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Improved odds of a 5W Powerball win, or coincidence?Reply
The only way I have found to consistently lower the odds in PB or MM is to eliminate all prime numbers. Of the last 408 MM draws, this occurred in 1 out of 7 draws. If everyone stopped buying quick picks and made their own with a simple Bingo hopper, I don't think we would see as many huge jackpots. Most assuredly, more 5 of 6 winners.
Dec 19, 2023, 12:55 pm - play4shekels - Mathematics Forum

Megaball predictionReply
Analyzing numbers is fun, but there is hardly any reason to believe that lotteries, at least government-run ones in democratic countries, should be anything other than random. If you want to find an edge in lotteries, look for flaws in the prize structures, not the number draws. There's the famous story of the Midwest couple Jerry and Marge Selbee who did just that. They found a lottery with a prize structure such that jackpots that were not won were distributed down to lower prize categori
May 10, 2023, 7:55 pm - Orange71 - Mathematics Forum

My fascination -The first digit
Any lottery is a business and many players most of us myself included would love to understand the concept of how the first number(the lowest on the left will be) In my books a good predictor is measured by how he can correctly read the first digit. If your first digit is out your chances on the jackpot is GONE....no surprise there. Is there a formula ? No you have no code than calculate the next draws first digit theres is though patterns that can assist with it its extremely complica
Aug 18, 2023, 5:59 am - Ricklou - Mathematics Forum

Mega Millions Just The JackpotReply
To your point about variance, yes, JTJ is obviously going to be higher than a regular ticket. Both are going to be a huge variance, regardless. So, if variance is the concern, don't play the games to begin with. You will get a few bucks back by playing a regular ticket and hitting the minor prizes, but as percentage of $ spent, it's still very low. The return is basically predicated on hitting the jackpot, which the average person more than likely would not hit in a thousand lifetimes. Ther
Jul 17, 2023, 8:17 pm - Orange71 - Mathematics Forum

Chi-Squared Goodness of Fit Test for LotteriesReply
IMHO, in general government-run lotteries (in the western world at least) are not going to be exploitable in terms of statistical frequency attack. A lot of time, energy and money(!) is obviously put into trying. Eventually, if you look at enough lotteries, you'll find improbable outcomes and what appears to be non-randomness . Highly likely, that doesn't mean there is a flaw. Just if you sample enough, you get unusual patterns. (It's inevitable.) The people who have successfully exploited lotte
Mar 1, 2023, 2:46 pm - Orange71 - Mathematics Forum

Chi-Squared Goodness of Fit Test for LotteriesReply
I also implemented 3rd order Bayesean optimal estimation, despite the limited data set. I also implemented a blend between 1st and 2nd order statistics. I also tried joint Bayesean optimal estimation of intra-draw pairs and inter-draw pairs, which you could view as a subset of full 3rd order statistics. I have developed a program that picks in a way to maximize 3W, 4W, and 5W hits since that's what pays. My analysis shows that there exists a tiny bit of information in past draw data
Feb 7, 2023, 2:58 pm - Wavepack - Mathematics Forum