

Vogt and Butler used ground-based telescopes to track the star'sprecise movements over 11 years and watch for wobbles that indicateplanets are circling it. The newly discovered planet is actually thesixth found circling Gliese 581. Two looked promising for habitabilityfor a while, another turned out to be too hot and the fifth is likelytoo cold. This sixth one bracketed right in the sweet spot in between,Vogt said.

With the star designated "a," its sixth planet is called Gliese 581g.

"It's not a very interesting name and it's a beautiful planet," Vogtsaid. Unofficially, he's named it after his wife: "I call it Zarmina'sWorld."

The star Gliese 581 is a dwarf, about one-third the strength of oursun. Because of that, it can't be seen without a telescope from Earth,although it is in the Libra constellation, Vogt said.

But if you were standing on this new planet, you could easily see our sun, Butler said.

The low-energy dwarf star will live on for billions of years, muchlonger than our sun, he said. And that just increases the likelihood oflife developing on the planet, the discoverers said.

"It's pretty hard to stop life once you give it the right conditions," Vogt said.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100929/...sci_new_earths
Entry #151

George Blanda, NFL great, dead at 83

George Blanda, the legendary quarterback and kicker for four differentNFL teams, died at the age of 83. George Blanda played a record 26seasons.

George Blanda, the Hall of Fame quarterback and kickerwho played a record 26 seasons of professional football and once almostsingle-handedly won five consecutive games for the Oakland Raiders, hasdied. He was 83.

The Pro Football Hall of Fame said Blanda diedMonday after a brief illness, and the Raiders issued a statementcalling him "a brave Raider and a close personal friend of Raidersowner Al Davis."

Blanda, who career dated to an era when players routinely manned two positions, scored a then-record 2,002 points.

Hescored those by throwing for 236 touchdowns and running for nine, aswell as kicking 335 field goals and 943 extra points. He retired beforethe 1976 season, a month shy of his 49th birthday, having spent 10seasons with the Chicago Bears, part of one with the Baltimore Colts,seven with the Houston Oilers and his last nine with the Raiders.

Ifyou put him in a group of most-competitive, biggest-clutch players, Ithink he'd have to be the guy who would win it all," his Raiders coach,John Madden, said in a phone interview Monday. "He was the mostcompetitive guy that I ever knew."

Never was that more evidentthan during a five-game stretch in 1970 when the 43-year-old Blanda,his chiseled jaw framed by salt-and-pepper sideburns, led the Raidersto four victories and one tie with late touchdown throws or field goals.

"Itgot to the point where when he'd come in [the game], the whole teamwould go, 'Here comes George. We're going to do it now,' " Madden said."Then pretty soon all the fans started believing, and they'd all gonuts. And then the topper is when the opponents knew it. It was like,'Oh no, here he comes.' "

That remarkable stretch began on Oct.25, 1970, when Blanda replaced an injured Daryle Lamonica and threwthree touchdown passes in a 31-14 victory over Pittsburgh.

In the four games that followed, he:

Kicked a 48-yard field goal in the final seconds to forge a 17-17 tie at Kansas City.

Threwa tying touchdown pass with one minute, 34 seconds remaining, thenkicked the game-winning 52-yard field goal in the final seconds of a23-20 victory over Cleveland.

Threw a 20-yard touchdown pass to Fred Biletnikoff in a 24-19 victory over Denver.

Kicked a 16-yard field goal in the final seconds for a 20-17 victory over San Diego.

SaidDavis in an interview with NFL Films: "Whenever we were in trouble,John just went to the bullpen, waved his hand, and George came in andstarted throwing those miraculous touchdown passes and kicking thosemiraculous field goals."

In looking at that incredible streak,NFL Films called Blanda "football's King Tut exhibit," noting that eventhough people initially thought the quarterback was too old to be aplayer, "He was just the right age to become a legend."

Blandawas born Sept. 17, 1927, in Youngwood, Pa., one of 11 children of acoalminer and his homemaker wife. When Blanda entered the NFL as a12th-round draft pick out of the University of Kentucky in 1949, heshowed even more versatility by playing linebacker for George Halas'Bears. That was out of necessity, considering he was the thirdquarterback behind Johnny Lujack and future Hall of Famer Sid Luckman.

Blandawon the starting quarterback job in 1953 but lost it the followingseason because of injury. His playing time dwindled after that, and heretired in 1959 when it became clear the Bears wanted him as afull-time kicker.

But he didn't sit around long. In 1960, hejoined the Oilers of the new American Football League, and wound upplaying a total of 16 more seasons in Houston and Oakland beforecalling it quits after the 1975 season. Among his many NFL records,he's in the books as the only player whose career spanned four decades.

Blandamade an immediate splash in the upstart AFL, earning player-of-the-yearhonors in 1961 after throwing for 3,330 yards and setting a profootball record with 36 touchdown passes. That stood until 1986, whenit was broken by Miami's Dan Marino.

Also in 1961, Blanda tied apro football record with seven touchdown passes in a game, a mark henow shares with Joe Kapp, Y.A. Tittle, Adrian Burk and Luckman.

"Whatpeople don't know is when we look at the film, Blanda probably couldhave topped that number," said Steve Sabol, president of NFL Films."They were routing the [New York] Titans, and Blanda came out of thegame early in the second half. He had seven touchdown passes midwaythrough the third quarter when they took him out."

Sabolremembers going to Blanda's home and interviewing the recently-retiredquarterback. When they were finished, Blanda proudly showed him ahomemade Christmas card drawn by his wife, who had been an art major incollege. It was a cartoon of Blanda standing with Santa, who told him,"You're the only little boy I gave a uniform to that's still using it."

Blanda,who split time between homes in Chicago and La Quinta, is survived byhis wife, Betty, and two children. Services are pending.

Copyright 2010 Los Angeles Times
On the go? Take the Chicago Tribune's iPhone app with you >>

Copyright © 2010, Tribune Interactive
http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/sns-b...0,5384243.story

Entry #150

70's Board Game Contains Eerie BP Oil Spill Scenarios

"Tin hat", or ?

A nearly 40-year-old board game is getting a lot of new attentionbecause of eerie similarities between the scenarios of its play and the78-day-old BP Gulf oil disaster.

The game BP Offshore Oil Strike, which came out in the 1970s and isadorned with an old BP logo, revolves around four players exploring foroil, building platforms and constructing pipelines all in the name of being the first to make $120 million.

But like the real-life oil game there are some big hazards, too.Players have to deal with the possibility of large-scale oil spills andcover cleanup costs. You struggle with "hazard cards" that includephrases now part of our daily vernacular, including: "Blow-out! Rigdamaged. Oil slick cleanup costs. Pay $1 million."

Sound a little familiar? The similarity has led to discussions allover the Web. It's prompted people to dig in their attics and put theirold games up on eBay many of which have promptly been snatched up.

One copy of the game was donated to the largest toy museum in England, the House on the Hill Toy Museum in Stansted, Essex.

The museum's owner, Alan Goldsmith, told CNN he was shocked when he saw the donated game.

"It was sort of uncanny how it was similar to what's happeningreally," Goldsmith said. "I thought it was odd that it was a game inthe '70s, which has basically now come true. The interesting thing isthat it was in dollars, even though it was a European game. The cleanupbill was $1 million, which we now know isn't nearly enough, but it is aweird colorful circle."

The game came out during the oil crisis of the '70s and perhaps it was an attempt to drum up support for U.S.-based drilling.

Goldsmith said as a part of the game, players work to amass adrilling empire. But the game comes with all of the scenarios of thepresent Gulf disaster. Even the game board and cover resemble imagesfrom the Gulf these days with rigs attempting to reach far into the ocean depths.

The game has many people online remarking about whether it eerily foreshadowed the current BP disaster.

"It's strange, you've got this fictitious board game with fictitious drama but it couldn't be any closer to the reality of what's happening now," Goldsmith said.

The world of video games, meanwhile, appears to have a more direct link to the Gulf oil disaster.

In "Crisis in the Gulf," which an independent producer released last month for the Xbox, gamers use weapons to zap blobs of oil.

The game is available for purchase through Xbox's online marketplace.

http://news.blogs.cnn.com/2010/07/06/70s-board-game-contains-eerie-bp-oil-spill-scenarios/?hpt=T2

Entry #148

History Repeats Itself, the 49 Year Cycle

This is from a book called 11:11 The Time Prompt Phenomenon
by Marie D. Jones and Larry Flaxman

The History Repeats Itself Every 49 Years is by Jim Snell:

1812: Percival, the prime minister of great Britain is "assassinated" and War of 1812
Then 49 years later...
1861: Beginning of the Civil War, and assassination of Abraham Lincoln

Then, 49 years after 1865...
1914: Assassination of the Arch Duke of Austria, Franz Ferdinand, which triggers beginning of World War I.
Then, 49 years after 1914...

1963: Assassination of John F. Kennedy, and we were in the very beginning of Viet Nam at the time.
Then 49 years after 1963...

2012:Will we have another assasination of a "World Leader", and maybe thebeginning of World War III? Will the "49 year cycle" be broken, or arewe going to witness the beginning of the "Mother of All Wars"? We shallsee!

Also note that every other assassination was an American President

Entry #147

Ducks Quack, Eagles Soar

Ducks Quack - Eagles Soar
No one can make you serve customers well....that's because great service is a choice.
Harvey Mackay, tells a wonderful story about a cab driver that proved this point.

He was waiting in line for a ride at the airport. When a cab pulled up, the first thing Harvey noticed was that the taxi was polished to a bright shine.. Smartly dressed in a white shirt, black tie, and freshly pressed black slacks, the cab driver jumped out and rounded the car to open the back passenger door for Harvey .

He handed my friend a laminated card and said: 'I'm Wally, your driver. While I'm loading your bags in the trunk I'd like you to read my mission statement.'

Taken  aback, Harvey read the card.. It said: Wally's Mission Statement: To get my customers to their destination in the quickest, safest and cheapest way possible in a friendly environment....

This blew Harvey away. Especially when he noticed that the inside of the cab matched the outside. Spotlessly clean!

As he slid behind the wheel, Wally said, 'Would you like a cup of coffee?I have a thermos of regular and one of decaf.' My friend said jokingly,'No, I'd prefer a soft drink.' Wally smiled and said, 'No problem. Ihave a cooler up front with regular and Diet Coke, water and orange juice..' Almost stuttering, Harvey said, 'I'll take a Diet Coke.'

Handing him his drink, Wally said, 'If you'd like something to read, I have The Wall Street Journal, Time, Sports Illustrated and USA Today..'

As they were pulling away, Wally handed my friend another laminated card,'These are the stations I get and the music they play, if you'd like to listen to the radio.'

And as if that weren't enough, Wally told Harvey that he had the air conditioning on and asked if the temperature was comfortable for him. Then he advised Harvey of the best route to his destination for that time of day. He also let him know that he'd be happy to chat and tell him about some of the sights or, if Harvey preferred, to leave him with his own thoughts...

'Tell me, Wally,' my amazed friend asked the driver, 'have you always served customers like this?'

Wally smiled into the rear view mirror. 'No, not always. In fact, it's onlybeen in the last two years. My first five years driving, I spent most of my time complaining like all the rest of the cabbies do. Then Iheard the personal growth guru, Wayne Dyer, on the radio one day.

He had just written a book called You'll See It When You Believe It. Dyer said that if you get up in the morning expecting to have a bad day, you'll rarely disappoint yourself.. He said, 'Stop complaining! Differentiate yourself from your competition. Don't be a duck. Be an eagle. Ducks quack and complain. Eagles soar above the crowd.'

'That hit me right between the eyes,' said Wally. 'Dyer was really talkingabout me. I was always quacking and complaining, so I decided to change my attitude and become an eagle. I looked around at the other cabs and their drivers.. The cabs were dirty, the drivers were unfriendly, and the customers were unhappy. So I decided to make some changes. I put in a few at a time. When my customers responded well, I did more.'

'I take it that has paid off for you,' Harvey said.

'It sure has,' Wally replied. 'My first year as an eagle, I doubled my income from the previous year. This year I'll probably quadruple it.You were lucky to get me today. I don't sit at cab stands anymore. My customers call me for appointments on my cell phone or leave a message on my answering machine. If I can't pick them up myself, I get areliable cabbie friend to do it and I take a piece of the action.'

Wallywas phenomenal. He was running a limo service out of a Yellow Cab. I've probably told that story to more than fifty cab drivers over the years, and only two took the idea and ran with it. Whenever I go to their cities, I give them a call. The rest of the drivers quacked like ducksand told me all the reasons they couldn't do any of what I was suggesting.

Wally the Cab Driver made a different choice. He decided to stop quacking like ducks and start soaring like eagles.
How about us? Smile, and the whole world smiles with you.... The ball is in our hands!
A man reaps what he sows. Let us not become weary in doing good, for at the proper time we will reap a harvest if we do not give up... let us do good to all people.
Ducks Quack, Eagles Soar.

Have a nice day, unless you already have other plans.

SORROW looks back, WORRY looks around, and FAITH looks UP... BECAUSE OF FATHER'S LOVE, I AM CHANGED!!!
"Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass. It's about learning to dance in the rain."
Ducks Quack - Eagles Soar

Entry #146

Puns for the bright

Puns for those with a higher IQ

Those who jump off a bridge in Paris are in Seine.

A man's home is his castle, in a manor of speaking.

Dijon vu - the same mustard as before.

Practice safe eating - always use condiments.

Shotgun wedding - a case of wife or death.

A hangover is the wrath of grapes.

Dancing cheek-to-cheek is really a form of floor play.

Does the name Pavlov ring a bell?

Reading while sunbathing makes you well red.

When two egotists meet, it's an I for an I.

What's the definition of a will? It's a dead give away.

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

In Democracy your vote counts. In Feudalism, your Count votes.

Acupuncture is a jab well done.

Entry #145

Lottery Pyramid - July 5 2010 National Examiner

I'm putting this here for anyone who wants to refer to it.

Air

Gemini: even numbers harmonize fate's vibrations.Buy two lottey tickets swith the same numbers and keep both under thepyramid for twin power. Lucky dates: June 5, Aug. 5 and 21, Oct. 7, Dec. 5 and 9. Lucky numbers: 11, 15, 35, 39, 6, 23

Libra: Balance in all things is the key. Place yourticket under the pyramid in the fulcrum of the week - anytimeWednesday. Lucky dates: June 16, July 21, Aug. 30, Sep. 7, Oct. 21,Dec. 2 Lucky numbers: 30, 1, 12, 46, 35, 19

Aquarius: Be a bearer of good tidings. Carry your ticket near your heart and place it under the pyramid 12 hours from the drawing. Lucky dates: May 12, June 9, Aug. 20, Oct. 11, Nov. 17, Dec. 25  Lucky numbers: 46, 31, 6, 11, 23, 30

Earth

Taurus: To make Lady Luck bullish on you, wrap the ticket in bright red, then cover the parcel with the pyramid during daylight only. Lucky dates: June 9 and 11, Aug. 30, Sep. 9. Nov. 19, Dec. 22.  Lucky numbers: 7, 21, 4, 30, 11, 39

Virgo: Have a female relative or close female friend - the older the better-  slip the ticket under the pyramid. Lucky dates: June 5 and 12, July 18, Oct. 14, Nov. 15 and 17. Lucky numbers: 20, 33, 14, 40, 21, 8.

Capricorn: To have a goats of a chance, place the pyramid over the ticket with the Earth-sign side facing north. Lucky dates: June 11, Aug. 8, Sept. 9, Nov. 12, Dec. 22 and 25. Lucky numbers: 6, 21, 7, 33, 22, 30.

Aries: followers of the warrior sign prefer to attack at dawn....So that's when your ticket should invade your pyramid. Lucky dates: June 18, july 10. Sept. 27, Oct. 7 and 9, Nov. 19. Lucky numbers: 8, 9, 1, 26, 41, 43.

Leo: Show courage and give up a vice for good vibes beofre putting the ticket under the pyramid. Lucky dates: June 28, Aug. 29, Sept. 15, Nov. 30, Dec. 20 and 21. Lucky numbers: 5, 8, 11, 15, 44, 12

Sagittarius: Draw concentric circles on paper, put the ticket at the center, and cover with the pyramid. Lucky dates: June 17 & 20, July 11, Oct. 18, Nov. 13, Dec. 15. Lucky numbers: 23, 14, 16, 17, 43, 33.

Water

Pisces: Cover the ticket with the pyramid and place near water to absorb the source of all water signs' power. Lucky dates: June 8 and 15, July 17, Aug. 29, Sept. 23, Dec. 26. Lucky numbers: 31, 4, 11, 40, 44, 3.

Cancer: Use two clothespins to attach a dollar bill to the ticket and place them under the pyramid. Lucky dates: June 17, July 9, Aug. 5, sept. 24, Oct. 19 and 26. Lucky numbers: 36, 23, 14, 1, 5, 8.

Scorpio: Place the ace of diamonds over the ticket and cover with the pyramid. Lucky dates: June 3 and 10, July 4, Sept. 12, Nov. 7, and Dec. 4. Lucky numbers: 8, 10, 35, 19, 3, 7.

Good luck everyone.

Lep

Entry #144

Chuck Shepherd's News of the Weird

Can't be true
According to a May report by Seattle's KOMO-TV, formerOregon National Guardsman Gary Pfeider II is awaiting the results ofhis latest appeal to end the garnishment of his disability checks tocover $3,175 for gear he "lost" when he was shot in Iraq. Pfeider washit in the leg by a sniper in 2007, bled profusely, and was evacuated (and is awaiting his ninth surgery on the leg), but the Oregon Guardapparently believes that, despite his trauma, Pfeider somehow shouldhave paused to inventory the equipment he was carrying and to makearrangements fir its safekeeping during his imminent hospitalization.

Sucker nation
TheNew Living Expo in San Francisco in May showcased such "healthy-living"breakthroughs as a $1,200 machine promising to suck toxins out of yourbody; a $249 silver amulet to protect you from "deadly" cell phoneradiation; and a $15,000 Turbo Sonic if your red blood cells need to be"de-clumped." A Canadian study at the same time found that 97 per centof the people who admitted buying "anti-aging" products did not thinkthey would work but nevertheless confessed their need to hope likethose who "hope" the viper-venom derived $525 Euoko Y-30 Intense LiftConcentrate will prolong their lives.

////////////////////////////

Hmmm:

A Canadian study at the same time found that 97 per centof the people who admitted buying "anti-aging" products did not thinkthey would work but nevertheless confessed their need to hope likethose who "hope" the viper-venom derived $525 Euoko Y-30 Intense LiftConcentrate will prolong their lives.

Wonder if lottery system buyers are the same breed.

Entry #143

Misheard lyrics

For some laughs go to www.kissthisguy.com

Here's a few samples:

Piece of My Heart:
THE MISHEARD:
You're out on the street, lookin' good
In your BVD's now.

You're So Vain
THE MISHEARD:
I had some creams and there's ants in pantry!
Ants in the pantry!

Angel of the Morning
THE MISHEARD:
Just call me angel of the morning, angel
Just brush your teeth before you leave me

Be My Baby
THE MISHEARD:
The night we met I knew I...needed to sew.

Entry #142

Vernon Howards' Secrets of Life

The late Vernon Howard was quite a character. If you do a search for him on the net you'll find an interesting story.

This is one of his lessons:

"GROCERIES

'I would like to attend your class.'

'We meet Saturday at ten in the morning.'

'I usually shop for groceries on Saturday morning, but maybe
I can make it.'

'You won't make it.'

"How do you know?'

'You have just told me what you really value.'"

There is a Way Out, p. 71

Entry #141

Loyalty Day

Loyalty Day

Loyalty Day originally began as "Americanization Day" in 1921 as a counter to the Communists' May 1 celebration of theRussian Revolution. On May 1, 1930, 10,000 VFW members staged a rallyat New York's Union Square to promote patriotism. Through a resolutionadopted in 1949, May 1 evolved into Loyalty Day. Observances began in1950 on April 28 and climaxed May 1 when more than five million people across the nation held rallies. In New York City, more than 100,000 people rallied for America. In 1958 Congress enacted Public Law 529 proclaiming Loyalty Day a permanent fixture on the nation's calendar.

http://www.vfw.org/index.cfm?fa=cmty.leveld&did=2484

Entry #140

How Privacy Vanishes Online, a Bit at a Time

How Privacy Vanishes Online
By STEVE LOHR
Published: March 16, 2010

If a stranger came up to you on the street, would you give him your name, Social Security number and e-mail address?

Probably not.

Yet people often dole out all kinds of personal information on the Internet that allows such identifying data to be deduced. Services like Facebook, Twitter and Flickr are oceans of personal minutiae — birthday greetings sent and received, school and work gossip, photos of family vacations, and movies watched.

Computer scientists and policy experts say that such seemingly innocuous bits of self-revelation can increasingly be collected and reassembled by computers to help create a picture of a person’s identity, sometimes down to the Social Security number.

“Technology has rendered the conventional definition of personally identifiable information obsolete,” said Maneesha Mithal,associate director of the Federal Trade Commission’s privacy division.“You can find out who an individual is without it.”

In a class project at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology that received some attention last year, Carter Jernigan and Behram Mistree analyzed more than 4,000 Facebook profiles of students, including links to friends who said they were gay. The pair was able to predict, with 78 percent accuracy, whether a profile belonged to a gay male.

So far, thi stype of powerful data mining, which relies on sophisticated statistical correlations, is mostly in the realm of university researchers, not identity thieves and marketers.

But the F.T.C. is worried tha trules to protect privacy have not kept up with technology. The agency is convening on Wednesday the third of three workshops on the issue.

Its concerns are hardly far-fetched. Last fall, Netflix awarded $1 million to a team of statisticians and computer scientists who won a three-year contest to analyze the movie rental history of 500,000 subscribers and improve the predictive accuracy of Netflix’s recommendation software by at least 10 percent.

On Friday, Netflix said that it was shelving plans for a second contest — bowing to privacy concerns raised by the F.T.C. and a private litigant. In 2008, a pair of researchers at the University of Texas showed that the customer data released for tha tfirst contest, despite being stripped of names and other direct identifying information, could often be “de-anonymized” by statistically analyzing an individual’s distinctive pattern of movie ratings and recommendations.

In social networks, people can increase their defenses against identification by adopting tight privacy controls on information in personal profiles. Yet an individual’s actions, researchers say, are rarely enough to protect privacy in the interconnected world of the Internet.

You may no tdisclose personal information, but your online friends and colleagues may do it for you, referring to your school or employer, gender,location and interests. Patterns of social communication, researchers say, are revealing.

“Personal privacy is no longer an individual thing,” said Harold Abelson, the computer science professor at M.I.T.“In today’s online world, what your mother told you is true, only moreso: people really can judge you by your friends.”

Collected together, the pool of information about each individual can form a distinctive “social signature,” researchers say.

The power of computers to identify people from social patterns alone was demonstrated last year in a study by the same pair of researchers that cracked Netflix’s anonymous database: Vitaly Shmatikov, an associate professor of computer science at the University of Texas, and Arvind Narayanan, now a researcher at Stanford University.

By examining correlations between various online accounts, the scientists showed that they could identify more than 30 percent of the users of both Twitter, the microblogging service, and Flickr, an online photo-sharingservice, even though the accounts had been stripped of identifying information like account names and e-mail addresses.

“When you link these large data sets together, a small slice of our behavior and the structure of our social networks can be identifying,” Mr. Shmatikov said.

Even more unnerving to privacy advocates is the work of two researchers from Carnegie Mellon University. In a paper published last year, Alessandro Acquisti and Ralph Gross reported that they could accurately predict the full, nine-digit Social Security numbers for 8.5percent of the people born in the United States between 1989 and 2003 —nearly five million individuals.

Social Security numbers are prized by identity thieves because they are used both as identifiersand to authenticate banking, credit card and other transactions.

TheCarnegie Mellon researchers used publicly available information from many sources, including profiles on social networks, to narrow their search for two pieces of data crucial to identifying people —birthdates and city or state of birth.

That helped them figure out the first three digits of each Social Security number, which thegovernment had assigned by location. The remaining six digits had been assigned through methods the government didn’t disclose, although theywere related to when the person applied for the number. The researchers used projections about those applications as well as other public data, like the Social Security numbers of dead people, and then ran repeated cycles of statistical correlation and inference to partly re-engineer the government’s number-assignment system.

To be sure, the workby Mr. Acquisti and Mr. Gross suggests a potential, not actual, risk.But unpublished research by them explores how criminals could usesimilar techniques for large-scale identity-theft schemes.

More generally, privacy advocates worry that the new frontiers of data collection, brokering and mining, are largely unregulated. They fear “online redlining,” where products and services are offered to some consumers and not others based on statistical inferences and predictions about individuals and their behavior.

The F.T.C. and Congress are weighing steps like tighter industry requirements and the creation of a “do not track” list, similar to the federal “do not call”list, to stop online monitoring.

But Jon Kleinberg, a professorof computer science at Cornell University who studies social networks, is skeptical that rules will have much impact. His advice: “When you’re doing stuff online, you should behave as if you’re doing it in public —because increasingly, it is.”
A version of this article appeared in print on March 17, 2010, on page A1 of the New York edition.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/17/technolo...l?th&emc=th

Entry #138

Chutzpah

Chutzpah is a Yiddish word meaning gall, brazen nerve, effrontery, sheer guts plus arrogance. It’s Yiddish and, as Leo Rosten writes, no other word, in no other language, can do it justice.   This example of chutzpah is better than 1,000  words...

A little old lady sold pretzels on a street corner for 25 cents each. Every day a young man would leave his office building at lunch time, and as he passed her pretzel stand, he would leave her a quarter, but never take a pretzel.

This went on for more then three years, yet the two of them never spoke. One day, as the young man passed the old lady's stand and left his quarter as usual, the pretzel lady spoke to him.

Without blinking an eye she said, "They're 35 cents now."

 

Entry #137